FinalWin Prob.pScore
1166%116
100
2834%111
97
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
104.29696.4
GSW logo GSW
99.09897.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.100
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:01.6WarriorsShai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Jordan Poole's three point jump shot100
99.2%
97
0.8%
Q4 - 0:22.4ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
91.5%
97
8.5%
Q4 - 0:22.4ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 299
90.3%
97
9.7%
Q4 - 0:22.4WarriorsMarquese Chriss personal foul (Loose ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)98
88.7%
97
11.3%
Q4 - 0:22.4ThunderThunder defensive rebound98
84.2%
97
15.8%
Q4 - 0:23.4WarriorsAlec Burks misses two point driving layup98
79.2%
97
20.8%
Q4 - 0:36.8ThunderChris Paul makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)98
64.7%
97
35.3%
Q4 - 1:00ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound96
51.3%
97
48.7%
Q4 - 1:01WarriorsEric Paschall misses two point jump shot96
45.9%
97
54.1%
Q4 - 1:18ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running layup96
37.0%
97
63.0%
Q4 - 1:22WarriorsAlec Burks turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)94
28.0%
97
72.0%
Q4 - 1:32ThunderSteven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 294
19.7%
97
80.3%
Q4 - 1:32ThunderSteven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 293
16.6%
97
83.4%
Q4 - 1:32WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein personal foul (Loose ball) (Steven Adams draws the foul)93
20.6%
97
79.4%
Q4 - 1:32ThunderThunder offensive rebound93
20.9%
97
79.1%
Q4 - 1:33ThunderChris Paul misses two point floating jump shot93
15.1%
97
84.9%
Q4 - 1:49WarriorsKy Bowman personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)93
22.4%
97
77.6%
Q4 - 1:57WarriorsEric Paschall turnover (offensive foul)93
22.1%
97
77.9%
Q4 - 1:57WarriorsEric Paschall offensive foul (Charge) (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)93
14.4%
97
85.6%
Q4 - 2:17ThunderDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)93
14.4%
97
85.6%
Q4 - 2:23ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound90
7.4%
97
92.6%
Q4 - 2:25WarriorsKy Bowman misses two point driving floating bank jump shot90
6.1%
97
93.9%
Q4 - 2:35ThunderDanilo Gallinari turnover (out of bounds bad pass)90
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 2:42ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound90
7.5%
97
92.5%
Q4 - 2:44WarriorsSteven Adams blocks Ky Bowman's two point driving layup90
6.1%
97
93.9%
Q4 - 3:01ThunderChris Paul makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)90
5.2%
97
94.8%
Q4 - 3:18WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)87
2.6%
97
97.4%
Q4 - 3:30WarriorsEric Paschall defensive rebound87
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 3:32ThunderChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot87
10.7%
94
89.3%
Q4 - 3:38ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound87
13.2%
94
86.8%
Q4 - 3:40WarriorsEric Paschall misses two point driving floating jump shot87
11.8%
94
88.2%
Q4 - 3:52ThunderDanilo Gallinari personal foul (Loose ball) (Alec Burks draws the foul)87
8.9%
94
91.1%
Q4 - 3:52WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound87
8.9%
94
91.1%
Q4 - 3:53ThunderNerlens Noel misses two point jump shot87
9.9%
94
90.1%
Q4 - 4:01ThunderChris Paul offensive rebound87
12.5%
94
87.5%
Q4 - 4:03ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses three point jump shot87
9.7%
94
90.3%
Q4 - 4:13ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound87
12.3%
94
87.7%
Q4 - 4:15WarriorsAlec Burks misses three point pullup jump shot87
11.0%
94
89.0%
Q4 - 4:20WarriorsAlec Burks defensive rebound87
8.5%
94
91.5%
Q4 - 4:22ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot87
9.5%
94
90.5%
Q4 - 4:29ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound87
12.1%
94
87.9%
Q4 - 4:30WarriorsKy Bowman misses two point layup87
10.9%
94
89.1%
Q4 - 4:46WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein defensive rebound87
8.4%
94
91.6%
Q4 - 4:48ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses three point jump shot87
9.3%
94
90.7%
Q4 - 5:05ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound87
16.1%
94
83.9%
Q4 - 5:07WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein misses two point jump shot87
14.7%
94
85.3%
Q4 - 5:09WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound87
12.0%
94
88.0%
Q4 - 5:12WarriorsAlec Burks misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
14.7%
94
85.3%
Q4 - 5:31Jump ball. Alec Burks vs. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Eric Paschall gains possession)87
11.8%
