Final Win Prob. pScore
1743%105
74
1357%107
108
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
82.29090.1
MIA logo Heat
118.79190.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.74
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound74
108
Q4 - 0:04.0PistonsKhyri Thomas misses three point jump shot74
108
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point putback layup74
108
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound74
106
Q4 - 0:08.0HeatDion Waiters misses two point step back jump shot74
106
Q4 - 0:32.0PistonsGlenn Robinson III personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)74
106
Q4 - 0:33.0PistonsGlenn Robinson III turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)74
106
Q4 - 0:36.0HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Glenn Robinson III steals)74
106
Q4 - 0:51.0PistonsKhyri Thomas makes two point step back jump shot74
106
Q4 - 1:02PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound72
106
Q4 - 1:02HeatUdonis Haslem misses three point jump shot72
106
Q4 - 1:13PistonsZaza Pachulia turnover (kicked ball violation)72
106
Q4 - 1:28HeatRodney McGruder makes two point reverse layup72
106
Q4 - 1:44PistonsZaza Pachulia makes two point layup (Khyri Thomas assists)72
104
Q4 - 1:48PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound70
104
Q4 - 1:50HeatDion Waiters misses three point step back jump shot70
104
Q4 - 2:12HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound70
104
Q4 - 2:13PistonsZaza Pachulia misses two point putback layup70
104
Q4 - 2:14PistonsZaza Pachulia offensive rebound70
104
Q4 - 2:15PistonsZaza Pachulia misses two point layup70
104
Q4 - 2:19PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound70
104
Q4 - 2:21PistonsDion Waiters blocks Svi Mykhailiuk's two point layup70
104
Q4 - 2:27HeatRyan Anderson turnover (lost ball) (Svi Mykhailiuk steals)70
104
Q4 - 2:40HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound70
104
Q4 - 2:40PistonsSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot70
104
Q4 - 2:42PistonsZaza Pachulia offensive rebound70
104
Q4 - 2:46PistonsGlenn Robinson III misses three point jump shot70
104
Q4 - 3:07HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)70
104
Q4 - 3:29PistonsZaza Pachulia makes two point jump shot (Glenn Robinson III assists)70
101
Q4 - 3:48HeatUdonis Haslem makes two point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)68
101
Q4 - 4:03HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound68
99
Q4 - 4:05PistonsKhyri Thomas misses three point jump shot68
99
Q4 - 4:17PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound68
99
Q4 - 4:20HeatRyan Anderson misses three point jump shot68
99
Q4 - 4:26HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound68
99
Q4 - 4:29PistonsKhyri Thomas misses two point jump shot68
99
Q4 - 4:44HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 268
99
Q4 - 4:44HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 268
98
Q4 - 4:44PistonsZaza Pachulia shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)68
98
Q4 - 4:52HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound68
98
Q4 - 4:54PistonsKhyri Thomas misses two point jump shot68
98
Q4 - 5:13PistonsKhyri Thomas defensive rebound68
98
Q4 - 5:15HeatKhyri Thomas blocks Rodney McGruder's two point jump shot68
98
Q4 - 5:31PistonsGlenn Robinson III makes two point floating jump shot (Zaza Pachulia assists)68
98
Q4 - 5:51Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Udonis Haslem, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Ryan Anderson)66
98
Q4 - 5:51Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Svi Mykhailiuk, Khyri Thomas, Glenn Robinson III, Thon Maker)66
98
Q4 - 5:51Pistons 60 second timeout66
98
Q4 - 5:51PistonsGlenn Robinson III defensive rebound66
98
Q4 - 5:55HeatRodney McGruder misses three point step back jump shot66
98
Q4 - 6:07PistonsWayne Ellington turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)66
98
Q4 - 6:13PistonsWayne Ellington defensive rebound66
98
Q4 - 6:15HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot66
98
Q4 - 6:30Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Udonis Haslem, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic)66
98
Q4 - 6:30Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson, Glenn Robinson III, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington)66
98
Q4 - 6:30PistonsAndre Drummond turnover (offensive foul)66
98
Q4 - 6:30PistonsAndre Drummond offensive foul (Off the ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)66
98
Q4 - 6:47HeatGoran Dragic makes three point step back jump shot66
98
Q4 - 6:56PistonsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 266
95
