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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 20, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks
114
10Heat
129
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris Sr.
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.3
27
26
15
3
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
2-6
33%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
23
28
13
8
1
1
1
0
2
2
6
7-10
70%
3-7
5-10
43%
53%
0-4
0%
RJ Barrett
F-G · 6'7" 202 · 19.4
20
30
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
1-7
4-9
14%
44%
0-3
0%
Frank Ntilikina
G · 6'5" 190 · 21.4
16
19
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
14
17
2
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Mitchell Robinson
C · 7'1" 225 · 21.7
28
26
18
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
8-9
4-7
89%
64%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 24.9
25
18
30
8
2
3
1
0
0
1
7
2-2
100%
8-10
2-5
80%
47%
4-7
57%
Damyean Dotson
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
23
17
7
0
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-5
0%
Kevin Knox II
F · 6'9" 212 · 20.4
21
21
11
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
2-5
40%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 25.8
18
22
4
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Dennis Smith Jr.
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.1
15
10
7
0
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Allonzo Trier
G · 6'5" 198 · 23.9
10
7
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.1
Kadeem Allen
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.9
Ivan Rabb
F · 6'10" 220 · 22.9
Ignas Brazdeikis
F · 6'7" 221 · 20.9
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 28.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
30
35
20
8
3
1
1
0
4
1
7
8-8
100%
6-9
7-11
67%
60%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 30.3
28
35
9
5
8
3
2
1
3
1
4
4-6
67%
1-2
5-11
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.4
24
34
15
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
5-9
67%
54%
2-7
29%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
23
32
18
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
63%
6-10
60%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
22
20
7
13
2
0
0
0
0
2
11
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
61%
0-1
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 28.7
26
15
10
10
3
0
1
0
3
0
10
4-5
80%
0-1
1-2
0%
59%
2-5
40%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 22.8
26
28
14
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
3-4
75%
4-5
3-5
80%
60%
1-1
100%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 19.9
25
28
12
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.6
24
29
18
1
8
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-3
67%
2-3
3-7
67%
52%
4-9
44%
Chris Silva
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.2
12
3
6
3
2
1
0
0
2
3
0
2-4
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
58%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
2
0
0-0
55%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 39.5
1
0
0-0
50%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.6
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.