94
88.2%
Q4 - 5:39ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound87
15.9%
94
84.1%
Q4 - 5:41WarriorsNerlens Noel blocks Jordan Poole's two point running layup87
14.5%
94
85.5%
Q4 - 5:50ThunderNerlens Noel makes two point alley-oop layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)87
11.7%
94
88.3%
Q4 - 6:01WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)85
12.0%
94
88.0%
Q4 - 6:27ThunderDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)85
14.7%
92
85.3%
Q4 - 6:36ThunderThunder defensive rebound82
9.0%
92
91.0%
Q4 - 6:37WarriorsNerlens Noel blocks Alec Burks's two point cutting layup82
8.2%
92
91.8%
Q4 - 7:02ThunderTerrance Ferguson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Dennis Schroder assists)82
9.0%
92
91.0%
Q4 - 7:04WarriorsAlec Burks personal foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)80
7.3%
92
92.7%
Q4 - 7:18WarriorsJordan Poole turnover (traveling)80
7.2%
92
92.8%
Q4 - 7:25WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein offensive rebound80
5.4%
92
94.6%
Q4 - 7:27WarriorsJordan Poole misses three point pullup jump shot80
6.5%
92
93.5%
Q4 - 7:45WarriorsJordan Poole defensive rebound80
5.3%
92
94.7%
Q4 - 7:47ThunderDarius Bazley misses three point pullup jump shot80
5.8%
92
94.2%
Q4 - 7:54ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound80
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q4 - 7:56WarriorsKy Bowman misses two point pullup jump shot80
6.5%
92
93.5%
Q4 - 8:17ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot80
6.8%
92
93.2%
Q4 - 8:29ThunderAbdel Nader defensive rebound78
5.3%
92
94.7%
Q4 - 8:31WarriorsOmari Spellman misses three point jump shot78
5.0%
92
95.0%
Q4 - 8:36ThunderNerlens Noel turnover (lost ball) (Glenn Robinson III steals)78
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 8:40ThunderNerlens Noel offensive rebound78
5.3%
92
94.7%
Q4 - 8:42ThunderOmari Spellman blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point driving layup78
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 8:57ThunderThunder defensive rebound78
5.3%
92
94.7%
Q4 - 8:59WarriorsJordan Poole misses three point jump shot78
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 9:07WarriorsMarquese Chriss defensive rebound78
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 9:09ThunderAbdel Nader misses three point jump shot78
5.5%
92
94.5%
Q4 - 9:20WarriorsJordan Poole makes three point jump shot (Marquese Chriss assists)78
6.5%
92
93.5%
Q4 - 9:36WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound78
9.9%
89
90.1%
Q4 - 9:37WarriorsDarius Bazley blocks Glenn Robinson III's two point running layup78
11.5%
89
88.5%
Q4 - 9:39WarriorsGlenn Robinson III defensive rebound78
9.9%
89
90.1%
Q4 - 9:41ThunderOmari Spellman blocks Darius Bazley's two point jump shot78
10.6%
89
89.4%
Q4 - 9:56WarriorsEric Paschall personal foul (Abdel Nader draws the foul)78
12.3%
89
87.7%
Q4 - 9:56WarriorsEric Paschall turnover (lost ball) (Abdel Nader steals)78
12.3%
89
87.7%
Q4 - 10:07WarriorsMarquese Chriss defensive rebound78
11.5%
89
88.5%
Q4 - 10:09ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot78
12.2%
89
87.8%
Q4 - 10:22WarriorsKy Bowman makes three point jump shot (Marquese Chriss assists)78
14.0%
89
86.0%
Q4 - 10:34WarriorsOmari Spellman defensive rebound78
20.2%
86
79.8%
Q4 - 10:36ThunderAbdel Nader misses three point stepback jump shot78
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q4 - 10:56WarriorsJordan Poole makes three point pullup jump shot (Marquese Chriss assists)78
24.3%
86
75.7%
Q4 - 11:12ThunderSteven Adams makes two point cutting dunk (Dennis Schroder assists)78
34.2%
83
65.8%
Q4 - 11:27WarriorsOmari Spellman turnover (traveling)76
29.5%
83
70.5%
Q4 - 11:44ThunderChris Paul makes two point driving floating jump shot76
25.2%
83
74.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.74
21.3%
83
78.7%
Q3 - 0:00.1WarriorsJordan Poole defensive rebound74
20.4%
83
79.6%
Q3 - 0:00.6ThunderSteven Adams misses two point turnaround hook shot74
21.3%
83
78.7%
Q3 - 0:13.6WarriorsKy Bowman makes regular free throw 2 of 274
23.6%
83
76.4%
Q3 - 0:13.6WarriorsKy Bowman makes regular free throw 1 of 274
24.2%
82
75.8%
Q3 - 0:13.6ThunderDennis Schroder shooting foul (Ky Bowman draws the foul)74
24.8%
81
75.2%
Q3 - 0:29.0ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point running layup (Steven Adams assists)74
27.5%
81
72.5%
Q3 - 0:33.8ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound72
23.5%
81
76.5%
Q3 - 0:35.1WarriorsJordan Poole misses two point jump shot72
22.4%
81
77.6%
Q3 - 0:55.8ThunderSteven Adams makes two point tip layup72
20.0%
81
80.0%
Q3 - 0:55.8ThunderSteven Adams offensive rebound70
16.8%
81
83.2%
