Final Win Prob. pScore
1439%107
110
1061%111
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
114.69695.9
SAS logo Spurs
110.59595.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
105
Q4 - 0:00.0SpursSpurs offensive rebound110
105
Q4 - 0:00.0SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot110
105
Q4 - 0:04.0Spurs lineup change (Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)110
105
Q4 - 0:04.0Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo)110
105
Q4 - 0:04.0Spurs 60 second timeout110
105
Q4 - 0:04.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
105
Q4 - 0:04.0Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Dwyane Wade, Bam Adebayo)109
105
Q4 - 0:04.0HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
105
Q4 - 0:04.0SpursLaMarcus Aldridge personal foul (Take) (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)108
105
Q4 - 0:08.0Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)108
105
Q4 - 0:08.0Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters)108
105
Q4 - 0:08.0Heat 60 second timeout108
105
Q4 - 0:08.0SpursMarco Belinelli personal foul (Take) (Josh Richardson draws the foul)108
105
Q4 - 0:09.0SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (Dwyane Wade steals)108
105
Q4 - 0:10.0SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound108
105
Q4 - 0:13.0HeatDeMar DeRozan blocks Josh Richardson's two point jump shot108
105
Q4 - 0:32.0HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound108
105
Q4 - 0:38.0SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot108
105
Q4 - 0:46.0SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound108
105
Q4 - 0:49.0HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot108
105
Q4 - 1:07SpursRudy Gay makes two point floating jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)108
105
Q4 - 1:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)108
103
Q4 - 1:23HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot108
103
Q4 - 1:45SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)106
103
Q4 - 2:05Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)106
103
Q4 - 2:05Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)106
103
Q4 - 2:05SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes technical free throw 1 of 1106
103
Q4 - 2:05HeatDwyane Wade technical foul106
102
Q4 - 2:05SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound106
102
Q4 - 2:05HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot106
102
Q4 - 2:28SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
102
Q4 - 2:28Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)106
101
Q4 - 2:28SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
101
Q4 - 2:28HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)106
100
Q4 - 2:34SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound106
100
Q4 - 2:36HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot106
100
Q4 - 2:56HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound106
100
Q4 - 2:56SpursRudy Gay misses two point jump shot106
100
Q4 - 3:14HeatGoran Dragic makes two point reverse layup106
100
Q4 - 3:15HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound104
100
Q4 - 3:18HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot104
100
Q4 - 3:35SpursRudy Gay makes two point finger roll layup (Bryn Forbes assists)104
100
Q4 - 3:48SpursRudy Gay offensive rebound104
98
Q4 - 3:51SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point jump shot104
98
Q4 - 3:57SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound104
98
Q4 - 4:02HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot104
98
Q4 - 4:12HeatJosh Richardson makes technical free throw 1 of 1104
98
Q4 - 4:12Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)103
98
Q4 - 4:12Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)103
98
Q4 - 4:12Heat 60 second timeout103
98
Q4 - 4:12SpursDeMar DeRozan technical foul103
98
Q4 - 4:13SpursDeMar DeRozan turnover (lost ball) (James Johnson steals)103
98
Q4 - 4:22SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound103
98
Q4 - 4:26HeatJosh Richardson misses two point floating jump shot103
98
Q4 - 4:37HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound103
98
Q4 - 4:37SpursJosh Richardson blocks Derrick White's two point finger roll layup103
98
Q4 - 4:42SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound103
98
Q4 - 4:46HeatRudy Gay blocks Josh Richardson's two point jump shot103
98
Q4 - 5:13SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)103
98
Q4 - 5:31HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)103
95
Q4 - 5:46HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound100
95
Q4 - 5:50SpursBryn Forbes misses two point driving layup100
95
Q4 - 6:04SpursDerrick White defensive rebound100
95
Q4 - 6:04HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot100
95
Q4 - 6:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound100
95
Q4 - 6:22SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot100
95
Q4 - 6:28SpursRudy Gay offensive rebound100
95
Q4 - 6:31SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point floating jump shot100
95
Q4 - 6:37SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound100
95
