FinalWin Prob.pScore
2322%112
103
778%123
112
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
107.396101.1
MIA logo MIA
116.79691.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:17.8HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.9WizardsDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.6WizardsDavis Bertans offensive rebound103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.9WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point reverse layup103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.7WizardsMoritz Wagner defensive rebound103
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.2HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2103
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 0:44.2HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.2WizardsIsh Smith shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)103
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.9WizardsMoritz Wagner personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)103
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 0:57.9HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound103
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 0:59.5WizardsDavis Bertans misses three point fadeaway jump shot103
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 1:04HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot103
0.6%
111
99.4%
Q4 - 1:21WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point tip layup103
2.2%
108
97.8%
Q4 - 1:22WizardsMoritz Wagner offensive rebound101
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 1:24WizardsBradley Beal misses two point driving reverse layup101
1.0%
108
99.0%
Q4 - 1:31HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)101
1.7%
108
98.3%
Q4 - 1:31HeatHeat offensive rebound101
0.9%
108
99.1%
Q4 - 1:31HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot101
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 1:46HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound101
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 1:48HeatDavis Bertans blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup101
1.9%
108
98.1%
Q4 - 1:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound101
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 1:55WizardsBradley Beal misses three point stepback jump shot101
1.5%
108
98.5%
Q4 - 2:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot101
2.2%
108
97.8%
Q4 - 2:33WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point cutting layup (Bradley Beal assists)101
3.0%
106
97.0%
Q4 - 2:42HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (out of bounds step)99
2.2%
106
97.8%
Q4 - 2:49HeatHeat defensive rebound99
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 2:49WizardsMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot99
1.4%
106
98.6%
Q4 - 3:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)99
2.8%
106
97.2%
Q4 - 3:17WizardsIsh Smith makes two point driving finger roll layup99
3.7%
104
96.3%
Q4 - 3:35HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)97
4.1%
104
95.9%
Q4 - 3:53WizardsDavis Bertans makes three point pullup jump shot97
7.6%
101
92.4%
Q4 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Rui Hachimura steals)94
3.9%
101
96.1%
Q4 - 4:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound94
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 4:09WizardsDavis Bertans misses two point tip layup94
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 4:11WizardsDavis Bertans offensive rebound94
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 4:14WizardsIsh Smith misses two point driving layup94
2.9%
101
97.1%
Q4 - 4:26WizardsMoritz Wagner defensive rebound94
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 4:31HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot94
3.4%
101
96.6%
Q4 - 4:47WizardsMoritz Wagner turnover (offensive foul)94
2.5%
101
97.5%
Q4 - 4:47WizardsMoritz Wagner offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)94
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 5:02HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)94
4.7%
101
95.3%
Q4 - 5:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound94
8.5%
98
91.5%
Q4 - 5:27WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point pullup jump shot94
9.3%
98
90.7%
Q4 - 5:50HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot94
11.6%
98
88.4%
Q4 - 5:58WizardsRui Hachimura personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)94
19.9%
95
80.1%
Q4 - 5:58HeatHeat offensive rebound94
19.9%
95
80.1%
Q4 - 5:58HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot94
24.1%
95
75.9%
Q4 - 6:11WizardsBradley Beal makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)94
19.6%
95
80.4%
Q4 - 6:25WizardsMoritz Wagner defensive rebound91
12.3%
95
87.7%
Q4 - 6:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot91
