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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 4, 2019
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets
103
15Spurs
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
38
27
22
10
6
0
1
0
3
4
6
0-0
-
8-12
6-11
67%
56%
2-2
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
32
31
12
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
49%
2-6
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
30
31
5
11
2
1
1
0
0
0
11
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
52%
1-3
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.0
28
30
25
2
8
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
2-9
4-8
22%
49%
6-10
60%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
27
24
8
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
53%
2-4
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
22
23
15
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
55%
2-6
33%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
19
17
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
53%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
16
15
7
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
14
22
0
4
3
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
60%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
13
5
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
56%
1-3
33%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
11
0
1-1
55%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
3
0
0-0
55%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.3
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
37
32
24
6
7
3
1
1
3
1
5
2-3
67%
11-19
7-15
58%
49%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.6
36
33
22
9
2
0
1
0
4
1
8
3-4
75%
8-15
8-16
53%
52%
1-2
50%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
36
26
11
4
9
1
1
3
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
1-6
17%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
22
23
7
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.4
18
24
6
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
4-6
75%
63%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.5
28
23
14
9
4
1
1
2
0
1
8
5-8
63%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 32.9
26
22
8
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.3
17
21
2
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.6
16
21
8
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
2-5
40%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.1
4
3
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.9
5
0
0-1
53%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.0
3
0
0-0
49%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 21.9
3
0
0-1
50%
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.8
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.2
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.