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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 10, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hawks
121
10Heat
135
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 21.2
41
34
21
4
9
0
1
0
4
0
4
4-5
80%
4-8
5-11
50%
49%
3-11
27%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.0
40
30
28
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-4
25%
6-7
3-6
86%
44%
5-10
50%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 24.7
30
26
16
7
2
1
1
1
0
0
7
3-5
60%
5-8
5-9
63%
53%
1-4
25%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 21.3
26
22
9
2
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
3-8
38%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 24.4
13
22
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
60%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 42.9
26
16
12
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
4-10
40%
Cam Reddish
F-G · 6'8" 208 · 20.3
23
27
14
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
4-9
2-6
44%
43%
2-4
50%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 26.5
22
17
9
3
1
2
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
1-2
50%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
22
20
7
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-2
50%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 25.4
14
18
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 21.3
7
7
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
9
0
1-2
45%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.1
6
0
0-1
47%
Brandon Goodwin
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
Charles Brown Jr.
G · 6'6" 199 · 22.9
Tyrone Wallace
G · 6'5" 198 · 25.5
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
44
35
30
11
11
2
1
0
4
4
7
4-5
80%
13-17
6-10
76%
60%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
43
26
34
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
61%
10-14
71%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.4
42
31
36
6
4
1
1
0
1
0
6
5-5
100%
11-16
4-8
69%
53%
3-10
30%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 30.2
42
35
20
18
10
0
2
0
3
2
16
3-7
43%
7-16
5-10
44%
52%
1-3
33%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
12
15
4
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
61%
0-2
0%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 22.8
35
18
9
7
2
1
1
1
0
1
6
1-3
33%
4-5
2-3
80%
57%
0-4
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 19.9
23
29
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-7
0%
53%
0-4
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 28.6
17
22
2
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
59%
0-3
0%
Chris Silva
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
7
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
0-0
-
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
60%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
3
0
0-0
56%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 39.5
1
0
0-0
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.