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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 30, 2019
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets60%11197
19Kings40%108100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.9
40.7
33.2
14
44%
12
5
2
1
0
5
2
10
1-2
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
1-6
17%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.2
37.5
31.0
25
67%
3
1
3
1
2
0
2
1
5-6
83%
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
4-9
44%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.8
36.9
29.9
15
44%
4
6
2
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
50%
1-5
20%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.8
36.5
28.8
7
29%
10
6
0
1
1
4
3
7
1-2
50%
3-8
5-10
38%
57%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.8
20.6
23.8
4
50%
2
0
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
32.4
22.9
12
61%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
56%
2-4
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.0
20.3
12.8
11
69%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
3-3
100%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.7
16.5
18.6
8
65%
8
0
1
1
1
2
1
7
2-5
40%
3-4
3-5
75%
58%
0-0
-
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.4
16.1
18.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
7.4
13.2
1
27%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-1
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.4
5.4
0
1-1
53%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
4.2
0
0-0
56%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.0
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.6
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
45.4
34.9
30
64%
5
1
2
1
0
3
1
4
9-10
90%
9-15
3-7
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.3
40.6
29.4
6
55%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.0
40.5
35.7
21
47%
7
3
2
1
1
1
0
7
4-5
80%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
3-13
23%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
36.6
25.2
13
66%
10
2
1
1
1
1
3
7
1-2
50%
6-9
4-7
67%
60%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.6
25.0
26.3
10
41%
12
5
0
1
1
5
6
6
3-3
100%
2-10
2-4
20%
53%
1-1
100%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.3
28.7
26.4
10
31%
4
5
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
46%
2-8
25%
Justin James
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 22.8
25.5
16.4
6
33%
7
2
2
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 30.3
12.3
15.7
2
25%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.6
10.4
14.2
2
33%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
6.4
0
1-3
50%
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 22.3
3.5
0
0-1
43%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.7
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 22.6
0.6
0
0-0
47%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.7
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.9
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 22.3
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.