Final Win Prob. pScore
1439%107
110
1061%111
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
114.69695.9
SAS logo Spurs
110.59595.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.110
105
Q4 - SpursSpurs offensive rebound110
105
Q4 - SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot110
105
Q4 - Spurs lineup change (Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)110
105
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo)110
105
Q4 - Spurs 60 second timeout110
105
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
105
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo)109
105
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
105
Q4 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge personal foul (Take) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)108
105
Q4 - Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)108
105
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters)108
105
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout108
105
Q4 - SpursMarco Belinelli personal foul (Take) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)108
105
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)108
105
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound108
105
Q4 - HeatDeMar DeRozan blocks Josh Richardson's two point jump shot108
105
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound108
105
Q4 - SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot108
105
Q4 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound108
105
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot108
105
Q4 - SpursRudy Gay makes two point floating jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)108
105
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)108
103
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot108
103
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)106
103
Q4 - Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)106
103
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)106
103
Q4 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes technical free throw 1 of 1106
103
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade technical foul106
102
Q4 - SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound106
102
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot106
102
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
102
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)106
101
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
101
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)106
100
Q4 - SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound106
100
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot106
100
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound106
100
Q4 - SpursRudy Gay misses two point jump shot106
100
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point reverse layup106
100
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound104
100
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot104
100
Q4 - SpursRudy Gay makes two point finger roll layup (Bryn Forbes assists)104
100
Q4 - SpursRudy Gay offensive rebound104
98
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot104
98
Q4 - SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound104
98
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot104
98
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson makes technical free throw 1 of 1104
98
Q4 - Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)103
98
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)103
98
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout103
98
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan technical foul103
98
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (James Johnson steals)103
98
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound103
98
Q4 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point floating jump shot103
98
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound103
98
Q4 - SpursJosh Richardson blocks Derrick White's two point finger roll layup103
98
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound103
98
Q4 - HeatRudy Gay blocks Josh Richardson's two point jump shot103
98
Q4 - SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)103
98
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)103
95
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound100
95
Q4 - SpursBryn Forbes misses two point driving layup100
95
Q4 - SpursDerrick White defensive rebound100
95
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot100
95
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound100
95
Q4 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot100
95
Q4 - SpursRudy Gay offensive rebound100
95
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point floating jump shot100
95
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound100
95
Q4 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point layup100
95
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)100
95
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout100
95
Q4 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)100
95
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)100
93
Q4 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound100
93
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point step back jump shot100
93
Q4 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
93
Q4 - Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge)100
92
Q4 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
92
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)100
91
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)100
91
Q4 - SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound100
91
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot100
91
Q4 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point layup (Rudy Gay assists)100
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop layup (James Johnson assists)100
89
Q4 - SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)98
89
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot98
86
Q4 - SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)96
86
Q4 - Spurs lineup change (Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)96
83
Q4 - Spurs 60 second timeout96
83
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup96
83
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound94
83
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot94
83
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound94
83
Q4 - SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point jump shot94
83
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Goran Dragic assists)94
83
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound92
83
Q4 - SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot92
83
Q4 - SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound92
83
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot92
83
Q4 - SpursMarco Belinelli makes two point layup (Patty Mills assists)92
83
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)92
81
Q4 - SpursMarco Belinelli makes three point jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)90
81
Q4 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound90
78
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot90
78
Q4 - Spurs lineup change (Bryn Forbes, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)90
78
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.90
78
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)90
78
Q3 - SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)87
78
Q3 - Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills)87
75
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (offensive foul)87
75
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade offensive foul (Charge) (Patty Mills draws the foul)87
75
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound87
75
Q3 - SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot87
75
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)87
75
Q3 - SpursSpurs defensive rebound87
75
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point step back jump shot87
