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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 2, 2019
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Rockets62%115130
20Kings38%111105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 29.6
29
34
36
3
10
1
2
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
5-7
7-13
71%
53%
7-12
58%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 33.9
28
29
7
5
12
2
2
1
2
0
5
0-1
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
1-7
14%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 33.9
27
30
13
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.3
26
30
19
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
5-10
50%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
26
34
7
13
1
2
1
0
0
3
10
1-1
100%
3-5
7-11
60%
64%
0-0
-
Danuel House Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.8
29
22
19
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
57%
4-10
40%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
22
21
6
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
2-4
50%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 28.8
22
19
8
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 29.4
21
8
12
11
1
1
0
0
1
2
9
1-2
50%
4-4
2-3
100%
56%
1-2
50%
Gary Clark
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
6
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
0-3
0%
Chris Chiozza
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.4
5
3
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-1
100%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
8
0
1-2
57%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 33.2
7
0
0-1
52%
Vincent Edwards
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.0
Trevon Duval
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.7
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 20.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 25.3
33
31
20
7
5
0
1
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
4-9
44%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 26.8
28
33
10
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
0-2
0%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.3
24
32
9
2
5
0
1
1
4
1
1
3-4
75%
3-7
6-11
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.6
21
27
2
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-7
4-7
14%
55%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.9
19
21
12
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
6-7
2-4
86%
53%
0-0
-
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.1
28
26
19
8
1
0
1
1
0
3
5
3-5
60%
5-14
6-11
36%
56%
2-4
50%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.6
26
28
10
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 25.9
19
14
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 33.1
16
15
6
10
1
1
1
1
2
7
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
52%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.1
10
14
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 27.7
6
5
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 25.0
6
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 22.0
5
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 24.3
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 20.9
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.0
BJ Johnson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.