Final Win Prob. pScore
1743%105
74
1357%107
108
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
82.29091.4
MIA logo Heat
118.79189.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.74
0%
108
100%
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound74
108
Q4 - PistonsKhyri Thomas misses three point jump shot74
108
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point putback layup74
108
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound74
106
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point step back jump shot74
106
Q4 - PistonsGlenn Robinson III personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)74
106
Q4 - PistonsGlenn Robinson III turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)74
106
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Glenn Robinson III steals)74
106
Q4 - PistonsKhyri Thomas makes two point step back jump shot74
106
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound72
106
Q4 - HeatUdonis Haslem misses three point jump shot72
106
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia turnover (kicked ball violation)72
106
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder makes two point reverse layup72
106
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia makes two point layup (Khyri Thomas assists)72
104
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound70
104
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point step back jump shot70
104
Q4 - HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound70
104
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia misses two point putback layup70
104
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia offensive rebound70
104
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia misses two point layup70
104
Q4 - PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound70
104
Q4 - PistonsDion Waiters blocks Svi Mykhailiuk's two point layup70
104
Q4 - HeatRyan Anderson turnover (lost ball) (Svi Mykhailiuk steals)70
104
Q4 - HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound70
104
Q4 - PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot70
104
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia offensive rebound70
104
Q4 - PistonsGlenn Robinson III misses three point jump shot70
104
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)70
104
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia makes two point jump shot (Glenn Robinson III assists)70
101
Q4 - HeatUdonis Haslem makes two point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)68
101
Q4 - HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound68
99
Q4 - PistonsKhyri Thomas misses three point jump shot68
99
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound68
99
Q4 - HeatRyan Anderson misses three point jump shot68
99
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound68
99
Q4 - PistonsKhyri Thomas misses two point jump shot68
99
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 268
99
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 268
98
Q4 - PistonsZaza Pachulia shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)68
98
Q4 - HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound68
98
Q4 - PistonsKhyri Thomas misses two point jump shot68
98
Q4 - PistonsKhyri Thomas defensive rebound68
98
Q4 - HeatKhyri Thomas blocks Rodney McGruder's two point jump shot68
98
Q4 - PistonsGlenn Robinson III makes two point floating jump shot (Zaza Pachulia assists)68
98
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Udonis Haslem, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Ryan Anderson)66
98
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Svi Mykhailiuk, Khyri Thomas, Glenn Robinson III, Thon Maker)66
98
Q4 - Pistons 60 second timeout66
98
Q4 - PistonsGlenn Robinson III defensive rebound66
98
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point step back jump shot66
98
Q4 - PistonsWayne Ellington turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)66
98
Q4 - PistonsWayne Ellington defensive rebound66
98
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot66
98
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Udonis Haslem, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)66
98
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson, Glenn Robinson III, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington)66
98
Q4 - PistonsAndre Drummond turnover (offensive foul)66
98
Q4 - PistonsAndre Drummond offensive foul (Off the ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)66
98
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic makes three point step back jump shot66
98
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 266
95
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside)65
95
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 265
95
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)64
95
Q4 - PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound64
95
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot64
95
Q4 - PistonsGlenn Robinson III makes two point dunk (Reggie Jackson assists)64
95
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Wayne Ellington steals)62
95
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound62
95
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot62
95
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound62
95
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot62
95
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 262
95
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 262
94
Q4 - PistonsLuke Kennard shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)62
93
Q4 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)62
93
Q4 - PistonsGlenn Robinson III offensive rebound59
93
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot59
93
Q4 - Pistons 60 second timeout59
93
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)59
93
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)59
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point turnaround hook shot (Goran Dragic assists)59
91
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)59
89
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)57
89
Q4 - PistonsAndre Drummond personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)57
87
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound57
87
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot57
87
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound57
87
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point jump shot57
87
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)57
87
Q4 - PistonsPistons offensive rebound57
87
Q4 - PistonsHassan Whiteside blocks Reggie Jackson's two point driving layup57
87
Q4 - Stoppage (Court cleanup)57
87
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)57
87
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Glenn Robinson III draws the foul)57
87
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound57
87
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point driving layup57
87
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound57
87
Q4 - PistonsAndre Drummond misses two point putback layup57
87
Q4 - PistonsAndre Drummond offensive rebound57
87
Q4 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point floating jump shot57
87
Q4 - Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Glenn Robinson III, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond)57
87
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.57
87
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point fadeaway jump shot57
87
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)57
85
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound57
85
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot57
85
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)57
85
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound57
85
Q3 - PistonsIsh Smith misses three point jump shot57
85
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (lost ball) (Langston Galloway steals)57
85
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker makes two point reverse dunk (Blake Griffin assists)57
85
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)55
85
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound55
82
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker misses three point jump shot55
82
Q3 - PistonsIsh Smith defensive rebound55
82
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot55
82
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound55
82
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker misses two point layup55
82
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)55