Q4 - 6:41HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point layup100
95
Q4 - 7:06Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)100
95
Q4 - 7:06Heat 60 second timeout100
95
Q4 - 7:07SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)100
95
Q4 - 7:20HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)100
93
Q4 - 7:28SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound100
93
Q4 - 7:32HeatGoran Dragic misses three point step back jump shot100
93
Q4 - 7:53SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
93
Q4 - 7:53Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge)100
92
Q4 - 7:53SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
92
Q4 - 7:53HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)100
91
Q4 - 8:02HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)100
91
Q4 - 8:09SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound100
91
Q4 - 8:12HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot100
91
Q4 - 8:35SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point layup (Rudy Gay assists)100
91
Q4 - 8:52HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point alley-oop layup (James Johnson assists)100
89
Q4 - 9:10SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)98
89
Q4 - 9:19HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot98
86
Q4 - 9:37SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)96
86
Q4 - 9:50Spurs lineup change (Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)96
83
Q4 - 9:50Spurs 60 second timeout96
83
Q4 - 9:50HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point putback layup96
83
Q4 - 9:50HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound94
83
Q4 - 9:53HeatDwyane Wade misses two point floating jump shot94
83
Q4 - 9:59HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound94
83
Q4 - 10:03SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point jump shot94
83
Q4 - 10:19HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point dunk (Goran Dragic assists)94
83
Q4 - 10:28HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound92
83
Q4 - 10:31SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot92
83
Q4 - 10:35SpursMarco Belinelli defensive rebound92
83
Q4 - 10:39HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround hook shot92
83
Q4 - 11:02SpursMarco Belinelli makes two point layup (Patty Mills assists)92
83
Q4 - 11:08HeatJames Johnson makes two point layup (Josh Richardson assists)92
81
Q4 - 11:24SpursMarco Belinelli makes three point jump shot (LaMarcus Aldridge assists)90
81
Q4 - 11:31SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound90
78
Q4 - 11:36HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot90
78
Q4 - 12:00Spurs lineup change (Bryn Forbes, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)90
78
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.90
78
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatDwyane Wade makes three point jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)90
78
Q3 - 0:04.0SpursBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)87
78
Q3 - 0:24.0Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills)87
75
Q3 - 0:24.0HeatDwyane Wade turnover (offensive foul)87
75
Q3 - 0:24.0HeatDwyane Wade offensive foul (Charge) (Patty Mills draws the foul)87
75
Q3 - 0:34.0HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound87
75
Q3 - 0:38.0SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot87
75
Q3 - 0:40.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)87
75
Q3 - 0:40.0SpursSpurs defensive rebound87
75
Q3 - 0:43.0HeatGoran Dragic misses three point step back jump shot87
75
Q3 - 0:57.0SpursMarco Belinelli makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)87
75
Q3 - 1:02SpursPatty Mills defensive rebound87
73
Q3 - 1:05HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot87
73
Q3 - 1:31SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Bryn Forbes assists)87
73
Q3 - 1:42HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)87
70
Q3 - 1:59SpursMarco Belinelli makes two point finger roll layup (Davis Bertans assists)84
70
Q3 - 2:10Spurs lineup change (Bryn Forbes, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)84
68
Q3 - 2:10Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside)84
68
Q3 - 2:10HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)84
68
Q3 - 2:33HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot84
68
Q3 - 2:53SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot81
68
Q3 - 3:04SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound81
66
Q3 - 3:07HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot81
66
Q3 - 3:18Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)81
66
Q3 - 3:18SpursDavis Bertans personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)81
66
Q3 - 3:18HeatHeat offensive rebound81
66
Q3 - 3:18HeatDwyane Wade misses two point layup81
66
Q3 - 3:31Heat lineup change (Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)81
66
Q3 - 3:31Heat 60 second timeout81
66
Q3 - 3:31SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot81
66
Q3 - 3:40HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bam Adebayo assists)81
64
Q3 - 3:54HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound79
64
