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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 8, 2019
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets38%114105
4Warriors62%118122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
28.8
32.3
16
59%
6
4
4
1
1
2
3
3
5-8
63%
4-9
7-13
44%
56%
1-1
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
25.7
31.4
5
23%
9
0
2
1
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
49%
1-4
25%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.0
22.8
30.2
11
53%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
48%
2-3
67%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
22.4
26.6
6
54%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
6-8
75%
0-2
3-6
0%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
15.7
33.1
9
51%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
28.6
16.7
17
77%
0
6
2
1
0
1
0
0
6-7
86%
4-5
2-5
80%
52%
1-3
33%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
26.8
20.6
17
57%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
55%
5-13
38%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
25.9
7.1
11
56%
9
1
0
0
1
1
4
5
2-2
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
55%
1-4
25%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
23.1
17.3
8
41%
12
2
0
1
1
1
3
9
2-4
50%
3-8
3-5
38%
59%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
14.9
14.9
5
39%
1
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.4
3.3
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-1
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.9
2.1
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
2.2
0
0-0
51%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.3
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.4
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.0
36.5
28.4
4
35%
10
5
2
1
0
3
0
10
2-4
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.4
35.9
33.0
26
78%
4
6
0
1
2
0
0
4
4-4
100%
8-13
6-11
62%
57%
2-2
100%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 29.1
35.4
24.5
39
81%
3
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
4-5
80%
4-11
4-7
36%
52%
9-11
82%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.0
34.4
32.3
17
50%
7
4
0
1
0
7
0
7
1-2
50%
2-6
4-7
33%
55%
4-10
40%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.6
27.5
26.3
13
55%
6
6
3
1
6
3
2
4
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.1
20.3
19.9
7
70%
2
2
3
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
60%
1-3
33%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.1
15.2
7.9
9
78%
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
1-4
25%
4-4
1-2
100%
60%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 33.5
12.8
9.9
2
100%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
6.9
14.0
3
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
57%
1-1
100%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 24.2
6.6
19.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
57%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 32.0
4.4
12.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
2.1
19.1
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-1
0%
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 26.0
2.1
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-1
0%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.7
Jacob Evans
G · 6'6" 199 · 21.7
Marcus Derrickson
F · 6'7" 249 · 23.1
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.