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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 4, 2019
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Knicks19%106108
20Kings81%119115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.5
34
23
9
13
3
0
1
0
3
3
10
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.8
30
27
11
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
47%
1-5
20%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.3
29
27
18
3
5
3
1
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
6-13
4-8
46%
46%
2-4
50%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 23.6
26
14
7
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-6
33%
Kevin Knox
F · 6'9" 212 · 19.6
21
25
11
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
41%
1-1
100%
Allonzo Trier
G · 6'5" 198 · 23.1
30
25
29
8
0
2
1
0
0
1
7
10-15
67%
5-12
3-6
42%
48%
3-4
75%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.0
19
26
8
2
5
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
5-10
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 20.9
19
25
4
7
0
0
1
2
2
2
5
0-1
0%
2-2
4-6
100%
62%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 22.1
17
18
6
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.9
15
13
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
12
0
1-2
49%
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
Isaiah Hicks
F · 6'9" 242 · 24.6
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 24.0
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 20.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
37
34
22
10
1
0
1
0
0
0
10
5-6
83%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
3-6
50%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
37
32
11
1
3
2
1
1
4
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
5-9
40%
52%
2-6
33%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 25.2
35
33
28
6
7
2
1
1
2
2
4
7-7
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
52%
3-8
38%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.2
33
30
16
4
3
4
1
0
2
0
4
5-8
63%
4-10
5-11
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
26
27
9
7
5
2
1
0
0
1
6
3-5
60%
3-8
4-8
38%
56%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.8
24
10
8
5
5
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
2-5
40%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
22
16
17
7
2
0
1
0
4
1
6
3-4
75%
7-9
4-7
78%
56%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.8
14
12
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 33.0
13
16
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 27.6
10
0
1-2
47%
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 24.9
2
0
0-1
47%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
2
0
0-1
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.0
2
0
0-1
57%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.0
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 24.2
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.