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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 27, 2019
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pistons42%11193
13Spurs58%113105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.5
37.2
35.0
10
36%
17
1
4
2
1
0
4
13
0-0
-
5-13
7-14
38%
55%
0-1
0%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 30.0
35.0
30.8
17
45%
7
7
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-11
5-10
27%
52%
3-7
43%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.9
29.1
26.6
22
60%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
5-12
42%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.2
24.0
25.7
11
55%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
46%
3-6
50%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.5
19.6
24.4
4
50%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
31.6
24.3
8
33%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-6
0%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.2
20.7
15.1
11
69%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
3-5
60%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.6
18.9
20.7
9
51%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
48%
1-1
100%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 22.0
14.8
14.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 35.0
8.9
10.4
1
13%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.8
4.2
0
0-1
46%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.8
3.9
0
1-1
55%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Isaiah Whitehead
G · 6'4" 213 · 24.0
Kalin Lucas
G · 6'1" 195 · 29.8
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 21.7
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.6
38.7
29.2
24
52%
5
3
0
1
2
0
1
4
2-2
100%
11-22
7-14
50%
52%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
36.6
31.8
17
54%
13
8
2
1
0
2
1
12
3-6
50%
7-13
8-15
54%
50%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.4
34.1
15.2
11
67%
14
1
0
0
3
0
2
12
3-5
60%
4-6
2-4
67%
63%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
29.1
19.3
15
63%
6
4
1
1
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
54%
1-2
50%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
6.4
28.8
6
150%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
48%
2-2
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.9
34.5
23.7
17
85%
5
0
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
50%
3-4
75%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.5
20.9
22.0
4
30%
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
0-3
4-7
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.5
18.9
25.3
11
79%
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.3
15.4
26.9
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.9
5.3
7.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.0
5.4
0
0-1
49%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 38.6
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.9
3.3
0
1-1
51%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.4
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.8
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.