for complete access.
All Games Monday, April 1, 2019
Final Win Prob. pScore
16
Heat
29%103
105
5
Celtics
71%111
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
106.19996.5
BOS logo Celtics
111.199102.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.105
110
Q4 - 0:01.0HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)105
110
Q4 - 0:05.0CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
110
Q4 - 0:05.0Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Al Horford, Semi Ojeleye, Marcus Smart)102
109
Q4 - 0:05.0CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
109
Q4 - 0:05.0HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Take) (Al Horford draws the foul)102
108
Q4 - 0:05.0CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound102
108
Q4 - 0:07.0HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot102
108
Q4 - 0:10.0HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound102
108
Q4 - 0:12.0HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot102
108
Q4 - 0:16.0Heat 60 second timeout102
108
Q4 - 0:16.0CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
108
Q4 - 0:16.0CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
107
Q4 - 0:16.0HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Take) (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)102
106
Q4 - 0:25.0HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)102
106
Q4 - 0:36.0Heat 60 second timeout102
106
Q4 - 0:36.0Stoppage (Out of bounds)102
106
Q4 - 0:37.0HeatHeat defensive rebound102
106
Q4 - 0:38.0CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot102
106
Q4 - 0:56.0HeatDwyane Wade makes two point putback layup102
106
Q4 - 0:56.0HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound100
106
Q4 - 0:57.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point putback layup100
106
Q4 - 0:58.0HeatDwyane Wade offensive rebound100
106
Q4 - 1:00HeatGoran Dragic misses three point step back jump shot100
106
Q4 - 1:04CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (out of bounds bad pass)100
106
Q4 - 1:12CelticsGordon Hayward defensive rebound100
106
Q4 - 1:14HeatDwyane Wade misses three point jump shot100
106
Q4 - 1:25CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 1100
106
Q4 - 1:25Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade)100
105
Q4 - 1:25HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)100
105
Q4 - 1:25CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point layup100
105
Q4 - 1:29CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound100
103
Q4 - 1:31HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot100
103
Q4 - 1:43HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound100
103
Q4 - 1:45CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot100
103
Q4 - 2:00HeatDwyane Wade makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)100
103
Q4 - 2:09CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)98
103
Q4 - 2:17Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Smart)98
103
Q4 - 2:17Stoppage (Out of bounds)98
103
Q4 - 2:33HeatGoran Dragic makes two point floating jump shot (Hassan Whiteside assists)98
103
Q4 - 2:54CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround jump shot (Al Horford assists)96
103
Q4 - 3:04HeatDwyane Wade personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)96
101
Q4 - 3:09Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Aron Baynes, Marcus Smart)96
101
Q4 - 3:09Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)96
101
Q4 - 3:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)96
101
Q4 - 3:09CelticsCeltics offensive rebound96
101
Q4 - 3:12CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot96
101
Q4 - 3:20CelticsKyrie Irving offensive rebound96
101
Q4 - 3:24CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot96
101
Q4 - 3:27CelticsAron Baynes offensive rebound96
101
Q4 - 3:29CelticsAron Baynes misses two point putback layup96
101
Q4 - 3:29CelticsAron Baynes offensive rebound96
101
Q4 - 3:33CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point layup96
101
Q4 - 3:45HeatDion Waiters makes two point layup96
101
Q4 - 3:48CelticsTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Dion Waiters steals)94
101
Q4 - 4:05HeatDion Waiters makes regular free throw 2 of 294
101
Q4 - 4:05HeatDion Waiters makes regular free throw 1 of 293
101
Q4 - 4:05CelticsKyrie Irving shooting foul (Dion Waiters draws the foul)92
101
Q4 - 4:09HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound92
101
Q4 - 4:12CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot92
101
Q4 - 4:17CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound92
101
Q4 - 4:20HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot92
101
Q4 - 4:34Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade)92
101
Q4 - 4:34CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)92
101
Q4 - 4:56CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound92
101
Q4 - 5:00HeatDwyane Wade misses three point step back jump shot92
101
Q4 - 5:14Heat 60 second timeout92
101
Q4 - 5:16CelticsTerry Rozier makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)92
101
Q4 - 5:21CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound92
98
Q4 - 5:25HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot92
98
Q4 - 5:33HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound92
98
Q4 - 5:36CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot92
98
Q4 - 5:58Stoppage (Out of bounds)92
98
