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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 5, 2019
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets78%114129
29Knicks22%10392
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.8
25
32
6
10
8
0
1
1
0
1
9
0-0
-
3-6
6-10
50%
57%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.9
24
36
17
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
4-4
100%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.8
22
33
14
3
4
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
4-6
6-11
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.2
22
32
8
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
2-2
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.8
22
26
10
6
3
0
1
2
2
2
4
1-2
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.4
26
14
15
3
6
3
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
51%
1-3
33%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
24
12
12
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
55%
4-8
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.0
24
15
14
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
3-6
50%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
21
21
16
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-4
25%
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
3-5
60%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
21
15
11
11
6
3
1
1
3
3
8
1-2
50%
5-5
2-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.4
5
3
6
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
2-3
67%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.7
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.7
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.1
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris Sr.
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.3
26
19
10
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
2-9
22%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.4
24
21
9
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
40%
3-4
75%
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'7" 202 · 19.4
22
26
9
3
5
3
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
45%
1-5
20%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
21
29
6
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
2-6
5-9
33%
54%
0-3
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.4
18
18
4
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 21.7
30
23
17
7
1
2
1
1
0
3
4
5-8
63%
6-8
3-5
75%
64%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 24.8
27
18
10
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
4-5
80%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 20.3
22
17
8
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
2-4
50%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.0
18
25
4
3
4
0
1
1
2
0
3
2-4
50%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-2
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 25.8
11
24
4
2
2
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.0
11
12
2
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Allonzo Trier
G · 6'5" 198 · 23.9
6
7
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
4
25
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
1-1
100%
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.9
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.8
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 28.7
Ignas Brazdeikis
F · 6'7" 221 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.