11.2%
95
88.8%
Q4 - 6:42WizardsIsh Smith makes two point driving reverse layup91
9.0%
95
91.0%
Q4 - 6:51WizardsTroy Brown Jr. offensive rebound89
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 6:56WizardsBradley Beal misses three point jump shot89
5.7%
95
94.3%
Q4 - 7:00WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound89
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 7:04HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot89
7.2%
95
92.8%
Q4 - 7:20HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound89
5.9%
95
94.1%
Q4 - 7:22WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot89
6.4%
95
93.6%
Q4 - 7:36WizardsDavis Bertans defensive rebound89
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 7:38HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot89
7.1%
95
92.9%
Q4 - 7:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound89
5.8%
95
94.2%
Q4 - 7:54WizardsBradley Beal misses three point jump shot89
6.4%
95
93.6%
Q4 - 7:58WizardsIsh Smith defensive rebound89
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 8:01HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot89
7.8%
95
92.2%
Q4 - 8:22WizardsDavis Bertans makes two point driving finger roll layup (Rui Hachimura assists)89
6.6%
95
93.4%
Q4 - 8:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot87
5.2%
95
94.8%
Q4 - 8:59HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound87
6.5%
93
93.5%
Q4 - 9:01WizardsDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot87
7.4%
93
92.6%
Q4 - 9:12HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 187
8.7%
93
91.3%
Q4 - 9:12WizardsAdmiral Schofield shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)87
9.0%
92
91.0%
Q4 - 9:18HeatHeat offensive rebound87
13.1%
90
86.9%
Q4 - 9:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point bank jump shot87
15.3%
90
84.7%
Q4 - 9:34WizardsAdmiral Schofield personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)87
13.1%
90
86.9%
Q4 - 9:35WizardsAdmiral Schofield turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)87
13.1%
90
86.9%
Q4 - 9:53HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)87
16.3%
90
83.7%
Q4 - 10:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound87
20.0%
88
80.0%
Q4 - 10:05WizardsAdmiral Schofield misses three point jump shot87
21.2%
88
78.8%
Q4 - 10:22HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup87
24.0%
88
76.0%
Q4 - 10:40WizardsTroy Brown Jr. makes two point floating jump shot87
28.2%
86
71.8%
Q4 - 10:57WizardsDavis Bertans defensive rebound85
24.0%
86
76.0%
Q4 - 10:59HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot85
22.7%
86
77.3%
Q4 - 11:07HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
20.5%
86
79.5%
Q4 - 11:10WizardsDavis Bertans misses three point pullup jump shot85
21.6%
86
78.4%
Q4 - 11:25WizardsTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound85
24.2%
86
75.8%
Q4 - 11:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup85
23.0%
86
77.0%
Q4 - 11:29HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound85
20.5%
86
79.5%
Q4 - 11:31HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point floating jump shot85
23.0%
86
77.0%
Q4 - 11:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
20.5%
86
79.5%
Q4 - 11:45WizardsKendrick Nunn blocks Chris Chiozza's two point driving layup85
21.6%
86
78.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
24.2%
86
75.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0WizardsWizards offensive rebound85
23.8%
86
76.2%
Q3 - 0:02.1WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot85
21.4%
86
78.6%
Q3 - 0:22.5HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot85
23.8%
86
76.2%
Q3 - 0:44.8WizardsChris Chiozza makes two point driving finger roll layup (Troy Brown Jr. assists)85
27.9%
84
72.1%
Q3 - 1:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 283
23.8%
84
76.2%
Q3 - 1:00HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 283
24.8%
83
75.2%
Q3 - 1:00WizardsChris Chiozza personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)83
22.2%
83
77.8%
Q3 - 1:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
23.4%
83
76.6%
Q3 - 1:14WizardsBradley Beal misses regular free throw 2 of 283
23.9%
83
76.1%
Q3 - 1:14WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 1 of 283
26.5%
83
73.5%
Q3 - 1:14HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)82
25.8%
83
74.2%
Q3 - 1:31WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound82
23.5%
83
76.5%
Q3 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot82
22.5%
83
77.5%
Q3 - 1:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
20.1%
83
79.9%
Q3 - 1:47WizardsMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot82
21.1%
83
78.9%
Q3 - 2:06HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Bradley Beal steals)82
23.2%
83
76.8%
Q3 - 2:22WizardsMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 282