Q4 - 5:58CelticsCeltics defensive rebound92
98
Q4 - 6:00HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point step back jump shot92
98
Q4 - 6:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)92
98
Q4 - 6:44HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 3 of 392
95
Q4 - 6:44Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Aron Baynes)91
95
Q4 - 6:44HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 391
95
Q4 - 6:44HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 390
95
Q4 - 6:44CelticsTerry Rozier shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)89
95
Q4 - 6:47HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound89
95
Q4 - 6:50CelticsHassan Whiteside blocks Marcus Morris's two point driving hook shot89
95
Q4 - 7:09HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot89
95
Q4 - 7:33CelticsMarcus Morris makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)87
95
Q4 - 8:01HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup (Dwyane Wade assists)87
93
Q4 - 8:07HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound85
93
Q4 - 8:09CelticsHassan Whiteside blocks Aron Baynes's two point layup85
93
Q4 - 8:23HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)85
93
Q4 - 8:27HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound82
93
Q4 - 8:30CelticsAron Baynes misses two point putback layup82
93
Q4 - 8:31CelticsAron Baynes offensive rebound82
93
Q4 - 8:34CelticsMarcus Morris misses two point jump shot82
93
Q4 - 8:43CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound82
93
Q4 - 8:45HeatDwyane Wade misses two point layup82
93
Q4 - 9:02CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point layup (Terry Rozier assists)82
93
Q4 - 9:13Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)82
91
Q4 - 9:13Celtics 60 second timeout82
91
Q4 - 9:13CelticsGordon Hayward defensive rebound82
91
Q4 - 9:15HeatGoran Dragic misses three point step back jump shot82
91
Q4 - 9:29HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound82
91
Q4 - 9:33CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot82
91
Q4 - 9:37HeatDwyane Wade turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)82
91
Q4 - 9:43HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound82
91
Q4 - 9:47CelticsAron Baynes misses two point layup82
91
Q4 - 9:57CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound82
91
Q4 - 9:59HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot82
91
Q4 - 10:06HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound82
91
Q4 - 10:08CelticsAron Baynes misses two point jump shot82
91
Q4 - 10:28HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (James Johnson assists)82
91
Q4 - 10:42CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Gordon Hayward assists)79
91
Q4 - 10:52CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound79
88
Q4 - 10:52HeatGordon Hayward blocks James Johnson's two point jump shot79
88
Q4 - 11:06CelticsGordon Hayward personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)79
88
Q4 - 11:21HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound79
88
Q4 - 11:22CelticsAron Baynes misses three point jump shot79
88
Q4 - 11:31HeatDwyane Wade makes two point jump shot (James Johnson assists)79
88
Q4 - 11:42CelticsAron Baynes turnover (offensive goaltending)77
88
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.77
88
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound77
88
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot77
88
Q3 - 0:03.0CelticsMarcus Morris makes three point step back jump shot77
88
Q3 - 0:04.0CelticsMarcus Morris offensive rebound77
85
Q3 - 0:08.0CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot77
85
Q3 - 0:27.0CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound77
85
Q3 - 0:27.0HeatAron Baynes blocks Hassan Whiteside's two point jump shot77
85
Q3 - 0:30.0HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound77
85
Q3 - 0:30.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot77
85
Q3 - 0:36.0CelticsGordon Hayward turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)77
85
Q3 - 0:47.0Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Aron Baynes, Marcus Morris)77
85
Q3 - 0:47.0Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)77
85
Q3 - 0:47.0HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Marcus Morris draws the foul)77
85
Q3 - 1:05HeatJames Johnson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)77
85
Q3 - 1:17CelticsAl Horford makes two point step back jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)74
85
Q3 - 1:29CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound74
83
Q3 - 1:32HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot74
83
Q3 - 1:41CelticsGordon Hayward personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)74
83
Q3 - 1:47HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound74
83
Q3 - 1:49CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot74
83
Q3 - 2:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point finger roll layup (Dwyane Wade assists)74
83
Q3 - 2:14HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound72
83
Q3 - 2:15CelticsGordon Hayward misses two point putback layup72
83
Q3 - 2:15CelticsGordon Hayward offensive rebound72
83
Q3 - 2:17CelticsAl Horford misses two point driving layup72
83
Q3 - 2:40Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)72
83
Q3 - 2:40Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Al Horford, Marcus Morris)72
