Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	10	Nuggets	42%	106	92
	4	76ers	58%	109	97

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
DEN	95.8	96	97.0
PHI	100.0	97	96.0

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-13

PHI

+19

-15

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.00 50.0%

PHI

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

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Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHI
Q4 - 0:00.0		End of 4th Quarter.	92	97
Q4 - 0:06.7	76ers	Joel Embiid defensive rebound	92	97
Q4 - 0:09.4	Nuggets	Will Barton misses three point running pullup jump shot	92	97
Q4 - 0:15.3	76ers	Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2	92	97
Q4 - 0:15.3	76ers	Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2	92	96
Q4 - 0:15.3	Nuggets	Jerami Grant personal foul (Take) (Joel Embiid draws the foul)	92	95
Q4 - 0:16.9	Nuggets	Jerami Grant personal foul (Take) (Joel Embiid draws the foul)	92	95
Q4 - 0:18.9	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic makes two point driving layup	92	95
Q4 - 0:27.4	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic defensive rebound	90	95
Q4 - 0:29.1	76ers	Al Horford misses two point pullup jump shot	90	95
Q4 - 0:49.7	Nuggets	Paul Millsap turnover (lost ball) (Al Horford steals)	90	95
Q4 - 0:53.4	76ers	Ben Simmons turnover (bad pass) (Paul Millsap steals)	90	95
Q4 - 1:11	Nuggets	Will Barton turnover (bad pass) (Ben Simmons steals)	90	95
Q4 - 1:27	76ers	76ers turnover (shot clock violation)	90	95
Q4 - 1:27	76ers	76ers offensive rebound	90	95
Q4 - 1:29	76ers	Joel Embiid misses two point layup	90	95
Q4 - 1:52	Nuggets	Gary Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2	90	95
Q4 - 1:52	Nuggets	Gary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2	89	95
Q4 - 1:52	76ers	Ben Simmons shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)	88	95
Q4 - 2:14	Nuggets	Nuggets defensive rebound	88	95
Q4 - 2:14	76ers	Tobias Harris misses two point running layup	88	95
Q4 - 2:18	76ers	Al Horford defensive rebound	88	95
Q4 - 2:23	Nuggets	Gary Harris misses two point driving floating jump shot	88	95
Q4 - 2:40	76ers	Joel Embiid turnover (out of bounds lost ball)	88	95
Q4 - 2:50	76ers	76ers offensive rebound	88	95
Q4 - 2:54	76ers	Joel Embiid misses three point jump shot	88	95
Q4 - 3:06	76ers	Tobias Harris defensive rebound	88	95
Q4 - 3:08	Nuggets	Paul Millsap misses three point stepback jump shot	88	95
Q4 - 3:29	Nuggets	Will Barton defensive rebound	88	95
Q4 - 3:33	76ers	Al Horford misses three point jump shot	88	95
Q4 - 3:52	76ers	Matisse Thybulle defensive rebound	88	95
Q4 - 3:56	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot	88	95
Q4 - 4:09	76ers	Tobias Harris makes two point driving hook shot	88	95
Q4 - 4:24	Nuggets	Will Barton makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jokic assists)	88	93
Q4 - 4:37	76ers	Al Horford makes two point stepback jump shot	86	93
Q4 - 4:48	76ers	Matisse Thybulle offensive rebound	86	91
Q4 - 4:52	76ers	Tobias Harris misses three point jump shot	86	91
Q4 - 4:58	76ers	Tobias Harris defensive rebound	86	91
Q4 - 5:01	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic misses two point turnaround jump shot	86	91
Q4 - 5:14	76ers	Matisse Thybulle personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)	86	91
Q4 - 5:26	Nuggets	Will Barton defensive rebound	86	91
Q4 - 5:29	76ers	Tobias Harris misses two point driving finger roll layup	86	91
Q4 - 5:41	Nuggets	Jerami Grant personal foul (Take) (Tobias Harris draws the foul)	86	91
Q4 - 5:54	76ers	Al Horford defensive rebound	86	91
Q4 - 5:57	Nuggets	Malik Beasley misses three point jump shot	86	91
Q4 - 6:11	Nuggets	Malik Beasley defensive rebound	86	91
Q4 - 6:15	76ers	Mike Scott misses three point jump shot	86	91
Q4 - 6:19	76ers	Ben Simmons defensive rebound	86	91
Q4 - 6:21	Nuggets	Jerami Grant misses three point jump shot	86	91