19.8%
83
80.2%
Q3 - 2:22WizardsMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 281
19.3%
83
80.7%
Q3 - 2:22HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)80
18.6%
83
81.4%
Q3 - 2:40HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)80
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q3 - 2:50WizardsBradley Beal turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)80
22.9%
80
77.1%
Q3 - 3:01WizardsDavis Bertans defensive rebound80
26.4%
80
73.6%
Q3 - 3:03HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot80
25.3%
80
74.7%
Q3 - 3:17HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound80
22.8%
80
77.2%
Q3 - 3:19WizardsDavis Bertans misses two point stepback jump shot80
23.9%
80
76.1%
Q3 - 3:33HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (discontinue dribble)80
26.4%
80
73.6%
Q3 - 3:35HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound80
22.8%
80
77.2%
Q3 - 3:38WizardsDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot80
23.9%
80
76.1%
Q3 - 3:44WizardsWizards offensive rebound80
26.4%
80
73.6%
Q3 - 3:46WizardsBradley Beal misses two point pullup jump shot80
23.9%
80
76.1%
Q3 - 3:57WizardsIsh Smith defensive rebound80
26.4%
80
73.6%
Q3 - 4:01HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot80
24.5%
80
75.5%
Q3 - 4:03HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound80
22.1%
80
77.9%
Q3 - 4:06HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point floating jump shot80
24.5%
80
75.5%
Q3 - 4:18WizardsDavis Bertans makes two point driving layup (Bradley Beal assists)80
22.1%
80
77.9%
Q3 - 4:23WizardsDavis Bertans defensive rebound78
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q3 - 4:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot78
18.9%
80
81.1%
Q3 - 4:42WizardsBradley Beal turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
16.9%
80
83.1%
Q3 - 4:49HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Davis Bertans draws the foul)78
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q3 - 4:49WizardsWizards offensive rebound78
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q3 - 4:49WizardsIsh Smith misses three point jump shot78
17.8%
80
82.2%
Q3 - 4:49WizardsDavis Bertans offensive rebound78
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q3 - 4:50WizardsDavis Bertans misses two point tip layup78
17.8%
80
82.2%
Q3 - 4:50WizardsDavis Bertans offensive rebound78
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q3 - 4:54WizardsBradley Beal misses two point driving floating bank jump shot78
17.8%
80
82.2%
Q3 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 278
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q3 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 278
20.2%
79
79.8%
Q3 - 5:05WizardsBradley Beal shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)78
20.5%
78
79.5%
Q3 - 5:08WizardsBradley Beal turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)78
22.3%
78
77.7%
Q3 - 5:11WizardsMoritz Wagner defensive rebound78
25.4%
78
74.6%
Q3 - 5:11HeatBradley Beal blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point layup78
24.5%
78
75.5%
Q3 - 5:19WizardsBradley Beal makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)78
22.3%
78
77.7%
Q3 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)75
17.4%
78
82.6%
Q3 - 5:35WizardsWizards defensive rebound75
17.4%
78
82.6%
Q3 - 5:35HeatMeyers Leonard misses two point fadeaway jump shot75
16.6%
78
83.4%
Q3 - 5:51HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound75
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q3 - 5:54WizardsBradley Beal misses three point fadeaway jump shot75
15.7%
78
84.3%
Q3 - 6:09HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point floating jump shot75
17.1%
78
82.9%
Q3 - 6:19HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound75
19.3%
76
80.7%
Q3 - 6:21HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point finger roll layup75
21.2%
76
78.8%
Q3 - 6:34WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 2 of 275
19.3%
76
80.7%
Q3 - 6:34WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 1 of 274
19.0%
76
81.0%
Q3 - 6:34HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)73
18.5%
76
81.5%
Q3 - 6:38WizardsMoritz Wagner defensive rebound73
17.2%
76
82.8%
Q3 - 6:40HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot73
16.5%
76
83.5%
Q3 - 6:49HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound73
15.0%
76
85.0%
Q3 - 6:52WizardsDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot73
15.6%
76
84.4%
Q3 - 7:06HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 173
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q3 - 7:06WizardsMoritz Wagner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)73
17.6%
75
82.4%
Q3 - 7:17WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point putback dunk73
21.4%
73
78.6%