83
Q3 - 2:40HeatDion Waiters turnover (offensive foul)72
83
Q3 - 2:40HeatDion Waiters offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)72
83
Q3 - 2:46HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound72
83
Q3 - 2:49CelticsMarcus Morris misses two point putback layup72
83
Q3 - 2:54CelticsMarcus Morris offensive rebound72
83
Q3 - 2:56CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot72
83
Q3 - 2:59CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound72
83
Q3 - 3:04HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot72
83
Q3 - 3:16CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup72
83
Q3 - 3:18CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound72
81
Q3 - 3:21CelticsKelly Olynyk blocks Al Horford's two point layup72
81
Q3 - 3:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)72
81
Q3 - 3:57CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point reverse layup70
81
Q3 - 4:03HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (traveling)70
79
Q3 - 4:17HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound70
79
Q3 - 4:18CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
79
Q3 - 4:38HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Kelly Olynyk assists)70
79
Q3 - 4:50CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)67
79
Q3 - 4:58Heat 60 second timeout67
79
Q3 - 5:00CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)67
79
Q3 - 5:02Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, James Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade)67
76
Q3 - 5:02HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)67
76
Q3 - 5:07HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point finger roll layup (James Johnson assists)67
76
Q3 - 5:19CelticsGordon Hayward makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)65
76
Q3 - 5:29HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)65
73
Q3 - 5:32CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)65
73
Q3 - 5:46HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds step)65
73
Q3 - 5:50CelticsKyrie Irving personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)65
73
Q3 - 6:05CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup65
73
Q3 - 6:07CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound65
71
Q3 - 6:10CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point fadeaway jump shot65
71
Q3 - 6:16Kelly Olynyk kicked ball violation65
71
Q3 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)65
71
Q3 - 6:41HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound63
71
Q3 - 6:43CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot63
71
Q3 - 6:47HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)63
71
Q3 - 7:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
71
Q3 - 7:12CelticsMarcus Morris misses two point jump shot63
71
Q3 - 7:16Celtics lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Morris, Marcus Smart)63
71
Q3 - 7:16Celtics 60 second timeout63
71
Q3 - 7:16Stoppage (Out of bounds)63
71
Q3 - 7:36Stoppage (Other)63
71
Q3 - 7:42HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)63
71
Q3 - 7:45HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound60
71
Q3 - 7:47HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot60
71
Q3 - 8:01CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 260
71
Q3 - 8:01Celtics lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis)60
70
Q3 - 8:01CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 260
70
Q3 - 8:01HeatDion Waiters shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)60
69
Q3 - 8:06HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)60
69
Q3 - 8:12CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (lost ball) (Kelly Olynyk steals)60
69
Q3 - 8:18HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup60
69
Q3 - 8:30CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)58
69
Q3 - 8:42HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 158
66
Q3 - 8:42Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis)57
66
Q3 - 8:42CelticsKyrie Irving shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)57
66
Q3 - 8:42HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup57
66
Q3 - 8:44CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)55
66
Q3 - 8:48CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound55
66
Q3 - 8:50HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup55
66
Q3 - 9:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
66
Q3 - 9:02CelticsAron Baynes misses two point turnaround hook shot55
66
Q3 - 9:25HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup55
66
Q3 - 9:28CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)53
66
Q3 - 9:53HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)53
66
Q3 - 10:03HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound50
66
Q3 - 10:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot50
66
Q3 - 10:15CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound50
66
Q3 - 10:17HeatJames Johnson misses three point jump shot50
66
Q3 - 10:30CelticsKyrie Irving makes two point jump shot (Al Horford assists)50
66
Q3 - 10:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)50
64
Q3 - 10:42CelticsCeltics defensive rebound50
64
Q3 - 10:42HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup50
64
Q3 - 10:50HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound50
64
Q3 - 10:52CelticsAl Horford misses two point jump shot50
64
Q3 - 11:09HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)50
