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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 18, 2019
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets42%110114
4Celtics58%113105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
35.9
30.5
21
75%
13
7
2
1
3
3
2
11
0-0
-
6-7
7-12
86%
56%
3-7
43%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
31.9
30.4
20
59%
4
2
0
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
48%
2-7
29%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
29.4
27.0
16
58%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
52%
4-7
57%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
28.7
33.4
11
50%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
27.3
31.5
12
72%
11
5
0
1
0
1
4
7
3-3
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
51%
1-3
33%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
21.2
7.4
13
78%
8
2
0
0
0
1
1
7
2-3
67%
4-5
1-1
80%
55%
1-2
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.0
20.8
21.9
3
39%
2
4
1
1
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
58%
0-0
-
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
19.4
25.4
11
61%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
1-2
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
18.6
20.3
7
32%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
54%
1-7
14%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
6.8
5.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
5.7
0
0-1
54%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
4.9
0
1-1
53%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
1.9
0
0-0
49%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.0
36.4
29.6
8
31%
7
6
1
1
1
1
0
7
1-2
50%
2-7
5-9
29%
52%
1-5
20%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.0
36.2
33.7
30
57%
5
4
4
1
1
1
1
4
8-8
100%
8-15
7-12
53%
54%
2-8
25%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
35.5
30.0
13
78%
5
1
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-3
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.8
33.3
27.2
20
67%
6
6
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
57%
4-8
50%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
33.1
30.4
10
45%
4
3
2
2
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-8
2-3
63%
48%
0-3
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.0
20.9
20.4
7
39%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
1-6
17%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 22.4
20.0
27.1
6
44%
4
1
2
1
0
3
3
1
1-2
50%
1-2
4-8
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.3
17.6
16.4
5
43%
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
52%
0-0
-
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 27.0
7.2
9.1
6
51%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
60%
1-2
50%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.3
7.2
0
0-1
50%
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.2
3.2
0
0-1
54%
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.6
2.7
0
0-0
49%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
1.5
0
0-0
50%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.4
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 21.4
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.