82
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker makes two point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)55
79
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound53
79
Q3 - HeatThon Maker blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point putback layup53
79
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound53
79
Q3 - HeatThon Maker blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point layup53
79
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound53
79
Q3 - PistonsIsh Smith misses two point jump shot53
79
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 253
79
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside)53
78
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 253
78
Q3 - PistonsLangston Galloway shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)53
77
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound53
77
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker misses regular free throw 2 of 253
77
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker makes regular free throw 1 of 253
77
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Thon Maker draws the foul)52
77
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker offensive rebound52
77
Q3 - PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot52
77
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside)52
77
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (3-second violation)52
77
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound52
77
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker misses regular free throw 2 of 252
77
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside)52
77
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker misses regular free throw 1 of 252
77
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Thon Maker draws the foul)52
77
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound52
77
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot52
77
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker makes regular free throw 2 of 252
77
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo)51
77
Q3 - PistonsThon Maker misses regular free throw 1 of 251
77
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Thon Maker draws the foul)51
77
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound51
77
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot51
77
Q3 - PistonsIsh Smith turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)51
77
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup51
77
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 2 of 251
75
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)50
75
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 1 of 250
75
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)49
75
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds lost ball)49
75
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound49
75
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot49
75
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)49
75
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound49
72
Q3 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot49
72
Q3 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Thon Maker, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Ish Smith)49
72
Q3 - Pistons 60 second timeout49
72
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)49
72
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
70
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound49
70
Q3 - PistonsIsh Smith misses three point jump shot49
70
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
70
Q3 - PistonsPistons defensive rebound49
70
Q3 - HeatBlake Griffin blocks Dion Waiters's two point driving layup49
70
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound49
70
Q3 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses two point jump shot49
70
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 249
70
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 249
69
Q3 - Pistons delay of game violation49
68
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)49
68
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses technical free throw 1 of 149
68
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson technical foul49
68
Q3 - Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington, Ish Smith)49
68
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson turnover (offensive foul)49
68
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson offensive foul (Off the ball) (Justise Winslow draws the foul)49
68
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)49
68
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Zaza Pachulia draws the foul)49
68
Q3 - PistonsPistons offensive rebound49
68
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot49
68
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound49
68
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot49
68
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound49
68
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup49
68
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)49
68
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 149
68
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes technical free throw 1 of 149
67
Q3 - PistonsDwane Casey technical foul49
66
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)49
66
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup49
66
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
64
Q3 - PistonsWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot49
64
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
64
Q3 - PistonsPistons defensive rebound49
64
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving hook shot49
64
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)49
64
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound49
64
Q3 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot49
64
Q3 - Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington)49
64
Q3 - Pistons 60 second timeout49
64
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)49
64
Q3 - PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)49
62
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)49
62
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound49
59
Q3 - PistonsWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot49
59
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 249
59
Q3 - Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Wayne Ellington, Bruce Brown)49
58
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 249
58
Q3 - PistonsAndre Drummond shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)49
57
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
57
Q3 - PistonsAndre Drummond turnover (3-second violation)49
57
Q3 - PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound49
57
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot49
57
Q3 - PistonsWayne Ellington personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)49
57
Q3 - PistonsWayne Ellington turnover (lost ball)49
57
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 149
57
Q3 - PistonsAndre Drummond shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)49
56
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point reverse layup49
56
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)49
54
Q3 - Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond, Bruce Brown)49
54
Q2 - End of 1st Half.49
54
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)49
54
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup46
54
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound46
52
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot46
52
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound46
52
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot46
52
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Wayne Ellington steals)46
52
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound46
52
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot46
52
Q2 - PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point floating jump shot46
52
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point reverse layup44
52
Q2 - PistonsAndre Drummond turnover (lost ball) (Justise Winslow steals)44
50
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 244
50
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 244
49
Q2 - PistonsReggie Jackson personal foul (Loose ball) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)44
48
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound44
48
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot44
48
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound44
