Final Win Prob. pScore
1629%103
105
571%111
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
106.19995.8
BOS logo Celtics
111.199102.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.105
110
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)105
110
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
110
Q4 - Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Al Horford, Semi Ojeleye, Marcus Smart)102
109
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
109
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Take) (Al Horford draws the foul)102
108
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound102
108
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot102
108
Q4 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound102
108
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot102
108
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout102
108
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
108
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
107
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Take) (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)102
106
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)102
106
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout102
106
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)102
106
Q4 - HeatHeat defensive rebound102
106
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot102
106
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point putback layup102
106
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound100
106
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point putback layup100
106
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound100
106
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point step back jump shot100
106
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (out of bounds bad pass)100
106
Q4 - CelticsGordon Hayward defensive rebound100
106
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot100
106
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 1100
106
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade)100
105
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)100
105
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point layup100
105
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound100
103
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot100
103
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound100
103
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot100
103
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)100
103
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)98
103
Q4 - Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Smart)98
103
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)98
103
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point floating jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)98
103
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround jump shot (Al Horford assists)96
103
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)96
101
Q4 - Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Aron Baynes, Marcus Smart)96
101
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)96
101
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)96
101
Q4 - CelticsCeltics offensive rebound96
101
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot96
101
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving offensive rebound96
101
Q4 - CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot96
101
Q4 - CelticsAron Baynes offensive rebound96
101
Q4 - CelticsAron Baynes misses two point putback layup96
101
Q4 - CelticsAron Baynes offensive rebound96
101
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point layup96
101
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point layup96
101
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)94
101
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes regular free throw 2 of 294
101
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters makes regular free throw 1 of 293
101
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)92
101
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound92
101
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot92
101
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound92
101
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot92
101
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade)92
101
Q4 - CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)92
101
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound92
101
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses three point step back jump shot92
101
Q4 - Heat 60 second timeout92
101
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)92
101
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound92
98
Q4 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot92
98
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound92
98
Q4 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot92
98
Q4 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)92
98
Q4 - CelticsCeltics defensive rebound92
98
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point step back jump shot92
98
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)92
98
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 3 of 392
95
Q4 - Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Aron Baynes)91
95
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 391
95
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 390
95
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)89
95
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound89
95
Q4 - CelticsHassan Whiteside blocks Marcus Morris's two point driving hook shot89
95
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot89
95
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Morris makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)87
95
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup (Dwyane Wade assists)87
93
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound85
93
Q4 - CelticsHassan Whiteside blocks Aron Baynes's two point layup85
93
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)85
93
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound82
93
Q4 - CelticsAron Baynes misses two point putback layup82
93
Q4 - CelticsAron Baynes offensive rebound82
93
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses two point jump shot82
93
Q4 - CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound82
93
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point layup82
93
Q4 - CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point layup (Terry Rozier assists)82
93
Q4 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)82
91
Q4 - Celtics 60 second timeout82
91
Q4 - CelticsGordon Hayward defensive rebound82
91
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point step back jump shot82
91
Q4 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound82
91
Q4 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot82
91
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)82
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound82
91
Q4 - CelticsAron Baynes misses two point layup82
91
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound82
91
Q4 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot82
91
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound82
91
Q4 - CelticsAron Baynes misses two point jump shot82
91
Q4 - HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)82
91
Q4 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)79
91
Q4 - CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound79
88
Q4 - HeatGordon Hayward blocks James Johnson's two point jump shot79
88
Q4 - CelticsGordon Hayward personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)79
88
Q4 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound79
88
Q4 - CelticsAron Baynes misses three point jump shot79
88
Q4 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot (James Johnson assists)79
88
Q4 - CelticsAron Baynes turnover (offensive goaltending)77
88
Q3 - End of 3rd Quarter.77
88
Q3 - HeatHeat offensive rebound77
88
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot77
88
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris makes three point step back jump shot77
88
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris offensive rebound77
85
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot77
85
Q3 - CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound77
85