Q4 - 6:56Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside)65
95
Q4 - 6:56PistonsReggie Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 265
95
Q4 - 6:56HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)64
95
Q4 - 7:01PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound64
95
Q4 - 7:03HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot64
95
Q4 - 7:24PistonsGlenn Robinson III makes two point dunk (Reggie Jackson assists)64
95
Q4 - 7:27HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Wayne Ellington steals)62
95
Q4 - 7:32HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound62
95
Q4 - 7:36HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot62
95
Q4 - 7:59HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound62
95
Q4 - 8:01PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot62
95
Q4 - 8:24HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 262
95
Q4 - 8:24HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 262
94
Q4 - 8:24PistonsLuke Kennard shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)62
93
Q4 - 8:37PistonsLuke Kennard makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)62
93
Q4 - 8:46PistonsGlenn Robinson III offensive rebound59
93
Q4 - 8:52PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot59
93
Q4 - 9:07Pistons 60 second timeout59
93
Q4 - 9:08HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)59
93
Q4 - 9:11PistonsReggie Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)59
91
Q4 - 9:26HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point turnaround hook shot (Goran Dragic assists)59
91
Q4 - 9:51PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)59
89
Q4 - 10:13HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)57
89
Q4 - 10:22PistonsAndre Drummond personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)57
87
Q4 - 10:22HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound57
87
Q4 - 10:24HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot57
87
Q4 - 10:35HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound57
87
Q4 - 10:37PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point jump shot57
87
Q4 - 10:49Stoppage (Out of bounds)57
87
Q4 - 10:49PistonsPistons offensive rebound57
87
Q4 - 10:49PistonsHassan Whiteside blocks Reggie Jackson's two point driving layup57
87
Q4 - 11:02Stoppage (Court cleanup)57
87
Q4 - 11:02HeatGoran Dragic turnover (offensive foul)57
87
Q4 - 11:02HeatGoran Dragic offensive foul (Glenn Robinson III draws the foul)57
87
Q4 - 11:07HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound57
87
Q4 - 11:13HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point driving layup57
87
Q4 - 11:39HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound57
87
Q4 - 11:39PistonsAndre Drummond misses two point putback layup57
87
Q4 - 11:40PistonsAndre Drummond offensive rebound57
87
Q4 - 11:41PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point floating jump shot57
87
Q4 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Glenn Robinson III, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond)57
87
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.57
87
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatGoran Dragic makes two point fadeaway jump shot57
87
Q3 - 0:11.0PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)57
85
Q3 - 0:28.0PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound57
85
Q3 - 0:33.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot57
85
Q3 - 0:40.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)57
85
Q3 - 0:55.0HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound57
85
Q3 - 0:57.0PistonsIsh Smith misses three point jump shot57
85
Q3 - 1:05HeatJosh Richardson turnover (lost ball) (Langston Galloway steals)57
85
Q3 - 1:26PistonsThon Maker makes two point reverse dunk (Blake Griffin assists)57
85
Q3 - 1:46HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)55
85
Q3 - 1:56HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound55
82
Q3 - 1:58PistonsThon Maker misses three point jump shot55
82
Q3 - 2:07PistonsIsh Smith defensive rebound55
82
Q3 - 2:08HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot55
82
Q3 - 2:17HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound55
82
Q3 - 2:19PistonsThon Maker misses two point layup55
82
Q3 - 2:32HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)55
82
Q3 - 2:52PistonsThon Maker makes two point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)55
79
Q3 - 2:58PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound53
79
Q3 - 3:01HeatThon Maker blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point putback layup53
79
Q3 - 3:02HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound53
79