Q3 - 0:58.7ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point driving reverse layup70
15.0%
81
85.0%
Q3 - 1:13WarriorsOmari Spellman personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)70
19.1%
81
80.9%
Q3 - 1:15ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound70
19.1%
81
80.9%
Q3 - 1:19WarriorsOmari Spellman misses three point jump shot70
18.2%
81
81.8%
Q3 - 1:27WarriorsOmari Spellman defensive rebound70
16.2%
81
83.8%
Q3 - 1:30ThunderChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot70
17.0%
81
83.0%
Q3 - 1:42WarriorsJordan Poole makes regular free throw 2 of 270
19.0%
81
81.0%
Q3 - 1:42WarriorsJordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 270
19.5%
80
80.5%
Q3 - 1:42ThunderChris Paul shooting foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)70
20.0%
79
80.0%
Q3 - 1:45ThunderDennis Schroder turnover (bad pass) (Jordan Poole steals)70
22.1%
79
77.9%
Q3 - 1:54ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound70
25.7%
79
74.3%
Q3 - 1:58WarriorsKy Bowman misses two point driving layup70
24.5%
79
75.5%
Q3 - 2:05WarriorsOmari Spellman defensive rebound70
24.0%
79
76.0%
Q3 - 2:09ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot70
25.1%
79
74.9%
Q3 - 2:22WarriorsMarquese Chriss makes two point driving hook shot (Ky Bowman assists)70
27.8%
79
72.2%
Q3 - 2:34WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound70
31.1%
77
68.9%
Q3 - 2:35WarriorsTerrance Ferguson blocks Marquese Chriss's two point turnaround jump shot70
34.2%
77
65.8%
Q3 - 2:41WarriorsMarquese Chriss defensive rebound70
31.1%
77
68.9%
Q3 - 2:45ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot70
32.4%
77
67.6%
Q3 - 2:49ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound70
35.6%
77
64.4%
Q3 - 2:52WarriorsKy Bowman misses two point jump shot70
34.2%
77
65.8%
Q3 - 3:01WarriorsEric Paschall defensive rebound70
32.6%
77
67.4%
Q3 - 3:03ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point pullup jump shot70
33.9%
77
66.1%
Q3 - 3:17ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound70
36.9%
77
63.1%
Q3 - 3:20WarriorsNerlens Noel blocks Jordan Poole's two point driving layup70
35.6%
77
64.4%
Q3 - 3:42ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)70
32.5%
77
67.5%
Q3 - 4:00WarriorsOmari Spellman makes two point driving finger roll layup (Alec Burks assists)67
25.6%
77
74.4%
Q3 - 4:23ThunderDennis Schroder makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)67
30.5%
75
69.5%
Q3 - 4:31ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound64
24.3%
75
75.7%
Q3 - 4:33WarriorsAlec Burks misses two point driving layup64
23.2%
75
76.8%
Q3 - 4:53ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point stepback jump shot64
20.8%
75
79.2%
Q3 - 5:05ThunderThunder defensive rebound62
20.2%
75
79.8%
Q3 - 5:07WarriorsAlec Burks misses two point jump shot62
19.4%
75
80.6%
Q3 - 5:30ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving floating jump shot62
17.5%
75
82.5%
Q3 - 5:49WarriorsWarriors turnover (shot clock violation)60
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 5:49WarriorsEric Paschall offensive rebound60
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q3 - 5:50WarriorsNerlens Noel blocks Alec Burks's two point driving finger roll layup60
14.7%
75
85.3%
Q3 - 6:13WarriorsEric Paschall defensive rebound60
14.8%
75
85.2%
Q3 - 6:14ThunderChris Paul misses two point pullup jump shot60
15.4%
75
84.6%
Q3 - 6:38WarriorsEric Paschall makes regular free throw 1 of 160
16.9%
75
83.1%
Q3 - 6:38ThunderNerlens Noel shooting foul (Eric Paschall draws the foul)60
17.3%
74
82.7%
Q3 - 6:44WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein defensive rebound60
21.5%
72
78.5%
Q3 - 6:45ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses two point running alley-oop layup60
22.3%
72
77.7%
Q3 - 6:56WarriorsKy Bowman makes three point jump shot (Glenn Robinson III assists)60
24.4%
72
75.6%
Q3 - 7:02WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein defensive rebound60
31.2%
69
68.8%
Q3 - 7:04ThunderEric Paschall blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point driving layup60
32.3%
69
67.7%
Q3 - 7:27WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes two point cutting layup (Ky Bowman assists)60
34.9%
69
65.1%
Q3 - 7:30WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound60
38.0%
67
62.0%
Q3 - 7:31WarriorsTerrance Ferguson blocks Alec Burks's two point driving layup60
40.7%
67
59.3%
Q3 - 7:46ThunderTerrance Ferguson makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Chris Paul assists)60
38.0%
67
62.0%
Q3 - 7:51WarriorsEric Paschall turnover (bad pass) (Chris Paul steals)58
34.8%
67
65.2%
Q3 - 8:04WarriorsEric Paschall defensive rebound58
32.3%
67
67.7%