Q4 - 6:38	76ers	Matisse Thybulle makes three point jump shot (Tobias Harris assists)	86	91
Q4 - 7:00	Nuggets	Will Barton makes regular free throw 1 of 1	86	88
Q4 - 7:00	76ers	Al Horford shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)	85	88
Q4 - 7:12	Nuggets	Jerami Grant defensive rebound	83	88
Q4 - 7:16	76ers	Tobias Harris misses two point pullup jump shot	83	88
Q4 - 7:27	Nuggets	Will Barton personal foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)	83	88
Q4 - 7:38	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Will Barton assists)	83	88
Q4 - 7:47	Nuggets	Will Barton defensive rebound	81	88
Q4 - 7:48	76ers	Mike Scott misses three point jump shot	81	88
Q4 - 8:09	Nuggets	Malik Beasley makes two point driving floating jump shot	81	88
Q4 - 8:17	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound	79	88
Q4 - 8:19	76ers	Joel Embiid misses two point jump shot	79	88
Q4 - 8:40	Nuggets	Will Barton makes regular free throw 2 of 2	79	88
Q4 - 8:40	Nuggets	Will Barton misses regular free throw 1 of 2	78	88
Q4 - 8:40	76ers	Josh Richardson shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)	78	88
Q4 - 8:55	76ers	Josh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)	78	88
Q4 - 9:17	76ers	Joel Embiid defensive rebound	78	85
Q4 - 9:21	Nuggets	Jerami Grant misses two point pullup jump shot	78	85
Q4 - 9:26	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee defensive rebound	78	85
Q4 - 9:29	76ers	Mike Scott misses three point jump shot	78	85
Q4 - 9:47	76ers	76ers defensive rebound	78	85
Q4 - 9:47	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. misses two point tip layup	78	85
Q4 - 9:47	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound	78	85
Q4 - 9:48	Nuggets	Will Barton misses two point driving layup	78	85
Q4 - 9:54	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound	78	85
Q4 - 9:57	76ers	Josh Richardson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot	78	85
Q4 - 10:13	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Joel Embiid steals)	78	85
Q4 - 10:30	76ers	Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot	78	85
Q4 - 10:46	76ers	Joel Embiid defensive rebound	78	83
Q4 - 10:48	Nuggets	Malik Beasley misses two point pullup jump shot	78	83
Q4 - 11:01	76ers	Raul Neto turnover (lost ball) (Mason Plumlee steals)	78	83
Q4 - 11:08	76ers	Joel Embiid defensive rebound	78	83
Q4 - 11:11	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. misses two point layup	78	83
Q4 - 11:23	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound	78	83
Q4 - 11:25	76ers	Joel Embiid misses two point turnaround jump shot	78	83
Q4 - 11:48	Nuggets	Will Barton makes two point driving floating jump shot	78	83
Q3 - 0:00.0		End of 3rd Quarter.	76	83
Q3 - 0:00.2	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee defensive rebound	76	83
Q3 - 0:00.2	76ers	Joel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 1	76	83
Q3 - 0:00.2	Nuggets	Jerami Grant shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)	76	83
Q3 - 0:02.6	76ers	76ers offensive rebound	76	81
Q3 - 0:02.7	76ers	Torrey Craig blocks Tobias Harris's two point driving floating jump shot	76	81
Q3 - 0:17.5	Nuggets	Torrey Craig makes two point running finger roll layup (Jerami Grant assists)	76	81
Q3 - 0:23.2	76ers	Ben Simmons turnover (bad pass) (Jerami Grant steals)	74	81
Q3 - 0:24.9	76ers	Joel Embiid offensive rebound	74	81
Q3 - 0:29.6	76ers	Josh Richardson misses three point jump shot	74	81
Q3 - 0:39.3	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Joel Embiid steals)	74	81
Q3 - 1:02	76ers	Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2	74	81
Q3 - 1:02	76ers	Tobias Harris misses regular free throw 1 of 2	74	80
Q3 - 1:02	Nuggets	Torrey Craig shooting foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)	74	80
Q3 - 1:02	76ers	Tobias Harris offensive rebound	74	80
Q3 - 1:04	76ers	Jerami Grant blocks Al Horford's two point driving layup	74	80