Q3 - 7:20WizardsRui Hachimura offensive rebound71
19.2%
73
80.8%
Q3 - 7:22WizardsDavis Bertans misses two point finger roll layup71
17.5%
73
82.5%
Q3 - 7:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk71
19.2%
73
80.8%
Q3 - 7:42HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound71
21.4%
71
78.6%
Q3 - 7:45HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot71
23.4%
71
76.6%
Q3 - 7:50HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound71
21.4%
71
78.6%
Q3 - 7:53WizardsRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot71
22.3%
71
77.7%
Q3 - 8:09WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound71
24.1%
71
75.9%
Q3 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 271
23.7%
71
76.3%
Q3 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 271
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q3 - 8:11WizardsMoritz Wagner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)71
22.9%
70
77.1%
Q3 - 8:30WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point dunk (Ish Smith assists)71
23.7%
70
76.3%
Q3 - 8:50HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot69
21.5%
70
78.5%
Q3 - 9:01HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound69
23.0%
68
77.0%
Q3 - 9:03WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point jump shot69
23.9%
68
76.1%
Q3 - 9:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)69
26.0%
68
74.0%
Q3 - 9:19WizardsBradley Beal turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)69
28.5%
66
71.5%
Q3 - 9:25WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound69
31.9%
66
68.1%
Q3 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot69
30.8%
66
69.2%
Q3 - 9:42WizardsIsaac Bonga makes two point cutting layup (Bradley Beal assists)69
28.5%
66
71.5%
Q3 - 9:54HeatMeyers Leonard makes regular free throw 1 of 167
26.0%
66
74.0%
Q3 - 9:54WizardsBradley Beal shooting foul (Meyers Leonard draws the foul)67
26.6%
65
73.4%
Q3 - 10:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound67
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 10:12WizardsIsh Smith misses three point pullup jump shot67
31.5%
63
68.5%
Q3 - 10:32WizardsMoritz Wagner defensive rebound67
34.0%
63
66.0%
Q3 - 10:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot67
32.9%
63
67.1%
Q3 - 10:47WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point cutting layup (Moritz Wagner assists)67
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 11:03HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)65
27.1%
63
72.9%
Q3 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
29.8%
61
70.2%
Q3 - 11:19WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point stepback jump shot65
30.7%
61
69.3%
Q3 - 11:38WizardsIsaac Bonga defensive rebound65
32.9%
61
67.1%
Q3 - 11:41HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot65
31.9%
61
68.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.65
29.8%
61
70.2%
Q2 - 0:01.7WizardsIsh Smith makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Bradley Beal assists)65
29.4%
61
70.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)62
23.7%
61
76.3%
Q2 - 0:16.0HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)62
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q2 - 0:34.1WizardsBradley Beal makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)62
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q2 - 0:38.9HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 259
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q2 - 0:38.9HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 259
17.6%
60
82.4%
Q2 - 0:38.9WizardsBradley Beal shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)59
17.9%
59
82.1%
Q2 - 0:50.1WizardsBradley Beal makes two point driving reverse layup (Ish Smith assists)59
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q2 - 1:11HeatTyler Herro makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q2 - 1:28HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound57
22.1%
56
77.9%
Q2 - 1:28WizardsJimmy Butler blocks Moritz Wagner's two point jump shot57
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q2 - 1:29WizardsMoritz Wagner offensive rebound57
23.4%
56
76.6%
Q2 - 1:33WizardsBam Adebayo blocks Moritz Wagner's two point layup57
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q2 - 1:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)57
23.4%
56
76.6%
Q2 - 1:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
29.3%
53
70.7%
Q2 - 1:56WizardsBam Adebayo blocks Bradley Beal's two point driving layup57
29.8%
53
70.2%
Q2 - 2:12WizardsTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound57
30.7%
53
69.3%
Q2 - 2:14HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot57
29.9%
53
70.1%
Q2 - 2:22HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound57
28.2%
53
71.8%
Q2 - 2:25WizardsIsh Smith misses two point driving layup57
28.9%
53
71.1%