48
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot44
48
Q2 - PistonsWayne Ellington makes regular free throw 2 of 244
48
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Rodney McGruder, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)43
48
Q2 - PistonsWayne Ellington makes regular free throw 1 of 243
48
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Wayne Ellington draws the foul)42
48
Q2 - PistonsPistons defensive rebound42
48
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot42
48
Q2 - PistonsWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)42
48
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound39
48
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving layup39
48
Q2 - PistonsLangston Galloway personal foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)39
48
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
48
Q2 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point step back jump shot39
48
Q2 - Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Langston Galloway, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond)39
48
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)39
48
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot39
48
Q2 - PistonsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 2 of 239
46
Q2 - PistonsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 1 of 238
46
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)37
46
Q2 - Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond)37
46
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)37
46
Q2 - PistonsAndre Drummond offensive rebound37
46
Q2 - PistonsAndre Drummond misses two point jump shot37
46
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)37
46
Q2 - PistonsWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)37
43
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard defensive rebound34
43
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point driving layup34
43
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point driving hook shot34
43
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard defensive rebound32
43
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot32
43
Q2 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point driving layup (Wayne Ellington assists)32
43
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Hassan Whiteside)30
43
Q2 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond, Ish Smith)30
43
Q2 - Pistons 60 second timeout30
43
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Hassan Whiteside assists)30
43
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)30
41
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard defensive rebound30
41
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot30
41
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound30
41
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot30
41
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point step back jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)30
41
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound30
39
Q2 - PistonsIsh Smith misses three point jump shot30
39
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)30
39
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside)30
37
Q2 - Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Ish Smith)30
37
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout30
37
Q2 - PistonsLangston Galloway makes three point jump shot (Zaza Pachulia assists)30
37
Q2 - PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound27
37
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup27
37
Q2 - PistonsGlenn Robinson III makes two point layup (Zaza Pachulia assists)27
37
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (Goran Dragic assists)25
37
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound25
35
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot25
35
Q2 - PistonsIsh Smith defensive rebound25
35
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot25
35
Q2 - Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Glenn Robinson III, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Ish Smith)25
35
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)25
35
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound25
35
Q2 - HeatAndre Drummond blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving layup25
35
Q2 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes two point layup (Ish Smith assists)25
35
Q2 - PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound23
35
Q2 - HeatAndre Drummond blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point putback layup23
35
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound23
35
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup23
35
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound23
35
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup23
35
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound23
35
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot23
35
Q2 - PistonsIsh Smith makes two point jump shot23
35
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 121
35
Q2 - PistonsAndre Drummond shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)21
34
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup21
34
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound21
32
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot21
32
Q2 - PistonsIsh Smith makes two point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)21
32
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Ish Smith draws the foul)19
32
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 219
32
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 219
31
Q2 - PistonsIsh Smith shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)19
30
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound19
30
Q2 - PistonsAndre Drummond misses regular free throw 2 of 219
30
Q2 - PistonsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 1 of 219
30
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)18
30
Q2 - PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound18
30
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot18
30
Q2 - PistonsGlenn Robinson III personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)18
30
Q2 - Pistons lineup change (Glenn Robinson III, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Andre Drummond, Ish Smith)18
30
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.18
30
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot18
30
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound18
28
Q1 - PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot18
28
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Langston Galloway draws the foul)18
28
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup18
28
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound18
26
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point finger roll layup18
26
Q1 - PistonsThon Maker makes two point floating jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)18
26
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 216
26
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 216
25
Q1 - PistonsLuke Kennard shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)16
25
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot16
25
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
25
Q1 - PistonsPistons offensive rebound16
25
Q1 - PistonsJosh Richardson blocks Langston Galloway's two point layup16
25
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside)16
25
Q1 - Pistons lineup change (Thon Maker, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Andre Drummond, Ish Smith)16
25
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
25
Q1 - PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot16
25
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)16
25
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot16
25
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - PistonsThon Maker misses two point jump shot16
25
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
25
Q1 - PistonsPistons offensive rebound16
25
Q1 - PistonsKelly Olynyk blocks Blake Griffin's two point driving layup16
25
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Kelly Olynyk)16
25
Q1 - Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Thon Maker, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Ish Smith)16
25
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
25
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup16
25
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound16
23
Q1 - PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot16
23