Q3 - 1:15	Nuggets	Torrey Craig makes two point reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)	74	80
Q3 - 1:43	76ers	Al Horford makes two point hook shot (Ben Simmons assists)	72	80
Q3 - 1:52	76ers	Tobias Harris defensive rebound	72	78
Q3 - 1:55	Nuggets	Monte Morris misses two point driving reverse layup	72	78
Q3 - 2:23	76ers	Al Horford makes two point driving dunk	72	78
Q3 - 2:24	76ers	Al Horford offensive rebound	72	76
Q3 - 2:27	76ers	Al Horford misses three point jump shot	72	76
Q3 - 2:34	76ers	Al Horford defensive rebound	72	76
Q3 - 2:36	Nuggets	Jerami Grant misses three point jump shot	72	76
Q3 - 2:54	76ers	James Ennis III makes two point tip layup	72	76
Q3 - 2:54	76ers	James Ennis III offensive rebound	72	74
Q3 - 2:57	76ers	Al Horford misses three point jump shot	72	74
Q3 - 3:14	Nuggets	Gary Harris makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)	72	74
Q3 - 3:22	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic defensive rebound	70	74
Q3 - 3:26	76ers	Tobias Harris misses two point pullup jump shot	70	74
Q3 - 3:47	Nuggets	Nuggets turnover (shot clock violation)	70	74
Q3 - 3:47	Nuggets	Nuggets offensive rebound	70	74
Q3 - 3:49	Nuggets	Gary Harris misses three point running jump shot	70	74
Q3 - 3:52	Nuggets	Nuggets offensive rebound	70	74
Q3 - 3:52	Nuggets	Tobias Harris blocks Jerami Grant's two point driving layup	70	74
Q3 - 4:14	76ers	Al Horford makes three point jump shot (Tobias Harris assists)	70	74
Q3 - 4:27	76ers	Tobias Harris defensive rebound	70	71
Q3 - 4:29	Nuggets	Monte Morris misses two point driving floating jump shot	70	71
Q3 - 4:44	76ers	Tobias Harris makes two point pullup jump shot	70	71
Q3 - 5:01	Nuggets	Will Barton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	70	69
Q3 - 5:16	76ers	Matisse Thybulle makes two point running dunk (Ben Simmons assists)	70	69
Q3 - 5:19	76ers	Ben Simmons defensive rebound	70	67
Q3 - 5:21	Nuggets	Gary Harris misses two point driving floating jump shot	70	67
Q3 - 5:39	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic defensive rebound	70	67
Q3 - 5:42	76ers	Matisse Thybulle misses three point jump shot	70	67
Q3 - 5:49	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic makes two point layup (Will Barton assists)	70	67
Q3 - 6:04	76ers	James Ennis III makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)	68	67
Q3 - 6:19	Nuggets	Gary Harris makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jokic assists)	68	64
Q3 - 6:28	76ers	Ben Simmons personal foul (Monte Morris draws the foul)	66	64
Q3 - 6:43	76ers	Tobias Harris makes three point jump shot (Ben Simmons assists)	66	64
Q3 - 6:59	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic makes two point cutting dunk (Gary Harris assists)	66	61
Q3 - 7:11	76ers	Al Horford makes two point layup (Joel Embiid assists)	64	61
Q3 - 7:35	Nuggets	Paul Millsap makes two point driving reverse layup	64	59
Q3 - 7:53	76ers	76ers turnover (shot clock violation)	62	59
Q3 - 7:53	76ers	76ers offensive rebound	62	59
Q3 - 7:54	76ers	Tobias Harris misses two point pullup jump shot	62	59
Q3 - 8:20	Nuggets	Will Barton makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)	62	59
Q3 - 8:27	Nuggets	Monte Morris defensive rebound	59	59
Q3 - 8:30	76ers	Paul Millsap blocks Ben Simmons's two point floating jump shot	59	59
Q3 - 8:37	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Tobias Harris steals)	59	59
Q3 - 8:44	Nuggets	Monte Morris defensive rebound	59	59
Q3 - 8:47	76ers	Al Horford misses three point jump shot	59	59
Q3 - 8:54	76ers	Ben Simmons defensive rebound	59	59
Q3 - 8:57	Nuggets	Monte Morris misses three point jump shot	59	59
Q3 - 8:58	Nuggets	Paul Millsap offensive rebound	59	59
Q3 - 9:00	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot	59	59
Q3 - 9:09	Nuggets	Will Barton defensive rebound	59	59
Q3 - 9:12	76ers	Ben Simmons misses regular free throw 2 of 2	59	59
