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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 23, 2019
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Suns24%109103
13Kings76%119112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 22.4
39.0
33.6
32
51%
2
10
2
1
0
3
0
2
10-10
100%
8-16
7-14
50%
49%
2-11
18%
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 21.3
35.7
26.3
4
33%
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-3
0%
Mikal Bridges
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 22.6
34.1
35.5
11
61%
4
4
3
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
56%
1-3
33%
Deandre Ayton
F-C · 7'1" 250 · 20.7
29.4
27.0
19
53%
11
0
1
1
1
3
6
5
1-4
25%
9-16
7-12
56%
58%
0-0
-
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.8
21.6
18.4
3
75%
3
3
1
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-2
50%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.7
24.5
16.9
16
67%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
4-10
40%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
19.6
15.0
14
56%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
8-8
100%
3-9
3-5
33%
60%
0-0
-
Elie Okobo
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
19.5
2.8
3
30%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Ray Spalding
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.0
12.2
7.0
1
17%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.1
4.3
0.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 39.0
15.9
0
1-3
45%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 26.9
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.1
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.3
George King
F · 6'6" 218 · 25.2
T.J. Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 25.3
36.0
32.0
25
63%
7
2
1
1
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
2-6
5-9
33%
51%
7-14
50%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.9
35.6
24.6
13
60%
17
5
1
1
1
1
4
13
1-2
50%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
2-5
40%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
34.9
32.3
25
74%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
51%
5-8
63%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.3
33.8
31.1
13
42%
4
9
1
2
0
4
0
4
7-8
88%
3-10
5-10
30%
51%
0-2
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.6
17.7
25.8
3
80%
0
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
4-7
100%
57%
0-0
-
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.0
29.4
25.2
16
50%
11
1
2
1
0
2
3
8
6-7
86%
5-12
6-10
42%
59%
0-1
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
22.1
20.8
6
27%
0
3
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
2-7
29%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 33.0
13.1
11.9
7
81%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
55%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.1
12.8
3.2
4
40%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
56%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.9
4.7
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 27.7
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 25.0
3.5
0
0-1
47%
Cody Demps
F · 6'4" 195 · 25.3
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 24.2
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.