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)16
23
Q1 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes two point jump shot (Langston Galloway assists)16
20
Q1 - PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound14
20
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point step back jump shot14
20
Q1 - PistonsLuke Kennard makes three point jump shot (Langston Galloway assists)14
20
Q1 - Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Thon Maker, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway)11
20
Q1 - Pistons 60 second timeout11
20
Q1 - Stoppage (Other)11
20
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)11
20
Q1 - PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)11
18
Q1 - PistonsPistons offensive rebound11
18
Q1 - PistonsDwyane Wade blocks Thon Maker's two point jump shot11
18
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Blake Griffin steals)11
18
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)11
18
Q1 - Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Thon Maker, Wayne Ellington, Bruce Brown)11
18
Q1 - PistonsWayne Ellington personal foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)11
18
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound11
18
Q1 - PistonsWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot11
18
Q1 - PistonsReggie Jackson defensive rebound11
18
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot11
18
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)11
18
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)11
18
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)11
15
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 2 of 211
15
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses regular free throw 1 of 210
15
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk)10
15
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout10
15
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)10
15
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point hook shot (Dion Waiters assists)10
15
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond makes two point putback dunk10
13
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond offensive rebound8
13
Q1 - PistonsBruce Brown misses two point layup8
13
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)8
13
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)8
13
Q1 - PistonsWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)8
13
Q1 - PistonsBruce Brown offensive rebound5
13
Q1 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot5
13
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point step back jump shot5
13
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)5
11
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
11
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot5
11
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)5
11
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)5
11
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin makes three point jump shot5
11
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot2
11
Q1 - PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point floating jump shot2
8
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound0
8
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 2 of 20
8
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 20
8
Q1 - PistonsBruce Brown shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)0
8
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
8
Q1 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup0
8
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)0
8
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point dunk0
8
Q1 - PistonsReggie Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)0
6
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
6
Q1 - PistonsPistons defensive rebound0
6
Q1 - HeatBruce Brown blocks Josh Richardson's two point layup0
6
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)0
6
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 10
6
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
5
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)0
5
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
3
Q1 - PistonsWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot0
3
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)0
3
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - PistonsAndre Drummond offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - Andre Drummond vs. Bam Adebayo (Reggie Jackson gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)0
0
Q1 - Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond, Bruce Brown)0
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.83 41.6%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
7
20
35%
MIA
20
33
61%
Midrange
DET
12
20
60%
MIA
8
23
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
8
12.0
37
22%
32%
MIA
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
DET
12
18
67%
MIA
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin1365%6.5 / 10
W. Ellington1179%5.5 / 7
L. Kennard1063%5.0 / 8
R. Jackson825%4.0 / 16
T. Maker840%4.0 / 10
G. Robinson III675%3.0 / 4
A. Drummond550%2.5 / 5
I. Smith433%2.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia450%2.0 / 4
L. Galloway330%1.5 / 5
K. Thomas220%1.0 / 5
B. Brown0-0.0 / 1
S. Mykhailiuk0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow1689%8.0 / 9
D. Waiters1454%7.0 / 13
J. Richardson1372%6.5 / 9
H. Whiteside1359%6.5 / 11
D. Wade1142%5.5 / 13
B. Adebayo10125%5.0 / 4
G. Dragic1063%5.0 / 8
K. Olynyk975%4.5 / 6
D. Jones850%4.0 / 8
R. McGruder225%1.0 / 4
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
R. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
73
+17
-17
90
MIA
80
+15
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.83 41.6%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
107.5
DET 82.2
MIA 118.7 +36.5
Pace
97.3
98.1
DET 91.4 +1.8
MIA 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.0
DET 15.8 −0.3
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
51.5%
DET 40.3%
MIA 53.0% +12.7%
TO %
13.2%
14.3%
DET 17.5%
MIA 10.4% −7.1%
ORB %
24.9%
24.8%
DET 20.8%
MIA 32.5% +11.7%
FTrt
26.1
24.7
DET 23.4
MIA 28.6 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.9%
61.2%
DET 74.1% +17.7%
MIA 56.4%
STL %
7.1%
7.8%
DET 7.8%
MIA 11.0% +3.2%
BLK %
7.1%
10.2%
DET 12.5%
MIA 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
52.9%
DET 41.6%
MIA 56.8% +15.2%
Rim FG%
57.5%
60.8%
DET 35.0%
MIA 60.6% +25.6%
Mid FG%
38.4%
36.8%
DET 60.0% +25.2%
MIA 34.8%
3P %
34.8%
34.9%
DET 21.6%
MIA 39.3% +17.7%
FT %
74.7%
69.5%
DET 66.7%
MIA 79.2% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
37.3%
DET 26.0%
MIA 39.3% +13.3%
Mid Att. %
23.9%
25.9%
DET 26.0% −1.4%
MIA 27.4%
3P Att. %
39.4%
36.8%
DET 48.1% +14.7%
MIA 33.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points74108
Rebounds3751
Assists2022
Steals710
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)11 (0)
Fouls2318
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)38 (0)
Field Goals27-7739-84
At-the-Rim FG7-2020-33
Midrange FG12-208-23
2-Point FG19-4028-56
3-Point FG8-3711-28
Free Throws12-1819-24
Fast Break Pts910
2nd Chance Pts1113
Points in Paint3050
Pts off Turnovers720
Bench Points3746
Biggest Lead034

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
30.0
13
65%
4
3
1
1
3
2
0
4
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
#20 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
25.3
11
79%
1
1
2
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
3-7
43%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 26
24.0
5
50%
9
0
0
2
5
6
4
5
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
23.6
8
25%
1
3
0
0
3
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-6
0%
#6 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 23
9.6
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23
28.8
10
63%
3
4
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
20.7
3
30%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
18.6
4
33%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 22
17.9
8
40%
6
0
0
2
0
0
1
5
2-6
33%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
#22 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25
16.1
6
75%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
13.9
4
50%
6
3
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
5.8
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22
5.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#12 · PG · 6'4" 213 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#24 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
42%
37
20
7
7
17
23
10
27
12-18
67%
19-40
48%
8-37
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.