Final Win Prob. pScore
1722%104
118
178%115
121
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
122.99692.7
HOU logo Rockets
126.09699.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.118
121
Q4 - 0:04.5RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound118
121
Q4 - 0:08.2HeatDion Waiters misses three point turnaround jump shot118
121
Q4 - 0:18.0Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk)118
121
Q4 - 0:18.9Stoppage (Out of bounds)118
121
Q4 - 0:18.9HeatHeat defensive rebound118
121
Q4 - 0:20.1RocketsJames Harden misses three point pullup jump shot118
121
Q4 - 0:42.3RocketsChris Paul defensive rebound118
121
Q4 - 0:42.3HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 2 of 2118
121
Q4 - 0:42.3HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 2118
121
Q4 - 0:42.3RocketsAustin Rivers shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)118
121
Q4 - 0:46.2Heat 60 second timeout118
121
Q4 - 0:46.2RocketsChris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot118
121
Q4 - 0:55.6RocketsChris Paul offensive rebound118
119
Q4 - 0:56.9RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot118
119
Q4 - 1:19Stoppage (Out of bounds)118
119
Q4 - 1:19RocketsRockets defensive rebound118
119
Q4 - 1:21HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot118
119
Q4 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound118
119
Q4 - 1:25HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot118
119
Q4 - 1:37HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound118
119
Q4 - 1:38RocketsChris Paul misses three point jump shot118
119
Q4 - 2:03HeatDwyane Wade makes two point fadeaway jump shot118
119
Q4 - 2:20RocketsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 2116
119
Q4 - 2:20RocketsChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 2116
118
Q4 - 2:20Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)116
117
Q4 - 2:20HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)116
117
Q4 - 2:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1116
117
Q4 - 2:29RocketsClint Capela shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)115
117
Q4 - 2:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)115
117
Q4 - 2:46RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving layup113
117
Q4 - 2:58RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound113
115
Q4 - 2:59HeatDwyane Wade misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot113
115
Q4 - 3:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound113
115
Q4 - 3:16HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot113
115
Q4 - 3:27RocketsChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
115
Q4 - 3:27RocketsChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
114
Q4 - 3:27HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)113
113
Q4 - 3:43Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, James Harden, Clint Capela)113
113
Q4 - 3:43Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow)113
113
Q4 - 3:43Rockets 60 second timeout113
113
Q4 - 3:43HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (offensive foul)113
113
Q4 - 3:43HeatKelly Olynyk offensive foul (James Harden draws the foul)113
113
Q4 - 3:53HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound113
113
Q4 - 3:54RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot113
113
Q4 - 4:06RocketsGary Clark defensive rebound113
113
Q4 - 4:07HeatJustise Winslow misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot113
113
Q4 - 4:31RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving layup113
113
Q4 - 4:43RocketsGary Clark defensive rebound113
111
Q4 - 4:44HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup113
111
Q4 - 5:05RocketsClint Capela makes two point running layup (James Harden assists)113
111
Q4 - 5:11RocketsGary Clark defensive rebound113
109
Q4 - 5:13HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot113
109
Q4 - 5:33RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 3 of 3113
109
Q4 - 5:33RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 3113
108
Q4 - 5:33RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 3113
107
Q4 - 5:33HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)113
106
Q4 - 5:41HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Clint Capela steals)113
106
Q4 - 5:54HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound113
106
Q4 - 5:57RocketsJames Harden misses two point running layup113
106
Q4 - 6:00HeatJustise Winslow turnover (lost ball) (James Harden steals)113
106
Q4 - 6:09RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 1113
106
Q4 - 6:09HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)113
105
Q4 - 6:09RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving floating jump shot113
105
Q4 - 6:18HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)113
103
Q4 - 6:33RocketsJames Harden makes two point layup110
103
Q4 - 6:36RocketsJames Harden offensive rebound110
101
Q4 - 6:38RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot110
101
Q4 - 6:56HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
101
Q4 - 6:56HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
101
Q4 - 6:56Rockets delay of game violation108
101
