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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 5, 2019
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Celtics37%110128
1Warriors63%11495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 26.9
30.1
32.9
19
57%
5
11
2
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
5-10
6-12
50%
52%
2-5
40%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.0
27.1
31.6
17
58%
5
1
3
1
2
1
0
5
4-4
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
25.1
31.8
9
50%
2
4
2
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
46%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.8
21.8
29.5
5
83%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
5-9
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
17.4
23.2
10
63%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
2-5
40%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.9
27.8
21.5
30
89%
7
4
2
1
0
0
1
6
2-2
100%
8-10
2-4
80%
50%
4-6
67%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 22.4
27.1
26.6
18
56%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.0
22.9
19.9
9
54%
5
5
1
1
1
1
0
5
3-3
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.2
14.3
14.9
0
0%
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 26.9
11.9
11.9
2
35%
4
4
0
0
2
1
3
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
59%
0-1
0%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.2
6.1
5.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
5.0
3.3
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.2
3.5
2.9
7
90%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
52%
1-1
100%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.4
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.4
31.1
35.6
18
44%
2
2
1
1
0
5
0
2
8-10
80%
5-11
7-12
45%
57%
0-5
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.0
30.9
34.5
23
66%
3
4
1
1
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
55%
4-10
40%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.6
25.2
28.2
10
38%
9
4
0
1
0
4
0
9
2-3
67%
4-7
5-9
57%
49%
0-5
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.0
24.6
31.9
5
83%
6
5
1
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
1-2
50%
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
17.2
11.1
7
64%
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
56%
0-2
0%
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
27.1
12.6
4
25%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-4
0%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 24.2
23.3
15.4
7
44%
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
57%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 25.9
17.1
9.3
9
45%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-6
1-2
0%
53%
3-4
75%
Jacob Evans
G · 6'6" 199 · 21.7
16.9
2.5
6
100%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 32.0
13.6
10.6
4
41%
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.1
13.0
24.9
2
53%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
60%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 33.5
15.4
0
2-3
52%
Marcus Derrickson
F · 6'7" 249 · 23.1
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.7
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.1
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.