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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 9, 2019
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets44%107108
5Jazz56%109118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
31
30
22
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
6-15
4-9
40%
48%
3-6
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
22
26
15
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
6-12
3-6
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.2
22
25
5
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-5
3-7
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.3
21
23
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
16
31
2
5
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-2
0%
1-6
7-12
17%
56%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
34
26
10
8
8
2
1
0
1
0
8
2-5
40%
4-7
4-6
57%
57%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
31
21
25
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
53%
5-6
83%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
30
21
22
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
6-8
3-5
75%
52%
2-5
40%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
21
21
3
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
55%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
10
13
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
3
8
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
16
0
2-4
52%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.2
13
0
2-4
47%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.8
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.2
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 25.8
37
28
8
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
1-5
20%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.6
36
33
46
7
4
2
1
0
4
2
5
13-16
81%
9-18
6-12
50%
50%
5-8
63%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 31.5
35
31
10
6
13
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 26.8
35
33
20
10
1
1
1
2
0
2
8
6-9
67%
7-12
6-9
58%
65%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 27.7
22
18
16
7
1
1
1
0
3
3
4
2-3
67%
7-11
4-6
64%
60%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.8
25
22
7
7
1
0
1
1
1
0
7
2-3
67%
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 25.8
22
21
7
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
1-2
50%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 23.5
13
16
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 34.9
12
23
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 31.9
2
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Naz Mitrou-Long
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Cavanaugh
F · 6'9" 238 · 25.2
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 38.1
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.7
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 21.2
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 26.9
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.