Final Win Prob. pScore
1129%106
109
371%114
121
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
107.910196.2
TOR logo Raptors
122.299104.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.109
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0RaptorsJordan Loyd makes three point jump shot109
121
Q4 - 0:25.0RaptorsMalcolm Miller defensive rebound109
118
Q4 - 0:30.0MagicJerian Grant misses three point jump shot109
118
Q4 - 0:34.0MagicMichael Carter-Williams defensive rebound109
118
Q4 - 0:37.0RaptorsMalcolm Miller misses three point jump shot109
118
Q4 - 1:00MagicAmile Jefferson makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
118
Q4 - 1:00MagicAmile Jefferson misses regular free throw 1 of 2108
118
Q4 - 1:00RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Amile Jefferson draws the foul)108
118
Q4 - 1:06RaptorsJordan Loyd makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
118
Q4 - 1:06RaptorsJordan Loyd makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
117
Q4 - 1:06MagicAmile Jefferson personal foul (Jordan Loyd draws the foul)108
116
Q4 - 1:12MagicAmile Jefferson makes two point putback layup108
116
Q4 - 1:13MagicAmile Jefferson offensive rebound106
116
Q4 - 1:13MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses two point driving layup106
116
Q4 - 1:20RaptorsChris Boucher makes two point putback layup106
116
Q4 - 1:21RaptorsChris Boucher offensive rebound106
114
Q4 - 1:22RaptorsJodie Meeks misses two point driving layup106
114
Q4 - 1:45MagicJarell Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
114
Q4 - 1:45MagicJarell Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
114
Q4 - 1:45RaptorsChris Boucher shooting foul (Jarell Martin draws the foul)104
114
Q4 - 1:46MagicJerian Grant defensive rebound104
114
Q4 - 1:50RaptorsChris Boucher misses three point jump shot104
114
Q4 - 2:03MagicWes Iwundu makes two point putback dunk104
114
Q4 - 2:04MagicWes Iwundu offensive rebound102
114
Q4 - 2:08MagicJarell Martin misses three point jump shot102
114
Q4 - 2:13MagicAmile Jefferson defensive rebound102
114
Q4 - 2:16RaptorsAmile Jefferson blocks Jordan Loyd's two point driving layup102
114
Q4 - 2:35MagicWes Iwundu makes two point floating jump shot102
114
Q4 - 2:50RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
114
Q4 - 2:50RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
113
Q4 - 2:50MagicJerian Grant personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)100
112
Q4 - 2:52MagicJarell Martin makes three point jump shot (Wes Iwundu assists)100
112
Q4 - 2:57RaptorsChris Boucher turnover (bad pass) (Amile Jefferson steals)97
112
Q4 - 3:19MagicWes Iwundu makes two point layup97
112
Q4 - 3:23RaptorsJeremy Lin turnover (lost ball) (Michael Carter-Williams steals)95
112
Q4 - 3:37MagicAmile Jefferson makes regular free throw 2 of 295
112
Q4 - 3:37MagicAmile Jefferson makes regular free throw 1 of 294
112
Q4 - 3:37RaptorsJeremy Lin shooting foul (Amile Jefferson draws the foul)93
112
Q4 - 3:42MagicJarell Martin defensive rebound93
112
Q4 - 3:45RaptorsJeremy Lin misses two point driving layup93
112
Q4 - 3:55RaptorsMalcolm Miller defensive rebound93
112
Q4 - 3:58MagicJerian Grant misses regular free throw 2 of 293
112
Q4 - 3:58MagicJerian Grant misses regular free throw 1 of 293
112
Q4 - 3:58RaptorsMalcolm Miller shooting foul (Jerian Grant draws the foul)93
112
Q4 - 4:07Raptors lineup change (Malcolm Miller, Jeremy Lin, Jodie Meeks, Chris Boucher, Jordan Loyd)93
112
Q4 - 4:07RaptorsSerge Ibaka offensive foul (Jarell Martin draws the foul)93
112
Q4 - 4:07RaptorsSerge Ibaka turnover (offensive foul)93
112
Q4 - 4:21RaptorsJodie Meeks defensive rebound93
112
Q4 - 4:24MagicJarell Martin misses three point jump shot93
112
Q4 - 4:38RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)93
112
Q4 - 4:53MagicWes Iwundu makes three point jump shot (Amile Jefferson assists)93
110
Q4 - 5:12RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point layup90
110
Q4 - 5:29MagicJerian Grant makes two point step back jump shot90
108
Q4 - 5:43MagicAmile Jefferson defensive rebound88
108
Q4 - 5:45RaptorsJeremy Lin misses regular free throw 2 of 288
108
Q4 - 5:45RaptorsJeremy Lin makes regular free throw 1 of 288
108
Q4 - 5:45Magic lineup change (Jerian Grant, Wes Iwundu, Michael Carter-Williams, Amile Jefferson, Jarell Martin)88
107
Q4 - 5:45Magic 60 second timeout88
107
Q4 - 5:45MagicEvan Fournier shooting foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)88
107
Q4 - 5:45RaptorsJeremy Lin defensive rebound88
107
Q4 - 5:49MagicJeremy Lin blocks D.J. Augustin's two point jump shot88
107
Q4 - 6:02MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound88
107
Q4 - 6:06RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot88
107
Q4 - 6:12MagicEvan Fournier personal foul (Jeremy Lin draws the foul)88
107
Q4 - 6:22MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
107