Q3 - 3:05HeatThon Maker blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point layup53
79
Q3 - 3:15HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound53
79
Q3 - 3:16PistonsIsh Smith misses two point jump shot53
79
Q3 - 3:32HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 253
79
Q3 - 3:32Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside)53
78
Q3 - 3:32HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 253
78
Q3 - 3:32PistonsLangston Galloway shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)53
77
Q3 - 3:48HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound53
77
Q3 - 3:50PistonsThon Maker misses regular free throw 2 of 253
77
Q3 - 3:50PistonsThon Maker makes regular free throw 1 of 253
77
Q3 - 3:50HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Thon Maker draws the foul)52
77
Q3 - 3:50PistonsThon Maker offensive rebound52
77
Q3 - 3:51PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot52
77
Q3 - 4:06Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside)52
77
Q3 - 4:06HeatHassan Whiteside turnover (3-second violation)52
77
Q3 - 4:17HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound52
77
Q3 - 4:22PistonsThon Maker misses regular free throw 2 of 252
77
Q3 - 4:22Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside)52
77
Q3 - 4:22PistonsThon Maker misses regular free throw 1 of 252
77
Q3 - 4:22HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Thon Maker draws the foul)52
77
Q3 - 4:28PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound52
77
Q3 - 4:30HeatJustise Winslow misses two point floating jump shot52
77
Q3 - 4:43PistonsThon Maker makes regular free throw 2 of 252
77
Q3 - 4:43Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo)51
77
Q3 - 4:43PistonsThon Maker misses regular free throw 1 of 251
77
Q3 - 4:43HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Thon Maker draws the foul)51
77
Q3 - 4:51PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound51
77
Q3 - 4:54HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot51
77
Q3 - 4:59PistonsIsh Smith turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)51
77
Q3 - 5:14HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup51
77
Q3 - 5:27PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 2 of 251
75
Q3 - 5:27Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)50
75
Q3 - 5:27PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 1 of 250
75
Q3 - 5:27HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)49
75
Q3 - 5:39HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds lost ball)49
75
Q3 - 5:42HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound49
75
Q3 - 5:44PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot49
75
Q3 - 5:59HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)49
75
Q3 - 6:08HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound49
72
Q3 - 6:10PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot49
72
Q3 - 6:27Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Thon Maker, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Ish Smith)49
72
Q3 - 6:27Pistons 60 second timeout49
72
Q3 - 6:28HeatDion Waiters makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)49
72
Q3 - 6:32Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
70
Q3 - 6:44HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound49
70
Q3 - 6:48PistonsIsh Smith misses three point jump shot49
70
Q3 - 7:11Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
70
Q3 - 7:11PistonsPistons defensive rebound49
70
Q3 - 7:12HeatBlake Griffin blocks Dion Waiters's two point driving layup49
70
Q3 - 7:16HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound49
70
Q3 - 7:19PistonsLuke Kennard misses two point jump shot49
70
Q3 - 7:40HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 249
70
Q3 - 7:40HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 249
69
Q3 - 7:40Pistons delay of game violation49
68
Q3 - 7:40PistonsBlake Griffin personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)49
68
Q3 - 7:58HeatJosh Richardson misses technical free throw 1 of 149
68
Q3 - 7:58PistonsReggie Jackson technical foul49
68
Q3 - 7:58Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington, Ish Smith)49
68
Q3 - 7:58PistonsReggie Jackson turnover (offensive foul)49
68
Q3 - 7:58PistonsReggie Jackson offensive foul (Off the ball) (Justise Winslow draws the foul)49
68
Q3 - 8:05HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)49
68
Q3 - 8:10HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Zaza Pachulia draws the foul)49
68
Q3 - 8:10PistonsPistons offensive rebound49
68
Q3 - 8:12PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot49
68
Q3 - 8:19PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound49