64
Q3 - 11:24CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point step back jump shot (Al Horford assists)50
64
Q3 - 11:49HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Dion Waiters assists)50
61
Q3 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Aron Baynes, Marcus Smart)47
61
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters)47
61
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
61
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound47
61
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point driving layup47
61
Q2 - 0:07.0HeatDion Waiters makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)47
61
Q2 - 0:25.0CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 2 of 244
61
Q2 - 0:25.0Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)44
60
Q2 - 0:25.0CelticsKyrie Irving makes regular free throw 1 of 244
60
Q2 - 0:25.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. shooting foul (Kyrie Irving draws the foul)44
59
Q2 - 0:29.0HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (Gordon Hayward steals)44
59
Q2 - 0:36.0HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound44
59
Q2 - 0:39.0CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot44
59
Q2 - 0:55.0HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot44
59
Q2 - 1:06HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound42
59
Q2 - 1:08CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot42
59
Q2 - 1:19HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup42
59
Q2 - 1:24CelticsKyrie Irving turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)40
59
Q2 - 1:43HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 240
59
Q2 - 1:43Celtics lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Morris, Marcus Smart)39
59
Q2 - 1:43Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dwyane Wade)39
59
Q2 - 1:43HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 239
59
Q2 - 1:43CelticsDaniel Theis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)38
59
Q2 - 1:52CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup38
59
Q2 - 1:52CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound38
57
Q2 - 1:56CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point jump shot38
57
Q2 - 2:09HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)38
57
Q2 - 2:22CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)36
57
Q2 - 2:35HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 236
54
Q2 - 2:35HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 235
54
Q2 - 2:35CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)34
54
Q2 - 2:44HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound34
54
Q2 - 2:48CelticsKyrie Irving misses three point jump shot34
54
Q2 - 3:03HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 234
54
Q2 - 3:03HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 233
54
Q2 - 3:03CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)33
54
Q2 - 3:17CelticsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 2 of 233
54
Q2 - 3:17Celtics lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis)33
53
Q2 - 3:17CelticsDaniel Theis misses regular free throw 1 of 233
53
Q2 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)33
53
Q2 - 3:22CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound33
53
Q2 - 3:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup33
53
Q2 - 3:36Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis)33
53
Q2 - 3:36Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
53
Q2 - 3:48HeatDion Waiters defensive rebound33
53
Q2 - 3:50CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot33
53
Q2 - 4:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
53
Q2 - 4:01CelticsCeltics offensive rebound33
53
Q2 - 4:02CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Jayson Tatum's two point jump shot33
53
Q2 - 4:08CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound33
53
Q2 - 4:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot33
53
Q2 - 4:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
53
Q2 - 4:24CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Daniel Theis's two point driving layup33
53
Q2 - 4:43CelticsKyrie Irving makes technical free throw 1 of 133
53
Q2 - 4:43HeatDion Waiters technical foul33
52
Q2 - 4:47Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
52
Q2 - 4:48HeatDion Waiters turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
52
Q2 - 4:58HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound33
52
Q2 - 5:00HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot33
52
Q2 - 5:15Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters)33
52
Q2 - 5:15Heat 60 second timeout33
52
Q2 - 5:18CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)33
52
Q2 - 5:25CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound33
49
Q2 - 5:27HeatDwyane Wade misses two point fadeaway jump shot33
49
Q2 - 5:45CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Guerschon Yabusele assists)33
49
Q2 - 5:45CelticsGuerschon Yabusele offensive rebound33
46
Q2 - 5:49CelticsDaniel Theis misses two point jump shot33
46
Q2 - 6:02HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Dwyane Wade assists)33
46
Q2 - 6:09Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis, Guerschon Yabusele)30
46
Q2 - 6:09Marcus Smart kicked ball violation30
46
Q2 - 6:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
46
Q2 - 6:25CelticsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot30