Q3 - 8:05ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving floating jump shot58
33.4%
67
66.6%
Q3 - 8:23WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein makes two point jump shot (Ky Bowman assists)58
36.0%
67
64.0%
Q3 - 8:38WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound58
38.9%
65
61.1%
Q3 - 8:38ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving finger roll layup58
40.1%
65
59.9%
Q3 - 8:45ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound58
43.0%
65
57.0%
Q3 - 8:47WarriorsGlenn Robinson III misses three point running jump shot58
41.7%
65
58.3%
Q3 - 8:54WarriorsAlec Burks defensive rebound58
38.9%
65
61.1%
Q3 - 8:55ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses two point fadeaway jump shot58
40.1%
65
59.9%
Q3 - 9:09WarriorsEric Paschall makes two point pullup jump shot58
43.8%
65
56.2%
Q3 - 9:23ThunderTerrance Ferguson personal foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)58
46.9%
63
53.1%
Q3 - 9:41ThunderChris Paul turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
46.9%
63
53.1%
Q3 - 9:44ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound58
50.9%
63
49.1%
Q3 - 9:46WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein misses two point layup58
49.7%
63
50.3%
Q3 - 10:07ThunderChris Paul makes three point jump shot (Danilo Gallinari assists)58
48.0%
63
52.0%
Q3 - 10:24WarriorsKy Bowman turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)55
41.6%
63
58.4%
Q3 - 10:25WarriorsKy Bowman offensive rebound55
37.8%
63
62.2%
Q3 - 10:27WarriorsKy Bowman misses two point driving floating jump shot55
40.4%
63
59.6%
Q3 - 10:36ThunderSteven Adams personal foul (Eric Paschall draws the foul)55
37.7%
63
62.3%
Q3 - 10:45ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Ky Bowman draws the foul)55
37.7%
63
62.3%
Q3 - 11:00ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point cutting dunk (Steven Adams assists)55
37.7%
63
62.3%
Q3 - 11:12WarriorsAlec Burks makes two point turnaround jump shot53
36.4%
63
63.6%
Q3 - 11:23WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein defensive rebound53
39.4%
61
60.6%
Q3 - 11:24ThunderSteven Adams misses two point hook shot53
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 11:25ThunderSteven Adams offensive rebound53
42.8%
61
57.2%
Q3 - 11:26ThunderKy Bowman blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point driving layup53
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 11:40WarriorsEric Paschall makes two point pullup jump shot53
42.8%
61
57.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.53
45.9%
59
54.1%
Q2 - 0:01.1ThunderChris Paul makes three point running pullup jump shot53
47.8%
59
52.2%
Q2 - 0:04.6ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound50
40.4%
59
59.6%
Q2 - 0:06.2WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein misses two point jump shot50
39.8%
59
60.2%
Q2 - 0:30.7ThunderChris Paul makes three point running pullup jump shot50
38.2%
59
61.8%
Q2 - 0:35.3WarriorsAlec Burks makes three point running jump shot (Glenn Robinson III assists)47
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q2 - 0:42.5ThunderSteven Adams turnover (bad pass) (Ky Bowman steals)47
38.1%
56
61.9%
Q2 - 1:03WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes three point running jump shot (Willie Cauley-Stein assists)47
41.3%
56
58.7%
Q2 - 1:09ThunderSteven Adams turnover (bad pass) (Willie Cauley-Stein steals)47
48.8%
53
51.2%
Q2 - 1:11ThunderSteven Adams offensive rebound47
50.6%
53
49.4%
Q2 - 1:13ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot47
49.3%
53
50.7%
Q2 - 1:33WarriorsKy Bowman makes two point driving floating jump shot (Glenn Robinson III assists)47
50.6%
53
49.4%
Q2 - 1:51ThunderSteven Adams makes two point tip layup47
55.0%
51
45.0%
Q2 - 1:51ThunderSteven Adams offensive rebound45
50.6%
51
49.4%
Q2 - 1:53ThunderChris Paul misses three point jump shot45
49.3%
51
50.7%
Q2 - 1:56ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound45
50.6%
51
49.4%
Q2 - 1:58WarriorsSteven Adams blocks Willie Cauley-Stein's two point jump shot45
50.0%
51
50.0%
Q2 - 2:00WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein offensive rebound45
48.7%
51
51.3%
Q2 - 2:05WarriorsAlec Burks misses three point jump shot45
51.3%
51
48.7%
Q2 - 2:18ThunderDennis Schroder turnover (lost ball) (Glenn Robinson III steals)45
49.1%
51
50.9%
Q2 - 2:31WarriorsKy Bowman makes two point turnaround bank jump shot45
52.1%
51
47.9%
Q2 - 2:49ThunderDennis Schroder makes three point pullup jump shot45
55.2%
49
44.8%
Q2 - 2:53ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound42
49.0%
49
51.0%
Q2 - 2:59WarriorsAlec Burks misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot42
48.1%
49
51.9%