Q4 - 6:29Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Terrence Ross, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic)88
107
Q4 - 6:29RaptorsFred VanVleet personal foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)88
107
Q4 - 6:38RaptorsJeremy Lin makes two point driving layup88
107
Q4 - 6:53MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point turnaround jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)88
105
Q4 - 7:02MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound86
105
Q4 - 7:07RaptorsKhem Birch blocks Fred VanVleet's two point driving layup86
105
Q4 - 7:14RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound86
105
Q4 - 7:14MagicEvan Fournier misses two point fadeaway jump shot86
105
Q4 - 7:28RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)86
105
Q4 - 7:46MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point floating jump shot86
103
Q4 - 7:55MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound84
103
Q4 - 7:57RaptorsJodie Meeks misses two point jump shot84
103
Q4 - 8:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)84
103
Q4 - 8:07RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound84
103
Q4 - 8:09MagicJonathan Isaac misses two point step back jump shot84
103
Q4 - 8:23RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point driving hook shot (Jodie Meeks assists)84
103
Q4 - 8:40MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)84
101
Q4 - 8:50Magic 60 second timeout81
101
Q4 - 8:53RaptorsJodie Meeks makes two point floating jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)81
101
Q4 - 9:02MagicTerrence Ross turnover (traveling)81
99
Q4 - 9:09MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound81
99
Q4 - 9:12RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses regular free throw 1 of 181
99
Q4 - 9:12MagicJonathan Isaac shooting foul (Serge Ibaka draws the foul)81
99
Q4 - 9:12RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point putback layup81
99
Q4 - 9:12RaptorsSerge Ibaka offensive rebound81
97
Q4 - 9:13RaptorsJeremy Lin misses two point fadeaway jump shot81
97
Q4 - 9:27MagicMichael Carter-Williams personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)81
97
Q4 - 9:28MagicJonathan Isaac turnover (lost ball) (Fred VanVleet steals)81
97
Q4 - 9:41MagicEvan Fournier defensive rebound81
97
Q4 - 9:44RaptorsJeremy Lin misses two point finger roll layup81
97
Q4 - 9:47RaptorsJeremy Lin defensive rebound81
97
Q4 - 9:47MagicSerge Ibaka blocks Khem Birch's two point layup81
97
Q4 - 9:55MagicKhem Birch offensive rebound81
97
Q4 - 9:55MagicFred VanVleet blocks Khem Birch's two point putback layup81
97
Q4 - 9:56MagicKhem Birch offensive rebound81
97
Q4 - 9:57MagicEvan Fournier misses two point driving layup81
97
Q4 - 10:08MagicMichael Carter-Williams defensive rebound81
97
Q4 - 10:12RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point hook shot81
97
Q4 - 10:21RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound81
97
Q4 - 10:23MagicKhem Birch misses two point hook shot81
97
Q4 - 10:42RaptorsNorman Powell makes two point layup (Fred VanVleet assists)81
97
Q4 - 10:52MagicMichael Carter-Williams personal foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)81
95
Q4 - 11:04MagicEvan Fournier makes two point floating jump shot (Khem Birch assists)81
95
Q4 - 11:15RaptorsSerge Ibaka turnover (offensive foul)79
95
Q4 - 11:15RaptorsSerge Ibaka offensive foul (Charge) (Khem Birch draws the foul)79
95
Q4 - 11:26MagicEvan Fournier makes two point floating jump shot (Khem Birch assists)79
95
Q4 - 11:36RaptorsSerge Ibaka turnover (offensive foul)77
95
Q4 - 11:36RaptorsSerge Ibaka offensive foul (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)77
95
Q4 - 11:48MagicKhem Birch makes two point alley-oop dunk (Evan Fournier assists)77
95
Q4 - 12:00Raptors lineup change (Serge Ibaka, Norman Powell, Fred VanVleet, Jeremy Lin, Jodie Meeks)75
95
Q4 - 12:00Magic lineup change (Khem Birch, Terrence Ross, Jonathan Isaac, Evan Fournier, Michael Carter-Williams)75
95
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
95
Q3 - 0:01.0RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)75
95
Q3 - 0:16.0RaptorsNorman Powell defensive rebound75
95
Q3 - 0:19.0MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses two point floating jump shot75
95
Q3 - 0:29.0MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound75
95
Q3 - 0:33.0RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot75
95
Q3 - 0:38.0MagicKhem Birch makes regular free throw 1 of 175
95
Q3 - 0:38.0RaptorsJeremy Lin shooting foul (Khem Birch draws the foul)74
95
Q3 - 0:38.0MagicKhem Birch makes two point layup (Terrence Ross assists)74
95
Q3 - 0:50.0RaptorsNorman Powell makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)72
95
Q3 - 1:00Stoppage (Out of bounds)72
92
Q3 - 1:12Raptors lineup change (Serge Ibaka, Pascal Siakam, Norman Powell, Fred VanVleet, Jeremy Lin)72