75
Q3 - SpursMarco Belinelli makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)87
75
Q3 - SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound87
73
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot87
73
Q3 - SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)87
73
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)87
70
Q3 - SpursMarco Belinelli makes two point finger roll layup (Davis Bertans assists)84
70
Q3 - Spurs lineup change (Bryn Forbes, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)84
68
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside)84
68
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)84
68
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot84
68
Q3 - SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot81
68
Q3 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound81
66
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot81
66
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)81
66
Q3 - SpursDavis Bertans personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)81
66
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound81
66
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point layup81
66
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)81
66
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout81
66
Q3 - SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot81
66
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bam Adebayo assists)81
64
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound79
64
Q3 - SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot79
64
Q3 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound79
64
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot79
64
Q3 - SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 3 of 379
64
Q3 - Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)79
63
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)79
63
Q3 - SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 2 of 379
63
Q3 - SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 1 of 379
62
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)79
61
Q3 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound79
61
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot79
61
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
61
Q3 - SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point jump shot79
61
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point finger roll layup79
61
Q3 - Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)77
61
Q3 - SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)77
61
Q3 - SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound77
61
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot77
61
Q3 - SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point putback layup77
61
Q3 - SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound77
59
Q3 - SpursDavis Bertans misses two point jump shot77
59
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)77
59
Q3 - Spurs 60 second timeout77
59
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point layup77
59
Q3 - SpursMarco Belinelli turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)75
59
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point turnaround jump shot75
59
Q3 - SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)73
59
Q3 - SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound73
56
Q3 - SpursDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Marco Belinelli's three point jump shot73
56
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds bad pass)73
56
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
56
Q3 - SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot73
56
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
56
Q3 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound73
56
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point step back jump shot73
56
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound73
56
Q3 - SpursDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Patty Mills's three point jump shot73
56
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)73
56
Q3 - SpursDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)71
56
Q3 - Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills)71
53
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)71
53
Q3 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)71
53
Q3 - SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound71
53
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot71
53
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
53
Q3 - SpursDerrick White misses two point finger roll layup71
53
Q3 - Spurs 60 second timeout71
53
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)71
53
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
53
Q3 - SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot69
53
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot69
53
Q3 - SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 267
53
Q3 - SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 267
52
Q3 - HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)67
52
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot67
52
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound64
52
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot64
52
Q3 - SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Derrick White assists)64
52
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 264
50
Q3 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 263
50
Q3 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)62
50
Q3 - SpursBryn Forbes personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)62
50
Q3 - SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)62
50
Q3 - Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge)62
47
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)62
47
Q2 - End of 1st Half.62
47
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound62
47
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot62
47
Q2 - SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot62
47
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point jump shot62
45
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound60
45
Q2 - SpursDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot60
45
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point dunk60
45
Q2 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (lost ball) (James Johnson steals)58
45
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point step back jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)58
45
Q2 - SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)55
45
Q2 - SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound55
42
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 2 of 255
42
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 255
42
Q2 - SpursRudy Gay personal foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)55
42
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
42
Q2 - SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot55
42
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)55
42
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound52
42
Q2 - SpursRudy Gay misses two point driving layup52
42
Q2 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound52
42
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup52
42
Q2 - Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Davis Bertans, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)52
42
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout52
42
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
42
Q2 - SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 2 of 252
42
Q2 - SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 252
42
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)52
41
Q2 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound52
41
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot52
41
Q2 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 252
41
Q2 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 252
40