Q3 - 3:56SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot79
64
Q3 - 4:07SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound79
64
Q3 - 4:11HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot79
64
Q3 - 4:26SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 3 of 379
64
Q3 - 4:26Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)79
63
Q3 - 4:26Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk, Dwyane Wade, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)79
63
Q3 - 4:26SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 2 of 379
63
Q3 - 4:26SpursMarco Belinelli makes regular free throw 1 of 379
62
Q3 - 4:26HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)79
61
Q3 - 4:28SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound79
61
Q3 - 4:32HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot79
61
Q3 - 4:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
61
Q3 - 4:51SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point jump shot79
61
Q3 - 5:02HeatDion Waiters makes two point finger roll layup79
61
Q3 - 5:12Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)77
61
Q3 - 5:12SpursJakob Poeltl turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)77
61
Q3 - 5:12SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound77
61
Q3 - 5:18HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot77
61
Q3 - 5:30SpursJakob Poeltl makes two point putback layup77
61
Q3 - 5:30SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound77
59
Q3 - 5:36SpursDavis Bertans misses two point jump shot77
59
Q3 - 5:40HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)77
59
Q3 - 5:52Spurs 60 second timeout77
59
Q3 - 5:52HeatJosh Richardson makes two point layup77
59
Q3 - 5:53SpursMarco Belinelli turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)75
59
Q3 - 6:03HeatJosh Richardson makes two point turnaround jump shot75
59
Q3 - 6:15SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)73
59
Q3 - 6:19SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound73
56
Q3 - 6:24SpursDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Marco Belinelli's three point jump shot73
56
Q3 - 6:41HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds bad pass)73
56
Q3 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
56
Q3 - 6:49SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot73
56
Q3 - 6:59Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
56
Q3 - 7:05SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound73
56
Q3 - 7:09HeatDion Waiters misses two point step back jump shot73
56
Q3 - 7:30HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound73
56
Q3 - 7:30SpursDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Patty Mills's three point jump shot73
56
Q3 - 7:42HeatJosh Richardson makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)73
56
Q3 - 8:03SpursDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)71
56
Q3 - 8:24Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, DeMar DeRozan, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills)71
53
Q3 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)71
53
Q3 - 8:32SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)71
53
Q3 - 8:42SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound71
53
Q3 - 8:45HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot71
53
Q3 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
53
Q3 - 9:02SpursDerrick White misses two point finger roll layup71
53
Q3 - 9:20Spurs 60 second timeout71
53
Q3 - 9:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Richardson assists)71
53
Q3 - 9:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
53
Q3 - 9:33SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot69
53
Q3 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot69
53
Q3 - 10:08SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 267
53
Q3 - 10:08SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 267
52
Q3 - 10:08HeatJosh Richardson shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)67
52
Q3 - 10:18HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot67
52
Q3 - 10:31HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound64
52
Q3 - 10:35HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot64
52
Q3 - 10:56SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Derrick White assists)64
52
Q3 - 11:11HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 264
50
Q3 - 11:11HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 263
50
Q3 - 11:11SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)62
50
Q3 - 11:23SpursBryn Forbes personal foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)62
50
Q3 - 11:36SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)62
50
Q3 - 12:00Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge)62
47
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)62
47
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.62
47
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound62
47
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot62
47
Q2 - 0:04.0SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot62
47
Q2 - 0:14.0HeatDion Waiters makes two point jump shot62
45
Q2 - 0:31.0HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound60
45
