Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat30%103105
5Celtics70%111110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 28.0
39.6
27.3
14
57%
6
1
2
1
1
3
0
6
3-3
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
58%
3-10
30%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 32.9
38.9
31.8
30
70%
1
5
5
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
9-11
4-9
82%
49%
3-9
33%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.3
37.3
31.7
14
47%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
2-8
25%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 21.7
30.7
27.4
19
74%
14
2
0
1
2
0
4
10
2-2
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
56%
1-1
100%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 22.1
17.4
20.9
1
27%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
55%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 37.2
29.4
26.3
17
49%
5
7
1
1
0
3
2
3
1-1
100%
8-14
5-11
57%
47%
0-3
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.1
23.2
23.7
7
38%
4
6
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
1-4
2-4
25%
53%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.8
17.4
18.2
3
31%
10
2
0
0
2
0
2
8
1-2
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
56%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 30.9
6.2
4.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 25.5
17.3
1
2-3
47%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.9
10.4
0
0-1
49%
Yante Maten
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.6
4.2
0
0-1
47%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 38.8
1.9
0
0-0
47%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.0
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.8
34.1
30.6
19
63%
11
10
1
1
0
1
4
7
5-5
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
57%
0-1
0%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.1
33.5
28.6
19
60%
6
5
1
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
4-7
57%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 27.0
32.5
32.9
25
58%
8
3
2
1
0
6
1
7
6-6
100%
2-8
7-12
25%
54%
5-11
45%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.1
26.4
26.1
16
73%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
4-8
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 32.3
25.2
22.2
4
23%
11
0
0
0
1
1
3
8
4-4
100%
0-6
2-4
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.0
29.0
24.9
11
70%
4
1
2
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
1-3
33%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
24.4
26.2
8
36%
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
2-5
40%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.0
20.1
22.6
5
43%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 27.0
6.4
12.9
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
61%
0-0
-
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 24.3
5.9
7.2
2
69%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Guerschon Yabusele
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.3
2.5
6.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.7
6.8
0
1-1
48%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 21.5
6.8
0
1-1
58%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.4
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 22.4
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 28.8
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.