Final Win Prob. pScore
264%112
113
1336%107
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
110.8102104.5
MIA logo Heat
96.110299.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.113
98
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound113
98
Q4 - HeatRodney McGruder misses two point floating jump shot113
98
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound113
98
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton misses two point turnaround hook shot113
98
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point putback dunk113
98
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound113
96
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup113
96
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound113
96
Q4 - BucksBam Adebayo blocks Nikola Mirotic's two point jump shot113
96
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)113
96
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2113
96
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Ersan Ilyasova, Pat Connaughton, D.J. Wilson, Tony Snell)113
95
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
95
Q4 - BucksTony Snell personal foul (Take) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)113
94
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes three point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)113
94
Q4 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound110
94
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot110
94
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Dion Waiters, Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)110
94
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez, Tony Snell)110
94
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)110
94
Q4 - HeatHeat defensive rebound110
94
Q4 - BucksBrook Lopez misses two point jump shot110
94
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)110
94
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)110
92
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound108
92
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses two point floating jump shot108
92
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound108
92
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot108
92
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound108
92
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot108
92
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (bad pass) (Eric Bledsoe steals)108
92
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound108
92
Q4 - BucksKhris Middleton misses two point jump shot108
92
Q4 - Dion Waiters kicked ball violation108
92
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)108
92
Q4 - Bucks 60 second timeout108
92
Q4 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound108
92
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot108
92
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)108
92
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup108
92
Q4 - BucksErsan Ilyasova makes three point jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)108
90
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound105
90
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot105
90
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point jump shot105
90
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)103
90
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez)103
90
Q4 - Bucks 60 second timeout103
90
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound103
90
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot103
90
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 1103
90
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)102
90
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point layup102
90
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound100
90
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot100
90
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo)100
90
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)100
90
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
90
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez)100
89
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
89
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)100
89
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound100
89
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses two point reverse layup100
89
Q4 - BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound100
89
Q4 - HeatBrook Lopez blocks Dion Waiters's two point driving layup100
89
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 1100
89
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)99
89
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)99
89
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)97
89
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes three point step back jump shot97
86
Q4 - BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound94
86
Q4 - HeatGiannis Antetokounmpo blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup94
86
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point finger roll layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)94
86
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound92
86
Q4 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot92
86
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)92
86
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez)92
86
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout92
86
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (D.J. Wilson assists)92
86
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup89
86
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound89
84
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot89
84
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound89
84
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot89
84
Q4 - BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)89
84
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 186
84
Q4 - BucksNikola Mirotic shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)86
83
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point jump shot86
83
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound86
81
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot86
81
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Kelly Olynyk)86
81
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 2 of 286
81
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 1 of 285
81
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)84
81
Q4 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound84
81
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot84
81
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)84
81
Q4 - BucksNikola Mirotic makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)84
81
Q4 - BucksD.J. Wilson defensive rebound81
81
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 281
81
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 281
81
Q4 - BucksD.J. Wilson shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)81
81
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, Pat Connaughton, D.J. Wilson)81
81
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)81
81
Q4 - HeatHeat offensive rebound81
81
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot81
81
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound81
81
Q4 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point jump shot81
81
Q4 - BucksNikola Mirotic defensive rebound81
81
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 281
81
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 281
81
Q4 - BucksErsan Ilyasova shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)81
80
Q4 - BucksD.J. Wilson makes two point floating jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)81