Q3 - HeatAron Baynes blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point jump shot77
85
Q3 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound77
85
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot77
85
Q3 - CelticsGordon Hayward turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)77
85
Q3 - Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Aron Baynes, Marcus Morris)77
85
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)77
85
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Marcus Morris draws the foul)77
85
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)77
85
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford makes two point step back jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)74
85
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound74
83
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot74
83
Q3 - CelticsGordon Hayward personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)74
83
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound74
83
Q3 - CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot74
83
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point finger roll layup (Dwyane Wade assists)74
83
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound72
83
Q3 - CelticsGordon Hayward misses two point putback layup72
83
Q3 - CelticsGordon Hayward offensive rebound72
83
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford misses two point driving layup72
83
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)72
83
Q3 - Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Al Horford, Marcus Morris)72
83
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (offensive foul)72
83
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)72
83
Q3 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound72
83
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses two point putback layup72
83
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris offensive rebound72
83
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot72
83
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound72
83
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot72
83
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup72
83
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound72
81
Q3 - CelticsKelly Olynyk blocks Al Horford's two point layup72
81
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)72
81
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point reverse layup70
81
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (traveling)70
79
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound70
79
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
79
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)70
79
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)67
79
Q3 - Heat 60 second timeout67
79
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)67
79
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, James Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade)67
76
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)67
76
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point finger roll layup (James Johnson assists)67
76
Q3 - CelticsGordon Hayward makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)65
76
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)65
73
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)65
73
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds step)65
73
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)65
73
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup65
73
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound65
71
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point fadeaway jump shot65
71
Q3 - Kelly Olynyk kicked ball violation65
71
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)65
71
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound63
71
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot63
71
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)63
71
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
71
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses two point jump shot63
71
Q3 - Celtics lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Morris, Marcus Smart)63
71
Q3 - Celtics 60 second timeout63
71
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)63
71
Q3 - Stoppage (Other)63
71
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)63
71
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound60
71
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot60
71
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 260
71
Q3 - Celtics lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis)60
70
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 260
70
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)60
69
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)60
69
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)60
69
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup60
69
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)58
69
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 158
66
Q3 - Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis)57
66
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)57
66
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup57
66
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)55
66
Q3 - CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound55
66
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup55
66
Q3 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
66
Q3 - CelticsAron Baynes misses two point turnaround hook shot55
66
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup55
66
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)53
66
Q3 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)53
66
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound50
66
Q3 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot50
66
Q3 - CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound50
66
Q3 - HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot50
66
Q3 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point jump shot (Al Horford assists)50
66
Q3 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)50
64
Q3 - CelticsCeltics defensive rebound50
64
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup50
64
Q3 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound50
64
Q3 - CelticsAl Horford misses two point jump shot50
64
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)50
64
Q3 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point step back jump shot (Al Horford assists)50
64
Q3 - HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)50
61
Q3 - Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Aron Baynes, Marcus Smart)47
61
Q3 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters)47
61
Q2 - End of 1st Half.47
61
Q2 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound47
61
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point driving layup47
61
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)47
61
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 2 of 244
61
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)44
60
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 244
60
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)44
59
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (Gordon Hayward steals)44
59
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound44
59
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot44
59
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot44
59
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound42
59
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot42
59
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup42
59
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)40
59
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 240
59
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Morris, Marcus Smart)39
59
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)39
59
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 239
59
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)38
59
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup38
59
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound38
57
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point jump shot38
57
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)38
57
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)36
57
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 236
54
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 235