Q3 - 9:12	76ers	Ben Simmons misses regular free throw 1 of 2	59	59
Q3 - 9:12	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Ben Simmons draws the foul)	59	59
Q3 - 9:12	76ers	Ben Simmons offensive rebound	59	59
Q3 - 9:13	76ers	Al Horford misses two point driving hook shot	59	59
Q3 - 9:35	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Gary Harris assists)	59	59
Q3 - 9:45	Nuggets	Nuggets defensive rebound	56	59
Q3 - 9:48	76ers	Josh Richardson misses three point jump shot	56	59
Q3 - 9:57	76ers	Al Horford offensive rebound	56	59
Q3 - 9:59	76ers	Joel Embiid misses three point jump shot	56	59
Q3 - 10:20	Nuggets	Monte Morris makes two point running finger roll layup (Will Barton assists)	56	59
Q3 - 10:24	76ers	Ben Simmons turnover (bad pass) (Will Barton steals)	54	59
Q3 - 10:38	Nuggets	Paul Millsap makes two point layup (Will Barton assists)	54	59
Q3 - 10:56	76ers	Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot	52	59
Q3 - 11:15	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Gary Harris assists)	52	57
Q3 - 11:36	76ers	Tobias Harris makes two point driving floating jump shot	50	57
Q2 - 0:00.0		End of 1st Half.	50	55
Q2 - 0:00.1	76ers	76ers offensive rebound	50	55
Q2 - 0:00.1	76ers	Ben Simmons misses three point running jump shot	50	55
Q2 - 0:01.1	76ers	Mike Scott defensive rebound	50	55
Q2 - 0:04.3	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot	50	55
Q2 - 0:28.7	76ers	Joel Embiid turnover (offensive foul)	50	55
Q2 - 0:28.7	76ers	Joel Embiid offensive foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)	50	55
Q2 - 0:37.7	Nuggets	Monte Morris makes three point pullup jump shot	50	55
Q2 - 0:47.4	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic defensive rebound	47	55
Q2 - 0:51.1	76ers	Will Barton blocks Furkan Korkmaz's three point jump shot	47	55
Q2 - 0:53.6	76ers	James Ennis III defensive rebound	47	55
Q2 - 0:55.6	Nuggets	Will Barton misses three point jump shot	47	55
Q2 - 1:01	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic defensive rebound	47	55
Q2 - 1:05	76ers	James Ennis III misses three point jump shot	47	55
Q2 - 1:11	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Mike Scott steals)	47	55
Q2 - 1:24	Nuggets	Paul Millsap defensive rebound	47	55
Q2 - 1:28	76ers	Mike Scott misses three point jump shot	47	55
Q2 - 1:33	76ers	Ben Simmons defensive rebound	47	55
Q2 - 1:36	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot	47	55
Q2 - 1:52	76ers	Mike Scott makes two point cutting layup (Joel Embiid assists)	47	55
Q2 - 2:05	76ers	Furkan Korkmaz defensive rebound	47	53
Q2 - 2:08	Nuggets	Paul Millsap misses two point driving floating jump shot	47	53
Q2 - 2:20	76ers	Joel Embiid personal foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)	47	53
Q2 - 2:21	76ers	Joel Embiid turnover (lost ball) (Gary Harris steals)	47	53
Q2 - 2:37	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic makes two point driving hook shot (Gary Harris assists)	47	53
Q2 - 2:55	76ers	Joel Embiid makes two point finger roll layup	45	53
Q2 - 3:19	Nuggets	Gary Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1	45	51
Q2 - 3:19	76ers	James Ennis III shooting foul (Gary Harris draws the foul)	44	51
Q2 - 3:22	76ers	Ben Simmons turnover (bad pass) (Monte Morris steals)	42	51
Q2 - 3:35	Nuggets	Paul Millsap makes two point stepback bank jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)	42	51
Q2 - 3:45	76ers	Tobias Harris turnover (offensive foul)	40	51
Q2 - 3:45	76ers	Tobias Harris offensive foul (Charge) (Will Barton draws the foul)	40	51
Q2 - 4:03	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Will Barton assists)	40	51
Q2 - 4:08	76ers	Al Horford turnover (lost ball) (Will Barton steals)	38	51
Q2 - 4:23	76ers	James Ennis III defensive rebound	38	51
Q2 - 4:27	Nuggets	Gary Harris misses two point pullup jump shot	38	51
Q2 - 4:31	Nuggets	Nuggets offensive rebound	38	51
Q2 - 4:31	Nuggets	Tobias Harris blocks Will Barton's two point driving layup	38	51
