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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 6, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Nuggets40%10695
8Celtics60%110108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.8
34
28
10
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-12
4-9
42%
48%
0-2
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.2
33
27
7
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.8
31
29
30
10
4
1
1
2
1
4
6
3-3
100%
12-16
5-9
75%
54%
1-5
20%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 28.9
30
30
7
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
0-4
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.8
21
24
5
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
20
18
7
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.7
18
21
4
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
17
18
5
5
1
2
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.0
15
19
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.4
14
20
9
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-6
83%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.4
8
5
9
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
5
0
0-1
52%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.7
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.1
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.7
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 23.1
33
33
21
7
2
0
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
54%
3-7
43%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.8
30
34
26
7
5
1
1
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
49%
4-8
50%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 29.6
29
30
19
2
3
2
1
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
3-8
38%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
28
17
9
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
1-1
100%
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 27.7
15
22
7
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-4
67%
57%
1-1
100%
Semi Ojeleye
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.0
29
21
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-4
25%
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.4
19
19
5
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 27.5
18
12
8
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
0-0
-
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 22.1
13
15
0
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
12
6
6
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Carsen Edwards
G · 6'0" 199 · 21.7
10
13
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 21.0
3
16
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-3
0%
Vincent Poirier
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.1
3
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
52%
0-0
-
Tremont Waters
G · 5'11" 172 · 21.9
Romeo Langford
G · 6'6" 215 · 20.1
Tacko Fall
C · 7'6" 289 · 24.2
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.