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)52
39
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)52
39
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo turnover (kicked ball violation)52
39
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound52
39
Q2 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot52
39
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point finger roll layup (Dion Waiters assists)52
39
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound50
39
Q2 - SpursRudy Gay misses two point turnaround jump shot50
39
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)50
39
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
39
Q2 - SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot47
39
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 3 of 347
39
Q2 - Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)46
39
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)46
39
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 346
39
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 345
39
Q2 - SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)45
39
Q2 - SpursBryn Forbes makes two point floating jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)45
39
Q2 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound45
37
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot45
37
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)45
37
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound45
37
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot45
37
Q2 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Derrick White assists)45
37
Q2 - Spurs 60 second timeout45
35
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)45
35
Q2 - SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 142
35
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)42
34
Q2 - SpursDerrick White makes two point driving layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)42
34
Q2 - SpursDerrick White offensive rebound42
32
Q2 - SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot42
32
Q2 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound42
32
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point finger roll layup42
32
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound42
32
Q2 - SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot42
32
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)42
32
Q2 - SpursRudy Gay makes regular free throw 2 of 239
32
Q2 - SpursRudy Gay misses regular free throw 1 of 239
31
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)39
31
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 239
31
Q2 - Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge)38
31
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)38
31
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 238
31
Q2 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)37
31
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound37
31
Q2 - SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot37
31
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup37
31
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound35
31
Q2 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot35
31
Q2 - Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, Bryn Forbes, Davis Bertans, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge)35
31
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (offensive foul)35
31
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)35
31
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound35
31
Q2 - SpursDavis Bertans misses regular free throw 2 of 235
31
Q2 - SpursDavis Bertans makes regular free throw 1 of 235
31
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Davis Bertans draws the foul)35
30
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 235
30
Q2 - Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, Davis Bertans, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, LaMarcus Aldridge)34
30
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 234
30
Q2 - SpursDavis Bertans shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)33
30
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound33
30
Q2 - SpursHassan Whiteside blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point driving layup33
30
Q2 - Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli)33
30
Q2 - Spurs 60 second timeout33
30
Q2 - HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)33
30
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound31
30
Q2 - SpursPatty Mills misses two point finger roll layup31
30
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)31
30
Q2 - SpursDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (Marco Belinelli assists)28
30
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point jump shot28
27
Q2 - SpursDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)26
27
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)26
24
Q2 - SpursDavis Bertans defensive rebound26
24
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot26
24
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound26
24
Q2 - SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point step back jump shot26
24
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)26
24
Q2 - SpursPatty Mills offensive rebound26
24
Q2 - SpursPatty Mills misses two point floating jump shot26
24
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
24
Q2 - SpursRudy Gay makes two point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)26
24
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)26
22
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 226
22
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 225
22
Q2 - SpursMarco Belinelli shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)24
22
Q2 - SpursDavis Bertans turnover (out of bounds lost ball)24
22
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
22
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.24
22
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound24
22
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot24
22
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound24
22
Q1 - SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot24
22
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)24
22
Q1 - SpursMarco Belinelli makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)24
22
Q1 - SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound24
19
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point step back jump shot24
19
Q1 - SpursMarco Belinelli makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)24
19
Q1 - SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound24
17
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot24
17
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound24
17
Q1 - SpursJakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 2 of 224
17
Q1 - SpursJakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 224
17
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)24
17
Q1 - SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound24
17
Q1 - SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot24
17
Q1 - Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, Davis Bertans, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills)24
17
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside)24
17
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Take) (Rudy Gay draws the foul)24
17
Q1 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound24
17
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point alley-oop layup24
17
Q1 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point putback layup24
17
Q1 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound24
15
Q1 - SpursPatty Mills misses two point finger roll layup24
15
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)24
15
Q1 - SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)21
15
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point jump shot21
12
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound19
12
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot19
12
