FinalWin Prob.pScore
1237%106
112
963%111
113
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
115.597101.3
MIA logo MIA
116.59793.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.112
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:00.1PacersPacers offensive rebound112
2.6%
113
97.4%
Q4 - 0:01.3PacersAaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot112
5.0%
113
95.0%
Q4 - 0:06.8HeatGoran Dragic makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)112
29.5%
113
70.5%
Q4 - 0:11.3HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound112
55.8%
111
44.2%
Q4 - 0:12.8HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving reverse layup112
74.1%
111
25.9%
Q4 - 0:20.7HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound112
51.7%
111
48.3%
Q4 - 0:22.1HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot112
69.2%
111
30.8%
Q4 - 0:30.8PacersJeremy Lamb makes two point floating jump shot112
50.4%
111
49.6%
Q4 - 0:37.6PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound110
35.6%
111
64.4%
Q4 - 0:39.5HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot110
30.0%
111
70.0%
Q4 - 0:54.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound110
22.0%
111
78.0%
Q4 - 0:57.2PacersJeremy Lamb misses two point pullup jump shot110
26.0%
111
74.0%
Q4 - 1:10HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)110
36.2%
111
63.8%
Q4 - 1:10HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (T.J. Warren draws the foul)110
22.1%
111
77.9%
Q4 - 1:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound110
22.4%
111
77.6%
Q4 - 1:16HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot110
31.7%
111
68.3%
Q4 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound110
23.7%
111
76.3%
Q4 - 1:35PacersAaron Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot110
27.8%
111
72.2%
Q4 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup110
36.8%
111
63.2%
Q4 - 2:03PacersT.J. Warren makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
45.5%
109
54.5%
Q4 - 2:03PacersT.J. Warren makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
43.4%
109
56.6%
Q4 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (T.J. Warren draws the foul)108
40.9%
109
59.1%
Q4 - 2:21HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot108
38.3%
109
61.7%
Q4 - 2:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound108
44.6%
107
55.4%
Q4 - 2:40PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot108
49.9%
107
50.1%
Q4 - 2:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)108
59.2%
107
40.8%
Q4 - 3:19PacersJeremy Lamb makes two point pullup jump shot108
74.8%
104
25.2%
Q4 - 3:34PacersPacers defensive rebound106
63.2%
104
36.8%
Q4 - 3:34HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot106
60.4%
104
39.6%
Q4 - 3:41HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound106
54.0%
104
46.0%
Q4 - 3:45PacersAaron Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot106
57.1%
104
42.9%
Q4 - 4:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point reverse layup (Kendrick Nunn assists)106
64.1%
104
35.9%
Q4 - 4:21PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)106
71.7%
102
28.3%
Q4 - 4:33PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound103
55.4%
102
44.6%
Q4 - 4:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot103
52.3%
102
47.7%
Q4 - 5:03PacersAaron Holiday makes two point floating jump shot103
43.8%
102
56.2%
Q4 - 5:09PacersAaron Holiday defensive rebound101
36.4%
102
63.6%
Q4 - 5:14HeatJeremy Lamb blocks Tyler Herro's three point jump shot101
34.0%
102
66.0%
Q4 - 5:31PacersAaron Holiday makes two point running layup (Justin Holiday assists)101
28.7%
102
71.3%
Q4 - 5:35HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Justin Holiday steals)99
22.8%
102
77.2%
Q4 - 5:56PacersJeremy Lamb makes two point pullup jump shot99
17.2%
102
82.8%
Q4 - 6:09HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)97
14.9%
102
85.1%
Q4 - 6:16HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound97
11.0%
102
89.0%
Q4 - 6:20PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot97
12.1%
102
87.9%
Q4 - 6:31HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot97
14.8%
102
85.2%
Q4 - 6:42PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)97
18.3%
100
81.7%
Q4 - 6:56PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)97
18.3%
100
81.7%
Q4 - 7:00PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound95
14.8%
100
85.2%
Q4 - 7:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot95
15.0%
100
85.0%
Q4 - 7:13PacersEdmond Sumner makes two point putback layup95
12.4%
100
87.6%
Q4 - 7:14PacersEdmond Sumner offensive rebound93
10.1%
100
89.9%
Q4 - 7:19PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot93
