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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
October 29, 2019
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks41%113109
6Nuggets59%116106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 24.2
33.0
29.2
10
35%
14
3
0
1
2
2
2
12
1-1
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
46%
1-8
13%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 20.7
32.5
34.9
12
39%
4
5
2
1
0
4
2
2
5-8
63%
2-6
5-11
33%
50%
1-6
17%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
25.3
20.8
10
63%
2
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.5
23.5
26.4
12
86%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
2-2
100%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.3
13.6
25.4
4
53%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-4
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
63%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.7
30.3
24.5
14
56%
7
1
1
1
3
1
1
6
1-1
100%
5-8
1-2
63%
57%
1-4
25%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 27.5
24.1
24.5
12
64%
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
5-7
3-5
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 27.6
23.0
23.2
14
78%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
4-6
67%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.6
19.3
16.3
10
125%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
2-2
100%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 23.2
15.5
26.0
11
50%
4
8
0
1
0
0
0
4
3-7
43%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.3
7.2
0
1-2
46%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.1
5.3
0
0-1
47%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 31.2
2.2
0
0-1
57%
Antonius Cleveland
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.7
Josh Reaves
G · 6'5" 214 · 22.4
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.8
36.8
26.2
19
56%
11
1
1
1
0
2
4
7
1-2
50%
6-13
3-6
46%
47%
2-3
67%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.1
34.0
30.3
16
53%
5
4
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
4-10
40%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.7
33.5
32.3
16
58%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
7-9
5-10
78%
48%
0-4
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.7
32.9
29.9
10
56%
10
10
3
1
0
4
2
8
2-2
100%
4-7
7-12
57%
56%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.7
31.3
24.2
23
66%
8
0
0
1
0
0
4
4
1-1
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
51%
4-7
57%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
16.8
24.7
0
0%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
55%
0-4
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
15.0
17.1
7
62%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-6
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 22.9
14.3
20.8
7
44%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
1-3
33%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.3
14.2
15.6
6
60%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
11.2
18.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.3
4.0
0
0-1
52%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.1
2.8
0
0-0
50%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.6
2.2
0
0-0
51%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.0
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.6
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.