Q2 - 3:18ThunderChris Paul turnover (bad pass) (Marquese Chriss steals)42
47.2%
49
52.8%
Q2 - 3:24WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)42
50.4%
49
49.6%
Q2 - 3:29ThunderDennis Schroder defensive rebound42
50.4%
49
49.6%
Q2 - 3:31WarriorsGlenn Robinson III misses two point jump shot42
49.4%
49
50.6%
Q2 - 3:44ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)42
47.1%
49
52.9%
Q2 - 3:44ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive foul (Glenn Robinson III draws the foul)42
50.3%
49
49.7%
Q2 - 3:53WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes two point pullup jump shot (Marquese Chriss assists)42
50.3%
49
49.7%
Q2 - 4:13ThunderChris Paul makes two point jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)42
54.1%
47
45.9%
Q2 - 4:26WarriorsEric Paschall turnover (offensive foul)40
51.3%
47
48.7%
Q2 - 4:26WarriorsEric Paschall offensive foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)40
48.5%
47
51.5%
Q2 - 4:37WarriorsEric Paschall defensive rebound40
48.5%
47
51.5%
Q2 - 4:39ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot40
49.4%
47
50.6%
Q2 - 4:48WarriorsAlec Burks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)40
51.3%
47
48.7%
Q2 - 5:04ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 2 of 240
49.2%
47
50.8%
Q2 - 5:04ThunderChris Paul makes regular free throw 1 of 239
48.9%
47
51.1%
Q2 - 5:04WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein shooting foul (Chris Paul draws the foul)38
48.5%
47
51.5%
Q2 - 5:14WarriorsEric Paschall makes two point layup38
47.0%
47
53.0%
Q2 - 5:18WarriorsEric Paschall offensive rebound38
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 5:20WarriorsAlec Burks misses three point jump shot38
51.4%
45
48.6%
Q2 - 5:42ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Dennis Schroder assists)38
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q2 - 5:58ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound36
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 6:00WarriorsOmari Spellman misses two point pullup jump shot36
45.9%
45
54.1%
Q2 - 6:11WarriorsKy Bowman defensive rebound36
44.7%
45
55.3%
Q2 - 6:12ThunderChris Paul misses two point pullup jump shot36
45.6%
45
54.4%
Q2 - 6:24ThunderNerlens Noel defensive rebound36
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 6:25WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein misses two point turnaround bank jump shot36
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 6:37WarriorsEric Paschall defensive rebound36
44.6%
45
55.4%
Q2 - 6:38ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving bank jump shot36
45.6%
45
54.4%
Q2 - 6:58WarriorsKy Bowman makes two point jump shot36
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 7:14ThunderNerlens Noel makes two point alley-oop dunk (Chris Paul assists)36
51.1%
43
48.9%
Q2 - 7:30WarriorsKy Bowman makes two point pullup jump shot (Eric Paschall assists)34
48.6%
43
51.4%
Q2 - 7:42WarriorsMarquese Chriss defensive rebound34
51.0%
41
49.0%
Q2 - 7:44ThunderDeonte Burton misses three point stepback jump shot34
51.9%
41
48.1%
Q2 - 7:57WarriorsEric Paschall makes two point jump shot34
53.7%
41
46.3%
Q2 - 8:14ThunderNerlens Noel makes regular free throw 1 of 134
56.2%
39
43.8%
Q2 - 8:14WarriorsMarquese Chriss shooting foul (Nerlens Noel draws the foul)33
55.5%
39
44.5%
Q2 - 8:23WarriorsMarquese Chriss makes regular free throw 2 of 231
51.3%
39
48.7%
Q2 - 8:23WarriorsMarquese Chriss makes regular free throw 1 of 231
52.0%
38
48.0%
Q2 - 8:23ThunderNerlens Noel shooting foul (Marquese Chriss draws the foul)31
52.8%
37
47.2%
Q2 - 8:42ThunderDeonte Burton makes two point putback layup31
53.7%
37
46.3%
Q2 - 8:45ThunderDeonte Burton offensive rebound29
51.3%
37
48.7%
Q2 - 8:47ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point running jump shot29
49.5%
37
50.5%
Q2 - 8:52ThunderDeonte Burton defensive rebound29
51.3%
37
48.7%
Q2 - 8:54WarriorsNerlens Noel blocks Omari Spellman's two point cutting dunk29
50.5%
37
49.5%
Q2 - 9:12ThunderAbdel Nader turnover (offensive foul)29
49.1%
37
50.9%
Q2 - 9:12ThunderAbdel Nader offensive foul (Charge) (Ky Bowman draws the foul)29
51.7%
37
48.3%
Q2 - 9:31WarriorsOmari Spellman makes two point jump shot (Marquese Chriss assists)29
51.7%
37
48.3%
Q2 - 9:40WarriorsJordan Poole defensive rebound29
54.0%
35
46.0%
Q2 - 9:42ThunderDeonte Burton misses three point jump shot29
54.8%
35
45.2%
Q2 - 10:01WarriorsKy Bowman makes two point driving floating jump shot (Marquese Chriss assists)29
56.9%
35
43.1%
Q2 - 10:13ThunderDarius Bazley makes two point hook shot29
59.1%
33
40.9%
Q2 - 10:17ThunderDarius Bazley offensive rebound27
56.9%
33
43.1%
Q2 - 10:19ThunderMarquese Chriss blocks Darius Bazley's two point running layup27
