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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 23, 2019
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Thunder32%10595
6Jazz68%111100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 21.3
36.8
28.0
26
51%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-6
50%
7-16
3-7
44%
48%
3-7
43%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.5
30.1
29.2
22
66%
8
3
1
2
0
1
1
7
4-4
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
4-7
57%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 31.2
28.3
26.4
21
69%
7
2
1
1
0
1
0
7
5-5
100%
5-8
3-8
63%
45%
2-5
40%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.3
27.7
32.6
3
14%
11
2
1
1
0
2
3
8
1-6
17%
1-8
5-9
13%
57%
0-0
-
Terrance Ferguson
G · 6'7" 184 · 21.4
23.9
26.0
2
114%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 26.1
30.7
25.6
3
19%
6
4
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Hamidou Diallo
G · 6'5" 197 · 21.2
23.0
11.1
12
61%
3
0
1
0
0
3
1
2
2-4
50%
5-7
1-3
71%
46%
0-1
0%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 19.4
19.3
10.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 28.3
15.6
17.6
4
35%
4
2
0
0
2
1
0
4
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-3
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
4.7
14.9
2
100%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Abdel Nader
F · 6'6" 230 · 26.1
8.0
0
1-1
44%
Deonte Burton
G-F · 6'5" 250 · 25.7
5.5
0
1-1
44%
Justin Patton
C · 7'0" 236 · 22.4
5.1
0
1-1
50%
Devon Hall
G · 6'6" 206 · 24.3
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 20.5
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.3
37.9
31.7
7
48%
14
0
0
1
1
4
3
11
1-3
33%
3-6
5-8
50%
64%
0-0
-
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
36.4
33.7
32
67%
12
3
1
1
0
1
5
7
3-4
75%
13-19
6-12
68%
48%
1-3
33%
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 26.4
30.1
21.1
14
117%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
55%
2-2
100%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 32.0
26.7
28.4
5
14%
0
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
1-10
4-8
10%
48%
0-6
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.5
23.9
27.3
16
52%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
52%
1-5
20%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 32.1
32.6
28.4
7
44%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
23.0
20.9
12
55%
2
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
16.6
19.3
5
43%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-4
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
10.1
11.3
2
26%
6
0
0
0
2
1
3
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
59%
0-0
-
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 26.3
2.7
6.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Nigel Williams-Goss
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
6.6
0
1-1
48%
Stanton Kidd
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
5.5
0
1-1
50%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 21.8
2.6
0
0-1
52%
Justin Wright-Foreman
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.0
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.3
Miye Oni
G · 6'6" 206 · 22.2
Jarrell Brantley
F · 6'5" 250 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.