Q2 - 4:50	76ers	Matisse Thybulle makes three point jump shot (Ben Simmons assists)	38	51
Q2 - 4:55	Nuggets	Gary Harris turnover (lost ball) (Al Horford steals)	38	48
Q2 - 5:04	76ers	Al Horford turnover (bad pass) (Paul Millsap steals)	38	48
Q2 - 5:28	Nuggets	Gary Harris makes two point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)	38	48
Q2 - 5:41	76ers	James Ennis III personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)	36	48
Q2 - 5:50	Nuggets	Paul Millsap defensive rebound	36	48
Q2 - 5:52	76ers	Nikola Jokic blocks Tobias Harris's two point driving layup	36	48
Q2 - 6:10	Nuggets	Torrey Craig turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	36	48
Q2 - 6:22	76ers	Ben Simmons makes regular free throw 2 of 2	36	48
Q2 - 6:22	76ers	Ben Simmons misses regular free throw 1 of 2	36	47
Q2 - 6:22	Nuggets	Gary Harris shooting foul (Ben Simmons draws the foul)	36	47
Q2 - 6:43	Nuggets	Gary Harris makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)	36	47
Q2 - 6:56	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic defensive rebound	33	47
Q2 - 7:00	76ers	Al Horford misses three point jump shot	33	47
Q2 - 7:16	76ers	Tobias Harris makes technical free throw 1 of 1	33	47
Q2 - 7:16	Nuggets	Michael Malone technical foul	33	46
Q2 - 7:16	76ers	Tobias Harris defensive rebound	33	46
Q2 - 7:17	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic misses two point layup	33	46
Q2 - 7:35	76ers	Furkan Korkmaz makes three point jump shot (Ben Simmons assists)	33	46
Q2 - 7:43	76ers	Furkan Korkmaz defensive rebound	33	43
Q2 - 7:45	Nuggets	Malik Beasley misses three point jump shot	33	43
Q2 - 8:08	76ers	Tobias Harris makes two point running layup (Ben Simmons assists)	33	43
Q2 - 8:14	76ers	Joel Embiid defensive rebound	33	41
Q2 - 8:14	Nuggets	Will Barton misses two point driving floating jump shot	33	41
Q2 - 8:27	76ers	Ben Simmons makes two point running dunk (Tobias Harris assists)	33	41
Q2 - 8:28	76ers	Matisse Thybulle defensive rebound	33	39
Q2 - 8:31	Nuggets	Joel Embiid blocks Mason Plumlee's two point driving hook shot	33	39
Q2 - 8:46	76ers	Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2	33	39
Q2 - 8:46	76ers	Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2	33	38
Q2 - 8:46	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)	33	37
Q2 - 9:03	Nuggets	Jerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)	33	37
Q2 - 9:16	76ers	Tobias Harris makes three point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)	30	37
Q2 - 9:33	Nuggets	Malik Beasley makes three point jump shot (Jerami Grant assists)	30	34
Q2 - 9:42	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee defensive rebound	27	34
Q2 - 9:42	76ers	Monte Morris blocks Joel Embiid's two point layup	27	34
Q2 - 9:56	76ers	Joel Embiid defensive rebound	27	34
Q2 - 9:58	Nuggets	Monte Morris misses two point driving layup	27	34
Q2 - 10:14	76ers	Furkan Korkmaz makes three point jump shot (Raul Neto assists)	27	34
Q2 - 10:16	76ers	76ers offensive rebound	27	31
Q2 - 10:16	76ers	Jerami Grant blocks Joel Embiid's two point layup	27	31
Q2 - 10:30	Nuggets	Malik Beasley turnover (out of bounds lost ball)	27	31
Q2 - 10:42	76ers	Matisse Thybulle makes three point jump shot (Raul Neto assists)	27	31
Q2 - 10:46	76ers	Furkan Korkmaz defensive rebound	27	28
Q2 - 10:50	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee misses two point jump shot	27	28
Q2 - 11:01	76ers	Matisse Thybulle makes two point running dunk (Furkan Korkmaz assists)	27	28
Q2 - 11:06	76ers	Matisse Thybulle defensive rebound	27	26
Q2 - 11:08	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. misses two point running layup	27	26
Q2 - 11:12	76ers	Raul Neto turnover (bad pass) (Jerami Grant steals)	27	26
Q2 - 11:20	76ers	Joel Embiid defensive rebound	27	26
Q2 - 11:22	Nuggets	Monte Morris misses two point pullup jump shot	27	26
Q2 - 11:41	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee defensive rebound	27	26
