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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 2, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Pelicans19%110120
8Nuggets81%123112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
38
31
28
10
4
1
1
1
2
4
6
5-10
50%
7-14
6-11
50%
55%
3-6
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 28.7
35
32
29
3
5
3
1
1
6
0
3
5-5
100%
6-14
5-10
43%
53%
4-9
44%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 25.0
32
30
8
7
10
0
1
0
2
2
5
2-4
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
29
27
7
5
0
2
1
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.2
23
10
10
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-1
0%
5-9
2-4
56%
53%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 28.9
27
22
10
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 20.8
26
25
16
7
2
0
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 22.5
22
19
12
10
1
2
1
1
3
1
9
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
57%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 22.8
4
6
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 28.0
4
8
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 30.0
18
0
2-4
51%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 28.0
5
0
0-0
46%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 33.0
3
0
0-1
47%
Dairis Bertans
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.5
Trevon Bluiett
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 26.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
36
28
16
7
2
5
1
2
2
0
7
6-9
67%
2-4
4-8
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
32
32
8
8
3
1
1
1
4
1
7
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
51%
2-6
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.0
32
30
20
3
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
9-9
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
50%
1-7
14%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
26
23
8
0
2
1
1
1
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
55%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
22
31
20
9
7
2
1
2
2
4
5
5-6
83%
6-9
8-14
67%
58%
1-2
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
25
20
14
9
3
0
1
1
1
1
8
2-2
100%
6-6
3-6
100%
61%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
22
25
8
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
57%
2-4
50%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
16
17
6
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
16
15
12
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
5-11
2-4
45%
50%
0-3
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
12
9
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
0-2
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
53%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.9
1
0
0-0
55%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.4
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.