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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 13, 2019
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks26%105103
15Kings74%115101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'7" 202 · 19.4
31.4
30.2
8
29%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-5
0%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
30.6
29.4
26
68%
9
4
0
1
0
2
1
8
3-5
60%
7-9
5-10
78%
54%
3-8
38%
Marcus Morris Sr.
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.3
29.8
27.8
10
40%
5
5
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
22.7
14.3
4
40%
7
2
1
0
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
55%
0-0
-
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.4
21.1
16.8
2
20%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
0-3
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 25.8
27.1
19.5
16
58%
4
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
6-12
2-5
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 21.7
25.3
25.9
14
78%
9
0
1
1
0
0
5
4
0-0
-
7-9
4-6
78%
64%
0-0
-
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 20.3
18.3
16.9
3
26%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 24.8
17.4
20.1
9
50%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
16.5
17.4
11
92%
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
3-5
60%
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.0
10.6
0
1-3
45%
Ignas Brazdeikis
F · 6'7" 221 · 20.9
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 28.7
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.0
Allonzo Trier
G · 6'5" 198 · 23.9
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.9
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.5
37.4
33.8
18
60%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
3-6
50%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.0
36.4
34.6
34
74%
12
3
0
1
0
3
4
8
0-0
-
8-10
4-8
80%
51%
6-13
46%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.3
28.7
28.8
7
58%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.6
26.7
25.0
12
56%
2
7
0
1
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-3
3-5
0%
55%
3-6
50%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
26.6
29.7
4
52%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
5-8
33%
64%
0-0
-
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.3
28.7
27.4
14
70%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
4-5
80%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 34.5
23.9
25.3
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-3
0%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.8
21.4
24.1
10
50%
7
0
0
1
2
2
3
4
0-0
-
5-9
6-10
56%
54%
0-1
0%
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.6
10.3
15.4
2
33%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Justin James
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 22.9
4.1
0
0-1
53%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 30.3
4.1
0
0-1
60%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
2.3
0
1-1
54%
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
0.6
0
0-0
54%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.0
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.7
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 22.3
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.