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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 16, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Mavericks31%112120
2Bucks69%119116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.6
35.0
30.7
15
66%
8
1
0
1
1
0
3
5
0-1
0%
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
3-5
60%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 24.4
32.6
31.2
26
63%
12
4
0
1
2
2
2
10
4-4
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
45%
4-8
50%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 23.3
32.3
21.1
13
60%
4
11
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
1-2
50%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 27.8
24.3
30.9
6
24%
4
1
0
1
0
4
0
4
4-6
67%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-5
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.4
19.2
25.9
4
29%
8
1
0
1
1
0
1
7
2-2
100%
1-2
3-4
50%
64%
0-4
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 27.9
28.6
22.1
10
71%
7
0
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
2-5
40%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.3
26.3
22.3
26
78%
5
4
0
1
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
48%
4-8
50%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 27.6
18.7
11.0
13
94%
3
2
4
1
1
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
48%
1-1
100%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.7
16.5
15.2
7
52%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.2
6.5
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 35.5
10.2
0
2-3
45%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 31.3
4.5
0
1-2
55%
Ryan Broekhoff
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.3
3.3
0
0-0
46%
Isaiah Roby
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.9
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 20.8
Josh Reaves
G · 6'5" 214 · 22.5
Antonius Cleveland
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 25.0
34.4
27.0
48
63%
14
4
1
1
1
3
4
10
11-16
69%
17-25
8-13
68%
61%
1-6
17%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
29.6
22.2
5
28%
10
9
3
1
1
1
3
7
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
0-3
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.3
28.4
27.7
9
38%
6
3
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
51%
1-5
20%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.2
24.8
20.5
6
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 31.7
20.0
24.5
3
18%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
56%
0-4
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 38.7
24.7
14.2
17
106%
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
5-7
71%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 33.6
24.1
21.9
10
46%
2
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
54%
0-4
0%
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.8
22.4
17.5
2
17%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
17.3
14.8
11
45%
6
2
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
3-8
2-3
38%
54%
1-3
33%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.9
11.6
16.6
5
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
61%
1-3
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 31.7
2.7
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-0
-
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 23.8
11.6
0
1-2
54%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.4
2.5
0
0-1
53%
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 25.7
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 22.1
Cameron Reynolds
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.9
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.