8.3%
100
91.7%
Q4 - 7:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot93
10.0%
100
90.0%
Q4 - 7:44HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound93
12.3%
98
87.7%
Q4 - 7:47PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot93
13.4%
98
86.6%
Q4 - 8:00HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)93
16.1%
98
83.9%
Q4 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound93
20.8%
96
79.2%
Q4 - 8:10PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point turnaround hook shot93
22.1%
96
77.9%
Q4 - 8:24PacersJustin Holiday defensive rebound93
25.2%
96
74.8%
Q4 - 8:28HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot93
23.8%
96
76.2%
Q4 - 8:46PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)93
20.7%
96
79.3%
Q4 - 8:51PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound90
13.6%
96
86.4%
Q4 - 8:53HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot90
12.7%
96
87.3%
Q4 - 9:08PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)90
11.5%
96
88.5%
Q4 - 9:22HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot87
7.6%
96
92.4%
Q4 - 9:41PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point tip layup87
11.5%
93
88.5%
Q4 - 9:41PacersDomantas Sabonis offensive rebound85
9.4%
93
90.6%
Q4 - 9:44PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving finger roll layup85
8.0%
93
92.0%
Q4 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Goran Dragic assists)85
9.4%
93
90.6%
Q4 - 10:12PacersEdmond Sumner makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)85
12.5%
91
87.5%
Q4 - 10:27HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)82
8.4%
91
91.6%
Q4 - 10:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound82
12.5%
88
87.5%
Q4 - 10:33PacersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Doug McDermott's two point cutting layup82
13.3%
88
86.7%
Q4 - 10:42HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 282
15.2%
88
84.8%
Q4 - 10:42HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 282
16.0%
87
84.0%
Q4 - 10:42PacersEdmond Sumner shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)82
16.9%
86
83.1%
Q4 - 10:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound82
18.3%
86
81.7%
Q4 - 10:45HeatEdmond Sumner blocks Tyler Herro's two point jump shot82
20.9%
86
79.1%
Q4 - 10:56HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound82
18.3%
86
81.7%
Q4 - 11:00PacersDoug McDermott misses two point jump shot82
19.4%
86
80.6%
Q4 - 11:13HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup bank jump shot82
22.6%
86
77.4%
Q4 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
26.7%
84
73.3%
Q4 - 11:31PacersJustin Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot82
28.0%
84
72.0%
Q4 - 11:40PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound82
31.1%
84
68.9%
Q4 - 11:44HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot82
29.7%
84
70.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.82
26.7%
84
73.3%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound82
27.2%
84
72.8%
Q3 - 0:00.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot82
30.0%
84
70.0%
Q3 - 0:01.4HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound82
27.2%
84
72.8%
Q3 - 0:02.4PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot82
28.4%
84
71.6%
Q3 - 0:18.9PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound82
31.2%
84
68.8%
Q3 - 0:20.6HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup82
30.0%
84
70.0%
Q3 - 0:24.5HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound82
27.2%
84
72.8%
Q3 - 0:27.2PacersT.J. Warren misses two point pullup jump shot82
28.4%
84
71.6%
Q3 - 0:50.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 282
31.2%
84
68.8%
Q3 - 0:50.1HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 282
31.8%
83
68.2%
Q3 - 0:50.1PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)82
32.5%
82
67.5%
Q3 - 0:54.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound82
36.0%
82
64.0%
Q3 - 0:56.5PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot82
37.4%
82
62.6%
Q3 - 1:04HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (T.J. Warren steals)82
40.5%
82
59.5%
Q3 - 1:10HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound82
35.7%
82
64.3%
Q3 - 1:13PacersEdmond Sumner misses two point driving floating jump shot82
37.2%
82
62.8%
Q3 - 1:37PacersT.J. Warren makes technical free throw 1 of 182
40.5%
82
59.5%
Q3 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler technical foul81
39.3%
82
60.7%
Q3 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Goran Dragic assists)81
35.9%
82
64.1%
Q3 - 1:49PacersMyles Turner makes two point driving finger roll layup (Edmond Sumner assists)81
40.4%
80
59.6%