55.1%
33
44.9%
Q2 - 10:28WarriorsEric Paschall makes two point cutting dunk (Marquese Chriss assists)27
56.9%
33
43.1%
Q2 - 10:38WarriorsOmari Spellman defensive rebound27
59.1%
31
40.9%
Q2 - 10:39ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point driving layup27
59.8%
31
40.2%
Q2 - 10:50ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound27
61.5%
31
38.5%
Q2 - 10:52WarriorsJordan Poole misses two point pullup jump shot27
60.8%
31
39.2%
Q2 - 10:56WarriorsMarquese Chriss offensive rebound27
59.1%
31
40.9%
Q2 - 11:00WarriorsSteven Adams blocks Marquese Chriss's two point hook shot27
60.8%
31
39.2%
Q2 - 11:19ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point pullup jump shot (Steven Adams assists)27
59.7%
31
40.3%
Q2 - 11:34WarriorsKy Bowman personal foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)25
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q2 - 11:40WarriorsOmari Spellman makes three point jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)25
57.3%
31
42.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
61.9%
28
38.1%
Q1 - 0:03.5ThunderThunder turnover (shot clock violation)25
62.3%
28
37.7%
Q1 - 0:03.9ThunderDarius Bazley offensive rebound25
63.9%
28
36.1%
Q1 - 0:05.8ThunderMarquese Chriss blocks Chris Paul's two point driving layup25
62.8%
28
37.2%
Q1 - 0:25.9ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound25
64.0%
28
36.0%
Q1 - 0:27.5WarriorsDarius Bazley blocks Jordan Poole's two point layup25
63.4%
28
36.6%
Q1 - 0:42.4WarriorsWarriors defensive rebound25
62.3%
28
37.7%
Q1 - 0:45.7ThunderDennis Schroder misses two point pullup jump shot25
62.8%
28
37.2%
Q1 - 0:59.1WarriorsJordan Poole makes two point driving layup (Omari Spellman assists)25
64.0%
28
36.0%
Q1 - 1:13ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point cutting layup (Steven Adams assists)25
66.7%
26
33.3%
Q1 - 1:23ThunderDeonte Burton defensive rebound23
64.2%
26
35.8%
Q1 - 1:25WarriorsMarquese Chriss misses three point jump shot23
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q1 - 1:51ThunderSteven Adams makes two point cutting layup (Abdel Nader assists)23
62.5%
26
37.5%
Q1 - 2:08WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes regular free throw 3 of 321
60.5%
26
39.5%
Q1 - 2:08WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes regular free throw 2 of 321
60.9%
25
39.1%
Q1 - 2:08WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes regular free throw 1 of 321
61.3%
24
38.7%
Q1 - 2:08ThunderDeonte Burton shooting foul (Glenn Robinson III draws the foul)21
61.7%
23
38.3%
Q1 - 2:27ThunderAbdel Nader makes two point driving finger roll layup21
64.7%
23
35.3%
Q1 - 2:35WarriorsJordan Poole personal foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)19
62.6%
23
37.4%
Q1 - 2:44WarriorsKy Bowman makes regular free throw 2 of 219
62.6%
23
37.4%
Q1 - 2:44WarriorsKy Bowman makes regular free throw 1 of 219
62.9%
22
37.1%
Q1 - 2:44ThunderNerlens Noel shooting foul (Ky Bowman draws the foul)19
63.3%
21
36.7%
Q1 - 2:45ThunderNerlens Noel turnover (bad pass) (Ky Bowman steals)19
64.7%
21
35.3%
Q1 - 2:46WarriorsMarquese Chriss makes two point jump shot (Glenn Robinson III assists)19
66.7%
21
33.3%
Q1 - 2:51WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound19
68.7%
19
31.3%
Q1 - 2:52WarriorsJordan Poole misses two point stepback jump shot19
70.0%
19
30.0%
Q1 - 3:10ThunderDennis Schroder makes two point driving layup19
68.4%
19
31.6%
Q1 - 3:32WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes two point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)17
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q1 - 3:43ThunderChris Paul personal foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)17
68.4%
17
31.6%
Q1 - 3:43WarriorsJordan Poole defensive rebound17
68.4%
17
31.6%
Q1 - 3:44ThunderDennis Schroder misses three point jump shot17
69.1%
17
30.9%
Q1 - 3:53ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound17
70.6%
17
29.4%
Q1 - 3:54WarriorsGlenn Robinson III misses two point jump shot17
69.9%
17
30.1%
Q1 - 4:04WarriorsOmari Spellman defensive rebound17
68.8%
17
31.2%
Q1 - 4:06ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot17
69.4%
17
30.6%
Q1 - 4:18WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes two point running jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)17
70.9%
17
29.1%
Q1 - 4:22WarriorsJordan Poole defensive rebound17
72.3%
15
27.7%
Q1 - 4:23ThunderNerlens Noel misses two point dunk17
72.9%
15
27.1%
Q1 - 4:47WarriorsAlec Burks makes two point running layup17
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 4:56ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup (Danilo Gallinari assists)17
75.6%
13
24.4%
Q1 - 5:10ThunderDanilo Gallinari defensive rebound15