Q2 - 0:35.0SpursDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot60
45
Q2 - 1:01HeatJames Johnson makes two point dunk60
45
Q2 - 1:05SpursLaMarcus Aldridge turnover (lost ball) (James Johnson steals)58
45
Q2 - 1:26HeatJosh Richardson makes three point step back jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)58
45
Q2 - 1:49SpursPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)55
45
Q2 - 2:05SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound55
42
Q2 - 2:08HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 2 of 255
42
Q2 - 2:08HeatDion Waiters misses regular free throw 1 of 255
42
Q2 - 2:08SpursRudy Gay personal foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)55
42
Q2 - 2:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
42
Q2 - 2:23SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot55
42
Q2 - 2:41HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)55
42
Q2 - 2:44HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound52
42
Q2 - 2:46SpursRudy Gay misses two point driving layup52
42
Q2 - 2:53SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound52
42
Q2 - 2:57HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup52
42
Q2 - 3:10Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Davis Bertans, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)52
42
Q2 - 3:10Heat 60 second timeout52
42
Q2 - 3:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
42
Q2 - 3:13SpursDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 2 of 252
42
Q2 - 3:13SpursDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 252
42
Q2 - 3:13HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)52
41
Q2 - 3:21SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound52
41
Q2 - 3:24HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot52
41
Q2 - 3:34SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 2 of 252
41
Q2 - 3:34SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes regular free throw 1 of 252
40
Q2 - 3:34HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (LaMarcus Aldridge draws the foul)52
39
Q2 - 3:45Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)52
39
Q2 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo turnover (kicked ball violation)52
39
Q2 - 3:47HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound52
39
Q2 - 3:50SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot52
39
Q2 - 4:11HeatGoran Dragic makes two point finger roll layup (Dion Waiters assists)52
39
Q2 - 4:21HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound50
39
Q2 - 4:23SpursRudy Gay misses two point turnaround jump shot50
39
Q2 - 4:45HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)50
39
Q2 - 4:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
39
Q2 - 4:56SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot47
39
Q2 - 5:09HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 3 of 347
39
Q2 - 5:09Spurs lineup change (DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)46
39
Q2 - 5:09Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)46
39
Q2 - 5:09HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 346
39
Q2 - 5:09HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 345
39
Q2 - 5:09SpursDerrick White shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)45
39
Q2 - 5:17SpursBryn Forbes makes two point floating jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)45
39
Q2 - 5:28SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound45
37
Q2 - 5:32HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot45
37
Q2 - 5:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)45
37
Q2 - 5:42HeatHeat offensive rebound45
37
Q2 - 5:47HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot45
37
Q2 - 6:07SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point jump shot (Derrick White assists)45
37
Q2 - 6:26Spurs 60 second timeout45
35
Q2 - 6:30HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)45
35
Q2 - 6:39SpursDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 142
35
Q2 - 6:39HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)42
34
Q2 - 6:39SpursDerrick White makes two point driving layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)42
34
Q2 - 6:46SpursDerrick White offensive rebound42
32
Q2 - 6:50SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot42
32
Q2 - 6:54SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound42
32
Q2 - 6:56HeatDion Waiters misses two point finger roll layup42
32
Q2 - 7:04HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound42
32
Q2 - 7:04SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot42
32
Q2 - 7:21HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)42
32
Q2 - 7:28SpursRudy Gay makes regular free throw 2 of 239
32
Q2 - 7:28SpursRudy Gay misses regular free throw 1 of 239
31
Q2 - 7:28HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Rudy Gay draws the foul)39
31
Q2 - 7:34HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 239
31
Q2 - 7:34Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge)38
31
Q2 - 7:34Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside)38
31
Q2 - 7:34HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 238
31
Q2 - 7:34SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)37
