FinalWin Prob.pScore
663%111
107
1937%107
112
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
102.910499.8
DET logo DET
108.710388.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORDET
OT1 - End of 1st OT.107
0%
112
100%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.97 48.6%
DET
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
28
50%
DET
20
35
57%
Midrange
TOR
9
29
31%
DET
8
18
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
14
21.0
39
36%
54%
DET
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
Free Throws
TOR
19
24
79%
DET
20
29
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry3567%17.5 / 26
P. Siakam2158%10.5 / 18
M. Gasol1354%6.5 / 12
O. Anunoby1359%6.5 / 11
N. Powell1161%5.5 / 9
D. Green660%3.0 / 5
S. Ibaka536%2.5 / 7
P. McCaw250%1.0 / 2
J. Lin16%0.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin2761%13.5 / 22
R. Jackson1986%9.5 / 11
L. Kennard1986%9.5 / 11
A. Drummond1558%7.5 / 13
W. Ellington1179%5.5 / 7
I. Smith990%4.5 / 5
T. Maker643%3.0 / 7
G. Robinson III467%2.0 / 3
B. Brown250%1.0 / 2
L. Galloway0-0.0 / 4
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
89
+21
-15
110
DET
88
+15
-15
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.97 48.6%
DET
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.1
109.0
TOR 102.9
DET 108.7 +5.9
Pace
100.2
97.3
TOR 99.8 +11.6
DET 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.2
TOR 14.4 +1.9
DET 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.3%
50.8%
TOR 45.8%
DET 53.5% +7.7%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
TOR 13.1% +2.3%
DET 15.4%
ORB %
21.8%
24.9%
TOR 32.1% +12.1%
DET 20.0%
FTrt
24.7
26.1
TOR 25.0
DET 33.7 +8.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.3%
57.9%
TOR 59.5%
DET 62.5% +3.0%
STL %
8.2%
7.1%
TOR 7.7%
DET 9.7% +2.0%
BLK %
9.1%
7.1%
TOR 5.7% +0.4%
DET 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
53.0%
TOR 48.6%
DET 54.4% +5.8%
Rim FG%
61.6%
57.5%
TOR 50.0%
DET 57.1% +7.1%
Mid FG%
43.1%
38.4%
TOR 31.0%
DET 44.4% +13.4%
3P %
36.6%
34.8%
TOR 35.9%
DET 36.4% +0.5%
FT %
80.4%
74.7%
TOR 79.2% +10.2%
DET 69.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
36.7%
TOR 29.2%
DET 40.7% +11.5%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
23.9%
TOR 30.2%
DET 20.9% +9.3%
3P Att. %
37.9%
39.4%
TOR 40.6% +2.3%
DET 38.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORDET
Possessions104103
Possession Minutes25.028.0
Points107112
Rebounds5046
Assists2225
Steals810
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)15 (3)
Fouls2824
Off. Rebounds (Team)18 (3)8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)38 (1)
Field Goals37-9640-86
At-the-Rim FG14-2820-35
Midrange FG9-298-18
2-Point FG23-5728-53
3-Point FG14-3912-33
Free Throws19-2420-29
Fast Break Pts2020
2nd Chance Pts154
Points in Paint3850
Pts off Turnovers1412
Bench Points3138
Biggest Lead1113

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
44.0
21
58%
9
5
0
0
3
5
1
8
0-2
0%
9-16
56%
1-4
25%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 33
42.1
35
67%
7
5
1
0
3
3
1
6
7-9
78%
5-10
50%
6-14
43%
#33 · C · 7'1" 255 · 34
38.0
13
54%
8
5
1
2
1
6
4
4
8-8
100%
1-8
13%
1-2
50%
#14 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 32
29.2
6
60%
2
1
3
0
2
5
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
#17 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 31
24.8
1
6%
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-5
0%
#3 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 22
34.8
13
59%
6
0
0
1
0
3
5
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
#9 · C · 6'10" 235 · 29
20.0
5
36%
11
1
0
0
0
2
4
7
0-0
-
1-6
17%
1-1
100%
#24 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 26
19.9
11
61%
5
2
1
0
5
1
1
4
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
2-4
50%
#1 · SG · 6'7" 185 · 23
12.3
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#13 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#25 · PF · 6'9" 200 · 26
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 28
Inactive - Rest | Load Management
#23 · PG · 6'0" 197 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Thumb Ligament
#8 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 26
Inactive - G League Team | Two Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
107
49%
50
22
8
3
15
28
18
32
19-24
79%
23-57
40%
14-39
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.