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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 13, 2019
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Pistons
74
15Heat
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 30.0
30
27
13
4
3
1
1
1
3
0
4
3-4
75%
2-3
4-8
67%
52%
2-6
33%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.3
25
20
11
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
3-7
43%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 25.6
24
31
5
9
0
0
1
2
5
4
5
3-4
75%
1-3
6-11
33%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 28.9
24
21
8
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
0-6
0%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 22.6
10
18
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
29
27
10
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
2-6
33%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.3
21
24
3
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.7
19
24
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 22.0
18
18
8
6
0
0
0
2
0
1
5
2-6
33%
3-6
1-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
16
10
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 35.1
14
6
4
6
3
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 22.8
6
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 21.8
6
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Whitehead
G · 6'4" 213 · 24.0
Kalin Lucas
G · 6'1" 195 · 29.8
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 29.8
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.5
31
31
13
8
5
2
1
1
2
2
6
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
2-3
67%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.3
28
23
14
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
4
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
4-8
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
26
29
16
5
2
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
2-4
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 27.9
21
27
9
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
5-5
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
60%
0-1
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.7
17
25
10
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
3-3
4-6
100%
58%
0-0
-
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 22.1
31
20
8
4
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
57%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 37.1
22
23
11
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
7-8
88%
2-8
4-9
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
20
19
13
11
1
0
1
1
1
6
5
1-1
100%
6-12
5-8
50%
57%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.9
19
18
10
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
2-4
50%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.6
13
22
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.8
7
2
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.9
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.1
5
0
1-1
54%
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.6
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.