74.3%
13
25.7%
Q1 - 5:12WarriorsJordan Poole misses two point pullup jump shot15
73.8%
13
26.2%
Q1 - 5:29ThunderNerlens Noel makes two point layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)15
72.6%
13
27.4%
Q1 - 5:49WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes three point jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)13
71.0%
13
29.0%
Q1 - 5:52WarriorsJordan Poole offensive rebound13
74.2%
10
25.8%
Q1 - 5:54WarriorsJordan Poole misses regular free throw 2 of 213
75.6%
10
24.4%
Q1 - 5:54WarriorsJordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 213
74.5%
10
25.5%
Q1 - 5:54ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)13
74.8%
9
25.2%
Q1 - 6:08ThunderDanilo Gallinari turnover (traveling)13
75.6%
9
24.4%
Q1 - 6:20WarriorsEric Paschall turnover (offensive foul)13
76.9%
9
23.1%
Q1 - 6:20WarriorsEric Paschall offensive foul (Charge) (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)13
75.6%
9
24.4%
Q1 - 6:33WarriorsEric Paschall defensive rebound13
75.6%
9
24.4%
Q1 - 6:34ThunderDanilo Gallinari misses two point jump shot13
76.0%
9
24.0%
Q1 - 6:52ThunderChris Paul defensive rebound13
77.0%
9
23.1%
Q1 - 6:53WarriorsAlec Burks misses two point driving floating jump shot13
76.5%
9
23.5%
Q1 - 7:10WarriorsEric Paschall defensive rebound13
75.4%
9
24.6%
Q1 - 7:12ThunderChris Paul misses three point pullup jump shot13
75.9%
9
24.1%
Q1 - 7:15ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound13
77.0%
9
23.0%
Q1 - 7:17WarriorsKy Bowman misses three point jump shot13
76.5%
9
23.5%
Q1 - 7:28ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Willie Cauley-Stein steals)13
75.4%
9
24.6%
Q1 - 7:43WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes two point running dunk (Ky Bowman assists)13
76.9%
9
23.1%
Q1 - 7:46ThunderChris Paul turnover (bad pass) (Ky Bowman steals)13
78.1%
7
21.9%
Q1 - 7:59ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound13
79.5%
7
20.5%
Q1 - 8:00WarriorsGlenn Robinson III misses regular free throw 2 of 213
79.3%
7
20.7%
Q1 - 8:00WarriorsGlenn Robinson III makes regular free throw 1 of 213
78.5%
7
21.5%
Q1 - 8:00ThunderTerrance Ferguson shooting foul (Glenn Robinson III draws the foul)13
78.7%
6
21.3%
Q1 - 8:03WarriorsAlec Burks defensive rebound13
79.7%
6
20.3%
Q1 - 8:08ThunderGlenn Robinson III blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point jump shot13
80.1%
6
19.9%
Q1 - 8:23ThunderThunder defensive rebound13
81.0%
6
19.0%
Q1 - 8:25WarriorsAlec Burks misses two point driving floating jump shot13
80.6%
6
19.4%
Q1 - 8:35ThunderTerrance Ferguson personal foul (Alec Burks draws the foul)13
79.6%
6
20.4%
Q1 - 8:42WarriorsAlec Burks defensive rebound13
79.6%
6
20.4%
Q1 - 8:44ThunderTerrance Ferguson misses three point jump shot13
80.0%
6
20.0%
Q1 - 8:51WarriorsKy Bowman personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)13
81.0%
6
19.0%
Q1 - 9:02WarriorsWillie Cauley-Stein makes two point turnaround hook shot (Ky Bowman assists)13
80.8%
6
19.2%
Q1 - 9:19ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point stepback jump shot (Steven Adams assists)13
81.7%
4
18.3%
Q1 - 9:33WarriorsAlec Burks turnover (traveling)10
79.7%
4
20.3%
Q1 - 9:33WarriorsWarriors offensive rebound10
78.3%
4
21.7%
Q1 - 9:34WarriorsAlec Burks misses two point driving layup10
79.3%
4
20.7%
Q1 - 9:47ThunderSteven Adams makes regular free throw 2 of 210
78.3%
4
21.7%
Q1 - 9:47ThunderSteven Adams misses regular free throw 1 of 29
77.8%
4
22.2%
Q1 - 9:47WarriorsGlenn Robinson III shooting foul (Steven Adams draws the foul)9
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 10:02WarriorsGlenn Robinson III turnover (bad pass) (Danilo Gallinari steals)9
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 10:11ThunderTerrance Ferguson makes two point pullup jump shot (Chris Paul assists)9
77.0%
4
23.0%
Q1 - 10:22WarriorsKy Bowman makes two point pullup jump shot7
75.9%
4
24.1%
Q1 - 10:35ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 27
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 10:35ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 26
76.9%
2
23.1%
Q1 - 10:35WarriorsEric Paschall shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)5
76.8%
2
23.2%
Q1 - 10:48ThunderSteven Adams defensive rebound5
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 10:49WarriorsEric Paschall misses two point jump shot5
75.4%
2
24.6%
Q1 - 11:00ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving reverse layup (Terrance Ferguson assists)5
74.3%
2
25.7%
Q1 - 11:17WarriorsKy Bowman makes two point putback layup3
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 11:19WarriorsKy Bowman offensive rebound3
74.5%
0
25.5%