31
Q2 - 7:42HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound37
31
Q2 - 7:48SpursDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot37
31
Q2 - 7:57HeatDwyane Wade makes two point driving layup37
31
Q2 - 8:05HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound35
31
Q2 - 8:08SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot35
31
Q2 - 8:23Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, Bryn Forbes, Davis Bertans, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge)35
31
Q2 - 8:23HeatJames Johnson turnover (offensive foul)35
31
Q2 - 8:23HeatJames Johnson offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)35
31
Q2 - 8:32HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound35
31
Q2 - 8:34SpursDavis Bertans misses regular free throw 2 of 235
31
Q2 - 8:34SpursDavis Bertans makes regular free throw 1 of 235
31
Q2 - 8:34HeatDwyane Wade shooting foul (Davis Bertans draws the foul)35
30
Q2 - 8:44HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 235
30
Q2 - 8:44Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, Davis Bertans, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, LaMarcus Aldridge)34
30
Q2 - 8:44HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 234
30
Q2 - 8:44SpursDavis Bertans shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)33
30
Q2 - 8:44HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound33
30
Q2 - 8:48SpursHassan Whiteside blocks DeMar DeRozan's two point driving layup33
30
Q2 - 9:08Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Davis Bertans, Marco Belinelli)33
30
Q2 - 9:08Spurs 60 second timeout33
30
Q2 - 9:11HeatJosh Richardson makes two point jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)33
30
Q2 - 9:26HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound31
30
Q2 - 9:26SpursPatty Mills misses two point finger roll layup31
30
Q2 - 9:43HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)31
30
Q2 - 9:54SpursDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (Marco Belinelli assists)28
30
Q2 - 10:07HeatGoran Dragic makes two point jump shot28
27
Q2 - 10:21SpursDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)26
27
Q2 - 10:29HeatHassan Whiteside personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)26
24
Q2 - 10:31SpursDavis Bertans defensive rebound26
24
Q2 - 10:35HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot26
24
Q2 - 10:43HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound26
24
Q2 - 10:46SpursMarco Belinelli misses two point step back jump shot26
24
Q2 - 10:50HeatJames Johnson personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)26
24
Q2 - 10:50SpursPatty Mills offensive rebound26
24
Q2 - 10:53SpursPatty Mills misses two point floating jump shot26
24
Q2 - 10:58HeatDwyane Wade turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
24
Q2 - 11:13SpursRudy Gay makes two point jump shot (Jakob Poeltl assists)26
24
Q2 - 11:19Stoppage (Out of bounds)26
22
Q2 - 11:30HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 2 of 226
22
Q2 - 11:30HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 225
22
Q2 - 11:30SpursMarco Belinelli shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)24
22
Q2 - 11:45SpursDavis Bertans turnover (out of bounds lost ball)24
22
Q2 - 11:47Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
22
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
22
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound24
22
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot24
22
Q1 - 0:03.0HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound24
22
Q1 - 0:03.0SpursMarco Belinelli misses three point jump shot24
22
Q1 - 0:19.0HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)24
22
Q1 - 0:34.0SpursMarco Belinelli makes three point jump shot (Rudy Gay assists)24
22
Q1 - 0:39.0SpursRudy Gay defensive rebound24
19
Q1 - 0:39.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point step back jump shot24
19
Q1 - 0:45.0SpursMarco Belinelli makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)24
19
Q1 - 0:50.0SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound24
17
Q1 - 0:53.0HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot24
17
Q1 - 1:04HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound24
17
Q1 - 1:07SpursJakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 2 of 224
17
Q1 - 1:07SpursJakob Poeltl misses regular free throw 1 of 224
17
Q1 - 1:07HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Jakob Poeltl draws the foul)24
17
Q1 - 1:07SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound24
17
Q1 - 1:09SpursPatty Mills misses three point jump shot24
17
Q1 - 1:27Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, Davis Bertans, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills)24
17
Q1 - 1:27Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Goran Dragic, James Johnson, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside)24
17
Q1 - 1:27HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Take) (Rudy Gay draws the foul)24
17
Q1 - 1:27SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound24
17
Q1 - 1:29HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point alley-oop layup24
17