68
Q3 - 8:22HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot49
68
Q3 - 8:28HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound49
68
Q3 - 8:32PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup49
68
Q3 - 8:38HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)49
68
Q3 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 149
68
Q3 - 8:47HeatJosh Richardson makes technical free throw 1 of 149
67
Q3 - 8:47PistonsDwane Casey technical foul49
66
Q3 - 8:47PistonsReggie Jackson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)49
66
Q3 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup49
66
Q3 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
64
Q3 - 8:53PistonsWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot49
64
Q3 - 9:04Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
64
Q3 - 9:04PistonsPistons defensive rebound49
64
Q3 - 9:04HeatJustise Winslow misses two point driving hook shot49
64
Q3 - 9:20PistonsReggie Jackson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)49
64
Q3 - 9:28HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound49
64
Q3 - 9:30PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot49
64
Q3 - 9:49Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington)49
64
Q3 - 9:49Pistons 60 second timeout49
64
Q3 - 9:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)49
64
Q3 - 9:56PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)49
62
Q3 - 10:13HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)49
62
Q3 - 10:29HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound49
59
Q3 - 10:31PistonsWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot49
59
Q3 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 249
59
Q3 - 10:49Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Wayne Ellington, Bruce Brown)49
58
Q3 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 249
58
Q3 - 10:49PistonsAndre Drummond shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)49
57
Q3 - 10:56Stoppage (Out of bounds)49
57
Q3 - 11:07PistonsAndre Drummond turnover (3-second violation)49
57
Q3 - 11:18PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound49
57
Q3 - 11:20HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot49
57
Q3 - 11:28PistonsWayne Ellington personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)49
57
Q3 - 11:28PistonsWayne Ellington turnover (lost ball)49
57
Q3 - 11:41HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 149
57
Q3 - 11:41PistonsAndre Drummond shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)49
56
Q3 - 11:41HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point reverse layup49
56
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)49
54
Q3 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond, Bruce Brown)49
54
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.49
54
Q2 - 0:02.0PistonsBlake Griffin makes three point jump shot (Reggie Jackson assists)49
54
Q2 - 0:18.0HeatJosh Richardson makes two point driving layup46
54
Q2 - 0:27.0HeatJosh Richardson offensive rebound46
52
Q2 - 0:29.0HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot46
52
Q2 - 0:48.0HeatRodney McGruder defensive rebound46
52
Q2 - 0:51.0PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot46
52
Q2 - 1:03HeatRodney McGruder turnover (bad pass) (Wayne Ellington steals)46
52
Q2 - 1:14HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound46
52
Q2 - 1:16HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot46
52
Q2 - 1:31PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point floating jump shot46
52
Q2 - 1:41HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point reverse layup44
52
Q2 - 1:54PistonsAndre Drummond turnover (lost ball) (Justise Winslow steals)44
50
Q2 - 2:10HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 244
50
Q2 - 2:10HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 244
49
Q2 - 2:10PistonsReggie Jackson personal foul (Loose ball) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)44
48
Q2 - 2:12HeatHeat offensive rebound44
48
Q2 - 2:13HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot44
48
Q2 - 2:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound44
48
Q2 - 2:14HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot44
48
Q2 - 2:37PistonsWayne Ellington makes regular free throw 2 of 244
48
Q2 - 2:37Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Rodney McGruder, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)43
48
Q2 - 2:37PistonsWayne Ellington makes regular free throw 1 of 243
48
Q2 - 2:37HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Loose ball) (Wayne Ellington draws the foul)42
48
Q2 - 2:37PistonsPistons defensive rebound42
48