Q1 - 11:21WarriorsGlenn Robinson III misses two point jump shot3
75.5%
0
24.5%
Q1 - 11:38ThunderDanilo Gallinari makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)3
74.5%
0
25.5%
Q1 - 12:00Steven Adams vs. Willie Cauley-Stein (Chris Paul gains possession)0
71.7%
0
28.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.10 54.9%
GSW
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
19
25
76%
GSW
10
24
42%
Midrange
OKC
10
28
36%
GSW
18
45
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
11
16.5
32
34%
52%
GSW
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
OKC
9
11
82%
GSW
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Schröder2265%11.0 / 17
C. Paul2063%10.0 / 16
D. Gallinari1558%7.5 / 13
S. Gilgeous-Alexander1246%6.0 / 13
S. Adams1063%5.0 / 8
N. Noel975%4.5 / 6
T. Ferguson643%3.0 / 7
D. Bazley225%1.0 / 4
A. Nader233%1.0 / 3
D. Burton233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Robinson III2578%12.5 / 16
K. Bowman2463%12.0 / 19
E. Paschall1372%6.5 / 9
J. Poole1137%5.5 / 15
A. Burks721%3.5 / 17
O. Spellman750%3.5 / 7
M. Chriss650%3.0 / 6
W. Cauley-Stein429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
81
+10
-15
91
GSW
86
+15
-12
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.10 54.9%
GSW
0.96 48.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.5
104.8
OKC 104.2
GSW 99.0 +5.2
Pace
99.0
100.7
OKC 96.4
GSW 97.5 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.1
OKC 14.9
GSW 14.8 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
49.7%
OKC 53.5% +6.9%
GSW 46.6%
TO %
13.0%
14.1%
OKC 15.1%
GSW 11.9% +3.2%
ORB %
19.4%
21.7%
OKC 22.0% +1.1%
GSW 20.9%
FTrt
29.0
26.4
OKC 12.9
GSW 18.0 +5.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
66.3%
OKC 65.0%
GSW 73.0% +8.0%
STL %
7.7%
8.1%
OKC 5.2%
GSW 10.2% +5.0%
BLK %
8.7%
8.5%
OKC 18.8% +5.6%
GSW 13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.9%
52.7%
OKC 54.9% +6.9%
GSW 48.0%
Rim FG%
60.4%
59.1%
OKC 76.0% +34.3%
GSW 41.7%
Mid FG%
44.6%
39.9%
OKC 35.7%
GSW 40.0% +4.3%
3P %
35.5%
33.4%
OKC 34.4%
GSW 45.0% +10.6%
FT %
79.6%
80.3%
OKC 81.8%
GSW 87.5% +5.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.2%
32.3%
OKC 29.4% +2.4%
GSW 27.0%
Mid Att. %
30.5%
32.2%
OKC 32.9% +17.6%
GSW 50.6%
3P Att. %
35.3%
35.5%
OKC 37.6% +15.2%
GSW 22.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCGSW
Possessions9698
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points10097
Rebounds4341
Assists2627
Steals510
Blocks137
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (1)
Fouls1617
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)9 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (5)32 (3)
Field Goals40-8537-89
At-the-Rim FG19-2510-24
Midrange FG10-2818-45
2-Point FG29-5328-69
3-Point FG11-329-20
Free Throws9-1114-16
Fast Break Pts1414
2nd Chance Pts916
Points in Paint4634
Pts off Turnovers2018
Bench Points3724
Biggest Lead915

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35
34.9
20
63%
7
5
1
0
3
2
1
6
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
4-8
50%
#8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 31
33.6
15
58%
7
6
1
0
2
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
#2 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 21
31.5
12
46%
5
3
2
1
3
3
0
5
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 26
27.6
10
63%
10
5
0
3
2
1
4
6
2-4
50%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#23 · PF · 6'7" 184 · 22
27.3
6
43%
0
1
0
2
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
#17 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 26
34.1
22
65%
1
5
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
56%
4-8
50%
#9 · C · 6'11" 220 · 26
20.4
9
75%
5
0
0
5
2
3
1
4
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#7 · SF · 6'9" 208 · 19
12.3
2
25%
4
0
0
2
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 26
10.5
2
33%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#30 · SG · 6'5" 250 · 26
7.7
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#33 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 28
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · SG · 6'6" 206 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#13 · C · 7'0" 236 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#21 · SG · 6'7" 210 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Injury Recovery; Left Knee
#5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 21
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#6 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 21
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Elbow; Hyperextension Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
55%
43
26
5
13
15
16
9
34
9-11
82%
29-53
55%
11-32
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.