Q2 - 2:34WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound57
30.7%
53
69.3%
Q2 - 2:36HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot57
29.9%
53
70.1%
Q2 - 2:44HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound57
28.2%
53
71.8%
Q2 - 2:47WizardsRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot57
29.0%
53
71.0%
Q2 - 3:05HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot57
29.6%
53
70.4%
Q2 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
31.9%
51
68.1%
Q2 - 3:13WizardsIsh Smith misses two point jump shot57
32.7%
51
67.3%
Q2 - 3:37WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound57
34.8%
51
65.2%
Q2 - 3:41HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot57
33.9%
51
66.1%
Q2 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 157
32.0%
51
68.0%
Q2 - 3:53Wizards technical foul (Delay of game)57
30.1%
51
69.9%
Q2 - 3:53WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point layup (Bradley Beal assists)57
32.0%
51
68.0%
Q2 - 4:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup55
28.6%
51
71.4%
Q2 - 4:19WizardsIsh Smith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)55
31.0%
49
69.0%
Q2 - 4:32HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)55
33.4%
49
66.6%
Q2 - 4:32HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Davis Bertans draws the foul)55
31.0%
49
69.0%
Q2 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
31.0%
49
69.0%
Q2 - 4:39WizardsDavis Bertans misses two point driving reverse layup55
31.7%
49
68.3%
Q2 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup55
33.5%
49
66.5%
Q2 - 5:03WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point driving layup55
34.8%
47
65.2%
Q2 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)53
32.8%
47
67.2%
Q2 - 5:17HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound53
34.8%
45
65.2%
Q2 - 5:21WizardsJimmy Butler blocks Bradley Beal's three point pullup jump shot53
35.7%
45
64.3%
Q2 - 5:33WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound53
37.9%
45
62.1%
Q2 - 5:36HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 253
37.5%
45
62.5%
Q2 - 5:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 253
35.6%
45
64.4%
Q2 - 5:36WizardsTroy Brown Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)53
36.0%
44
64.0%
Q2 - 5:49WizardsDavis Bertans makes three point jump shot (Bradley Beal assists)53
37.4%
44
62.6%
Q2 - 6:06HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)50
32.1%
44
67.9%
Q2 - 6:10WizardsRui Hachimura turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)50
33.9%
42
66.1%
Q2 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup50
36.9%
42
63.1%
Q2 - 6:24WizardsIsh Smith makes two point driving finger roll layup50
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)48
37.0%
40
63.0%
Q2 - 7:00WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point dunk (Ish Smith assists)48
39.0%
38
61.0%
Q2 - 7:05HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Ish Smith steals)46
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q2 - 7:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound46
33.4%
38
66.6%
Q2 - 7:16WizardsDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Rui Hachimura's two point layup46
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)46
35.9%
38
64.1%
Q2 - 8:00WizardsRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 2 of 246
38.2%
36
61.8%
Q2 - 8:00WizardsRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 245
37.8%
36
62.2%
Q2 - 8:00HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)44
37.3%
36
62.7%
Q2 - 8:19HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)44
35.7%
36
64.3%
Q2 - 8:40WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point cutting dunk (Davis Bertans assists)44
40.3%
33
59.7%
Q2 - 8:51WizardsDavis Bertans defensive rebound42
38.0%
33
62.0%
Q2 - 8:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot42
37.2%
33
62.8%
Q2 - 8:53HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound42
35.5%
33
64.5%
Q2 - 8:56HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point floating jump shot42
37.2%
33
62.8%
Q2 - 9:08WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point driving layup (Chris Chiozza assists)42
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 9:18HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving reverse layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)40
32.7%
33
67.3%
Q2 - 9:35HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound40
34.8%
31
65.2%
Q2 - 9:37WizardsDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot40
35.6%
31
64.4%
Q2 - 10:03HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 240
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 10:03HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 240
37.0%
30
63.0%
Q2 - 10:03WizardsIsaac Bonga shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)40