80
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Dion Waiters, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr.)79
80
Q4 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Ersan Ilyasova, Eric Bledsoe, Pat Connaughton, D.J. Wilson)79
80
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.79
80
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova makes three point jump shot (Nikola Mirotic assists)79
80
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr.)76
80
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Ersan Ilyasova, Eric Bledsoe, D.J. Wilson, Brook Lopez)76
80
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout76
80
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)76
80
Q3 - BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound76
80
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point finger roll layup76
80
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound76
80
Q3 - BucksNikola Mirotic misses two point driving layup76
80
Q3 - BucksD.J. Wilson offensive rebound76
80
Q3 - BucksHassan Whiteside blocks Eric Bledsoe's two point jump shot76
80
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound76
80
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point step back jump shot76
80
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova makes two point jump shot76
80
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova offensive rebound74
80
Q3 - BucksD.J. Wilson misses three point jump shot74
80
Q3 - BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound74
80
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving layup74
80
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova turnover (traveling)74
80
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point driving dunk (Goran Dragic assists)74
80
Q3 - BucksD.J. Wilson makes two point reverse layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)74
78
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point putback dunk72
78
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound72
76
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point layup72
76
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound72
76
Q3 - BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot72
76
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova defensive rebound72
76
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 272
76
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Ersan Ilyasova, Eric Bledsoe, Pat Connaughton, D.J. Wilson)72
76
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 272
76
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton personal foul (Loose ball) (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)72
76
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound72
76
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point reverse layup72
76
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)72
76
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova defensive rebound69
76
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving layup69
76
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova makes regular free throw 2 of 269
76
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova, Pat Connaughton, D.J. Wilson)68
76
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova makes regular free throw 1 of 268
76
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Loose ball) (Ersan Ilyasova draws the foul)67
76
Q3 - BucksBucks defensive rebound67
76
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot67
76
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound67
76
Q3 - BucksD.J. Wilson misses three point jump shot67
76
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 267
76
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 267
75
Q3 - BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)67
74
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)67
74
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound67
74
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot67
74
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 267
74
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Pat Connaughton, D.J. Wilson)66
74
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 266
74
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Take) (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)66
74
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound66
74
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot66
74
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound66
74
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton misses two point jump shot66
74
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 266
74
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade)66
73
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 266
73
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)66
72
Q3 - HeatHeat defensive rebound66
72
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova misses two point putback layup66
72
Q3 - BucksErsan Ilyasova offensive rebound66
72
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 166
72
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez)66
72
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade)66
72
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)66
72
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving dunk66
72
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound64
72
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot64
72
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)64
72
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Eric Bledsoe steals)64
72
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound64
72
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point layup64
72
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound64
72
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot64
72
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound64
72
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses regular free throw 1 of 164
72
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton personal foul (Away from play) (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)64
72
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)64
72
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 2 of 264
72
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez)63
72
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses regular free throw 1 of 263
72
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)63
72
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton misses technical free throw 1 of 163
72
Q3 - HeatHeat technical foul (Defensive three second)63
72
Q3 - Stoppage (Court cleanup)63
72
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk63
72
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound63
70
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving layup63
70
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout63
70
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 3 of 363
70
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)62
70
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 2 of 362
70
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 362
70
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)61
70
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound61
70
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot61
70
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton makes three point step back jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)61
70
Q3 - BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound58
70
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 2 of 258
70
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 258
70
