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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 15, 2019
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Spurs
109
17Magic
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
37
32
21
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
9-15
7-14
60%
49%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.3
31
31
13
6
2
0
1
5
0
0
6
1-1
100%
3-10
6-12
30%
51%
2-3
67%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
29
25
12
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
2-4
0%
48%
4-7
57%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
27
20
8
12
0
0
1
0
2
5
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
2-4
50%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 23.2
21
22
10
5
6
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-5
3-7
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
22
25
3
1
4
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.2
21
22
14
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
2-5
40%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.3
19
21
13
1
1
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
5-6
2-3
83%
48%
1-3
33%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 24.1
17
13
9
5
2
2
0
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
4-4
2-3
100%
61%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.6
16
18
6
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-3
33%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
1-1
100%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.9
4
0
1-1
43%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.7
4
0
1-2
46%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 33.3
4
0
0-1
45%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 20.1
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 19.8
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 29.1
37
33
10
13
4
0
1
3
2
4
9
1-2
50%
3-15
7-13
20%
54%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.2
36
33
14
8
4
0
1
1
2
3
5
5-8
63%
3-9
4-9
33%
52%
1-6
17%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.0
32
30
26
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
4-9
4-7
44%
53%
5-6
83%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.1
31
10
13
13
1
2
0
0
1
5
8
4-6
67%
3-6
1-1
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Markelle Fultz
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.5
25
22
13
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
7-7
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 28.8
28
23
20
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
3-8
38%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 32.0
25
25
10
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Mo Bamba
C · 7'1" 225 · 21.5
11
14
0
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
55%
0-1
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 28.1
9
16
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Wes Iwundu
F · 6'7" 195 · 24.9
7
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Khem Birch
C · 6'9" 220 · 27.1
4
0
0-1
57%
Amile Jefferson
F · 6'9" 224 · 26.5
3
0
0-1
54%
Melvin Frazier Jr.
F · 6'6" 198 · 23.2
2
0
0-1
51%
Josh Magette
G · 6'1" 160 · 30.0
BJ Johnson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
Jonathan Isaac
F · 6'10" 210 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.