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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 2, 2019
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Magic41%104117
11Pacers59%107112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
36.4
32.5
11
37%
8
6
0
1
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
4-12
4-9
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.3
35.3
30.9
19
74%
5
8
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.4
32.0
30.1
27
61%
8
3
2
1
1
0
3
5
5-7
71%
11-16
7-14
69%
52%
0-3
0%
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 21.4
27.7
27.7
12
71%
8
2
1
1
1
1
5
3
0-1
0%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
2-3
67%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 31.3
17.3
26.5
3
28%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 28.1
27.3
24.3
23
61%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
48%
3-11
27%
Isaiah Briscoe
G · 6'3" 220 · 22.9
18.1
20.8
4
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 24.2
17.4
23.3
4
40%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 26.4
15.9
16.3
7
90%
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
1-2
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.4
12.4
9.8
7
90%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Melvin Frazier Jr.
F · 6'6" 198 · 22.5
4.5
0
1-1
46%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 24.8
2.2
0
0-0
47%
Amile Jefferson
F · 6'9" 224 · 25.8
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 32.6
Mo Bamba
C · 7'1" 225 · 20.8
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.8
Troy Caupain
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.7
36.6
29.6
13
81%
6
5
2
2
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
5-8
83%
56%
1-2
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
33.2
27.7
23
79%
3
10
0
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
6-8
3-6
75%
51%
2-4
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
31.6
31.8
12
61%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
2-7
29%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.9
30.9
30.1
25
61%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
7-8
88%
6-10
5-10
60%
55%
2-7
29%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 22.9
30.6
26.5
10
51%
6
1
1
1
4
3
1
5
2-2
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
54%
0-3
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.5
22.3
26.2
14
68%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
6-8
2-5
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 28.9
17.4
11.9
6
75%
4
4
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
56%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.4
13.4
8.1
3
28%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 27.2
12.8
15.5
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
0-1
0%
TJ Leaf
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.8
11.2
16.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 22.4
8.6
0
1-2
47%
Davon Reed
G · 6'6" 210 · 23.7
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Edmond Sumner
G · 6'5" 188 · 23.2
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 22.8
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.8
Alize Johnson
F · 6'8" 216 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.