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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 1, 2019
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pistons39%112106
21Bulls61%116112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 26.2
35.1
34.3
25
65%
24
2
2
2
3
5
6
18
3-5
60%
11-15
7-13
73%
54%
0-2
0%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.4
32.8
28.3
15
68%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
48%
3-8
38%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 30.2
31.8
27.4
12
47%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
1-6
17%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 28.0
27.3
21.6
6
51%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 29.0
16.8
18.3
3
19%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-7
1-3
14%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 31.1
24.7
22.1
23
68%
1
7
3
1
1
4
0
1
7-9
78%
8-13
6-11
62%
49%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.9
22.5
23.1
11
53%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
2-6
33%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 23.2
21.2
21.7
2
33%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 24.1
14.9
15.5
9
61%
4
0
0
0
3
0
0
4
3-3
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
0-2
0%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 22.7
12.9
14.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Svi Mykhailiuk
F · 6'8" 212 · 22.4
5.6
0
0-1
42%
Khyri Thomas
G · 6'3" 210 · 23.5
1.8
0
0-0
45%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 29.5
Sekou Doumbouya
F · 6'9" 209 · 18.9
Jordan Bone
G · 6'2" 179 · 22.0
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 30.6
Louis King
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.6
32.2
30.4
26
55%
5
3
0
1
0
6
2
3
7-8
88%
5-11
5-10
45%
50%
3-9
33%
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.5
32.1
25.6
16
71%
11
2
0
1
0
0
2
9
3-5
60%
5-8
4-8
63%
53%
1-1
100%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 26.4
31.1
26.2
22
77%
6
4
1
1
0
2
2
4
3-5
60%
5-8
3-6
63%
53%
3-4
75%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.0
26.4
25.3
7
51%
0
6
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
1-2
50%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 22.4
25.2
28.0
14
68%
5
4
2
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
1-2
4-8
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.4
28.7
21.2
8
57%
9
2
3
1
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
2-4
50%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 19.7
19.4
20.8
9
38%
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.6
19.0
20.2
2
25%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.6
15.8
15.9
6
50%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
53%
2-4
50%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 24.3
10.0
15.5
2
25%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 26.0
6.3
0
1-1
45%
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.1
4.0
0
1-1
47%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 21.1
1.2
0
0-0
52%
Adam Mokoka
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.3
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.6
Chandler Hutchison
F · 6'7" 197 · 23.5
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.