37.4%
29
62.6%
Q2 - 10:03HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound40
38.7%
29
61.3%
Q2 - 10:03HeatDavis Bertans blocks Kelly Olynyk's two point layup40
40.4%
29
59.6%
Q2 - 10:24WizardsDavis Bertans makes three point pullup jump shot (Troy Brown Jr. assists)40
38.7%
29
61.3%
Q2 - 10:36WizardsDavis Bertans defensive rebound37
34.4%
29
65.6%
Q2 - 10:38HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot37
33.7%
29
66.3%
Q2 - 10:51WizardsDavis Bertans makes three point pullup jump shot (Chris Chiozza assists)37
32.1%
29
67.9%
Q2 - 10:59HeatKelly Olynyk turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
28.2%
29
71.8%
Q2 - 11:08WizardsIsaac Bonga makes regular free throw 1 of 134
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q2 - 11:08HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (Isaac Bonga draws the foul)33
25.2%
29
74.8%
Q2 - 11:09WizardsChris Chiozza defensive rebound31
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 11:12HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot31
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 11:25WizardsDavis Bertans makes three point pullup jump shot (Isaac Bonga assists)31
20.6%
29
79.4%
Q2 - 11:40HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 2 of 228
17.6%
29
82.4%
Q2 - 11:40HeatKelly Olynyk makes regular free throw 1 of 228
17.9%
28
82.1%
Q2 - 11:40WizardsAdmiral Schofield shooting foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)28
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
19.2%
27
80.8%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound28
19.0%
27
81.0%
Q1 - 0:00.3HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot28
19.8%
27
80.2%
Q1 - 0:01.7HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound28
19.0%
27
81.0%
Q1 - 0:01.7WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot28
19.3%
27
80.7%
Q1 - 0:04.6WizardsTroy Brown Jr. offensive rebound28
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 0:06.7WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot28
19.3%
27
80.7%
Q1 - 0:26.9HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Davis Bertans draws the foul)28
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 0:28.8HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Troy Brown Jr. steals)28
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 0:34.1HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound28
19.0%
27
81.0%
Q1 - 0:38.7WizardsTroy Brown Jr. misses three point jump shot28
19.3%
27
80.7%
Q1 - 0:50.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 228
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q1 - 0:50.5HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 228
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q1 - 0:50.5WizardsIsaac Bonga shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)28
19.1%
26
80.9%
Q1 - 0:54.2HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound28
20.5%
26
79.5%
Q1 - 0:56.3WizardsAdmiral Schofield misses three point jump shot28
20.8%
26
79.2%
Q1 - 1:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Chris Silva assists)28
21.7%
26
78.3%
Q1 - 1:12HeatChris Silva offensive rebound28
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 1:15HeatKelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot28
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q1 - 1:33WizardsTroy Brown Jr. makes two point jump shot (Chris Chiozza assists)28
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 1:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 226
21.7%
24
78.3%
Q1 - 1:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 226
21.9%
23
78.1%
Q1 - 1:48WizardsIsaac Bonga shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)26
22.1%
22
77.9%
Q1 - 1:52WizardsAdmiral Schofield personal foul (Loose ball) (Chris Silva draws the foul)26
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 1:52HeatHeat offensive rebound26
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 1:52HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot26
24.5%
22
75.5%
Q1 - 2:07HeatChris Silva defensive rebound26
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 2:10WizardsDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot26
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q1 - 2:21WizardsBradley Beal makes technical free throw 1 of 126
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 2:21Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)25
24.3%
22
75.7%
Q1 - 2:34WizardsTroy Brown Jr. defensive rebound25
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 2:37HeatTroy Brown Jr. blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point running layup25
22.6%
22
77.4%
Q1 - 2:43WizardsBradley Beal turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)25
21.6%
22
78.4%
Q1 - 3:00HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)25
23.1%
22
76.9%