Q1 - Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)19
12
Q1 - SpursRudy Gay makes two point driving dunk (Patty Mills assists)19
12
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup19
10
Q1 - SpursPatty Mills makes two point reverse layup17
10
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 217
8
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 216
8
Q1 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)16
8
Q1 - SpursDavis Bertans personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)16
8
Q1 - Spurs lineup change (Davis Bertans, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)16
8
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside)16
8
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout16
8
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound16
8
Q1 - SpursJosh Richardson blocks Derrick White's two point finger roll layup16
8
Q1 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound16
8
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot16
8
Q1 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point alley-oop layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)16
8
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)16
6
Q1 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound14
6
Q1 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point putback layup14
6
Q1 - SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point finger roll layup14
4
Q1 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound14
4
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot14
4
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
4
Q1 - SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot14
4
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)14
4
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
4
Q1 - SpursRudy Gay misses two point jump shot11
4
Q1 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound11
4
Q1 - HeatLaMarcus Aldridge blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup11
4
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound11
4
Q1 - SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot11
4
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)11
4
Q1 - Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge)11
4
Q1 - Spurs 60 second timeout11
4
Q1 - SpursDerrick White personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)11
4
Q1 - SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Derrick White assists)11
4
Q1 - SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound11
2
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point finger roll layup11
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
2
Q1 - SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot11
2
Q1 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound11
2
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot11
2
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound11
2
Q1 - SpursBryn Forbes misses two point jump shot11
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup11
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
2
Q1 - SpursDerrick White misses two point finger roll layup9
2
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)9
2
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)9
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
2
Q1 - SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point putback layup9
2
Q1 - SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound9
2
Q1 - SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point hook shot9
2
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)9
2
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point driving layup6
2
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)6
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot6
2
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)6
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound3
2
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot3
2
Q1 - SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot3
2
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)3
0
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)3
0
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
0
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - SpursBryn Forbes misses two point floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot0
0
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - SpursDerrick White misses two point floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - Bam Adebayo vs. Jakob Poeltl (Kelly Olynyk gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, LaMarcus Aldridge)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.3%
SAS
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
21
71%
SAS
13
27
48%
Midrange
MIA
9
30
30%
SAS
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
35
46%
69%
SAS
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
SAS
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2279%11.0 / 14
D. Waiters1869%9.0 / 13
J. Richardson1547%7.5 / 16
J. Johnson1381%6.5 / 8
H. Whiteside1267%6.0 / 9
D. Wade1142%5.5 / 13
K. Olynyk867%4.0 / 6
B. Adebayo675%3.0 / 4
D. Jones531%2.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge1771%8.5 / 12
P. Mills1765%8.5 / 13
M. Belinelli1765%8.5 / 13
D. DeRozan1657%8.0 / 14
R. Gay1558%7.5 / 13
D. Bertans1056%5.0 / 9
B. Forbes850%4.0 / 8
D. White319%1.5 / 8
J. Poeltl233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+10
-10
96
SAS
87
+11
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.3%
SAS
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
112.6
MIA 114.6 +4.1
SAS 110.5
Pace
98.1
98.6
MIA 95.9 +0.9
SAS 95.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.0
MIA 15.0 −0.1
SAS 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
53.4%
MIA 55.8% +4.7%
SAS 51.1%
TO %
14.3%
11.9%
MIA 9.6%
SAS 7.6% −2.0%
ORB %
24.8%
20.9%
MIA 14.3%
SAS 19.2% +4.9%
FTrt
24.7
23.7
MIA 20.9
SAS 23.9 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
58.0%
MIA 57.5%
SAS 78.9% +21.4%
STL %
7.8%
6.2%
MIA 6.3% +4.2%
SAS 2.1%
BLK %
10.2%
8.3%
MIA 9.3% +3.4%
SAS 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
56.0%
MIA 57.3% +4.3%
SAS 53.0%
Rim FG%
60.8%
62.7%
MIA 71.4% +23.3%
SAS 48.1%
Mid FG%
36.8%
44.0%
MIA 30.0%
SAS 40.7% +10.7%
3P %
34.9%
39.2%
MIA 45.7% +4.5%
SAS 41.2%
FT %
69.5%
81.8%
MIA 77.8% +6.4%
SAS 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
27.8%
MIA 24.4%
SAS 30.7% +6.3%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
43.7%
MIA 34.9%
SAS 30.7% −4.2%
3P Att. %
36.8%
28.6%
MIA 40.7% +2.1%
SAS 38.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points110105
Rebounds4846
Assists2330
Steals62
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)8 (0)
Fouls2113
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (0)36 (1)
Field Goals40-8638-88
At-the-Rim FG15-2113-27
Midrange FG9-3011-27
2-Point FG24-5124-54
3-Point FG16-3514-34
Free Throws14-1815-21
Fast Break Pts1610
2nd Chance Pts1214
Points in Paint4434
Pts off Turnovers1211
Bench Points5859
Biggest Lead182

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 26
39.4
15
47%
5
4
1
2
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
2-6
33%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
32.5
18
69%
5
4
0
0
3
1
0
5
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
31.5
5
31%
3
0
0
2
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
28.9
6
75%
15
5
2
0
2
1
2
13
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
19.1
8
67%
4
2
0
0
0
3
2
2
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
26.9
13
81%
5
4
2
0
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
22.4
22
79%
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
20.2
11
42%
2
0
1
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-11
36%
1-2
50%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
19.0
12
67%
7
2
0
1
0
3
1
6
6-6
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left knee soreness
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right thigh bruise
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
57%
48
23
6
5
10
21
6
42
14-18
78%
24-51
47%
16-35
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.