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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 2, 2019
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bulls41%109113
19Kings59%112106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wendell Carter Jr.
F · 6'10" 251 · 20.6
37.4
31.1
10
56%
10
1
2
1
0
5
2
8
2-2
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.7
35.1
33.8
28
78%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
9-11
82%
2-6
6-11
33%
49%
5-7
71%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.1
33.6
28.3
14
56%
2
5
1
1
0
3
1
1
8-8
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-4
0%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.7
30.2
22.3
6
38%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-3
0%
Lauri Markkanen
F · 7'0" 230 · 22.5
29.6
28.0
20
73%
7
1
0
1
0
2
0
7
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
4-8
50%
Coby White
G · 6'5" 191 · 19.8
21.2
23.6
11
61%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
3-6
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 31.4
18.4
19.3
7
58%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Ryan Arcidiacono
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.7
12.0
15.5
4
82%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-2
50%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 26.0
11.8
9.2
6
60%
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 21.2
10.6
10.1
7
81%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.2
8.9
1
1-2
47%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 24.4
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.7
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 27.4
Adam Mokoka
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.4
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 26.5
Chandler Hutchison
F · 6'7" 197 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.0
39.2
35.5
26
55%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
6-8
4-8
75%
49%
3-13
23%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
36.4
36.9
16
45%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
1-5
20%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
32.8
28.4
20
78%
9
1
1
1
1
0
4
5
2-2
100%
9-12
5-8
75%
61%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.6
30.8
24.2
18
83%
8
2
1
1
2
2
1
7
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
53%
2-3
67%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.3
25.3
32.2
2
25%
4
7
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.3
21.9
26.1
11
56%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.6
20.3
11.9
9
77%
1
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 34.4
12.2
13.5
2
20%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 30.3
11.4
13.2
2
50%
7
0
1
0
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Justin James
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 22.9
9.8
19.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
4.2
0
1-2
51%
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 22.3
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 22.6
0.6
0
0-0
50%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.7
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 21.9
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.7
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.