Q2 - 11:45	76ers	Tobias Harris misses two point pullup jump shot	27	26
Q1 - 0:00.0		End of 1st Quarter.	27	26
Q1 - 0:00.2	76ers	76ers offensive rebound	27	26
Q1 - 0:00.2	76ers	Furkan Korkmaz misses three point pullup jump shot	27	26
Q1 - 0:02.5	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Josh Richardson steals)	27	26
Q1 - 0:03.1	76ers	Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2	27	26
Q1 - 0:03.1	76ers	Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2	27	25
Q1 - 0:03.1	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)	27	24
Q1 - 0:06.7	Nuggets	Monte Morris personal foul (Take) (Raul Neto draws the foul)	27	24
Q1 - 0:21.5	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. makes two point layup (Jerami Grant assists)	27	24
Q1 - 0:22.9	76ers	Joel Embiid turnover (lost ball) (Mason Plumlee steals)	25	24
Q1 - 0:27.0	76ers	Joel Embiid defensive rebound	25	24
Q1 - 0:27.0	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. misses two point layup	25	24
Q1 - 0:28.2	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound	25	24
Q1 - 0:31.3	Nuggets	Jerami Grant misses two point pullup jump shot	25	24
Q1 - 0:40.5	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound	25	24
Q1 - 0:43.1	76ers	Joel Embiid misses two point jump shot	25	24
Q1 - 0:58.5	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2	25	24
Q1 - 0:58.5	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2	24	24
Q1 - 0:58.5	76ers	Joel Embiid shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)	23	24
Q1 - 1:11	Nuggets	Monte Morris defensive rebound	23	24
Q1 - 1:14	76ers	Josh Richardson misses two point driving layup	23	24
Q1 - 1:30	Nuggets	Monte Morris makes two point driving floating jump shot	23	24
Q1 - 1:40	76ers	Mike Scott makes three point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)	21	24
Q1 - 1:56	76ers	Raul Neto defensive rebound	21	21
Q1 - 1:59	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot	21	21
Q1 - 2:13	76ers	Joel Embiid makes two point fadeaway jump shot	21	21
Q1 - 2:30	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	21	19
Q1 - 2:42	76ers	Mike Scott makes three point jump shot (Furkan Korkmaz assists)	21	19
Q1 - 3:00	Nuggets	Mason Plumlee makes two point alley-oop dunk (Will Barton assists)	21	16
Q1 - 3:12	76ers	Ben Simmons makes two point running dunk (Matisse Thybulle assists)	19	16
Q1 - 3:16	Nuggets	Monte Morris turnover (lost ball) (Matisse Thybulle steals)	19	14
Q1 - 3:28	76ers	Joel Embiid makes two point tip layup	19	14
Q1 - 3:28	76ers	Joel Embiid offensive rebound	19	12
Q1 - 3:30	76ers	James Ennis III misses three point jump shot	19	12
Q1 - 3:37	Nuggets	Michael Porter Jr. personal foul (Ben Simmons draws the foul)	19	12
Q1 - 3:54	Nuggets	Will Barton makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Monte Morris assists)	19	12
Q1 - 4:09	76ers	Ben Simmons personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)	17	12
Q1 - 4:09	Nuggets	Nuggets offensive rebound	17	12
Q1 - 4:11	Nuggets	Will Barton misses three point jump shot	17	12
Q1 - 4:22	Nuggets	Will Barton defensive rebound	17	12
Q1 - 4:25	76ers	Al Horford misses three point jump shot	17	12
Q1 - 4:30	76ers	Al Horford defensive rebound	17	12
Q1 - 4:32	Nuggets	Monte Morris misses two point driving finger roll layup	17	12
Q1 - 4:54	76ers	James Ennis III makes two point driving layup	17	12
Q1 - 5:12	76ers	Tobias Harris defensive rebound	17	10
Q1 - 5:13	Nuggets	Will Barton misses two point tip layup	17	10
Q1 - 5:13	Nuggets	Will Barton offensive rebound	17	10
Q1 - 5:14	Nuggets	Gary Harris misses three point jump shot	17	10
Q1 - 5:19	76ers	Al Horford turnover (bad pass) (Paul Millsap steals)	17	10
Q1 - 5:28	76ers	Al Horford defensive rebound	17	10
Q1 - 5:30	Nuggets	Will Barton misses three point pullup jump shot	17	10
Q1 - 5:38	Nuggets	Paul Millsap defensive rebound	17	10
Q1 - 5:39	76ers	Matisse Thybulle misses two point putback dunk	17	10
