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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 25, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Lakers55%108105
25Grizzlies45%106110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 34.2
39.7
36.6
24
44%
12
11
3
1
0
5
3
9
8-10
80%
8-19
7-12
42%
58%
0-4
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 27.9
39.5
28.6
14
64%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
4-9
44%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 21.5
38.2
30.4
32
78%
6
4
1
1
1
3
0
6
5-6
83%
9-15
5-11
60%
50%
3-3
100%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
34.2
32.1
22
66%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
7-10
5-9
70%
54%
2-5
40%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.1
18.8
17.3
6
38%
9
1
1
0
1
1
4
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-6
38%
61%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.0
17.8
18.2
2
50%
3
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 36.4
16.1
5.8
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
61%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 33.0
15.7
24.6
2
17%
4
0
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 27.7
11.2
5.5
3
38%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
1-4
25%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
5.6
23.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 28.5
3.2
9.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 21.8
6.0
0
1-1
50%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 25.0
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.8
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 19.3
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 29.9
35.8
25.0
6
27%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-6
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 28.2
33.6
24.4
15
50%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
3-8
38%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.4
32.3
30.6
30
73%
2
5
1
1
0
2
2
0
7-8
88%
7-11
4-9
64%
49%
3-6
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.8
24.8
18.3
20
58%
13
0
1
0
2
5
5
8
4-5
80%
8-14
5-8
57%
58%
0-1
0%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.1
19.2
22.3
6
75%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
57%
0-0
-
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 23.4
27.1
15.4
5
50%
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 26.8
25.7
27.7
9
46%
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 34.0
22.8
24.0
14
66%
12
4
0
1
1
2
3
9
4-6
67%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.3
18.7
13.5
5
25%
4
1
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
1-7
14%
Julian Washburn
F-G · 6'8" 209 · 27.2
0.1
17.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
20.6
1
1-3
45%
Tyler Dorsey
G · 6'5" 183 · 23.0
4.6
0
0-1
44%
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 23.4
4.4
0
0-1
42%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.4
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 19.4
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.