46
Q2 - 6:40Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kyrie Irving, Semi Ojeleye, Marcus Smart, Daniel Theis)30
46
Q2 - 6:40Celtics 60 second timeout30
46
Q2 - 6:40HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot30
46
Q2 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
46
Q2 - 6:53CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point fadeaway jump shot28
46
Q2 - 7:13HeatDwyane Wade makes regular free throw 1 of 128
46
Q2 - 7:13CelticsAron Baynes shooting foul (Dwyane Wade draws the foul)27
46
Q2 - 7:13HeatDwyane Wade makes two point floating jump shot27
46
Q2 - 7:19Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Kyrie Irving, Aron Baynes, Semi Ojeleye, Marcus Smart)25
46
Q2 - 7:19CelticsGordon Hayward personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
46
Q2 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
46
Q2 - 7:31CelticsAl Horford misses two point hook shot25
46
Q2 - 7:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dwyane Wade assists)25
46
Q2 - 8:02CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point finger roll layup (Al Horford assists)23
46
Q2 - 8:06CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound23
44
Q2 - 8:08HeatDion Waiters misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
44
Q2 - 8:33CelticsMarcus Morris makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)23
44
Q2 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Dwyane Wade assists)23
41
Q2 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
41
Q2 - 9:01CelticsSemi Ojeleye misses regular free throw 1 of 121
41
Q2 - 9:01Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Dwyane Wade)21
41
Q2 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Semi Ojeleye draws the foul)21
41
Q2 - 9:01CelticsSemi Ojeleye makes two point layup (Al Horford assists)21
41
Q2 - 9:16HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving hook shot21
39
Q2 - 9:30HeatJames Johnson defensive rebound19
39
Q2 - 9:34CelticsTerry Rozier misses two point driving layup19
39
Q2 - 9:44HeatJames Johnson turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Morris steals)19
39
Q2 - 9:54HeatDwyane Wade defensive rebound19
39
Q2 - 9:56CelticsAl Horford misses two point driving hook shot19
39
Q2 - 10:15CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound19
39
Q2 - 10:17HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot19
39
Q2 - 10:30Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters, Ryan Anderson, Dwyane Wade)19
39
Q2 - 10:30CelticsMarcus Morris personal foul (Loose ball) (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)19
39
Q2 - 10:30HeatHeat offensive rebound19
39
Q2 - 10:31HeatJames Johnson misses two point driving layup19
39
Q2 - 10:41CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 119
39
Q2 - 10:41HeatJames Johnson shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)19
38
Q2 - 10:41CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving dunk19
38
Q2 - 10:50CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound19
36
Q2 - 10:51HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot19
36
Q2 - 10:53HeatRyan Anderson offensive rebound19
36
Q2 - 10:56HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot19
36
Q2 - 11:21CelticsAl Horford turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
36
Q2 - 11:28CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound19
36
Q2 - 11:30CelticsGordon Hayward misses three point jump shot19
36
Q2 - 11:45HeatDion Waiters makes two point driving layup19
36
Q2 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Gordon Hayward, Al Horford, Semi Ojeleye, Marcus Morris)17
36
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters, Ryan Anderson, Hassan Whiteside)17
36
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.17
36
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound17
36
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatRyan Anderson misses three point jump shot17
36
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatRyan Anderson defensive rebound17
36
Q1 - 0:03.0CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot17
36
Q1 - 0:20.0CelticsGordon Hayward defensive rebound17
36
Q1 - 0:22.0HeatDion Waiters misses two point driving layup17
36
Q1 - 0:43.0HeatRyan Anderson defensive rebound17
36
Q1 - 0:46.0CelticsMarcus Morris misses three point jump shot17
36
Q1 - 0:51.0CelticsMarcus Morris defensive rebound17
36
Q1 - 0:54.0HeatDwyane Wade misses two point jump shot17
36
Q1 - 1:06CelticsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 217
36
Q1 - 1:06CelticsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 217
35
Q1 - 1:06HeatDion Waiters personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)17
34
Q1 - 1:14CelticsTerry Rozier defensive rebound17
34
Q1 - 1:18HeatHassan Whiteside misses regular free throw 2 of 217
34
Q1 - 1:18Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Al Horford, Marcus Morris)17
34
Q1 - 1:18HeatHassan Whiteside makes regular free throw 1 of 217
34
Q1 - 1:18CelticsAron Baynes shooting foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)16
34
Q1 - 1:18HeatHassan Whiteside offensive rebound16
34
Q1 - 1:19HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point driving layup16
34
Q1 - 1:28CelticsAron Baynes makes regular free throw 2 of 216
34
Q1 - 1:28Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Ryan Anderson, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)16
