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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 2, 2019
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets
102
1Warriors
116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
29
27
17
4
3
5
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
1-5
20%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
28
29
10
5
6
4
1
0
6
2
3
2-3
67%
4-7
7-12
57%
56%
0-3
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
26
27
10
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-2
0%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
25
30
6
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
52%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
20
28
11
8
2
0
1
1
1
4
4
1-1
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
51%
2-5
40%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
23
23
3
5
3
3
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
58%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
18
15
5
2
2
2
0
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
55%
0-2
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
18
10
7
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
0-2
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
16
24
10
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
53%
1-2
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
13
18
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
10
4
10
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
0-4
1-1
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
7
3
10
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
4-4
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
7
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-1
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.8
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.2
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.5
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.1
30
31
17
4
5
3
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
4-6
100%
54%
5-10
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.1
30
31
6
9
9
1
1
2
4
1
8
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-2
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 29.1
29
31
13
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-8
5-9
63%
52%
1-7
14%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.6
29
20
28
13
5
2
1
2
5
5
8
2-4
50%
10-13
3-7
77%
51%
2-4
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.5
21
30
21
3
6
0
1
2
0
0
3
1-1
100%
7-8
5-9
88%
58%
2-5
40%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.2
19
17
0
4
4
1
1
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
62%
0-0
-
Alfonzo McKinnie
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
17
12
5
5
1
1
0
0
2
3
2
0-1
0%
1-4
1-2
25%
58%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 33.6
15
14
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 26.0
14
18
4
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.2
12
15
10
5
1
2
0
2
2
3
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
62%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 32.1
12
10
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
2-3
67%
Jordan Bell
C-F · 6'9" 224 · 24.2
6
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 34.3
4
10
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
55%
0-0
-
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.4
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.8
Jacob Evans
G · 6'6" 199 · 21.8
Marcus Derrickson
F · 6'7" 249 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.