Q4 - 6:56RocketsAustin Rivers shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)108
101
Q4 - 7:01RocketsJames Harden turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)108
101
Q4 - 7:17HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot108
101
Q4 - 7:39Rockets lineup change (Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, James Harden, Gary Clark, Clint Capela)105
101
Q4 - 7:39Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk)105
101
Q4 - 7:39Heat 60 second timeout105
101
Q4 - 7:44RocketsAustin Rivers makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)105
101
Q4 - 7:57HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)105
98
Q4 - 8:11HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound102
98
Q4 - 8:12RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot102
98
Q4 - 8:23HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)102
98
Q4 - 8:32RocketsAustin Rivers defensive rebound102
98
Q4 - 8:33HeatDwyane Wade misses three point stepback jump shot102
98
Q4 - 8:50Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Kelly Olynyk)102
98
Q4 - 8:50Heat 60 second timeout102
98
Q4 - 8:50RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
98
Q4 - 8:50RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
97
Q4 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)102
96
Q4 - 8:54HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (James Harden steals)102
96
Q4 - 9:13RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot102
96
Q4 - 9:19RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound102
93
Q4 - 9:20HeatGoran Dragic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot102
93
Q4 - 9:38HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound102
93
Q4 - 9:38RocketsChris Paul misses three point jump shot102
93
Q4 - 10:02HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
93
Q4 - 10:02HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
93
Q4 - 10:02Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)100
93
Q4 - 10:02RocketsChris Paul shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)100
93
Q4 - 10:10RocketsAustin Rivers makes two point jump shot100
93
Q4 - 10:26HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (traveling)100
91
Q4 - 10:26HeatHeat offensive rebound100
91
Q4 - 10:26HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point layup100
91
Q4 - 10:45HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound100
91
Q4 - 10:47RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot100
91
Q4 - 10:58HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving reverse layup (Kelly Olynyk assists)100
91
Q4 - 11:18RocketsAustin Rivers makes three point jump shot (Gary Clark assists)98
91
Q4 - 11:33HeatDwyane Wade turnover (3-second violation)98
88
Q4 - 11:49RocketsGary Clark makes two point layup98
88
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Kelly Olynyk)98
86
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.98
86
Q3 - 0:00.0RocketsRockets offensive rebound98
86
Q3 - 0:00.0RocketsChris Paul misses three point fadeaway jump shot98
86
Q3 - 0:02.0Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Justise Winslow)98
86
Q3 - 0:02.4HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Gary Clark draws the foul)98
86
Q3 - 0:19.1HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point alley-oop layup (Goran Dragic assists)98
86
Q3 - 0:29.0Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, James Harden, Gary Clark)96
86
Q3 - 0:29.4RocketsAustin Rivers personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)96
86
Q3 - 0:49.1RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)96
86
Q3 - 1:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point tip dunk96
83
Q3 - 1:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound94
83
Q3 - 1:08HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving floating jump shot94
83
Q3 - 1:15HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound94
83
Q3 - 1:16Rockets Nene misses two point jump shot94
83
Q3 - 1:36HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)94
83
Q3 - 1:50RocketsAustin Rivers makes two point driving layup (James Harden assists)91
83
Q3 - 2:04HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 291
81
Q3 - 2:04HeatJosh Richardson misses regular free throw 1 of 290
81
Q3 - 2:04Rockets Nene shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)90
81
Q3 - 2:23RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 290
81
Q3 - 2:23Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, James Harden, Nene)90
80
Q3 - 2:23Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Kelly Olynyk)90
80
Q3 - 2:23RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 290
80
Q3 - 2:23HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)90
79
Q3 - 2:29RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound90
79
Q3 - 2:34HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot90
79
Q3 - 2:55HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound90
79
Q3 - 2:56RocketsBam Adebayo blocks James Harden's two point driving layup90
79
Q3 - 3:08HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup90
79
Q3 - 3:30Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)88
79