33
Q1 - 1:28CelticsAron Baynes makes regular free throw 1 of 216
33
Q1 - 1:28HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Aron Baynes draws the foul)16
32
Q1 - 1:44HeatHassan Whiteside makes two point layup (James Johnson assists)16
32
Q1 - 1:52HeatRyan Anderson defensive rebound14
32
Q1 - 1:54CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup14
32
Q1 - 2:14HeatGoran Dragic makes two point layup (Hassan Whiteside assists)14
32
Q1 - 2:20CelticsGordon Hayward turnover (bad pass) (Dwyane Wade steals)12
32
Q1 - 2:35HeatDwyane Wade makes two point turnaround jump shot (James Johnson assists)12
32
Q1 - 2:46CelticsAron Baynes makes regular free throw 2 of 210
32
Q1 - 2:46Celtics lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Aron Baynes, Marcus Morris)10
31
Q1 - 2:46CelticsAron Baynes makes regular free throw 1 of 210
31
Q1 - 2:46HeatHassan Whiteside shooting foul (Aron Baynes draws the foul)10
30
Q1 - 3:02HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 210
30
Q1 - 3:02HeatJames Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 29
30
Q1 - 3:02CelticsAron Baynes shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)8
30
Q1 - 3:10CelticsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 2 of 28
30
Q1 - 3:10Heat lineup change (James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Ryan Anderson, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)8
29
Q1 - 3:10CelticsGordon Hayward makes regular free throw 1 of 28
29
Q1 - 3:10HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Gordon Hayward draws the foul)8
28
Q1 - 3:13HeatDwyane Wade turnover (lost ball) (Gordon Hayward steals)8
28
Q1 - 3:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Morris assists)8
28
Q1 - 3:40CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound8
25
Q1 - 3:43HeatHassan Whiteside misses two point turnaround jump shot8
25
Q1 - 3:53HeatHassan Whiteside defensive rebound8
25
Q1 - 3:58CelticsDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Marcus Morris's two point jump shot8
25
Q1 - 4:14HeatGoran Dragic makes two point finger roll layup (James Johnson assists)8
25
Q1 - 4:21CelticsKyrie Irving personal foul (Hassan Whiteside draws the foul)6
25
Q1 - 4:35CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Marcus Morris assists)6
25
Q1 - 4:50CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound6
22
Q1 - 4:50HeatJames Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 16
22
Q1 - 4:50CelticsMarcus Morris shooting foul (James Johnson draws the foul)6
22
Q1 - 4:50HeatJames Johnson makes two point driving layup6
22
Q1 - 5:00CelticsGordon Hayward makes two point driving dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)4
22
Q1 - 5:11CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound4
20
Q1 - 5:11HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup4
20
Q1 - 5:27Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, Kyrie Irving, Aron Baynes, Marcus Morris)4
20
Q1 - 5:27Heat lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., James Johnson, Goran Dragic, Hassan Whiteside, Dwyane Wade)4
20
Q1 - 5:27Heat 60 second timeout4
20
Q1 - 5:29CelticsKyrie Irving makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)4
20
Q1 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Goran Dragic assists)4
17
Q1 - 6:00CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point jump shot2
17
Q1 - 6:09CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound2
15
Q1 - 6:11HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot2
15
Q1 - 6:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
15
Q1 - 6:24CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point jump shot2
15
Q1 - 6:44CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound2
15
Q1 - 6:47HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot2
15
Q1 - 7:00CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround hook shot2
15
Q1 - 7:13CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound2
13
Q1 - 7:15HeatDion Waiters misses two point fadeaway jump shot2
13
Q1 - 7:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)2
13
Q1 - 7:28HeatHeat offensive rebound2
13
Q1 - 7:31HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot2
13
Q1 - 7:53CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot2
13
Q1 - 7:55CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound2
10
Q1 - 7:57CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot2
10
Q1 - 8:02HeatDion Waiters turnover (bad pass) (Kyrie Irving steals)2
10
Q1 - 8:08Heat 60 second timeout2
10
Q1 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
10
Q1 - 8:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 22
10
Q1 - 8:13CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 22
10
Q1 - 8:13HeatDion Waiters shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)2
9
Q1 - 8:16CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound2
9
Q1 - 8:18HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot2
9
Q1 - 8:36CelticsAl Horford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)2
9
Q1 - 8:43HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Kyrie Irving steals)2
7
Q1 - 9:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk (Al Horford assists)2
7
Q1 - 9:21CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound2
5
Q1 - 9:24HeatDion Waiters misses three point jump shot2
5
Q1 - 9:37CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Kyrie Irving assists)2
5