Q1 - 5:39	76ers	Matisse Thybulle offensive rebound	17	10
Q1 - 5:40	76ers	Al Horford misses three point jump shot	17	10
Q1 - 5:50	Nuggets	Paul Millsap makes two point layup (Will Barton assists)	17	10
Q1 - 6:01	76ers	Tobias Harris makes two point driving dunk (Ben Simmons assists)	15	10
Q1 - 6:12	Nuggets	Paul Millsap makes regular free throw 2 of 2	15	8
Q1 - 6:12	Nuggets	Paul Millsap makes regular free throw 1 of 2	14	8
Q1 - 6:12	76ers	Matisse Thybulle shooting foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)	13	8
Q1 - 6:17	Nuggets	Gary Harris defensive rebound	13	8
Q1 - 6:21	76ers	Monte Morris blocks Matisse Thybulle's two point layup	13	8
Q1 - 6:29	Nuggets	Will Barton makes regular free throw 2 of 2	13	8
Q1 - 6:29	Nuggets	Will Barton makes regular free throw 1 of 2	12	8
Q1 - 6:29	76ers	Al Horford shooting foul (Will Barton draws the foul)	11	8
Q1 - 6:33	Nuggets	Paul Millsap offensive rebound	11	8
Q1 - 6:35	Nuggets	Will Barton misses three point pullup jump shot	11	8
Q1 - 6:49	76ers	Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2	11	8
Q1 - 6:49	76ers	Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2	11	7
Q1 - 6:49	Nuggets	Gary Harris shooting foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)	11	6
Q1 - 6:49	76ers	Ben Simmons offensive rebound	11	6
Q1 - 6:51	76ers	Tobias Harris misses three point jump shot	11	6
Q1 - 7:06	76ers	Ben Simmons defensive rebound	11	6
Q1 - 7:10	Nuggets	Gary Harris misses three point jump shot	11	6
Q1 - 7:13	Nuggets	Will Barton defensive rebound	11	6
Q1 - 7:15	76ers	Josh Richardson misses two point driving layup	11	6
Q1 - 7:16	76ers	Josh Richardson offensive rebound	11	6
Q1 - 7:19	76ers	Will Barton blocks Josh Richardson's two point driving reverse layup	11	6
Q1 - 7:27	76ers	Al Horford defensive rebound	11	6
Q1 - 7:29	Nuggets	Paul Millsap misses two point driving finger roll layup	11	6
Q1 - 7:38	76ers	Tobias Harris personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)	11	6
Q1 - 7:44	Nuggets	Gary Harris defensive rebound	11	6
Q1 - 7:47	76ers	Al Horford misses two point jump shot	11	6
Q1 - 8:06	Nuggets	Will Barton makes two point driving floating jump shot	11	6
Q1 - 8:19	76ers	Ben Simmons makes two point alley-oop layup (Joel Embiid assists)	9	6
Q1 - 8:33	Nuggets	Will Barton makes three point pullup jump shot (Gary Harris assists)	9	4
Q1 - 8:45	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic defensive rebound	6	4
Q1 - 8:48	76ers	Joel Embiid misses three point jump shot	6	4
Q1 - 8:50	76ers	Al Horford offensive rebound	6	4
Q1 - 8:54	76ers	Josh Richardson misses two point jump shot	6	4
Q1 - 9:07	Nuggets	Will Barton makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)	6	4
Q1 - 9:17	Nuggets	Paul Millsap defensive rebound	4	4
Q1 - 9:19	76ers	Ben Simmons misses two point driving hook shot	4	4
Q1 - 9:30	76ers	Ben Simmons defensive rebound	4	4
Q1 - 9:34	Nuggets	Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot	4	4
Q1 - 9:39	76ers	Al Horford turnover (bad pass) (Gary Harris steals)	4	4
Q1 - 9:44	76ers	Ben Simmons defensive rebound	4	4
Q1 - 9:47	Nuggets	Paul Millsap misses three point jump shot	4	4
Q1 - 9:57	Nuggets	Jamal Murray defensive rebound	4	4
Q1 - 10:00	76ers	Joel Embiid misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot	4	4
Q1 - 10:12	Nuggets	Nikola Jokic personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)	4	4
Q1 - 10:27	Nuggets	Will Barton makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)	4	4
Q1 - 10:50	76ers	Joel Embiid makes two point fadeaway jump shot	2	4
Q1 - 11:05	76ers	76ers defensive rebound	2	2
Q1 - 11:05	Nuggets	Gary Harris misses three point stepback jump shot	2	2
Q1 - 11:27	76ers	Joel Embiid makes two point jump shot (Al Horford assists)	2	2
Q1 - 11:47	Nuggets	Will Barton makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)	2	0
Q1 - 12:00		Nikola Jokic vs. Joel Embiid (Gary Harris gains possession)	0	0