92
Q3 - 1:12Magic lineup change (Khem Birch, Terrence Ross, Wes Iwundu, Jonathan Isaac, Michael Carter-Williams)72
92
Q3 - 1:12Raptors 60 second timeout72
92
Q3 - 1:12MagicAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Terrence Ross assists)72
92
Q3 - 1:16RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (bad pass) (Terrence Ross steals)70
92
Q3 - 1:34MagicWes Iwundu makes two point driving layup (Michael Carter-Williams assists)70
92
Q3 - 1:40MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound68
92
Q3 - 1:44RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses three point jump shot68
92
Q3 - 2:03RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound68
92
Q3 - 2:06MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot68
92
Q3 - 2:17RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)68
92
Q3 - 2:29MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point layup68
89
Q3 - 2:34MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound66
89
Q3 - 2:37RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses three point jump shot66
89
Q3 - 2:57RaptorsKawhi Leonard defensive rebound66
89
Q3 - 2:59MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot66
89
Q3 - 3:04Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
89
Q3 - 3:04MagicMagic offensive rebound66
89
Q3 - 3:04MagicDanny Green blocks Terrence Ross's three point jump shot66
89
Q3 - 3:09Raptors lineup change (Serge Ibaka, Pascal Siakam, Fred VanVleet, Kawhi Leonard, Danny Green)66
89
Q3 - 3:09Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
89
Q3 - 3:24RaptorsMarc Gasol makes regular free throw 2 of 266
89
Q3 - 3:24RaptorsMarc Gasol makes regular free throw 1 of 266
88
Q3 - 3:24MagicWes Iwundu shooting foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)66
87
Q3 - 3:36Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
87
Q3 - 3:36RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound66
87
Q3 - 3:36MagicFred VanVleet blocks Terrence Ross's two point jump shot66
87
Q3 - 3:38Raptors lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Fred VanVleet, Marc Gasol, Kawhi Leonard, Danny Green)66
87
Q3 - 3:38Magic lineup change (Terrence Ross, Wes Iwundu, Aaron Gordon, Michael Carter-Williams, Nikola Vucevic)66
87
Q3 - 3:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
87
Q3 - 3:38MagicMagic offensive rebound66
87
Q3 - 3:38MagicKyle Lowry blocks Aaron Gordon's two point turnaround jump shot66
87
Q3 - 4:04RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)66
87
Q3 - 4:09RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound66
84
Q3 - 4:11MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot66
84
Q3 - 4:31RaptorsPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)66
84
Q3 - 4:43MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 2 of 266
81
Q3 - 4:43MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 265
81
Q3 - 4:43RaptorsKyle Lowry shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)64
81
Q3 - 4:44MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound64
81
Q3 - 4:48RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot64
81
Q3 - 5:13MagicD.J. Augustin makes three point jump shot (Wes Iwundu assists)64
81
Q3 - 5:23RaptorsMarc Gasol personal foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)61
81
Q3 - 5:43Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Wes Iwundu, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic)61
81
Q3 - 5:43Magic 60 second timeout61
81
Q3 - 5:45RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)61
81
Q3 - 5:50RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound61
78
Q3 - 5:53MagicD.J. Augustin misses three point jump shot61
78
Q3 - 6:20RaptorsMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)61
78
Q3 - 6:28MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 2 of 261
76
Q3 - 6:28MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 260
76
Q3 - 6:28RaptorsDanny Green shooting foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)59
76
Q3 - 6:36MagicEvan Fournier defensive rebound59
76
Q3 - 6:41RaptorsMarc Gasol misses three point jump shot59
76
Q3 - 6:55MagicEvan Fournier personal foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)59
76
Q3 - 6:55MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (lost ball) (Kawhi Leonard steals)59
76
Q3 - 7:06RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)59
76
Q3 - 7:08RaptorsKyle Lowry offensive rebound59
73
Q3 - 7:09RaptorsDanny Green misses two point driving layup59
73
Q3 - 7:17RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound59
73
Q3 - 7:20MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point turnaround hook shot59
73
Q3 - 7:42Magic 60 second timeout59
73
Q3 - 7:43RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)59
73
Q3 - 7:58RaptorsPascal Siakam defensive rebound59
70
Q3 - 8:02MagicJonathan Isaac misses three point jump shot59
