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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 29, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Nuggets38%110115
9Thunder62%114105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
34
28
23
16
3
1
1
0
2
2
14
2-2
100%
9-13
7-12
69%
55%
1-3
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
34
29
27
5
9
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
8-11
4-9
73%
48%
3-9
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
31
29
8
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
27
28
14
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
50%
2-2
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
24
28
12
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
2-3
67%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
23
22
11
5
3
0
1
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
5-5
3-5
100%
57%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
22
12
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
2-3
67%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
20
24
4
1
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-3
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
13
20
7
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
12
9
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
10
0
1-1
53%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
5
0
1-1
48%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
4
0
1-1
47%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.5
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.1
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.7
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.9
40
36
25
9
4
0
2
0
4
1
8
3-5
60%
8-15
5-10
53%
50%
2-7
29%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
36
34
27
9
9
2
2
0
3
3
6
4-5
80%
10-17
6-12
59%
50%
1-5
20%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
35
32
16
5
2
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-1
0%
8-12
6-9
67%
61%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.0
32
32
10
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
57%
2-4
50%
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 20.9
31
34
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
57%
0-1
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 25.5
25
27
9
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
1-2
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.6
15
11
3
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
1-4
25%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.0
13
10
8
7
0
0
1
2
0
5
2
0-1
0%
4-4
1-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
12
13
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 25.2
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 34.8
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 20.7
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 30.0
3
0
0-0
48%
Jawun Evans
G · 6'0" 190 · 22.7
Donte Grantham
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.0
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.