54
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)34
54
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound34
54
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot34
54
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 234
54
Q2 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 233
54
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)33
54
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 2 of 233
54
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis)33
53
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis misses regular free throw 1 of 233
53
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)33
53
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound33
53
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup33
53
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis)33
53
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
53
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound33
53
Q2 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot33
53
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
53
Q2 - CelticsCeltics offensive rebound33
53
Q2 - CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Jayson Tatum's two point jump shot33
53
Q2 - CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound33
53
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot33
53
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
53
Q2 - CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Daniel Theis's two point driving layup33
53
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes technical free throw 1 of 133
53
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters technical foul33
52
Q2 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
52
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
52
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound33
52
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot33
52
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters)33
52
Q2 - Heat 60 second timeout33
52
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)33
52
Q2 - CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound33
49
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot33
49
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Guerschon Yabusele assists)33
49
Q2 - CelticsGuerschon Yabusele offensive rebound33
46
Q2 - CelticsDaniel Theis misses two point jump shot33
46
Q2 - HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)33
46
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis, Guerschon Yabusele)30
46
Q2 - Marcus Smart kicked ball violation30
46
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
46
Q2 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot30
46
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kyrie Irving, Semi Ojeleye, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis)30
46
Q2 - Celtics 60 second timeout30
46
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot30
46
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
46
Q2 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point fadeaway jump shot28
46
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 128
46
Q2 - CelticsAron Baynes shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)27
46
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot27
46
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kyrie Irving, Aron Baynes, Semi Ojeleye, Marcus Smart)25
46
Q2 - CelticsGordon Hayward personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
46
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
46
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford misses two point hook shot25
46
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)25
46
Q2 - CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point finger roll layup (Al Horford assists)23
46
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound23
44
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
44
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Morris makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)23
44
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)23
41
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
41
Q2 - CelticsSemi Ojeleye misses regular free throw 1 of 121
41
Q2 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade)21
41
Q2 - HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Semi Ojeleye draws the foul)21
41
Q2 - CelticsSemi Ojeleye makes two point layup (Al Horford assists)21
41
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving hook shot21
39
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound19
39
Q2 - CelticsTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup19
39
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Morris steals)19
39
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound19
39
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford misses two point driving hook shot19
39
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound19
39
Q2 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot19
39
Q2 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Ryan Anderson, Dwyane Wade)19
39
Q2 - CelticsMarcus Morris personal foul (Loose ball) (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)19
39
Q2 - HeatHeat offensive rebound19
39
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup19
39
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 119
39
Q2 - HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)19
38
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving dunk19
38
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound19
36
Q2 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot19
36
Q2 - HeatRyan Anderson offensive rebound19
36
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot19
36
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
36
Q2 - CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound19
36
Q2 - CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot19
36
Q2 - HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup19
36
Q2 - Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Gordon Hayward, Al Horford, Semi Ojeleye, Marcus Morris)17
36
Q2 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters, Ryan Anderson, Hassan Whiteside)17
36
Q1 - End of 1st Quarter.17
36
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound17
36
Q1 - HeatRyan Anderson misses three point jump shot17
36
Q1 - HeatRyan Anderson defensive rebound17
36
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot17
36
Q1 - CelticsGordon Hayward defensive rebound17
36
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point driving layup17
36
Q1 - HeatRyan Anderson defensive rebound17
36
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot17
36
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Morris defensive rebound17
36
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot17
36
Q1 - CelticsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 217
36
Q1 - CelticsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 217
35
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)17
34
Q1 - CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound17
34
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 217
34
Q1 - Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Al Horford, Marcus Morris)17
34
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 217
34
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)16
34
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound16
34
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point driving layup16
34
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes makes regular free throw 2 of 216
34
Q1 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Ryan Anderson, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)16
33
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes makes regular free throw 1 of 216
33
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Aron Baynes draws the foul)16
32
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (James Johnson assists)16
32
Q1 - HeatRyan Anderson defensive rebound14
32
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup14
32
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Hassan Whiteside assists)14
32
Q1 - CelticsGordon Hayward turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)12
32
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround jump shot (James Johnson assists)12
32
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes makes regular free throw 2 of 210
32