Q1 - 9:48CelticsAron Baynes defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 9:58CelticsAron Baynes personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)2
2
Q1 - 9:58HeatHeat defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:01CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:06CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:19HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:21HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
2
Q1 - 10:35CelticsKyrie Irving misses two point jump shot2
2
Q1 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Goran Dragic assists)2
2
Q1 - 11:05CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point putback layup0
2
Q1 - 11:05CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:07CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:22CelticsKyrie Irving defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:24HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:40HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:42CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Aron Baynes (Al Horford gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Kyrie Irving, Al Horford, Aron Baynes, Marcus Smart)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kelly Olynyk, Derrick Jones Jr., Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo, Dion Waiters)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
24
35
69%
BOS
13
25
52%
Midrange
MIA
6
16
38%
BOS
6
26
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
37
27%
41%
BOS
17
25.5
40
43%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
15
18
83%
BOS
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic3071%15.0 / 21
B. Adebayo1973%9.5 / 13
D. Wade1750%8.5 / 17
K. Olynyk1458%7.0 / 12
D. Waiters1447%7.0 / 15
J. Johnson739%3.5 / 9
H. Whiteside330%1.5 / 5
D. Jones125%0.5 / 2
R. Anderson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Irving2560%12.5 / 21
A. Horford1963%9.5 / 15
J. Tatum1959%9.5 / 16
M. Smart1673%8.0 / 11
G. Hayward1169%5.5 / 8
M. Morris836%4.0 / 11
T. Rozier542%2.5 / 6
A. Baynes422%2.0 / 9
S. Ojeleye2100%1.0 / 1
D. Theis117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+13
-15
97
BOS
87
+16
-12
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
BOS
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
25
107.5
10
111.8
MIA 106.1
BOS 111.1 +5.1
Pace
25
98.1
16
100.0
MIA 96.5
BOS 102.9 +6.4
Avg. Poss. Time
5
15.0
19
14.2
MIA 14.9
BOS 14.0 −0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
21
51.5%
7
53.4%
MIA 51.1% +2.2%
BOS 48.9%
TO %
26
14.3%
3
12.4%
MIA 13.5%
BOS 11.3% −2.2%
ORB %
5
24.8%
24
21.7%
MIA 20.5%
BOS 26.4% +5.9%
FTrt
20
24.7
30
21.5
MIA 20.5
BOS 26.4 +5.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
12
61.2%
8
62.4%
MIA 67.5%
BOS 69.4% +1.9%
STL %
14
7.8%
5
8.5%
MIA 9.1% +1.0%
BOS 8.1%
BLK %
4
10.2%
5
9.7%
MIA 11.8% +7.9%
BOS 3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
28
52.9%
11
55.3%
MIA 53.6% +0.2%
BOS 53.4%
Rim FG%
14
60.8%
11
61.6%
MIA 68.6% +16.6%
BOS 52.0%
Mid FG%
30
36.8%
5
43.1%
MIA 37.5% +14.4%
BOS 23.1%
3P %
21
34.9%
7
36.5%
MIA 27.0%
BOS 42.5% +15.5%
FT %
30
69.5%
4
80.2%
MIA 83.3%
BOS 87.5% +4.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
14
37.3%
27
32.1%
MIA 39.8% +12.3%
BOS 27.5%
Mid Att. %
12
25.9%
19
29.8%
MIA 18.2% −10.4%
BOS 28.6%
3P Att. %
13
36.8%
9
38.1%
MIA 42.0%
BOS 44.0% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9999
Possession Minutes24.623.1
Points105110
Rebounds4849
Assists2725
Steals98
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (1)
Fouls1718
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals40-8836-91
At-the-Rim FG24-3513-25
Midrange FG6-166-26
2-Point FG30-5119-51
3-Point FG10-3717-40
Free Throws15-1821-24
Fast Break Pts1319
2nd Chance Pts619
Points in Paint5628
Pts off Turnovers1718
Bench Points2727
Biggest Lead023

BOXSCORE

16 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kelly Olynyk
#9 · PF · 7'0" 240 · 28
39.6
14
58%
6
1
2
1
3
1
0
6
3-3
100%
1-1
100%
3-10
30%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33
38.9
30
71%
1
5
5
0
3
3
0
1
3-3
100%
9-11
82%
3-9
33%
Dion Waiters
#11 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 27
37.3
14
47%
2
4
1
0
3
4
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 22
30.7
19
73%
14
2
0
2
0
3
4
10
2-2
100%
7-11
64%
1-1
100%
Derrick Jones Jr.
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 22
17.4
1
25%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
#3 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 37
29.4
17
50%
5
7
1
0
3
2
2
3
1-1
100%
8-14
57%
0-3
0%
James Johnson
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 32
23.2
7
39%
4
6
0
0
2
1
0
4
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 30
17.3
3
30%
10
2
0
2
0
2
2
8
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
#31 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 31
6.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
#0 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 26
NWT - Injury/Illness | Left Heel Bruise
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
Yante Maten
#00 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 39
DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow
#20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thigh Bruise
Rodney McGruder
#17 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
 54%
48
27
9
6
15
17
9
39
15-18
83%
30-51
59%
10-37
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.