Q3 - 3:30Rockets lineup change (Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, James Harden, Gary Clark, Clint Capela)88
79
Q3 - 3:30RocketsPJ Tucker ejected from the game (Other)88
79
Q3 - 3:30HeatGoran Dragic makes technical free throw 1 of 188
79
Q3 - 3:30RocketsPJ Tucker technical foul87
79
Q3 - 3:30HeatGoran Dragic makes technical free throw 1 of 187
79
Q3 - 3:30RocketsPJ Tucker technical foul86
79
Q3 - 3:30RocketsPJ Tucker turnover (offensive foul)86
79
Q3 - 3:30RocketsPJ Tucker offensive foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)86
79
Q3 - 3:41Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Justise Winslow)86
79
Q3 - 3:41HeatDion Waiters turnover (offensive foul)86
79
Q3 - 3:41HeatDion Waiters offensive foul (Austin Rivers draws the foul)86
79
Q3 - 4:02RocketsAustin Rivers makes two point driving floating jump shot (James Harden assists)86
79
Q3 - 4:13RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound86
77
Q3 - 4:14HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving floating jump shot86
77
Q3 - 4:39RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving layup86
77
Q3 - 4:48RocketsPJ Tucker defensive rebound86
75
Q3 - 4:49HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot86
75
Q3 - 5:10RocketsGerald Green makes three point pullup jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)86
75
Q3 - 5:23HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving finger roll layup (Justise Winslow assists)86
72
Q3 - 5:40Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow)84
72
Q3 - 5:40Heat 60 second timeout84
72
Q3 - 5:43RocketsGerald Green makes three point jump shot (PJ Tucker assists)84
72
Q3 - 5:47RocketsPJ Tucker offensive rebound84
69
Q3 - 5:48RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot84
69
Q3 - 5:54RocketsPJ Tucker defensive rebound84
69
Q3 - 5:56HeatDion Waiters misses three point pullup jump shot84
69
Q3 - 6:05RocketsPJ Tucker personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)84
69
Q3 - 6:19HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound84
69
Q3 - 6:21RocketsJames Harden misses three point stepback jump shot84
69
Q3 - 6:29Stoppage (Out of bounds)84
69
Q3 - 6:43Rockets lineup change (Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, James Harden, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)84
69
Q3 - 6:43Rockets 60 second timeout84
69
Q3 - 6:43HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds bad pass)84
69
Q3 - 6:52HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound84
69
Q3 - 6:54RocketsGary Clark misses three point jump shot84
69
Q3 - 7:05HeatJustise Winslow makes two point pullup jump shot84
69
Q3 - 7:21RocketsJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot82
69
Q3 - 7:42RocketsChris Paul defensive rebound82
66
Q3 - 7:43HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot82
66
Q3 - 7:59RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 282
66
Q3 - 7:59RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 282
65
Q3 - 7:59HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)82
64
Q3 - 8:05HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds lost ball)82
64
Q3 - 8:24RocketsGary Clark makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)82
64
Q3 - 8:44HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)82
61
Q3 - 8:59RocketsJames Harden turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
61
Q3 - 9:04HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)79
61
Q3 - 9:15HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound79
61
Q3 - 9:17RocketsChris Paul misses three point fadeaway jump shot79
61
Q3 - 9:31RocketsChris Paul makes technical free throw 1 of 179
61
Q3 - 9:31Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)79
60
Q3 - 9:45HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)79
60
Q3 - 10:00RocketsJames Harden turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)77
60
Q3 - 10:05HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Justise Winslow assists)77
60
Q3 - 10:21RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot (Clint Capela assists)75
60
Q3 - 10:32HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)75
57
Q3 - 10:32HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (PJ Tucker draws the foul)75
57
Q3 - 10:36RocketsClint Capela turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)75
57
Q3 - 10:40HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (PJ Tucker draws the foul)75
57
Q3 - 10:47HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)75
57
Q3 - 10:58RocketsJames Harden makes two point layup72
57
Q3 - 11:01RocketsJames Harden offensive rebound72
55
Q3 - 11:02RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving floating jump shot72
55
Q3 - 11:21HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)72
55
Q3 - 11:33HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound69
55
Q3 - 11:34RocketsGary Clark misses three point jump shot69
55
Q3 - 11:40RocketsGary Clark defensive rebound69
55
Q3 - 11:41HeatClint Capela blocks Justise Winslow's two point driving layup69
55
Q3 - 12:00Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, James Harden, Gary Clark, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)69
55
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk)69