70
Q3 - 8:17RaptorsDanny Green makes two point driving layup59
70
Q3 - 8:30Stoppage (Other)59
68
Q3 - 8:32MagicJonathan Isaac makes two point alley-oop dunk (D.J. Augustin assists)59
68
Q3 - 8:38MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound57
68
Q3 - 8:40RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot57
68
Q3 - 8:56MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point layup (D.J. Augustin assists)57
68
Q3 - 9:06MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound55
68
Q3 - 9:09RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot55
68
Q3 - 9:28MagicD.J. Augustin personal foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)55
68
Q3 - 9:28RaptorsKawhi Leonard defensive rebound55
68
Q3 - 9:31MagicAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot55
68
Q3 - 9:53MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound55
68
Q3 - 9:57RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point floating jump shot55
68
Q3 - 10:11MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)55
68
Q3 - 10:24RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes two point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)52
68
Q3 - 10:30MagicJonathan Isaac personal foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)52
66
Q3 - 10:37RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound52
66
Q3 - 10:40MagicEvan Fournier misses two point driving hook shot52
66
Q3 - 10:53RaptorsKawhi Leonard personal foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)52
66
Q3 - 10:53RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (bad pass) (Jonathan Isaac steals)52
66
Q3 - 11:00RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound52
66
Q3 - 11:02MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point driving layup52
66
Q3 - 11:17RaptorsPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 252
66
Q3 - 11:17RaptorsPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 252
65
Q3 - 11:17MagicJonathan Isaac shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)52
65
Q3 - 11:28RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound52
65
Q3 - 11:31MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot52
65
Q3 - 11:37RaptorsPascal Siakam personal foul (Jonathan Isaac draws the foul)52
65
Q3 - 11:48RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)52
65
Q3 - 12:00Raptors lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Kyle Lowry, Marc Gasol, Kawhi Leonard, Danny Green)52
62
Q3 - 12:00Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Jonathan Isaac, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic)52
62
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
62
Q2 - 0:00.0MagicMagic offensive rebound52
62
Q2 - 0:00.0MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses three point floating jump shot52
62
Q2 - 0:04.0RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 252
62
Q2 - 0:04.0RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 252
61
Q2 - 0:04.0MagicMichael Carter-Williams personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)52
60
Q2 - 0:04.0RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound52
60
Q2 - 0:08.0MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses three point jump shot52
60
Q2 - 0:27.0RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot52
60
Q2 - 0:31.0MagicEvan Fournier makes two point floating jump shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)52
57
Q2 - 0:42.0RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 2 of 250
57
Q2 - 0:42.0Magic lineup change (Khem Birch, Terrence Ross, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, Michael Carter-Williams)50
56
Q2 - 0:42.0RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 250
56
Q2 - 0:42.0MagicKhem Birch shooting foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)50
55
Q2 - 0:49.0Evan Fournier kicked ball violation50
55
Q2 - 1:03RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound50
55
Q2 - 1:07MagicJonathan Isaac misses three point jump shot50
55
Q2 - 1:26RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes two point layup (Danny Green assists)50
55
Q2 - 1:30MagicEvan Fournier turnover (lost ball) (Danny Green steals)50
53
Q2 - 1:49RaptorsMarc Gasol makes regular free throw 1 of 150
53
Q2 - 1:49Magic lineup change (Khem Birch, Jonathan Isaac, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, Michael Carter-Williams)50
52
Q2 - 1:49MagicNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Marc Gasol draws the foul)50
52
Q2 - 1:49RaptorsMarc Gasol makes three point jump shot (Kawhi Leonard assists)50
52
Q2 - 1:51RaptorsKawhi Leonard offensive rebound50
49
Q2 - 1:54RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot50
49
Q2 - 2:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)50
49
Q2 - 2:10RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound50
49