Q1 - Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Aron Baynes, Marcus Morris)10
31
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes makes regular free throw 1 of 210
31
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Aron Baynes draws the foul)10
30
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 210
30
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 29
30
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)8
30
Q1 - CelticsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 2 of 28
30
Q1 - Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Ryan Anderson, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)8
29
Q1 - CelticsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 1 of 28
29
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)8
28
Q1 - HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (Gordon Hayward steals)8
28
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Morris assists)8
28
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound8
25
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround jump shot8
25
Q1 - HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound8
25
Q1 - CelticsDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Marcus Morris's two point jump shot8
25
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic makes two point finger roll layup (James Johnson assists)8
25
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)6
25
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Marcus Morris assists)6
25
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound6
22
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 16
22
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Morris shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)6
22
Q1 - HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving layup6
22
Q1 - CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point driving dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)4
22
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound4
20
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup4
20
Q1 - Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Aron Baynes, Marcus Morris)4
20
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)4
20
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout4
20
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)4
20
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)4
17
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point jump shot2
17
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound2
15
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot2
15
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
15
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point jump shot2
15
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound2
15
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot2
15
Q1 - CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround hook shot2
15
Q1 - CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound2
13
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses two point fadeaway jump shot2
13
Q1 - Stoppage (Out of bounds)2
13
Q1 - HeatHeat offensive rebound2
13
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot2
13
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot2
13
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound2
10
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot2
10
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Kyrie Irving steals)2
10
Q1 - Heat 60 second timeout2
10
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
10
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 22
10
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 22
10
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)2
9
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound2
9
Q1 - HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot2
9
Q1 - CelticsAl Horford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)2
9
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Kyrie Irving steals)2
7
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk (Al Horford assists)2
7
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound2
5
Q1 - HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot2
5
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)2
5
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot2
2
Q1 - CelticsAron Baynes personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)2
2
Q1 - HeatHeat defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot2
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound2
2
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point jump shot2
2
Q1 - HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Goran Dragic assists)2
2
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point putback layup0
2
Q1 - CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot0
0
Q1 - CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - Bam Adebayo vs. Aron Baynes (Al Horford gains possession)0
0
Q1 - Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Aron Baynes, Marcus Smart)0
0
Q1 - Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
35
69%
BOS
13
26
50%
Midrange
MIA
6
16
38%
BOS
6
25
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
37
27%
41%
BOS
17
25.5
40
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
15
18
83%
BOS
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic3071%15.0 / 21
B. Adebayo1973%9.5 / 13
D. Wade1750%8.5 / 17
K. Olynyk1464%7.0 / 11
D. Waiters1447%7.0 / 15
J. Johnson744%3.5 / 8
H. Whiteside338%1.5 / 4
D. Jones125%0.5 / 2
R. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2563%12.5 / 20
A. Horford1973%9.5 / 13
J. Tatum1959%9.5 / 16
M. Smart1673%8.0 / 11
G. Hayward1169%5.5 / 8
M. Morris836%4.0 / 11
T. Rozier542%2.5 / 6
A. Baynes422%2.0 / 9
S. Ojeleye2100%1.0 / 1
D. Theis117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+13
-15
97
BOS
87
+16
-12
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
111.8
MIA 106.1
BOS 111.1 +5.1
Pace
98.1
100.0
MIA 95.8
BOS 102.4 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.2
MIA 15.0
BOS 14.1 −1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
53.4%
MIA 51.1% +2.2%
BOS 48.9%
TO %
14.3%
12.4%
MIA 13.5%
BOS 11.3% −2.2%
ORB %
24.8%
21.7%
MIA 20.5%
BOS 26.4% +5.9%
FTrt
24.7
21.5
MIA 20.5
BOS 26.4 +5.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
62.4%
MIA 67.5%
BOS 69.4% +1.9%
STL %
7.8%
8.5%
MIA 9.1% +1.0%
BOS 8.1%
BLK %
10.2%
9.7%
MIA 11.8% +7.9%
BOS 3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.9%
55.3%
MIA 53.6% +0.2%
BOS 53.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
61.6%
MIA 68.6% +18.6%
BOS 50.0%
Mid FG%
36.8%
43.1%
MIA 37.5% +13.5%
BOS 24.0%
3P %
34.9%
36.5%
MIA 27.0%
BOS 42.5% +15.5%
FT %
69.5%
80.2%
MIA 83.3%
BOS 87.5% +4.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.3%
32.1%
MIA 39.8% +11.2%
BOS 28.6%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
29.8%
MIA 18.2% −9.3%
BOS 27.5%
3P Att. %
36.8%
38.1%
MIA 42.0%
BOS 44.0% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points105110
Rebounds4849
Assists2725
Steals98
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (1)
Fouls1718
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals40-8836-91
At-the-Rim FG24-3513-26
Midrange FG6-166-25
2-Point FG30-5119-51
3-Point FG10-3717-40
Free Throws15-1821-24
Fast Break Pts1319
2nd Chance Pts619
Points in Paint5628
Pts off Turnovers1718
Bench Points2727
Biggest Lead023

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
39.6
14
64%
6
1
2
1
3
1
0
6
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
38.9
30
71%
1
5
5
0
3
3
0
1
3-3
100%
9-11
82%
3-9
33%
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
37.3
14
47%
2
4
1
0
3
4
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 22
30.7
19
73%
14
2
0
2
0
3
4
10
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
1-1
100%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
17.4
1
25%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
29.4
17
50%
5
7
1
0
3
2
2
3
1-1
100%
8-14
57%
0-3
0%
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
23.2
7
44%
4
6
0
0
2
1
0
4
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
17.3
3
38%
10
2
0
2
0
2
2
8
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
6.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 26
NWT - Injury/Illness | Left Heel Bruise
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thigh Bruise
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
54%
48
27
9
6
15
17
9
39
15-18
83%
30-51
59%
10-37
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.