55
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.69
55
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound69
55
Q2 - 0:00.2RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot69
55
Q2 - 0:08.0RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound69
55
Q2 - 0:09.8HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving reverse layup69
55
Q2 - 0:28.7RocketsJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot69
55
Q2 - 0:33.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point stepback jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)69
52
Q2 - 0:53.6RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 266
52
Q2 - 0:53.6RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 266
51
Q2 - 0:53.6HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)66
50
Q2 - 1:07HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup66
50
Q2 - 1:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)64
50
Q2 - 1:21HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound64
50
Q2 - 1:24RocketsChris Paul misses two point driving floating jump shot64
50
Q2 - 1:35Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk)64
50
Q2 - 1:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)64
50
Q2 - 1:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Gary Clark draws the foul)64
50
Q2 - 1:41Stoppage (Out of bounds)64
50
Q2 - 1:41HeatHeat defensive rebound64
50
Q2 - 1:42RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot64
50
Q2 - 1:54HeatRodney McGruder makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)64
50
Q2 - 2:12RocketsJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot (Chris Paul assists)61
50
Q2 - 2:29HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 261
47
Q2 - 2:29HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 1 of 260
47
Q2 - 2:29Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade, Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow)59
47
Q2 - 2:29RocketsGary Clark shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)59
47
Q2 - 2:29HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound59
47
Q2 - 2:29HeatGoran Dragic misses two point turnaround jump shot59
47
Q2 - 2:42RocketsChris Paul turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)59
47
Q2 - 2:55HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 259
47
Q2 - 2:55HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 258
47
Q2 - 2:55RocketsChris Paul shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)57
47
Q2 - 2:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)57
47
Q2 - 2:59HeatHeat offensive rebound57
47
Q2 - 3:00HeatClint Capela blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup57
47
Q2 - 3:09RocketsJames Harden turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)57
47
Q2 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 157
47
Q2 - 3:22Rockets 60 second timeout56
47
Q2 - 3:22RocketsChris Paul shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
47
Q2 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Goran Dragic assists)56
47
Q2 - 3:26HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound54
47
Q2 - 3:27RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot54
47
Q2 - 3:33HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (James Harden steals)54
47
Q2 - 3:43RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving layup54
47
Q2 - 3:52RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound54
45
Q2 - 3:53HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot54
45
Q2 - 3:59HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound54
45
Q2 - 4:00HeatGary Clark blocks Justise Winslow's two point layup54
45
Q2 - 4:04HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound54
45
Q2 - 4:05RocketsBam Adebayo blocks James Harden's two point driving floating jump shot54
45
Q2 - 4:27HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)54
45
Q2 - 4:42RocketsGary Clark makes three point jump shot (Gerald Green assists)51
45
Q2 - 4:52HeatDion Waiters makes regular free throw 2 of 251
42
Q2 - 4:52Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, Gerald Green, James Harden, Gary Clark, Clint Capela)50
42
Q2 - 4:52HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 250
42
Q2 - 4:52RocketsPJ Tucker shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)50
42
Q2 - 5:05RocketsPJ Tucker turnover (offensive foul)50
42
Q2 - 5:05RocketsPJ Tucker offensive foul (Rodney McGruder draws the foul)50
42
Q2 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 250
42
Q2 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 249
42
Q2 - 5:12RocketsPJ Tucker shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)48
42
Q2 - 5:27RocketsGary Clark makes regular free throw 1 of 148
42
Q2 - 5:27Rockets lineup change (Gerald Green, James Harden, Gary Clark, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)48
41
Q2 - 5:27HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Gary Clark draws the foul)48
41
Q2 - 5:27RocketsGary Clark makes two point driving bank jump shot (Clint Capela assists)48
41
Q2 - 5:42HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving floating jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)48
39