Q2 - 2:14MagicAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround jump shot50
49
Q2 - 2:22Magic lineup change (Jonathan Isaac, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, Michael Carter-Williams, Nikola Vucevic)50
49
Q2 - 2:22RaptorsKyle Lowry personal foul (Jonathan Isaac draws the foul)50
49
Q2 - 2:25RaptorsKyle Lowry personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)50
49
Q2 - 2:27MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound50
49
Q2 - 2:29RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses two point layup50
49
Q2 - 2:45MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (offensive foul)50
49
Q2 - 2:45MagicD.J. Augustin offensive foul (Off the ball) (Marc Gasol draws the foul)50
49
Q2 - 2:58RaptorsDanny Green makes two point jump shot (Marc Gasol assists)50
49
Q2 - 3:15Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Jonathan Isaac, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic)50
47
Q2 - 3:15Raptors 60 second timeout50
47
Q2 - 3:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)50
47
Q2 - 3:15RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound50
47
Q2 - 3:15MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point putback layup50
47
Q2 - 3:15MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound50
47
Q2 - 3:18MagicD.J. Augustin misses two point driving layup50
47
Q2 - 3:41Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Terrence Ross, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic)50
47
Q2 - 3:41RaptorsDanny Green turnover (traveling)50
47
Q2 - 3:52MagicAaron Gordon turnover (lost ball) (Danny Green steals)50
47
Q2 - 3:58MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound50
47
Q2 - 4:02RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot50
47
Q2 - 4:11MagicWes Iwundu turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)50
47
Q2 - 4:18RaptorsDanny Green turnover (bad pass) (Terrence Ross steals)50
47
Q2 - 4:22MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (bad pass) (Fred VanVleet steals)50
47
Q2 - 4:41RaptorsDanny Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)50
47
Q2 - 4:44RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound50
47
Q2 - 4:46MagicD.J. Augustin misses two point reverse layup50
47
Q2 - 5:00RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 150
47
Q2 - 5:00MagicNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Kawhi Leonard draws the foul)50
46
Q2 - 5:00RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes two point layup50
46
Q2 - 5:03RaptorsKawhi Leonard offensive rebound50
44
Q2 - 5:04RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses two point driving layup50
44
Q2 - 5:11RaptorsKawhi Leonard defensive rebound50
44
Q2 - 5:14MagicD.J. Augustin misses three point jump shot50
44
Q2 - 5:14MagicWes Iwundu offensive rebound50
44
Q2 - 5:14MagicDanny Green blocks Nikola Vucevic's two point layup50
44
Q2 - 5:26MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound50
44
Q2 - 5:29RaptorsKawhi Leonard misses two point fadeaway jump shot50
44
Q2 - 5:35RaptorsKawhi Leonard defensive rebound50
44
Q2 - 5:39MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot50
44
Q2 - 5:56RaptorsKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 250
44
Q2 - 5:56Raptors lineup change (Fred VanVleet, Kyle Lowry, Marc Gasol, Kawhi Leonard, Danny Green)50
43
Q2 - 5:56RaptorsKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 250
43
Q2 - 5:56MagicWes Iwundu shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)50
43
Q2 - 6:08MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)50
43
Q2 - 6:22Stoppage (Out of bounds)47
43
Q2 - 6:22MagicMagic defensive rebound47
43
Q2 - 6:22RaptorsAaron Gordon blocks Kawhi Leonard's two point driving layup47
43
Q2 - 6:38MagicD.J. Augustin personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)47
43
Q2 - 6:41RaptorsDanny Green defensive rebound47
43
Q2 - 6:44MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot47
43
Q2 - 6:59Raptors lineup change (Serge Ibaka, Fred VanVleet, Kyle Lowry, Kawhi Leonard, Danny Green)47
43
Q2 - 6:59Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Terrence Ross, Wes Iwundu, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Vucevic)47
43
Q2 - 6:59Magic 60 second timeout47
43
Q2 - 7:06RaptorsPascal Siakam makes two point layup47
43
Q2 - 7:08RaptorsPascal Siakam offensive rebound47
41
Q2 - 7:09RaptorsJonathan Isaac blocks Pascal Siakam's two point driving layup47
41
Q2 - 7:23RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound47
41
Q2 - 7:23MagicEvan Fournier misses two point putback layup47
41
Q2 - 7:24MagicEvan Fournier offensive rebound47
41
Q2 - 7:27MagicEvan Fournier misses two point hook shot47
41
Q2 - 7:44RaptorsFred VanVleet makes two point reverse layup47
41
Q2 - 8:09MagicKhem Birch makes two point driving dunk (Terrence Ross assists)47
39
Q2 - 8:15MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound45