Q2 - 2:37HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot42
48
Q2 - 3:07PistonsWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Blake Griffin assists)42
48
Q2 - 3:13PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound39
48
Q2 - 3:16HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving layup39
48
Q2 - 3:26PistonsLangston Galloway personal foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)39
48
Q2 - 3:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
48
Q2 - 3:29PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point step back jump shot39
48
Q2 - 3:49Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Langston Galloway, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond)39
48
Q2 - 3:49HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)39
48
Q2 - 3:57HeatJustise Winslow makes two point jump shot39
48
Q2 - 4:08PistonsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 2 of 239
46
Q2 - 4:08PistonsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 1 of 238
46
Q2 - 4:08Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)37
46
Q2 - 4:08Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond)37
46
Q2 - 4:08HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)37
46
Q2 - 4:08PistonsAndre Drummond offensive rebound37
46
Q2 - 4:10PistonsAndre Drummond misses two point jump shot37
46
Q2 - 4:34HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Rodney McGruder assists)37
46
Q2 - 4:52PistonsWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)37
43
Q2 - 4:57PistonsLuke Kennard defensive rebound34
43
Q2 - 4:59HeatDion Waiters misses two point driving layup34
43
Q2 - 5:09PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point driving hook shot34
43
Q2 - 5:26PistonsLuke Kennard defensive rebound32
43
Q2 - 5:28HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot32
43
Q2 - 5:53PistonsBlake Griffin makes two point driving layup (Wayne Ellington assists)32
43
Q2 - 6:10Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Hassan Whiteside)30
43
Q2 - 6:10Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond, Ish Smith)30
43
Q2 - 6:10Pistons 60 second timeout30
43
Q2 - 6:14HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Hassan Whiteside assists)30
43
Q2 - 6:21PistonsLuke Kennard turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)30
41
Q2 - 6:27PistonsLuke Kennard defensive rebound30
41
Q2 - 6:28HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot30
41
Q2 - 6:36HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound30
41
Q2 - 6:38PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot30
41
Q2 - 6:56HeatJustise Winslow makes two point step back jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)30
41
Q2 - 7:10HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound30
39
Q2 - 7:13PistonsIsh Smith misses three point jump shot30
39
Q2 - 7:38HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)30
39
Q2 - 7:56Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside)30
37
Q2 - 7:56Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Blake Griffin, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Ish Smith)30
37
Q2 - 7:56Heat 60 second timeout30
37
Q2 - 7:58PistonsLangston Galloway makes three point jump shot (Zaza Pachulia assists)30
37
Q2 - 8:08PistonsZaza Pachulia defensive rebound27
37
Q2 - 8:10HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup27
37
Q2 - 8:25PistonsGlenn Robinson III makes two point layup (Zaza Pachulia assists)27
37
Q2 - 8:36HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point hook shot (Goran Dragic assists)25
37
Q2 - 8:57HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound25
35
Q2 - 8:57PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot25
35
Q2 - 9:01PistonsIsh Smith defensive rebound25
35
Q2 - 9:04HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot25
35
Q2 - 9:10Pistons lineup change (Zaza Pachulia, Glenn Robinson III, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Ish Smith)25
35
Q2 - 9:10Stoppage (Out of bounds)25
35
Q2 - 9:10HeatHeat offensive rebound25
35
Q2 - 9:10HeatAndre Drummond blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving layup25
35
Q2 - 9:27PistonsLuke Kennard makes two point layup (Ish Smith assists)25
35
Q2 - 9:42PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound23
35
Q2 - 9:43HeatAndre Drummond blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point putback layup23
35
Q2 - 9:43HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound23
35
Q2 - 9:45HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup23
35
Q2 - 9:47HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound23
35
Q2 - 9:48HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point putback layup23
35