Q2 - 6:03HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound46
39
Q2 - 6:03RocketsClint Capela misses regular free throw 2 of 246
39
Q2 - 6:03Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Rodney McGruder, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow)46
39
Q2 - 6:03RocketsClint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 246
39
Q2 - 6:03HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)46
39
Q2 - 6:04RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound46
39
Q2 - 6:06RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving floating jump shot46
39
Q2 - 6:12RocketsGary Clark defensive rebound46
39
Q2 - 6:13HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot46
39
Q2 - 6:30RocketsAustin Rivers makes two point driving floating jump shot (James Harden assists)46
39
Q2 - 6:51HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 2 of 246
37
Q2 - 6:51Rockets lineup change (Austin Rivers, James Harden, Gary Clark, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)45
37
Q2 - 6:51HeatJosh Richardson makes regular free throw 1 of 245
37
Q2 - 6:51RocketsAustin Rivers shooting foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)44
37
Q2 - 7:11RocketsChris Paul makes two point bank jump shot (James Harden assists)44
37
Q2 - 7:24HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)44
35
Q2 - 7:42HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound41
35
Q2 - 7:43RocketsAustin Rivers misses three point jump shot41
35
Q2 - 7:52Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, Austin Rivers, James Harden, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)41
35
Q2 - 7:52Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters)41
35
Q2 - 7:52Rockets 60 second timeout41
35
Q2 - 7:52HeatJosh Richardson makes two point running layup (Goran Dragic assists)41
35
Q2 - 7:57RocketsGerald Green turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)39
35
Q2 - 8:13HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point turnaround hook shot39
35
Q2 - 8:31Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)37
35
Q2 - 8:31RocketsClint Capela turnover (offensive foul)37
35
Q2 - 8:31RocketsClint Capela offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)37
35
Q2 - 8:33RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound37
35
Q2 - 8:36RocketsChris Paul misses three point jump shot37
35
Q2 - 8:59RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound37
35
Q2 - 9:01HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot37
35
Q2 - 9:12RocketsClint Capela makes two point dunk (Gerald Green assists)37
35
Q2 - 9:32HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup37
33
Q2 - 9:47RocketsGerald Green turnover (offensive foul)35
33
Q2 - 9:47RocketsGerald Green offensive foul (Charge) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)35
33
Q2 - 9:57RocketsGerald Green defensive rebound35
33
Q2 - 9:58HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving finger roll layup35
33
Q2 - 10:06HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound35
33
Q2 - 10:08RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot35
33
Q2 - 10:21RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound35
33
Q2 - 10:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 235
33
Q2 - 10:21Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, Gary Clark, Clint Capela)35
33
Q2 - 10:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 235
33
Q2 - 10:21RocketsGary Clark shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)34
33
Q2 - 10:34RocketsChris Paul turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
33
Q2 - 10:41RocketsChris Paul defensive rebound34
33
Q2 - 10:42HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot34
33
Q2 - 10:49Rockets Nene turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)34
33
Q2 - 11:01RocketsChris Paul defensive rebound34
33
Q2 - 11:03HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot34
33
Q2 - 11:09RocketsGerald Green personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)34
33
Q2 - 11:23HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound34
33
Q2 - 11:24Heat Nene blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point running layup34
33
Q2 - 11:27RocketsChris Paul turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)34
33
Q2 - 11:48HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)34
33
Q2 - 12:00Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, Gary Clark, Nene)32
33
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
33
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound32
33
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving floating jump shot32
33
Q1 - 0:06.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound32
33
Q1 - 0:06.5RocketsChris Paul misses two point pullup jump shot32
33
Q1 - 0:31.1RocketsAustin Rivers defensive rebound32
33
Q1 - 0:32.5HeatDwyane Wade misses two point stepback jump shot32
33
Q1 - 0:43.7RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 232
33
Q1 - 0:43.7RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 232
32
Q1 - 0:43.7HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)32
31
Q1 - 0:48.1Rockets Nene defensive rebound32
31