39
Q2 - 8:20RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot45
39
Q2 - 8:23RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound45
39
Q2 - 8:25MagicTerrence Ross misses two point step back jump shot45
39
Q2 - 8:46RaptorsFred VanVleet makes three point jump shot (Serge Ibaka assists)45
39
Q2 - 8:53MagicTerrence Ross personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)45
36
Q2 - 9:09MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)45
36
Q2 - 9:13RaptorsNorman Powell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)42
36
Q2 - 9:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)42
36
Q2 - 9:24RaptorsRaptors defensive rebound42
36
Q2 - 9:25MagicMichael Carter-Williams misses three point jump shot42
36
Q2 - 9:40RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 2 of 242
36
Q2 - 9:40Raptors lineup change (Serge Ibaka, Pascal Siakam, Norman Powell, Fred VanVleet, Kyle Lowry)42
35
Q2 - 9:40RaptorsFred VanVleet makes regular free throw 1 of 242
35
Q2 - 9:40MagicMichael Carter-Williams shooting foul (Fred VanVleet draws the foul)42
34
Q2 - 9:42RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound42
34
Q2 - 9:44MagicEvan Fournier misses two point finger roll layup42
34
Q2 - 10:03RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes three point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)42
34
Q2 - 10:22MagicEvan Fournier makes two point jump shot42
31
Q2 - 10:31MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound40
31
Q2 - 10:35RaptorsNorman Powell misses three point jump shot40
31
Q2 - 10:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)40
31
Q2 - 10:37RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound40
31
Q2 - 10:37RaptorsJonathan Isaac blocks Serge Ibaka's two point dunk40
31
Q2 - 11:02MagicKhem Birch makes two point dunk (Michael Carter-Williams assists)40
31
Q2 - 11:05RaptorsFred VanVleet turnover (bad pass) (Jonathan Isaac steals)38
31
Q2 - 11:32MagicEvan Fournier makes two point jump shot (Jonathan Isaac assists)38
31
Q2 - 11:37RaptorsPascal Siakam personal foul (Jonathan Isaac draws the foul)36
31
Q2 - 11:47RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)36
31
Q2 - 12:00Magic lineup change (Khem Birch, Terrence Ross, Jonathan Isaac, Evan Fournier, Michael Carter-Williams)36
29
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.36
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MagicWes Iwundu turnover (bad pass) (Norman Powell steals)36
29
Q1 - 0:01.0RaptorsNorman Powell personal foul (Take) (Michael Carter-Williams draws the foul)36
29
Q1 - 0:03.0MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound36
29
Q1 - 0:07.0RaptorsFred VanVleet misses three point jump shot36
29
Q1 - 0:25.0RaptorsJeremy Lin defensive rebound36
29
Q1 - 0:28.0MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot36
29
Q1 - 0:32.0MagicWes Iwundu offensive rebound36
29
Q1 - 0:37.0MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot36
29
Q1 - 0:40.0MagicMichael Carter-Williams defensive rebound36
29
Q1 - 0:43.0RaptorsSerge Ibaka misses two point jump shot36
29
Q1 - 0:55.0MagicKhem Birch makes two point floating jump shot (Michael Carter-Williams assists)36
29
Q1 - 1:11RaptorsSerge Ibaka makes two point jump shot (Fred VanVleet assists)34
29
Q1 - 1:28MagicMichael Carter-Williams makes two point jump shot34
27
Q1 - 1:33MagicMichael Carter-Williams defensive rebound32
27
Q1 - 1:36RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point jump shot32
27
Q1 - 1:49Raptors lineup change (Serge Ibaka, Pascal Siakam, Norman Powell, Fred VanVleet, Jeremy Lin)32
27
Q1 - 1:49MagicKhem Birch turnover (out of bounds lost ball)32
27
Q1 - 1:56MagicMichael Carter-Williams offensive rebound32
27
Q1 - 1:59MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot32
27
Q1 - 2:08MagicJonathan Isaac defensive rebound32
27
Q1 - 2:10RaptorsMarc Gasol misses two point turnaround jump shot32
27
Q1 - 2:29RaptorsSerge Ibaka defensive rebound32
27
Q1 - 2:33MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot32
27
Q1 - 2:43Raptors lineup change (Serge Ibaka, Norman Powell, Fred VanVleet, Marc Gasol, Danny Green)32
27
Q1 - 2:43Magic lineup change (Khem Birch, Terrence Ross, Wes Iwundu, Jonathan Isaac, Michael Carter-Williams)32
27
Q1 - 2:43Magic 60 second timeout32
27
Q1 - 2:43MagicMagic offensive rebound32
27
Q1 - 2:43MagicDanny Green blocks Michael Carter-Williams's two point driving layup32
27
Q1 - 3:00RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Kawhi Leonard assists)32
27
Q1 - 3:07Raptors lineup change (Serge Ibaka, Fred VanVleet, Marc Gasol, Kawhi Leonard, Danny Green)32
24
Q1 - 3:07Magic lineup change (Terrence Ross, Wes Iwundu, Aaron Gordon, Michael Carter-Williams, Nikola Vucevic)32
24
Q1 - 3:07RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes technical free throw 1 of 132
24
Q1 - 3:07MagicMagic technical foul (Defensive three second)32
23
