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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 13, 2019
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Grizzlies
111
26Hawks
132
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 31.4
26
31
20
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
7-8
88%
5-8
5-10
63%
50%
1-6
17%
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.1
25
12
4
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
59%
0-2
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.9
20
24
8
0
0
0
1
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
6-11
38%
59%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 28.3
19
34
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 29.9
18
22
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
45%
2-6
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
33
24
33
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
8-12
67%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 26.9
30
26
10
3
7
2
1
2
1
1
2
2-4
50%
4-9
3-7
44%
51%
0-3
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 34.0
24
21
12
8
5
1
1
1
0
1
7
2-3
67%
5-7
3-7
71%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Dorsey
G · 6'5" 183 · 23.1
20
5
8
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.4
15
16
2
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 23.5
11
17
3
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-2
50%
Julian Washburn
F-G · 6'8" 209 · 27.2
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 23.5
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 19.5
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.5
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 24.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 20.5
27
26
16
5
4
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
4-6
67%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
25
28
27
12
1
1
1
2
1
5
7
4-5
80%
10-15
6-11
67%
60%
1-2
50%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 25.0
25
27
15
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
3-6
50%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 20.5
25
29
22
3
8
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
5-7
4-9
71%
47%
3-5
60%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 29.6
21
23
6
6
3
2
1
2
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-4
50%
58%
0-3
0%
Jaylen Adams
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.9
23
17
8
3
5
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
2-6
33%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 25.7
23
26
20
8
4
0
1
2
0
3
5
2-4
50%
6-8
4-7
75%
54%
2-5
40%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 24.7
23
18
2
4
4
2
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 29.7
17
22
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
47%
0-5
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 42.1
16
20
10
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.3
6
4
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
53%
0-2
0%
BJ Johnson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
4
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 29.1
4
5
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.5
Omari Spellman
F · 6'9" 253 · 21.6
Alex Poythress
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.