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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 16, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Heat65%115111
26Grizzlies35%109118
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
43
34
14
13
5
3
1
3
4
0
13
6-8
75%
4-11
6-11
36%
59%
0-1
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 30.3
39
36
25
4
8
1
2
0
3
3
1
12-14
86%
5-10
6-12
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.4
28
33
18
2
3
0
1
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
6-12
5-9
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
23
32
12
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
4-6
67%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
17
14
3
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
61%
1-2
50%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 19.9
38
28
22
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
6-6
100%
5-15
3-7
33%
50%
2-5
40%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 22.8
31
25
15
1
0
4
1
2
1
0
1
2-3
67%
5-6
2-4
83%
57%
1-3
33%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 28.7
18
22
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
58%
0-1
0%
Chris Silva
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
3
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
3
0
0-0
55%
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
2
0
0-0
47%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 39.5
1
0
0-0
47%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.6
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 20.3
35
27
15
5
2
2
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
54%
5-11
45%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.4
34
22
10
6
2
0
1
1
2
4
2
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
1-9
11%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.4
32
28
20
1
10
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
7-10
5-11
70%
47%
2-4
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
25
24
21
10
1
0
0
2
0
2
8
4-8
50%
7-8
5-9
88%
57%
1-1
100%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
23
28
9
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 23.2
26
15
14
9
1
0
0
1
0
3
6
4-5
80%
5-8
3-5
63%
55%
0-1
0%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.6
25
21
16
7
4
1
1
0
3
4
3
9-11
82%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.6
16
20
2
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.2
14
18
3
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 28.7
11
20
8
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Marko Guduric
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.8
13
0
1-2
47%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.2
8
0
1-1
50%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.8
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 25.2
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.2
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.