Q1 - 3:21MagicD.J. Augustin makes two point floating jump shot32
23
Q1 - 3:37RaptorsKawhi Leonard makes two point layup30
23
Q1 - 3:49MagicWes Iwundu makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)30
21
Q1 - 4:18RaptorsKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Kawhi Leonard assists)27
21
Q1 - 4:48MagicWes Iwundu makes two point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)27
18
Q1 - 5:01Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Terrence Ross, Wes Iwundu, Aaron Gordon, Nikola Vucevic)25
18
Q1 - 5:01RaptorsDanny Green personal foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)25
18
Q1 - 5:02MagicD.J. Augustin defensive rebound25
18
Q1 - 5:07RaptorsDanny Green misses three point jump shot25
18
Q1 - 5:19RaptorsKawhi Leonard defensive rebound25
18
Q1 - 5:21MagicNikola Vucevic misses regular free throw 2 of 225
18
Q1 - 5:21MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 1 of 225
18
Q1 - 5:21RaptorsMarc Gasol shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)24
18
Q1 - 5:43RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)24
18
Q1 - 5:45Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Wes Iwundu, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic)24
15
Q1 - 5:45Stoppage (Out of bounds)24
15
Q1 - 5:57MagicEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)24
15
Q1 - 6:14Stoppage (Blood rule)21
15
Q1 - 6:15RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Kawhi Leonard assists)21
15
Q1 - 6:25Raptors 60 second timeout21
12
Q1 - 6:25MagicEvan Fournier makes two point dunk (D.J. Augustin assists)21
12
Q1 - 6:26MagicD.J. Augustin defensive rebound19
12
Q1 - 6:28RaptorsAaron Gordon blocks Marc Gasol's two point layup19
12
Q1 - 6:42MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point putback layup19
12
Q1 - 6:43MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound17
12
Q1 - 6:47MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot17
12
Q1 - 6:52MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound17
12
Q1 - 6:54MagicD.J. Augustin misses two point driving hook shot17
12
Q1 - 7:12RaptorsDanny Green makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)17
12
Q1 - 7:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)17
10
Q1 - 7:31MagicJonathan Isaac makes three point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)17
10
Q1 - 7:35MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound14
10
Q1 - 7:38RaptorsPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup14
10
Q1 - 7:49RaptorsKyle Lowry defensive rebound14
10
Q1 - 7:49MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot14
10
Q1 - 7:51MagicEvan Fournier defensive rebound14
10
Q1 - 7:55RaptorsJonathan Isaac blocks Pascal Siakam's two point turnaround jump shot14
10
Q1 - 8:03MagicAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)14
10
Q1 - 8:21RaptorsMarc Gasol makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)12
10
Q1 - 8:31MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)12
8
Q1 - 8:51RaptorsMarc Gasol makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)12
8
Q1 - 8:53Stoppage (Out of bounds)12
5
Q1 - 8:53RaptorsRaptors offensive rebound12
5
Q1 - 8:54RaptorsAaron Gordon blocks Kawhi Leonard's two point jump shot12
5
Q1 - 9:05MagicEvan Fournier makes two point layup (D.J. Augustin assists)12
5
Q1 - 9:11RaptorsPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Jonathan Isaac steals)10
5
Q1 - 9:27MagicJonathan Isaac makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)10
5
Q1 - 9:43RaptorsDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)7
5
Q1 - 9:47RaptorsMarc Gasol defensive rebound7
2
Q1 - 9:50MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point driving hook shot7
2
Q1 - 10:00RaptorsDanny Green makes two point floating jump shot (Kawhi Leonard assists)7
2
Q1 - 10:11MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)7
0
Q1 - 10:18MagicAaron Gordon defensive rebound7
0
Q1 - 10:22RaptorsPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot7
0
Q1 - 10:45MagicAaron Gordon makes two point dunk (Jonathan Isaac assists)7
0
Q1 - 10:50Stoppage (Out of bounds)5
0
Q1 - 10:57MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound5
0
Q1 - 11:00RaptorsKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot5
0
Q1 - 11:18MagicD.J. Augustin makes three point jump shot (Evan Fournier assists)5
0
Q1 - 11:26MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:29RaptorsMarc Gasol misses two point layup2
0
Q1 - 11:46MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point driving hook shot (Aaron Gordon assists)2
0
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Vucevic vs. Marc Gasol (Jonathan Isaac gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Raptors lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Kyle Lowry, Marc Gasol, Kawhi Leonard, Danny Green)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Jonathan Isaac, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic)0
