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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 25, 2019
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pelicans27%108112
8Nuggets73%117100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lonzo Ball
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
36
21
10
9
3
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
2-8
25%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 22.3
36
34
31
7
2
2
1
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-9
6-12
44%
50%
7-9
78%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.5
31
35
20
4
8
6
1
0
4
2
2
3-3
100%
7-11
6-13
64%
51%
1-7
14%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 28.4
30
25
8
13
8
1
1
3
3
3
10
2-2
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
57%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 35.5
22
26
15
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
2-7
29%
Josh Hart
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
30
23
16
9
0
0
1
0
1
1
8
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
4-5
80%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 30.8
22
16
10
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.0
10
6
0
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
10
22
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jaxson Hayes
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.6
7
19
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Frank Jackson
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.6
6
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 21.3
6
0
1-1
41%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 28.9
6
0
0-0
50%
Josh Gray
G · 6'1" 182 · 26.3
Zion Williamson
F · 6'7" 285 · 19.5
Zylan Cheatham
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.1
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 29.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
35
33
15
3
1
4
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
54%
3-9
33%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.0
33
33
10
8
2
0
1
1
2
3
5
2-4
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
0-3
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.8
31
30
23
10
4
2
1
0
5
4
6
5-6
83%
6-15
6-10
40%
59%
2-5
40%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.8
28
33
8
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
4-4
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
52%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.9
16
24
0
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
4-7
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
29
22
17
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
57%
2-3
67%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
22
16
5
1
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
52%
1-2
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.1
22
18
13
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
3-10
30%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
16
18
4
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.5
6
7
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-0
-
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.7
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
4
0
0-0
56%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.7
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.1
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.