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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 25, 2019
2:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Bucks48%112109
276ers52%113121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 28.4
33.0
27.4
31
71%
8
4
1
1
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
7-12
4-9
58%
50%
5-9
56%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 31.7
32.7
26.3
11
69%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
3-5
60%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 25.1
30.3
29.3
18
31%
14
7
1
1
1
3
2
12
2-4
50%
8-20
8-14
40%
60%
0-7
0%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.9
26.3
24.8
6
60%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.2
24.7
25.9
4
40%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 33.6
26.3
19.9
15
107%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
3-3
100%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 38.8
20.5
18.1
3
38%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
15.1
17.0
7
70%
1
1
0
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Sterling Brown
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.9
12.0
12.9
7
79%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
49%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
11.5
18.1
5
46%
4
1
2
0
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
59%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 31.7
7.7
14.0
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-3
0%
D.J. Wilson
F · 6'10" 236 · 23.8
8.1
0
1-1
52%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.4
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Cameron Reynolds
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.9
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.0
Frank Mason
G · 5'11" 190 · 25.7
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
38.0
35.1
15
69%
7
14
3
2
2
2
1
6
1-2
50%
7-10
6-11
70%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.3
36.9
30.6
18
45%
5
4
1
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
4-11
36%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
34.9
32.4
22
67%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
3-9
6-11
33%
52%
5-7
71%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
32.9
27.6
11
43%
10
5
1
1
1
0
2
8
2-2
100%
0-5
4-7
0%
54%
3-7
43%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.8
28.4
30.1
31
66%
11
3
0
1
2
1
2
9
6-6
100%
8-15
6-12
53%
51%
3-6
50%
Furkan Korkmaz
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 22.4
25.2
17.4
16
68%
2
0
3
0
1
0
1
1
2-4
50%
1-5
1-3
20%
49%
4-5
80%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 31.4
17.4
16.8
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-3
33%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 29.5
16.4
18.9
2
17%
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-4
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 27.1
9.9
10.8
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 27.6
4.5
0
0-1
48%
Norvel Pelle
C · 6'11" 216 · 26.9
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Shake Milton
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.2
2.7
0
0-0
47%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 29.7
2.4
0
0-1
53%
Jonah Bolden
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.0
Zhaire Smith
G · 6'4" 199 · 20.6
Marial Shayok
G · 6'5" 196 · 24.4
Matisse Thybulle
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.