0
ClockTeamEventORLTOR
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.06 52.9%
TOR
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
18
31
58%
TOR
12
25
48%
Midrange
ORL
13
29
45%
TOR
11
22
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
TOR
19
28.5
37
51%
77%
Free Throws
ORL
11
15
73%
TOR
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Fournier2158%10.5 / 18
W. Iwundu16114%8.0 / 7
N. Vučević1343%6.5 / 15
K. Birch1169%5.5 / 8
J. Isaac867%4.0 / 6
D. Augustin844%4.0 / 9
M. Carter-Williams840%4.0 / 10
A. Gordon643%3.0 / 7
T. Ross630%3.0 / 10
J. Martin563%2.5 / 4
A. Jefferson583%2.5 / 3
J. Grant233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Green2997%14.5 / 15
K. Leonard1558%7.5 / 13
S. Ibaka1575%7.5 / 10
M. Gasol1372%6.5 / 9
K. Lowry1275%6.0 / 8
F. VanVleet1071%5.0 / 7
N. Powell758%3.5 / 6
P. Siakam630%3.0 / 10
J. Lin542%2.5 / 6
J. Loyd583%2.5 / 3
J. Meeks233%1.0 / 3
C. Boucher250%1.0 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
88
+15
-13
103
TOR
85
+8
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.06 52.9%
TOR
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
22
108.5
5
113.1
ORL 107.9
TOR 122.2 +14.3
Pace
23
98.4
15
100.2
ORL 96.2
TOR 104.2 +8.0
Avg. Poss. Time
4
15.1
18
14.4
ORL 15.0
TOR 13.8 −1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
20
51.8%
3
54.3%
ORL 52.7%
TOR 61.3% +8.6%
TO %
6
12.7%
13
13.2%
ORL 11.5% −1.5%
TOR 13.0%
ORB %
19
21.9%
23
21.8%
ORL 25.0% +10.4%
TOR 14.6%
FTrt
29
21.6
21
24.7
ORL 16.1
TOR 26.2 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
5
63.2%
14
60.3%
ORL 74.4% +0.6%
TOR 73.8%
STL %
24
6.7%
8
8.2%
ORL 6.9%
TOR 9.1% +2.2%
BLK %
7
9.5%
13
9.1%
ORL 17.0% +3.7%
TOR 13.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
23
53.8%
4
56.5%
ORL 52.9%
TOR 64.4% +11.5%
Rim FG%
10
61.6%
12
61.6%
ORL 58.1% +10.1%
TOR 48.0%
Mid FG%
14
40.3%
4
43.1%
ORL 44.8%
TOR 50.0% +5.2%
3P %
11
35.6%
6
36.6%
ORL 36.4%
TOR 51.4% +15.0%
FT %
12
78.2%
3
80.4%
ORL 73.3%
TOR 81.8% +8.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28
31.9%
20
36.4%
ORL 33.3% +3.6%
TOR 29.8%
Mid Att. %
26
32.1%
9
25.6%
ORL 31.2%
TOR 26.2% −5.0%
3P Att. %
14
36.0%
10
37.9%
ORL 35.5%
TOR 44.0% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLTOR
Possessions10199
Possession Minutes25.222.8
Points109121
Rebounds4639
Assists3231
Steals79
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)14 (0)
Fouls2120
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)33 (4)
Field Goals43-9342-84
At-the-Rim FG18-3112-25
Midrange FG13-2911-22
2-Point FG31-6023-47
3-Point FG12-3319-37
Free Throws11-1518-22
Fast Break Pts2311
2nd Chance Pts619
Points in Paint4632
Pts off Turnovers1810
Bench Points5346
Biggest Lead1124

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#10 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 26
30.3
21
58%
4
4
0
0
1
3
1
3
4-4
100%
7-13
54%
1-3
33%
#1 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 21
29.5
8
67%
4
2
3
3
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
#00 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 24
27.8
6
43%
4
3
0
3
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
#9 · C · 6'9" 265 · 28
26.0
13
43%
13
3
0
0
2
2
3
10
1-2
50%
3-11
27%
2-3
67%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 183 · 31
22.6
8
44%
2
6
0
0
4
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-4
50%
#7 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 27
25.4
8
40%
5
6
1
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
#31 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 28
24.4
6
30%
2
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-8
25%
#25 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 24
20.5
16
114%
3
2
0
0
2
2
3
0
0-0
-
5-5
100%
2-2
100%
#24 · C · 6'9" 220 · 27
16.3
11
69%
4
2
0
1
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
#22 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 26
5.8
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#2 · PF · 6'10" 239 · 25
5.8
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#11 · PF · 6'9" 224 · 26
5.8
5
83%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#35 · SF · 6'6" 198 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Assignment
#3 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23
Inactive - G League Team | Two-Way
#20 · PG · 6'4" 209 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Thoracic Outlet Syndrome
#13 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Torn Meniscus, Right Knee
#21 · C · 7'1" 275 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
#5 · C · 7'0" 231 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Stress Fracture, Left Tibia
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
53%
46
32
7
8
13
21
11
35
11-15
73%
31-60
52%
12-33
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.