Q1 - 1:32SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point putback layup24
17
Q1 - 1:39SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound24
15
Q1 - 1:39SpursPatty Mills misses two point finger roll layup24
15
Q1 - 1:53HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)24
15
Q1 - 2:16SpursRudy Gay makes three point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)21
15
Q1 - 2:32HeatGoran Dragic makes two point jump shot21
12
Q1 - 2:44HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound19
12
Q1 - 2:44HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point jump shot19
12
Q1 - 2:58Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)19
12
Q1 - 2:59SpursRudy Gay makes two point driving dunk (Patty Mills assists)19
12
Q1 - 3:06HeatDwyane Wade makes two point layup19
10
Q1 - 3:22SpursPatty Mills makes two point reverse layup17
10
Q1 - 3:36HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 217
8
Q1 - 3:36HeatKelly Olynyk misses regular free throw 1 of 216
8
Q1 - 3:36SpursLaMarcus Aldridge shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)16
8
Q1 - 3:49SpursDavis Bertans personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)16
8
Q1 - 3:56Spurs lineup change (Davis Bertans, Rudy Gay, Marco Belinelli, Patty Mills, LaMarcus Aldridge)16
8
Q1 - 3:56Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Dwyane Wade, Hassan Whiteside)16
8
Q1 - 3:56Heat 60 second timeout16
8
Q1 - 3:58HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound16
8
Q1 - 4:02SpursJosh Richardson blocks Derrick White's two point finger roll layup16
8
Q1 - 4:12SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound16
8
Q1 - 4:17HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot16
8
Q1 - 4:25SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point alley-oop layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)16
8
Q1 - 4:45HeatDion Waiters makes two point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)16
6
Q1 - 5:02SpursLaMarcus Aldridge offensive rebound14
6
Q1 - 5:02SpursLaMarcus Aldridge makes two point putback layup14
6
Q1 - 5:10SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point finger roll layup14
4
Q1 - 5:15SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound14
4
Q1 - 5:18HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot14
4
Q1 - 5:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
4
Q1 - 5:30SpursBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot14
4
Q1 - 5:48HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)14
4
Q1 - 5:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
4
Q1 - 5:58SpursRudy Gay misses two point jump shot11
4
Q1 - 6:12SpursLaMarcus Aldridge defensive rebound11
4
Q1 - 6:16HeatLaMarcus Aldridge blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup11
4
Q1 - 6:29HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound11
4
Q1 - 6:33SpursRudy Gay misses three point jump shot11
4
Q1 - 6:44HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)11
4
Q1 - 6:51Spurs lineup change (Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, Rudy Gay, LaMarcus Aldridge)11
4
Q1 - 6:51Spurs 60 second timeout11
4
Q1 - 6:51SpursDerrick White personal foul (Josh Richardson draws the foul)11
4
Q1 - 7:03SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Derrick White assists)11
4
Q1 - 7:11SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound11
2
Q1 - 7:16HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point finger roll layup11
2
Q1 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
2
Q1 - 7:25SpursDerrick White misses three point jump shot11
2
Q1 - 7:37SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound11
2
Q1 - 7:39HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot11
2
Q1 - 7:57HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound11
2
Q1 - 7:57SpursBryn Forbes misses two point jump shot11
2
Q1 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup11
2
Q1 - 8:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
2
Q1 - 8:18SpursDerrick White misses two point finger roll layup9
2
Q1 - 8:40HeatJosh Richardson turnover (offensive foul)9
2
Q1 - 8:40HeatJosh Richardson offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)9
2
Q1 - 8:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
2
Q1 - 8:41SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point putback layup9
2
Q1 - 8:48SpursJakob Poeltl offensive rebound9
2
Q1 - 8:48SpursJakob Poeltl misses two point hook shot9
2
Q1 - 9:00HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Josh Richardson assists)9
2
Q1 - 9:06HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - 9:11SpursDeMar DeRozan misses two point driving layup6
2
Q1 - 9:17HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (DeMar DeRozan steals)6
2
Q1 - 9:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - 9:28SpursLaMarcus Aldridge misses two point jump shot6
2
Q1 - 9:48HeatJosh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)6
2
Q1 - 9:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound3
2
Q1 - 9:58HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot3
2
Q1 - 10:15SpursDeMar DeRozan makes two point floating jump shot3
2
Q1 - 10:22HeatDion Waiters personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)3
