FinalWin Prob.pScore
1052%105
108
1848%104
89
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
111.39791.8
DET logo DET
92.796101.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

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PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDET
Q4 - End of 4th Quarter.108
89
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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 52.9%
DET
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
28
45
62%
DET
16
28
57%
Midrange
IND
9
26
35%
DET
4
11
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
DET
11
16.5
41
27%
40%
Free Throws
IND
16
22
73%
DET
16
24
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young2170%10.5 / 15
B. Bogdanovic1753%8.5 / 16
M. Turner1785%8.5 / 10
D. Sabonis1563%7.5 / 12
D. McDermott14100%7.0 / 7
A. Holiday735%3.5 / 10
C. Joseph633%3.0 / 9
T. Evans619%3.0 / 16
T. Leaf5250%2.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond2870%14.0 / 20
W. Ellington2492%12.0 / 13
R. Jackson1657%8.0 / 14
L. Kennard1056%5.0 / 9
L. Galloway623%3.0 / 13
I. Smith319%1.5 / 8
T. Maker220%1.0 / 5
B. Brown0-0.0 / 3
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
86
+17
-11
103
DET
78
+15
-18
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 52.9%
DET
0.95 47.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
109.0
IND 111.3
DET 92.7 +18.6
Pace
98.2
97.3
IND 91.8
DET 101.7 +9.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.2
IND 15.7
DET 14.2 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
50.8%
IND 50.0% +4.4%
DET 45.6%
TO %
13.5%
13.2%
IND 9.8% +8.3%
DET 18.1%
ORB %
21.9%
24.9%
IND 22.2%
DET 24.4% +2.2%
FTrt
24.2
26.1
IND 23.9
DET 30.0 +6.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
57.9%
IND 72.1% +4.4%
DET 67.7%
STL %
8.9%
7.1%
IND 9.3% +3.0%
DET 6.3%
BLK %
9.2%
7.1%
IND 10.3% +3.3%
DET 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
53.0%
IND 52.9% +5.6%
DET 47.3%
Rim FG%
60.4%
57.5%
IND 62.2% +5.1%
DET 57.1%
Mid FG%
41.1%
38.4%
IND 34.6%
DET 36.4% +1.8%
3P %
37.4%
34.8%
IND 28.6% +1.8%
DET 26.8%
FT %
75.1%
74.7%
IND 72.7% +6.0%
DET 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.7%
36.7%
IND 48.9% +13.9%
DET 35.0%
Mid Att. %
32.2%
23.9%
IND 28.3%
DET 13.8% +14.5%
3P Att. %
29.1%
39.4%
IND 22.8%
DET 51.2% +28.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDET
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points10889
Rebounds4446
Assists3121
Steals96
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)18 (2)
Fouls1825
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals43-9231-80
At-the-Rim FG28-4516-28
Midrange FG9-264-11
2-Point FG37-7120-39
3-Point FG6-2111-41
Free Throws16-2216-24
Fast Break Pts118
2nd Chance Pts1723
Points in Paint6236
Pts off Turnovers2011
Bench Points4119
Biggest Lead213

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#21 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31
34.9
21
70%
8
4
2
0
0
2
2
6
1-1
100%
7-10
70%
2-5
40%
#6 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28
34.3
6
33%
6
12
1
0
3
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
#44 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 30
34.1
17
53%
4
3
1
1
2
2
0
4
3-4
75%
7-12
58%
0-3
0%
#12 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 30
28.1
6
19%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
4-6
67%
1-9
11%
0-4
0%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 23
25.3
17
85%
5
1
0
1
0
4
2
3
5-7
71%
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 23
28.9
7
35%
3
6
2
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
25%
1-3
33%
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23
27.3
15
63%
13
2
1
0
2
1
4
9
1-1
100%
7-11
64%
0-1
0%
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 27
21.3
14
100%
0
2
0
1
2
2
0
0
0-1
0%
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 22
5.8
5
250%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#24 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · C · 6'10" 250 · 29
DNP - Coach's Decision
#32 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'2" 185 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Groin
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hamstring Strain
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
53%
44
31
9
4
11
18
10
34
16-22
73%
37-71
52%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.