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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 3, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Spurs37%11085
10Nuggets63%114113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.7
24
35
16
6
1
0
1
3
1
0
6
4-4
100%
6-10
8-16
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
24
29
7
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
1-2
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
24
34
11
1
3
1
1
2
2
0
1
3-5
60%
4-7
7-15
57%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.8
18
28
5
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 23.5
17
14
3
7
1
1
0
2
0
6
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
63%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 26.4
27
19
11
2
2
3
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
1-1
80%
51%
0-4
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 32.6
20
26
9
8
2
1
1
0
1
3
5
3-5
60%
3-10
4-8
30%
51%
0-3
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.6
20
22
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.3
16
5
16
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
1-1
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.0
15
24
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-4
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.1
12
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.9
12
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-1
0%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.2
12
3
0
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.0
Ben Moore
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.9
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
30
27
14
6
11
1
1
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
30
28
11
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
29
29
20
11
9
0
1
0
5
0
11
2-3
67%
9-9
7-11
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.2
23
26
11
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
3-6
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.1
21
25
3
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
3-7
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
26
21
19
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
55%
3-5
60%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.3
25
17
19
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
4-6
2-3
67%
56%
3-8
38%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
22
16
0
7
2
0
0
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
0-1
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
19
23
9
6
4
1
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
60%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
6
14
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
6
7
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
5
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.1
7
0
1-2
50%
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.2
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.8
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.5
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.