Q3 - BucksNikola Mirotic shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)58
69
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)58
69
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)58
69
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)58
69
Q3 - BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound58
69
Q3 - HeatRodney McGruder misses three point jump shot58
69
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point finger roll layup (Khris Middleton assists)58
69
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 256
69
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 256
68
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
67
Q3 - BucksNikola Mirotic makes two point putback layup56
67
Q3 - BucksNikola Mirotic offensive rebound54
67
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses two point jump shot54
67
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)54
67
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (Off the ball) (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)54
67
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton makes two point step back jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)54
67
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)52
67
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound52
67
Q3 - HeatGiannis Antetokounmpo blocks Justise Winslow's two point layup52
67
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)52
67
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout52
67
Q3 - BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)52
67
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)49
67
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)49
64
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound49
64
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot49
64
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Brook Lopez steals)49
64
Q3 - Jump ball. Brook Lopez vs. Bam Adebayo (Eric Bledsoe gains possession)49
64
Q3 - BucksNikola Mirotic makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)49
64
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow personal foul (Take) (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)46
64
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Eric Bledsoe steals)46
64
Q3 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point driving layup (Khris Middleton assists)46
64
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)44
64
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 244
62
Q3 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 243
62
Q3 - HeatJustise Winslow shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)42
62
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Mirotic steals)42
62
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)42
62
Q3 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez)42
62
Q2 - End of 1st Half.42
62
Q2 - BucksBucks offensive rebound42
62
Q2 - BucksErsan Ilyasova misses three point jump shot42
62
Q2 - BucksErsan Ilyasova defensive rebound42
62
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot42
62
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)42
62
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound42
62
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot42
62
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound42
62
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot42
62
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)42
62
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound42
60
Q2 - BucksHassan Whiteside blocks George Hill's two point layup42
60
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point finger roll layup (Josh Richardson assists)42
60
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)42
58
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup42
58
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton personal foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)42
56
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)42
56
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova, George Hill, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Pat Connaughton)42
56
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo personal foul (Loose ball) (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)42
56
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound42
56
Q2 - HeatNikola Mirotic blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point driving layup42
56
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 142
56
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova, George Hill, Giannis Antetokounmpo)41
56
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside, Kelly Olynyk)41
56
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)41
56
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)41
56
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point dunk39
56
Q2 - BucksNikola Mirotic turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)39
54
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)39
54
Q2 - BucksBucks offensive rebound39
54
Q2 - BucksNikola Mirotic misses two point jump shot39
54
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)39
54
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
54
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
54
Q2 - BucksNikola Mirotic misses three point jump shot39
54
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup39
54
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton makes two point floating jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)39
52
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound37
52
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot37
52
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 237
52
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 236
52
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)36
52
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound36
52
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 136
52
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Khris Middleton, George Hill, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez)36
52
Q2 - BucksTony Snell shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)36
52
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Justise Winslow assists)36
52
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder offensive rebound36
50
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot36
50
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound36
50
Q2 - BucksBrook Lopez misses two point finger roll layup36
50
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes regular free throw 2 of 236
50
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses regular free throw 1 of 236
49
Q2 - BucksTony Snell shooting foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)36
49
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound36
49
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton misses two point jump shot36
49
Q2 - BucksNikola Mirotic defensive rebound36
49
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder misses two point jump shot36
49
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)36
49
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout36
49
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton makes two point jump shot36
49
Q2 - BucksTony Snell defensive rebound34
49
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot34
49
Q2 - BucksEric Bledsoe turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
49
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point finger roll layup34
49
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 134
47
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Goran Dragic, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)33