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.00 50.0%

PHI

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

59%

PHI

53%

Midrange

DEN

42%

PHI

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

10.5

26%

39%

PHI

18.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

DEN

92%

PHI

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Barton	26	62%	13.0 / 21
N. Jokić	15	58%	7.5 / 13
G. Harris	14	54%	7.0 / 13
P. Millsap	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Morris	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Porter	6	38%	3.0 / 8
M. Beasley	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. Craig	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Grant	3	25%	1.5 / 6
M. Plumlee	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Murray	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

76ers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Embiid	22	52%	11.0 / 21
T. Harris	20	53%	10.0 / 19
M. Thybulle	13	81%	6.5 / 8
A. Horford	11	34%	5.5 / 16
M. Scott	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Simmons	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Ennis III	7	70%	3.5 / 5
F. Korkmaz	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Richardson	3	19%	1.5 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

-13

PHI

+19

-15

101

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.00 50.0%

PHI

0.96 48.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	113.2 111.3	DEN 95.8 +4.2 PHI 100.0
Pace	97.1 99.1	DEN 97.0 +1.1 PHI 96.0
Avg. Poss. Time	15.1 15.0	DEN 14.8 +0.2 PHI 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	53.5% 53.3%	DEN 47.6% PHI 48.3% +0.7%
TO %	13.3% 13.6%	DEN 13.4% +1.6% PHI 15.0%
ORB %	24.9% 24.1%	DEN 11.9% PHI 26.7% +14.8%
FTrt	23.5 25.5	DEN 14.1 PHI 18.0 +3.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	63.6% 62.8%	DEN 78.4% +13.5% PHI 64.9%
STL %	8.1% 8.1%	DEN 12.5% +3.2% PHI 9.3%
BLK %	8.8% 9.4%	DEN 17.0% +11.8% PHI 5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	55.4% 55.1%	DEN 50.0% +2.0% PHI 48.0%
Rim FG%	62.0% 62.2%	DEN 58.8% +5.5% PHI 53.3%
Mid FG%	42.5% 40.9%	DEN 41.7% +2.6% PHI 39.1%
3P %	35.9% 36.8%	DEN 25.9% PHI 33.3% +7.4%
FT %	77.7% 75.5%	DEN 91.7% +22.9% PHI 68.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	36.5% 34.5%	DEN 40.0% +6.3% PHI 33.7%
Mid Att. %	29.1% 29.6%	DEN 28.2% PHI 25.8% +2.4%
3P Att. %	34.4% 35.9%	DEN 31.8% PHI 40.4% +8.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	PHI
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	23.7	24.3
Points	92	97
Rebounds	38	49
Assists	29	24
Steals	12	9
Blocks	9	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	15 (2)
Fouls	14	15
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (4)	12 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	37 (2)
Field Goals	37-85	37-89
At-the-Rim FG	20-34	16-30
Midrange FG	10-24	9-23
2-Point FG	30-58	25-53
3-Point FG	7-27	12-36
Free Throws	11-12	11-16
Fast Break Pts	9	19
2nd Chance Pts	4	16
Points in Paint	48	38
Pts off Turnovers	15	12
Bench Points	27	34
Biggest Lead	7	14

BOXSCORE

10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 29	39.8	26	62%	7	7	2	2	2	1	1	6	4-5	80%	8-12	67%	2-7	29%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	33.3	14	54%	2	5	2	0	1	2	0	2	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokic #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	33.1	15	58%	7	11	0	1	2	2	0	7	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 35	28.6	10	56%	6	0	3	1	1	0	2	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Monte Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 24	31.1	7	39%	3	2	1	2	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	19.4	3	25%	1	3	2	2	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Mason Plumlee #24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 30	14.8	2	33%	4	1	2	0	4	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21	13.7	6	38%	6	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Malik Beasley #25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 23	11.7	5	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 29	8.1	4	100%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Juancho Hernangomez #41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 24	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Cancar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 21	INACTIVE
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 20	INACTIVE
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	50%	38	29	12	9	13	14	5	33	11-12	92%	30-58	52%	7-27	26%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 29	39.8	26	62%	7	7	2	2	2	1	1	6	4-5	80%	8-12	67%	2-7	29%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 25	33.3	14	54%	2	5	2	0	1	2	0	2	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokic #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	33.1	15	58%	7	11	0	1	2	2	0	7	0-0	-	6-9	67%	1-4	25%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 35	28.6	10	56%	6	0	3	1	1	0	2	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	5.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Monte Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 24	31.1	7	39%	3	2	1	2	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-2	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 26	19.4	3	25%	1	3	2	2	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Mason Plumlee #24 · PF · 6'10" 254 · 30	14.8	2	33%	4	1	2	0	4	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 21	13.7	6	38%	6	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Malik Beasley #25 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 23	11.7	5	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 29	8.1	4	100%	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Juancho Hernangomez #41 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 24	1.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Vlatko Cancar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarred Vanderbilt #8 · SF · 6'8" 214 · 21	INACTIVE
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 20	INACTIVE
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	50%	38	29	12	9	13	14	5	33	11-12	92%	30-58	52%	7-27	26%

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4 Philadelphia 76ers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ben Simmons #25 · PG · 6'10" 230 · 23	37.2	7	44%	9	7	1	0	4	3	2	7	1-4	25%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Tobias Harris #12 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 27	35.7	20	53%	7	4	1	2	1	2	1	6	4-5	80%	5-13	38%	2-4	50%
Joel Embiid #21 · C · 7'0" 280 · 26	31.1	22	52%	10	6	2	1	4	3	2	8	6-7	86%	8-15	53%	0-3	0%
Al Horford #42 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 34	30.9	11	34%	9	2	2	0	4	2	3	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-8	13%
Josh Richardson #0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 26	19.1	3	19%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-5	0%	1-3	33%
Matisse Thybulle #22 · SF · 6'5" 201 · 23	26.3	13	81%	5	1	1	0	0	2	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
James Ennis III #11 · SF · 6'7" 210 · 29	17.8	7	70%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Furkan Korkmaz #30 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	16.8	6	75%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Mike Scott #1 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 31	14.2	8	57%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Raul Neto #19 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 28	10.8	0	0%	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trey Burke #23 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle O'Quinn #9 · C · 6'10" 250 · 30	DNP - Coach's Decision
Shake Milton #18 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jonah Bolden #43 · PF · 6'10" 220 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Norvel Pelle #14 · PF · 6'11" 216 · 27	INACTIVE
Zhaire Smith #8 · SG · 6'4" 199 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Lower Leg; Laceration
Marial Shayok #35 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 24	INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	48%	49	24	9	3	15	15	12	37	11-16	69%	25-53	47%	12-36	33%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE