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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 12, 2019
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Timberwolves
107
8Nuggets
133
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 23.1
33
26
9
5
4
0
1
1
2
4
1
2-2
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
52%
1-3
33%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 23.3
32
31
34
10
3
0
1
3
4
3
7
4-4
100%
12-19
7-13
63%
57%
2-6
33%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.8
27
19
16
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
46%
2-3
67%
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 20.5
23
22
0
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 24.9
19
21
9
4
1
2
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Cameron Reynolds
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.1
25
13
12
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
4-7
57%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
22
5
4
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
42%
0-3
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.7
21
23
8
4
0
1
1
1
1
3
1
4-4
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
56%
0-0
-
C.J. Williams
F-G · 6'5" 230 · 29.1
18
3
11
1
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
0-0
80%
51%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.8
16
21
0
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 29.1
4
10
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 24.0
21
1
3-7
46%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.4
18
0
4-9
49%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.9
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.2
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.8
Jared Terrell
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
33
26
23
5
2
1
1
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
4-5
80%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.0
32
27
30
3
1
3
1
0
1
1
2
6-6
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
50%
4-6
67%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
31
29
6
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
28
25
12
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
2-3
67%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
26
30
18
8
7
0
1
1
4
4
4
0-0
-
9-14
7-12
64%
58%
0-0
-
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
27
21
16
5
6
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
4-5
80%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
21
20
7
3
8
0
1
2
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
60%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
20
23
5
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
57%
1-3
33%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
12
15
6
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
2-3
67%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
4
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
1-1
100%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 19.9
4
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
3
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
57%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
15
0
2-4
50%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.4
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.