Q1 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound25
25.8%
19
74.2%
Q1 - 3:11HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot25
27.2%
19
72.8%
Q1 - 3:27WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point cutting layup (Bradley Beal assists)25
25.8%
19
74.2%
Q1 - 3:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)23
24.4%
19
75.6%
Q1 - 3:54WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 1 of 123
25.8%
17
74.2%
Q1 - 3:54HeatChris Silva shooting foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)22
25.6%
17
74.4%
Q1 - 4:16HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)20
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 4:29WizardsIsh Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 120
20.8%
17
79.2%
Q1 - 4:29HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Ish Smith draws the foul)19
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 4:35HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Meyers Leonard assists)17
18.3%
17
81.7%
Q1 - 4:43HeatMeyers Leonard offensive rebound17
19.4%
15
80.6%
Q1 - 4:44HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup17
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 5:09WizardsMoritz Wagner makes two point layup (Ish Smith assists)17
19.0%
15
81.0%
Q1 - 5:15WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound15
17.9%
15
82.1%
Q1 - 5:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot15
17.5%
15
82.5%
Q1 - 5:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound15
16.6%
15
83.4%
Q1 - 5:29WizardsBradley Beal misses three point pullup jump shot15
17.0%
15
83.0%
Q1 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)15
17.9%
15
82.1%
Q1 - 6:00WizardsBradley Beal turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 6:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Meyers Leonard assists)15
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 6:30WizardsMoritz Wagner turnover (out of bounds lost ball)15
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 6:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)15
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 7:04WizardsBradley Beal makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Isaac Bonga assists)15
23.3%
9
76.7%
Q1 - 7:08WizardsWizards offensive rebound12
20.9%
9
79.1%
Q1 - 7:08WizardsMeyers Leonard blocks Moritz Wagner's two point cutting layup12
19.9%
9
80.1%
Q1 - 7:20HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
20.9%
9
79.1%
Q1 - 7:36WizardsMoritz Wagner makes three point jump shot (Isaac Bonga assists)12
23.3%
6
76.7%
Q1 - 7:43WizardsIsaac Bonga defensive rebound9
20.9%
6
79.1%
Q1 - 7:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot9
20.5%
6
79.5%
Q1 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 8:09WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point stepback jump shot9
19.6%
6
80.4%
Q1 - 8:20WizardsMoritz Wagner defensive rebound9
20.5%
6
79.5%
Q1 - 8:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup9
20.1%
6
79.9%
Q1 - 8:21HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound9
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point finger roll layup9
20.1%
6
79.9%
Q1 - 8:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
19.2%
6
80.8%
Q1 - 8:39WizardsMoritz Wagner misses two point driving layup9
19.6%
6
80.4%
Q1 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Meyers Leonard assists)9
20.6%
6
79.4%
Q1 - 9:18WizardsIsaac Bonga makes two point running dunk (Rui Hachimura assists)9
21.4%
4
78.6%
Q1 - 9:23HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (lost ball) (Moritz Wagner steals)7
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 9:30HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound7
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 9:32WizardsMoritz Wagner misses three point jump shot7
19.4%
4
80.6%
Q1 - 9:46WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound7
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 9:48HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot7
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 10:07WizardsMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 2 of 27
18.9%
4
81.1%
Q1 - 10:07WizardsMoritz Wagner makes regular free throw 1 of 26
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 10:07HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Moritz Wagner draws the foul)5
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 10:22HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup5
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 10:31WizardsIsh Smith personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)5
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 10:35WizardsMoritz Wagner personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 10:45WizardsBradley Beal makes two point running layup (Ish Smith assists)5
