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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 16, 2019
8:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Spurs25%113107
4Rockets75%122109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.4
37.9
32.7
19
57%
13
4
1
1
2
0
3
10
4-4
100%
6-12
7-14
50%
51%
1-3
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
30.8
31.6
12
43%
5
5
0
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
5-12
7-14
42%
49%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 23.2
29.0
23.2
16
53%
5
3
2
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
8-13
4-7
62%
47%
0-2
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.4
28.9
16.2
18
75%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
6-9
67%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.1
19.6
11.7
8
58%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
1-3
33%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.5
23.7
22.6
16
64%
6
3
0
1
0
2
1
5
6-8
75%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
2-3
67%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 33.3
21.1
24.1
12
61%
12
3
1
1
1
2
2
10
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.3
19.1
27.3
4
41%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 24.2
10.1
17.4
2
33%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
61%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 21.0
10.0
18.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
46%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 33.7
9.8
12.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-4
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 33.4
2.8
0
0-0
46%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 22.7
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Drew Eubanks
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
Keldon Johnson
F · 6'6" 211 · 20.2
Luka Samanic
F · 6'11" 227 · 19.9
Quinndary Weatherspoon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
40.2
34.0
31
54%
10
4
1
2
1
5
2
8
8-9
89%
10-18
7-14
56%
50%
1-7
14%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
40.0
33.2
15
70%
15
5
1
1
3
4
3
12
1-4
25%
7-9
6-9
78%
65%
0-0
-
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 34.6
38.1
35.9
9
65%
11
0
2
2
0
1
2
9
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
2-5
40%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
36.2
37.5
28
46%
8
7
1
2
1
2
3
5
4-4
100%
6-16
7-12
38%
55%
4-13
31%
Danuel House Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
27.3
30.8
4
25%
4
1
2
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
57%
0-3
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.8
28.9
29.5
17
67%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-4
25%
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
4-9
44%
Gary Clark
F · 6'8" 225 · 25.1
11.4
13.2
3
32%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
0-0
0-0
-
62%
0-3
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.4
11.4
21.1
2
20%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 35.6
6.5
4.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Chris Clemons
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.4
8.7
0
0-1
51%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 21.6
4.0
0
0-1
59%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 37.2
2.2
0
0-0
64%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.3
Michael Frazier
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.8
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 31.0
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 33.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.