Q2 - 9:49HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound23
35
Q2 - 9:50HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot23
35
Q2 - 10:08PistonsIsh Smith makes two point jump shot23
35
Q2 - 10:23HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 121
35
Q2 - 10:23PistonsAndre Drummond shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)21
34
Q2 - 10:23HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup21
34
Q2 - 10:23HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound21
32
Q2 - 10:26HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot21
32
Q2 - 10:39PistonsIsh Smith makes two point jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)21
32
Q2 - 11:03HeatDerrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Ish Smith draws the foul)19
32
Q2 - 11:10HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 219
32
Q2 - 11:10HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 219
31
Q2 - 11:10PistonsIsh Smith shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)19
30
Q2 - 11:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound19
30
Q2 - 11:21PistonsAndre Drummond misses regular free throw 2 of 219
30
Q2 - 11:21PistonsAndre Drummond makes regular free throw 1 of 219
30
Q2 - 11:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)18
30
Q2 - 11:27PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound18
30
Q2 - 11:30HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot18
30
Q2 - 11:45PistonsGlenn Robinson III personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)18
30
Q2 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Glenn Robinson III, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Andre Drummond, Ish Smith)18
30
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.18
30
Q1 - 0:04.0HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot18
30
Q1 - 0:24.0HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound18
28
Q1 - 0:27.0PistonsLuke Kennard misses three point jump shot18
28
Q1 - 0:43.0HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Langston Galloway draws the foul)18
28
Q1 - 0:59.0HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup18
28
Q1 - 0:59.0HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound18
26
Q1 - 1:00HeatGoran Dragic misses two point finger roll layup18
26
Q1 - 1:20PistonsThon Maker makes two point floating jump shot (Luke Kennard assists)18
26
Q1 - 1:32HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 2 of 216
26
Q1 - 1:32HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 216
25
Q1 - 1:32PistonsLuke Kennard shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)16
25
Q1 - 1:47HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - 1:48PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot16
25
Q1 - 1:57Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
25
Q1 - 1:57PistonsPistons offensive rebound16
25
Q1 - 1:57PistonsJosh Richardson blocks Langston Galloway's two point layup16
25
Q1 - 1:58Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside)16
25
Q1 - 1:58Pistons lineup change (Thon Maker, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Andre Drummond, Ish Smith)16
25
Q1 - 1:58Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
25
Q1 - 2:04PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - 2:06HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot16
25
Q1 - 2:17PistonsBlake Griffin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)16
25
Q1 - 2:24PistonsBlake Griffin defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - 2:26HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot16
25
Q1 - 2:34HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - 2:37PistonsThon Maker misses two point jump shot16
25
Q1 - 2:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
25
Q1 - 2:42PistonsPistons offensive rebound16
25
Q1 - 2:42PistonsKelly Olynyk blocks Blake Griffin's two point driving layup16
25
Q1 - 2:45Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Goran Dragic, Kelly Olynyk)16
25
Q1 - 2:45Pistons lineup change (Blake Griffin, Thon Maker, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway, Ish Smith)16
25
Q1 - 2:45Stoppage (Out of bounds)16
25
Q1 - 2:57HeatJustise Winslow makes two point layup16
25
Q1 - 3:03HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound16
23
Q1 - 3:05PistonsLangston Galloway misses three point jump shot16
23
Q1 - 3:22HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)16
23
Q1 - 3:34PistonsLuke Kennard makes two point jump shot (Langston Galloway assists)16
20
Q1 - 3:49PistonsThon Maker defensive rebound14
20
Q1 - 3:51HeatJustise Winslow misses three point step back jump shot14
20
Q1 - 4:16PistonsLuke Kennard makes three point jump shot (Langston Galloway assists)14
20
