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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 10, 2019
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Timberwolves21%10695
4Nuggets79%11799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 24.1
36.0
31.1
25
61%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-1
0%
8-14
5-11
57%
46%
3-6
50%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 29.2
34.5
22.2
18
45%
11
2
3
1
0
5
4
7
0-0
-
6-16
4-8
38%
51%
2-4
50%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 22.9
34.3
29.8
8
33%
1
8
0
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 25.0
29.3
26.5
11
38%
7
3
0
1
0
1
1
6
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-5
0%
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 20.6
17.1
24.1
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Cameron Reynolds
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
25.9
15.0
19
86%
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
5-7
71%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 33.9
21.1
19.1
3
30%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-5
20%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 23.2
18.6
21.4
4
50%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Williams
F-G · 6'5" 230 · 29.2
17.6
9.9
6
150%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
2-2
100%
Jared Terrell
G · 6'3" 215 · 24.2
5.7
11.4
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Mitchell Creek
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
7.7
0
1-2
47%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
5.9
0
1-2
55%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 23.4
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 34.0
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.3
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 30.8
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
38.9
24.5
14
53%
3
1
1
1
1
3
2
1
4-5
80%
5-8
3-6
63%
54%
0-3
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
36.6
25.2
29
54%
14
2
3
1
0
4
3
11
2-2
100%
12-19
6-10
63%
59%
1-7
14%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.1
34.6
30.0
17
62%
8
7
0
1
1
2
2
6
2-4
50%
3-5
5-10
60%
51%
3-7
43%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.3
32.9
22.5
10
46%
9
4
1
1
1
1
1
8
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.2
32.4
23.8
9
57%
8
3
0
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
53%
2-3
67%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
21.1
24.1
7
44%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
56%
1-1
100%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.4
16.5
24.5
7
35%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
57%
1-7
14%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
14.4
28.5
2
50%
6
2
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
60%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
12.6
21.1
4
106%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
58%
1-1
100%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.5
12.1
0
1-1
56%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.4
10.8
0
2-3
55%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.2
9.2
0
1-3
50%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.0
6.6
0
1-2
55%
Tyler Lydon
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.0
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 20.8
Thomas Welsh
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.2
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.