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 10:50HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Moritz Wagner steals)3
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 11:03HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound3
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:05WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point jump shot3
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)3
17.8%
2
82.2%
Q1 - 11:44WizardsIsh Smith makes three point jump shot (Bradley Beal assists)3
18.8%
0
81.2%
Q1 - 12:00Moritz Wagner vs. Bam Adebayo (Ish Smith gains possession)0
16.7%
0
83.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.05 52.6%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
25
38
66%
MIA
24
34
71%
Midrange
WAS
2
14
14%
MIA
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
12
18.0
39
31%
46%
MIA
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
Free Throws
WAS
13
14
93%
MIA
18
24
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Beal2361%11.5 / 19
M. Wagner1959%9.5 / 16
D. Bertans1948%9.5 / 20
I. Smith1568%7.5 / 11
R. Hachimura1444%7.0 / 16
I. Bonga7117%3.5 / 3
T. Brown Jr.429%2.0 / 7
C. Chiozza250%1.0 / 2
A. Schofield0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2867%14.0 / 21
B. Adebayo2463%12.0 / 19
T. Herro2261%11.0 / 18
K. Nunn1450%7.0 / 14
K. Olynyk1071%5.0 / 7
D. Robinson633%3.0 / 9
D. Jones542%2.5 / 6
M. Leonard375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
85
+13
-11
98
MIA
84
+16
-12
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.05 52.6%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
112.4
WAS 107.3
MIA 116.7 +9.4
Pace
102.9
98.4
WAS 101.1 +9.6
MIA 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
14.8
WAS 14.2 +1.5
MIA 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.3%
54.7%
WAS 49.5%
MIA 54.7% +5.2%
TO %
13.1%
14.0%
WAS 10.2% +2.5%
MIA 12.7%
ORB %
22.2%
20.3%
WAS 18.8%
MIA 26.8% +8.0%
FTrt
27.0
29.9
WAS 15.4
MIA 27.9 +12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.2%
65.7%
WAS 74.4% +7.7%
MIA 66.7%
STL %
7.7%
7.6%
WAS 6.3%
MIA 6.3%
BLK %
7.8%
9.3%
WAS 6.9%
MIA 13.5% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.1%
56.9%
WAS 52.6%
MIA 56.0% +3.4%
Rim FG%
61.1%
63.8%
WAS 65.8%
MIA 70.6% +4.8%
Mid FG%
38.5%
38.9%
WAS 14.3%
MIA 33.3% +19.0%
3P %
36.9%
37.9%
WAS 30.8%
MIA 35.7% +4.9%
FT %
78.8%
78.3%
WAS 92.9% +17.9%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.5%
33.2%
WAS 41.8% +2.2%
MIA 39.5%
Mid Att. %
29.7%
24.9%
WAS 15.4% +12.5%
MIA 27.9%
3P Att. %
35.8%
41.9%
WAS 42.9% +10.3%
MIA 32.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points103112
Rebounds3950
Assists2928
Steals66
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)12 (2)
Fouls2013
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)39 (1)
Field Goals39-9142-86
At-the-Rim FG25-3824-34
Midrange FG2-148-24
2-Point FG27-5232-58
3-Point FG12-3910-28
Free Throws13-1418-24
Fast Break Pts112
2nd Chance Pts921
Points in Paint5054
Pts off Turnovers2218
Bench Points2537
Biggest Lead119

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 26
39.3
23
61%
4
8
1
1
6
3
0
4
5-6
83%
3-7
43%
4-10
40%
#8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 22
39.2
14
44%
6
2
1
0
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
6-13
46%
0-2
0%
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 31
32.5
15
68%
2
8
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
4-7
57%
2-4
50%
#21 · C · 6'11" 245 · 23
30.6
19
59%
9
1
2
0
2
5
2
7
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
1-4
25%
#17 · SF · 6'9" 203 · 20
15.2
7
117%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 27
32.6
19
48%
10
1
0
2
0
0
4
6
0-0
-
2-7
29%
5-13
38%
#6 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 20
23.6
4
29%
5
3
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-4
0%
#9 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 24
15.5
2
50%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#1 · SF · 6'5" 241 · 23
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 33
DNP - Injury/Illness | Right Achilles; Injury Management, Right Achilles Strain
#5 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 22
DNP - Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'4" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Achilles; Left Achilles Rehab
#13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; Right Foot Stress Reaction
#52 · SG · 6'5" 179 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ring Finger; Right Ring Finger Surgery
#34 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Wrist; Left Wrist Surgery
#24 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 23
INACTIVE
#4 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Calf; Left Calf Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
53%
39
29
6
4
11
20
9
30
13-14
93%
27-52
52%
12-39
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.