Q1 - 0:48.1HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot32
31
Q1 - 0:56.9HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound32
31
Q1 - 0:56.9RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot32
31
Q1 - 1:08HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup32
31
Q1 - 1:19Rockets Nene personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)30
31
Q1 - 1:19HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound30
31
Q1 - 1:19Rockets Nene misses two point layup30
31
Q1 - 1:39HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point putback layup30
31
Q1 - 1:40HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound28
31
Q1 - 1:41HeatJames Harden blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point driving layup28
31
Q1 - 1:56HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound28
31
Q1 - 1:57RocketsJames Harden misses three point stepback jump shot28
31
Q1 - 2:00Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, James Harden, Nene)28
31
Q1 - 2:00Rockets 60 second timeout28
31
Q1 - 2:00Stoppage (Out of bounds)28
31
Q1 - 2:23HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)28
31
Q1 - 2:32HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound25
31
Q1 - 2:32Rockets Nene misses two point turnaround hook shot25
31
Q1 - 2:43HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving floating jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)25
31
Q1 - 3:00HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound23
31
Q1 - 3:01RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot23
31
Q1 - 3:08Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Kelly Olynyk)23
31
Q1 - 3:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)23
31
Q1 - 3:08RocketsRockets defensive rebound23
31
Q1 - 3:11HeatJustise Winslow misses two point stepback jump shot23
31
Q1 - 3:27RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 223
31
Q1 - 3:27Rockets lineup change (Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, James Harden, Nene, PJ Tucker)23
30
Q1 - 3:27Heat lineup change (Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk)23
30
Q1 - 3:27RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 223
30
Q1 - 3:27HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)23
29
Q1 - 3:35RocketsJames Harden defensive rebound23
29
Q1 - 3:35HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
29
Q1 - 4:05RocketsJames Harden makes three point jump shot (Austin Rivers assists)23
29
Q1 - 4:18Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade, Derrick Jones Jr., Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow)23
26
Q1 - 4:18HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Clint Capela draws the foul)23
26
Q1 - 4:18RocketsRockets offensive rebound23
26
Q1 - 4:19RocketsGerald Green misses three point jump shot23
26
Q1 - 4:35HeatDion Waiters makes two point stepback jump shot23
26
Q1 - 5:00RocketsAustin Rivers makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)21
26
Q1 - 5:23HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)21
23
Q1 - 5:39Rockets lineup change (Gerald Green, Austin Rivers, James Harden, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)19
23
Q1 - 5:39Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk)19
23
Q1 - 5:39Heat 60 second timeout19
23
Q1 - 5:40RocketsGary Clark makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)19
23
Q1 - 5:43RocketsChris Paul offensive rebound19
20
Q1 - 5:46RocketsGary Clark misses three point jump shot19
20
Q1 - 5:54HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (James Harden steals)19
20
Q1 - 6:13RocketsJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot19
20
Q1 - 6:23RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound19
17
Q1 - 6:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot19
17
Q1 - 6:44RocketsPJ Tucker makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)19
17
Q1 - 7:02HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup19
14
Q1 - 7:18RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 217
14
Q1 - 7:18RocketsJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 217
13
Q1 - 7:18HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)17
12
Q1 - 7:34HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point layup (Justise Winslow assists)17
12
Q1 - 7:45RocketsChris Paul makes two point stepback jump shot15
12
Q1 - 7:56HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)15
10
Q1 - 7:58HeatJustise Winslow offensive rebound12
10
Q1 - 8:00HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup12
10
Q1 - 8:13RocketsRockets turnover (shot clock violation)12
10
Q1 - 8:13RocketsRockets offensive rebound12
10
Q1 - 8:13RocketsGary Clark misses three point jump shot12
10
Q1 - 8:39HeatJosh Richardson makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)12
10
Q1 - 8:58RocketsJames Harden makes two point driving floating jump shot10
10
Q1 - 9:10HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving finger roll layup10
8
Q1 - 9:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
8
Q1 - 9:22RocketsJames Harden misses three point jump shot8
8
Q1 - 9:36HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)8
8
Q1 - 9:40RocketsClint Capela turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)5