47
Q2 - HeatRodney McGruder shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)33
47
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton makes two point floating jump shot33
47
Q2 - BucksNikola Mirotic defensive rebound31
47
Q2 - HeatJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot31
47
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound31
47
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton misses two point jump shot31
47
Q2 - BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound31
47
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot31
47
Q2 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 2 of 231
47
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Rodney McGruder, Justise Winslow, Goran Dragic, Derrick Jones Jr., Bam Adebayo)30
47
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Khris Middleton, Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Tony Snell)30
47
Q2 - BucksEric Bledsoe misses regular free throw 1 of 230
47
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)30
47
Q2 - BucksEric Bledsoe offensive rebound30
47
Q2 - BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot30
47
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound30
47
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point driving layup30
47
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point dunk (Tony Snell assists)30
47
Q2 - BucksTony Snell defensive rebound28
47
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot28
47
Q2 - BucksPat Connaughton turnover (traveling)28
47
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point floating jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)28
47
Q2 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)28
45
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound26
45
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot26
45
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound26
45
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point driving layup26
45
Q2 - Bucks 60 second timeout26
45
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point reverse layup (Goran Dragic assists)26
45
Q2 - BucksEric Bledsoe turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)26
43
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)26
43
Q2 - BucksPat Connaughton makes two point reverse layup (Brook Lopez assists)26
41
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez, Tony Snell)24
41
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
41
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround hook shot24
41
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
39
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound24
39
Q2 - BucksHassan Whiteside blocks Pat Connaughton's three point jump shot24
39
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound24
39
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot24
39
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound24
39
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot24
39
Q2 - BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point driving layup24
39
Q2 - BucksTony Snell defensive rebound22
39
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot22
39
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 122
39
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)21
39
Q2 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)21
39
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point turnaround hook shot (Josh Richardson assists)19
39
Q2 - Bucks lineup change (Ersan Ilyasova, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, Pat Connaughton, Tony Snell)19
37
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.19
37
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound19
37
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point fadeaway jump shot19
37
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point reverse layup19
37
Q1 - BucksNikola Mirotic defensive rebound17
37
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point step back jump shot17
37
Q1 - BucksNikola Mirotic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)17
37
Q1 - BucksNikola Mirotic defensive rebound17
37
Q1 - HeatPat Connaughton blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point jump shot17
37
Q1 - BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)17
37
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup14
37
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound14
35
Q1 - BucksNikola Mirotic misses three point jump shot14
35
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 214
35
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Derrick Jones Jr., Dwyane Wade)14
34
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Ersan Ilyasova, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Pat Connaughton, Tony Snell)14
34
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 1 of 214
34
Q1 - BucksErsan Ilyasova shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)14
34
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound14
34
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot14
34
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound14
34
Q1 - BucksJustise Winslow blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point layup14
34
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)14
34
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound14
34
Q1 - BucksErsan Ilyasova misses three point jump shot14
34
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point reverse layup14
34
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound14
32
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton misses two point floating jump shot14
32
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)14
32
Q1 - BucksPat Connaughton makes two point putback dunk14
29
Q1 - BucksPat Connaughton offensive rebound12
29
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot12
29
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova, Pat Connaughton, Malcolm Brogdon)12
29
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)12
29
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup12
29
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound12
27
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot12
27
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound12
27
Q1 - BucksErsan Ilyasova misses two point jump shot12
27
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk)12
27
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (3-second violation)12
27
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving jump shot12
27
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)10
27
Q1 - BucksErsan Ilyasova makes two point turnaround hook shot (Khris Middleton assists)10
25
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Justise Winslow, Goran Dragic, Dwyane Wade, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)8
25
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Khris Middleton, Ersan Ilyasova, George Hill, Pat Connaughton)8
25
Q1 - Bucks 60 second timeout8
25
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)8
25
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
23
Q1 - BucksNikola Mirotic misses three point jump shot8
23
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)8
23
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters offensive rebound8
20
Q1 - HeatNikola Mirotic blocks Dion Waiters's two point driving layup8
20
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound8
20
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot8
20
Q1 - BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound8
20
Q1 - HeatBrook Lopez blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup8
20