Q1 - 4:37Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Thon Maker, Luke Kennard, Langston Galloway)11
20
Q1 - 4:37Pistons 60 second timeout11
20
Q1 - 4:41Stoppage (Other)11
20
Q1 - 4:42HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup (Dion Waiters assists)11
20
Q1 - 5:02PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)11
18
Q1 - 5:03PistonsPistons offensive rebound11
18
Q1 - 5:04PistonsDwyane Wade blocks Thon Maker's two point jump shot11
18
Q1 - 5:26HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Blake Griffin steals)11
18
Q1 - 5:39Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)11
18
Q1 - 5:39Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Thon Maker, Wayne Ellington, Bruce Brown)11
18
Q1 - 5:39PistonsWayne Ellington personal foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)11
18
Q1 - 5:48HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound11
18
Q1 - 5:51PistonsWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot11
18
Q1 - 6:02PistonsReggie Jackson defensive rebound11
18
Q1 - 6:06HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot11
18
Q1 - 6:11PistonsAndre Drummond turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)11
18
Q1 - 6:32HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)11
18
Q1 - 6:39Stoppage (Out of bounds)11
15
Q1 - 6:49PistonsBlake Griffin makes regular free throw 2 of 211
15
Q1 - 6:49PistonsBlake Griffin misses regular free throw 1 of 210
15
Q1 - 6:49Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk)10
15
Q1 - 6:49Heat 60 second timeout10
15
Q1 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)10
15
Q1 - 6:57HeatJustise Winslow makes two point hook shot (Dion Waiters assists)10
15
Q1 - 7:11PistonsAndre Drummond makes two point putback dunk10
13
Q1 - 7:11PistonsAndre Drummond offensive rebound8
13
Q1 - 7:17PistonsBruce Brown misses two point layup8
13
Q1 - 7:22HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)8
13
Q1 - 7:29PistonsBlake Griffin personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)8
13
Q1 - 7:38PistonsWayne Ellington makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)8
13
Q1 - 7:43PistonsBruce Brown offensive rebound5
13
Q1 - 7:45PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot5
13
Q1 - 8:10HeatJosh Richardson makes two point step back jump shot5
13
Q1 - 8:17Stoppage (Out of bounds)5
11
Q1 - 8:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
11
Q1 - 8:30PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot5
11
Q1 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)5
11
Q1 - 8:46HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Reggie Jackson draws the foul)5
11
Q1 - 8:53PistonsBlake Griffin makes three point jump shot5
11
Q1 - 9:08HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot2
11
Q1 - 9:31PistonsReggie Jackson makes two point floating jump shot2
8
Q1 - 9:57PistonsAndre Drummond defensive rebound0
8
Q1 - 9:59HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 2 of 20
8
Q1 - 9:59HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 20
8
Q1 - 9:59PistonsBruce Brown shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)0
8
Q1 - 10:02HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
8
Q1 - 10:04PistonsReggie Jackson misses two point driving layup0
8
Q1 - 10:12HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Blake Griffin draws the foul)0
8
Q1 - 10:20HeatJosh Richardson makes two point dunk0
8
Q1 - 10:23PistonsReggie Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)0
6
Q1 - 10:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
6
Q1 - 10:37PistonsPistons defensive rebound0
6
Q1 - 10:38HeatBruce Brown blocks Josh Richardson's two point layup0
6
Q1 - 10:43PistonsAndre Drummond turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)0
6
Q1 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 10
6
Q1 - 10:57PistonsAndre Drummond shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)0
5
Q1 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)0
5
Q1 - 11:02HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
3
Q1 - 11:04PistonsWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot0
3
Q1 - 11:21HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)0
3
Q1 - 11:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:34PistonsReggie Jackson misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:38PistonsAndre Drummond offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:40PistonsBlake Griffin misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Andre Drummond vs. Bam Adebayo (Reggie Jackson gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Pistons lineup change (Reggie Jackson, Blake Griffin, Wayne Ellington, Andre Drummond, Bruce Brown)0