0
Q1 - 10:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)3
0
Q1 - 10:33HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
0
Q1 - 10:46HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:48SpursBryn Forbes misses two point floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:00SpursJakob Poeltl defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:04HeatJosh Richardson misses two point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:11HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:15HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:28HeatJosh Richardson defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:32SpursDerrick White misses two point floating jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:42SpursDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:47HeatJosh Richardson misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Jakob Poeltl (Kelly Olynyk gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Spurs lineup change (Jakob Poeltl, Derrick White, DeMar DeRozan, Bryn Forbes, LaMarcus Aldridge)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Josh Richardson, Kelly Olynyk, Dion Waiters, Bam Adebayo)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIASAS
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.3%
SAS
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
19
74%
SAS
13
26
50%
Midrange
MIA
10
32
31%
SAS
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
35
46%
69%
SAS
14
21.0
34
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
SAS
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2279%11.0 / 14
D. Waiters1860%9.0 / 15
J. Richardson1547%7.5 / 16
J. Johnson1381%6.5 / 8
H. Whiteside1267%6.0 / 9
D. Wade1142%5.5 / 13
K. Olynyk857%4.0 / 7
B. Adebayo675%3.0 / 4
D. Jones531%2.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge1771%8.5 / 12
P. Mills1765%8.5 / 13
M. Belinelli1765%8.5 / 13
D. DeRozan1653%8.0 / 15
R. Gay1554%7.5 / 14
D. Bertans1056%5.0 / 9
B. Forbes844%4.0 / 9
D. White319%1.5 / 8
J. Poeltl225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+10
-10
96
SAS
87
+11
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.15 57.3%
SAS
1.06 53.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
25
107.5
7
112.6
MIA 114.6 +4.1
SAS 110.5
Pace
25
98.1
22
98.6
MIA 95.9 +0.0
SAS 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time
5
15.0
6
15.0
MIA 15.0 −0.0
SAS 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
21
51.5%
6
53.4%
MIA 55.8% +4.7%
SAS 51.1%
TO %
26
14.3%
2
11.9%
MIA 9.6%
SAS 7.6% −2.0%
ORB %
5
24.8%
26
20.9%
MIA 14.3%
SAS 19.2% +4.9%
FTrt
20
24.7
24
23.7
MIA 20.9
SAS 23.9 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
12
61.2%
22
58.0%
MIA 57.5%
SAS 78.9% +21.4%
STL %
14
7.8%
30
6.2%
MIA 6.3% +4.2%
SAS 2.1%
BLK %
4
10.2%
21
8.3%
MIA 9.3% +3.4%
SAS 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
28
52.9%
7
56.0%
MIA 57.3% +4.3%
SAS 53.0%
Rim FG%
14
60.8%
5
62.7%
MIA 73.7% +23.7%
SAS 50.0%
Mid FG%
30
36.8%
2
44.0%
MIA 31.3%
SAS 39.3% +8.0%
3P %
21
34.9%
1
39.2%
MIA 45.7% +4.5%
SAS 41.2%
FT %
30
69.5%
1
81.8%
MIA 77.8% +6.4%
SAS 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
14
37.3%
30
27.8%
MIA 22.1%
SAS 29.5% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
12
25.9%
30
43.7%
MIA 37.2%
SAS 31.8% −5.4%
3P Att. %
13
36.8%
30
28.6%
MIA 40.7% +2.1%
SAS 38.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.
Game TotalsMIASAS
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes24.023.8
Points110105
Rebounds4846
Assists2330
Steals62
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)8 (0)
Fouls2113
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (0)36 (1)
Field Goals40-8638-88
At-the-Rim FG14-1913-26
Midrange FG10-3211-28
2-Point FG24-5124-54
3-Point FG16-3514-34
Free Throws14-1815-21
Fast Break Pts1610
2nd Chance Pts1214
Points in Paint4434
Pts off Turnovers1211
Bench Points5859
Biggest Lead182

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 26
39.4
15
47%
5
4
1
2
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
2-6
33%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
32.5
18
60%
5
4
0
0
3
1
0
5
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
4-9
44%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
31.5
5
31%
3
0
0
2
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-4
25%
#13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 22
28.9
6
75%
15
5
2
0
2
1
2
13
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
19.1
8
57%
4
2
0
0
0
3
2
2
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
26.9
13
81%
5
4
2
0
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
22.4
22
79%
2
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
20.2
11
42%
2
0
1
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-11
36%
1-2
50%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
19.0
12
67%
7
2
0
1
0
3
1
6
6-6
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 25
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left knee soreness
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right thigh bruise
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
57%
48
23
6
5
10
21
6
42
14-18
78%
24-51
47%
16-35
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.