8
Q1 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup5
8
Q1 - 10:14RocketsJames Harden personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)3
8
Q1 - 10:27RocketsPJ Tucker makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)3
8
Q1 - 10:42HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
5
Q1 - 11:00RocketsChris Paul makes three point jump shot (James Harden assists)0
5
Q1 - 11:05RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:06HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point hook shot0
2
Q1 - 11:17HeatHeat defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:19RocketsJames Harden misses two point driving layup0
2
Q1 - 11:25RocketsClint Capela defensive rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot0
2
Q1 - 11:41RocketsClint Capela makes regular free throw 2 of 20
2
Q1 - 11:41RocketsClint Capela makes regular free throw 1 of 20
1
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Clint Capela draws the foul)0
0
Q1 - 11:42RocketsClint Capela offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:43RocketsChris Paul misses two point driving floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Clint Capela (Chris Paul gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Rockets lineup change (Chris Paul, James Harden, Gary Clark, Clint Capela, PJ Tucker)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.27 63.4%
HOU
1.32 65.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
29
69%
HOU
13
20
65%
Midrange
MIA
7
24
29%
HOU
6
11
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
28
54%
80%
HOU
19
28.5
46
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
19
24
79%
HOU
26
28
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Olynyk2175%10.5 / 14
G. Dragic2170%10.5 / 15
J. Winslow1963%9.5 / 15
J. Richardson1869%9.0 / 13
D. Wade1240%6.0 / 15
D. Waiters1169%5.5 / 8
B. Adebayo1071%5.0 / 7
D. Jones350%1.5 / 3
R. McGruder3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden5873%29.0 / 40
A. Rivers17106%8.5 / 8
C. Paul1454%7.0 / 13
G. Clark1478%7.0 / 9
C. Capela675%3.0 / 4
P. Tucker6150%3.0 / 2
G. Green633%3.0 / 9
Nene0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+11
-14
93
HOU
81
+11
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.27 63.4%
HOU
1.32 65.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
115.4
MIA 122.9
HOU 126.0 +3.1
Pace
98.1
98.0
MIA 92.7
HOU 99.5 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.8
MIA 15.5
HOU 14.5 −1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
54.2%
MIA 61.1%
HOU 61.7% +0.6%
TO %
14.3%
12.8%
MIA 13.3% −1.9%
HOU 15.2%
ORB %
24.8%
22.8%
MIA 22.2%
HOU 23.5% +1.3%
FTrt
24.7
27.9
MIA 29.6
HOU 36.4 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
54.1%
MIA 66.7% +8.8%
HOU 57.9%
STL %
7.8%
8.6%
MIA 9.4% +3.1%
HOU 6.3%
BLK %
10.2%
8.7%
MIA 6.5%
HOU 9.4% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
56.9%
MIA 63.4%
HOU 65.8% +2.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
60.6%
MIA 69.0% +4.0%
HOU 65.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
41.8%
MIA 29.2%
HOU 54.5% +25.3%
3P %
34.9%
35.6%
MIA 53.6% +12.3%
HOU 41.3%
FT %
69.5%
79.1%
MIA 79.2%
HOU 92.9% +13.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
33.9%
MIA 35.8% +9.8%
HOU 26.0%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
14.2%
MIA 29.6%
HOU 14.3% −15.3%
3P Att. %
36.8%
51.9%
MIA 34.6%
HOU 59.7% +25.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.32 and 3.32.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points118121
Rebounds3436
Assists2822
Steals96
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)15 (1)
Fouls2221
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)28 (2)
Field Goals42-8138-77
At-the-Rim FG20-2913-20
Midrange FG7-246-11
2-Point FG27-5319-31
3-Point FG15-2819-46
Free Throws19-2426-28
Fast Break Pts810
2nd Chance Pts1117
Points in Paint4632
Pts off Turnovers2720
Bench Points3923
Biggest Lead218

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 25
37.3
18
69%
4
2
3
0
1
5
0
4
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
32.9
21
75%
5
2
1
0
4
4
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
60%
3-4
75%
#11 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27
32.4
11
69%
2
4
1
0
3
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
#20 · SG · 6'7" 225 · 23
31.1
19
63%
7
8
0
0
3
3
3
4
2-4
50%
4-10
40%
3-3
100%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
29.1
10
71%
3
5
1
2
1
4
2
1
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
26.0
12
40%
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-13
46%
0-2
0%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
24.9
21
70%
5
5
1
0
0
1
0
5
8-8
100%
2-6
33%
3-6
50%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
20.3
3
50%
5
0
1
0
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
6.0
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
NWT - Injury/Illness | Left hip strain
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-way
#12 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Slight left AC sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
63%
34
28
9
2
14
22
8
26
19-24
79%
27-53
51%
15-28
54%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.