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.83 41.6%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
6
19
32%
MIA
20
33
61%
Midrange
DET
13
21
62%
MIA
8
23
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
8
12.0
37
22%
32%
MIA
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
DET
12
18
67%
MIA
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Griffin1359%6.5 / 11
W. Ellington1169%5.5 / 8
L. Kennard1056%5.0 / 9
R. Jackson825%4.0 / 16
T. Maker840%4.0 / 10
G. Robinson III675%3.0 / 4
A. Drummond550%2.5 / 5
I. Smith433%2.0 / 6
Z. Pachulia450%2.0 / 4
L. Galloway330%1.5 / 5
K. Thomas220%1.0 / 5
B. Brown0-0.0 / 1
S. Mykhailiuk0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow1673%8.0 / 11
D. Waiters1454%7.0 / 13
J. Richardson1365%6.5 / 10
H. Whiteside1354%6.5 / 12
D. Wade1142%5.5 / 13
B. Adebayo10125%5.0 / 4
G. Dragic1056%5.0 / 9
K. Olynyk975%4.5 / 6
D. Jones850%4.0 / 8
R. McGruder225%1.0 / 4
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
R. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
73
+15
-17
88
MIA
80
+15
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.83 41.6%
MIA
1.14 56.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
21
109.0
25
107.5
DET 82.2
MIA 118.7 +36.5
Pace
28
97.3
25
98.1
DET 90.1
MIA 90.9 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
2
15.2
5
15.0
DET 16.0
MIA 15.8 −0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
26
50.8%
21
51.5%
DET 40.3%
MIA 53.0% +12.7%
TO %
12
13.2%
26
14.3%
DET 17.5%
MIA 10.4% −7.1%
ORB %
4
24.9%
5
24.8%
DET 20.8%
MIA 32.5% +11.7%
FTrt
12
26.1
20
24.7
DET 23.4
MIA 28.6 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
23
57.9%
12
61.2%
DET 74.1% +17.7%
MIA 56.4%
STL %
22
7.1%
14
7.8%
DET 7.8%
MIA 11.0% +3.2%
BLK %
28
7.1%
4
10.2%
DET 12.5%
MIA 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
26
53.0%
28
52.9%
DET 41.6%
MIA 56.8% +15.2%
Rim FG%
27
57.5%
14
60.8%
DET 31.6%
MIA 60.6% +29.0%
Mid FG%
27
38.4%
30
36.8%
DET 61.9% +27.1%
MIA 34.8%
3P %
23
34.8%
21
34.9%
DET 21.6%
MIA 39.3% +17.7%
FT %
23
74.7%
30
69.5%
DET 66.7%
MIA 79.2% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
18
36.7%
14
37.3%
DET 24.7%
MIA 39.3% +14.6%
Mid Att. %
7
23.9%
12
25.9%
DET 27.3% −0.1%
MIA 27.4%
3P Att. %
6
39.4%
13
36.8%
DET 48.1% +14.7%
MIA 33.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsDETMIA
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points74108
Rebounds3751
Assists2022
Steals710
Blocks75
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)11 (0)
Fouls2318
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)38 (0)
Field Goals27-7739-84
At-the-Rim FG6-1920-33
Midrange FG13-218-23
2-Point FG19-4028-56
3-Point FG8-3711-28
Free Throws12-1819-24
Fast Break Pts910
2nd Chance Pts1113
Points in Paint3050
Pts off Turnovers720
Bench Points3746
Biggest Lead034

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 30
30.0
13
59%
4
3
1
1
3
2
0
4
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
#20 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 31
25.3
11
69%
1
1
2
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
3-7
43%
#0 · C · 6'11" 279 · 26
24.0
5
50%
9
0
0
2
5
6
4
5
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#1 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 29
23.6
8
25%
1
3
0
0
3
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-6
0%
#6 · SF · 6'4" 202 · 23
9.6
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#5 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 23
28.8
10
56%
3
4
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
#9 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
20.7
3
30%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
18.6
4
33%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
#7 · C · 7'1" 223 · 22
17.9
8
40%
6
0
0
2
0
0
1
5
2-6
33%
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
#22 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 25
16.1
6
75%
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 35
13.9
4
50%
6
3
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'3" 210 · 23
5.8
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#19 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 22
5.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#30 · PF · 6'10" 228 · 30
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#81 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 37
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#12 · PG · 6'4" 213 · 24
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#24 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 30
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
42%
37
20
7
7
17
23
10
27
12-18
67%
19-40
48%
8-37
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.