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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 18, 2019
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Spurs
110
11Mavericks
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.3
35
32
16
9
2
0
1
1
1
6
3
2-2
100%
7-13
7-13
54%
52%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
34
34
36
8
4
1
1
0
1
1
7
8-8
100%
14-20
7-15
70%
49%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
31
27
13
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
3-5
60%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 23.2
25
22
8
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.0
11
22
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.3
26
21
9
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
2-8
25%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 24.1
20
16
9
10
2
1
0
0
3
7
3
1-2
50%
4-10
2-4
40%
62%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.7
19
16
5
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
46%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.3
18
22
9
5
2
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
1-3
33%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.4
13
27
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 33.3
8
3
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
1-2
50%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.9
6
0
1-2
45%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.7
2
0
0-1
49%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 20.1
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 19.9
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.5
35
27
22
5
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
3-4
75%
5-6
2-4
83%
56%
3-4
75%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 20.7
35
34
42
11
12
0
1
0
5
2
9
9-13
69%
9-14
6-11
64%
54%
5-13
38%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 24.3
32
32
18
10
1
0
1
0
2
2
8
2-4
50%
2-5
5-11
40%
49%
4-9
44%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.2
27
26
7
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.3
25
22
2
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-4
50%
66%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.8
28
29
8
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
59%
2-3
67%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 27.6
25
20
4
5
1
1
1
2
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 27.7
15
21
0
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 23.2
13
14
11
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
54%
1-3
33%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.6
5
7
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
56%
1-2
50%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 31.3
7
0
1-2
59%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.4
5
0
1-2
48%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.1
2
0
0-0
50%
Josh Reaves
G · 6'5" 214 · 22.5
Antonius Cleveland
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.8
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.2
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.