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Khris Middleton, George Hill, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez)8
20
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe turnover (traveling)8
20
Q1 - BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound8
20
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point jump shot8
20
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
20
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot8
20
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (lost ball) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)8
20
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound8
20
Q1 - BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot8
20
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point turnaround jump shot8
20
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Nikola Mirotic, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez)8
18
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)8
18
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound8
18
Q1 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot8
18
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)8
18
Q1 - BucksBrook Lopez makes two point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)8
15
Q1 - Bucks 60 second timeout6
15
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dion Waiters assists)6
15
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
13
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
13
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound6
13
Q1 - HeatGiannis Antetokounmpo blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving layup6
13
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
13
Q1 - BucksBrook Lopez misses two point jump shot6
13
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson personal foul (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)6
13
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)6
13
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
10
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound6
10
Q1 - HeatBrook Lopez blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point driving layup6
10
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point dunk (Khris Middleton assists)6
10
Q1 - BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound4
10
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow misses two point jump shot4
10
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
10
Q1 - BucksMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot4
10
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)4
10
Q1 - BucksEric Bledsoe personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)4
7
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow defensive rebound4
7
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot4
7
Q1 - HeatJustise Winslow makes two point floating jump shot4
7
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton makes two point floating jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)4
5
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)2
5
Q1 - BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point layup2
2
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)0
2
Q1 - BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Dion Waiters steals)0
2
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot0
2
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround hook shot0
0
Q1 - Brook Lopez vs. Bam Adebayo (Malcolm Brogdon gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Justise Winslow, Dion Waiters, Kelly Olynyk, Bam Adebayo)0
0
Q1 - Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, Malcolm Brogdon, Brook Lopez)0
0
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.15 57.7%
MIA
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
23
34
68%
MIA
24
43
56%
Midrange
MIL
7
21
33%
MIA
6
28
21%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
MIA
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIL
17
24
71%
MIA
14
25
56%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3379%16.5 / 21
K. Middleton2166%10.5 / 16
E. Bledsoe1757%8.5 / 15
E. Ilyasova1575%7.5 / 10
P. Connaughton1372%6.5 / 9
N. Mirotic850%4.0 / 8
D. Wilson467%2.0 / 3
B. Lopez217%1.0 / 6
M. Brogdon0-0.0 / 3
G. Hill0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Winslow2059%10.0 / 17
H. Whiteside1458%7.0 / 12
J. Richardson1155%5.5 / 10
K. Olynyk1056%5.0 / 9
B. Adebayo1056%5.0 / 9
D. Waiters1056%5.0 / 9
D. Wade1031%5.0 / 16
D. Jones950%4.5 / 9
G. Dragic422%2.0 / 9
R. McGruder0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
87
+10
-15
97
MIA
90
+17
-12
107
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.15 57.7%
MIA
0.92 45.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.9
107.5
MIL 110.8 +14.7
MIA 96.1
Pace
103.2
98.1
MIL 104.5 +5.0
MIA 99.6
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
15.0
MIL 13.8 −0.7
MIA 14.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
51.5%
MIL 54.5% +9.3%
MIA 45.2%
TO %
12.8%
14.3%
MIL 13.2%
MIA 10.3% −2.9%
ORB %
20.8%
24.8%
MIL 18.6% +0.1%
MIA 18.5%
FTrt
25.5
24.7
MIL 27.3 +0.4
MIA 26.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
61.2%
MIL 69.0% +13.7%
MIA 55.3%
STL %
7.2%
7.8%
MIL 7.8% +0.9%
MIA 6.9%
BLK %
10.4%
10.2%
MIL 12.7% +3.6%
MIA 9.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
52.9%
MIL 57.7% +11.9%
MIA 45.8%
Rim FG%
64.1%
60.8%
MIL 67.6% +11.8%
MIA 55.8%
Mid FG%
39.4%
36.8%
MIL 33.3% +11.9%
MIA 21.4%
3P %
35.2%
34.9%
MIL 36.4%
MIA 36.4%
FT %
77.2%
69.5%
MIL 70.8% +14.8%
MIA 56.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.2%
37.3%
MIL 38.6%
MIA 46.2% +7.6%
Mid Att. %
17.8%
25.9%
MIL 23.9% −6.2%
MIA 30.1%
3P Att. %
42.0%
36.8%
MIL 37.5% +13.8%
MIA 23.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions102102
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points11398
Rebounds5245
Assists2921
Steals87
Blocks95
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2118
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)10 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (1)35 (1)
Field Goals42-8838-93
At-the-Rim FG23-3424-43
Midrange FG7-216-28
2-Point FG30-5530-71
3-Point FG12-338-22
Free Throws17-2414-25
Fast Break Pts1213
2nd Chance Pts1222
Points in Paint5854
Pts off Turnovers911
Bench Points4037
Biggest Lead1923

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 24
34.8
33
79%
16
9
2
3
6
4
2
14
8-11
73%
11-15
73%
1-4
25%
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 29
33.9
17
57%
3
5
3
0
4
3
1
2
4-6
67%
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 28
32.4
21
66%
5
8
1
0
1
4
0
5
3-5
60%
6-11
55%
2-5
40%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 31
30.4
2
17%
6
2
1
3
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
#13 · SG · 6'5" 229 · 26
6.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#41 · PF · 6'10" 238 · 28
28.9
8
50%
6
1
1
2
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 26
25.0
13
72%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
#77 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 32
20.8
15
75%
5
0
0
0
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
#21 · SG · 6'7" 221 · 27
11.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 23
8.9
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 33
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#9 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 22
DNP - Injury/Illness | Injury - Bilateral Heel Bursitis
#17 · C · 7'0" 250 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · PG · 6'2" 189 · 21
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#50 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#23 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
113
58%
52
29
8
9
15
21
8
44
17-24
71%
30-55
55%
12-33
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.