Q3 - 2:05HeatDerrick Jones Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Edmond Sumner steals)79
35.7%
80
64.3%
Q3 - 2:15HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound79
31.2%
80
68.8%
Q3 - 2:21PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot79
32.6%
80
67.4%
Q3 - 2:32HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 279
35.8%
80
64.2%
Q3 - 2:32HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 279
36.9%
79
63.1%
Q3 - 2:32PacersJeremy Lamb shooting foul (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)79
34.1%
79
65.9%
Q3 - 2:47HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound79
35.3%
79
64.7%
Q3 - 2:50PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot79
36.8%
79
63.2%
Q3 - 2:58PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound79
40.1%
79
59.9%
Q3 - 3:02HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point jump shot79
38.5%
79
61.5%
Q3 - 3:18PacersT.J. Warren makes two point running pullup jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)79
35.4%
79
64.6%
Q3 - 3:21PacersAaron Holiday defensive rebound77
31.8%
79
68.2%
Q3 - 3:24HeatMeyers Leonard misses two point cutting dunk77
30.6%
79
69.4%
Q3 - 3:40PacersAaron Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot77
27.8%
79
72.2%
Q3 - 3:55HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)74
21.6%
79
78.4%
Q3 - 4:10PacersAaron Holiday makes two point pullup jump shot74
27.7%
76
72.3%
Q3 - 4:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 272
25.0%
76
75.0%
Q3 - 4:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 272
25.4%
75
74.6%
Q3 - 4:22PacersJustin Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
25.9%
74
74.1%
Q3 - 4:51PacersT.J. Warren makes two point jump shot (Jeremy Lamb assists)72
27.7%
74
72.3%
Q3 - 4:56PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound70
25.0%
74
75.0%
Q3 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot70
23.9%
74
76.1%
Q3 - 5:26PacersMyles Turner makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot70
22.2%
74
77.8%
Q3 - 5:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 268
19.7%
74
80.3%
Q3 - 5:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 268
20.1%
73
79.9%
Q3 - 5:48PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)68
20.5%
72
79.5%
Q3 - 5:59PacersJeremy Lamb makes regular free throw 2 of 268
22.2%
72
77.8%
Q3 - 5:59PacersJeremy Lamb makes regular free throw 1 of 267
21.9%
72
78.1%
Q3 - 5:59HeatMeyers Leonard shooting foul (Jeremy Lamb draws the foul)66
21.5%
72
78.5%
Q3 - 5:59PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound66
19.7%
72
80.3%
Q3 - 6:02HeatJimmy Butler misses two point bank jump shot66
19.3%
72
80.7%
Q3 - 6:03HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound66
17.6%
72
82.4%
Q3 - 6:06HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot66
19.3%
72
80.7%
Q3 - 6:15HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound66
17.6%
72
82.4%
Q3 - 6:18PacersMyles Turner misses two point cutting layup66
18.3%
72
81.7%
Q3 - 6:31HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 266
20.1%
72
79.9%
Q3 - 6:31HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 266
20.4%
71
79.6%
Q3 - 6:31PacersT.J. Warren shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)66
20.8%
70
79.2%
Q3 - 6:47HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound66
22.5%
70
77.5%
Q3 - 6:50PacersJeremy Lamb misses three point pullup jump shot66
23.4%
70
76.6%
Q3 - 6:55PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound66
25.5%
70
74.5%
Q3 - 6:59HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot66
24.6%
70
75.4%
Q3 - 7:25PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point cutting layup (Myles Turner assists)66
22.5%
70
77.5%
Q3 - 7:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point stepback jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)64
20.3%
70
79.7%
Q3 - 8:04PacersT.J. Warren makes regular free throw 2 of 264
25.4%
67
74.6%
Q3 - 8:04PacersT.J. Warren makes regular free throw 1 of 263
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q3 - 8:04HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (T.J. Warren draws the foul)62
24.3%
67
75.7%
Q3 - 8:24HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point stepback jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)62
23.1%
67
76.9%
Q3 - 8:32HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound62
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q3 - 8:35PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot62
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 8:45HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (Jeremy Lamb draws the foul)62
31.8%
64
68.2%
Q3 - 8:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)62
31.8%
64
68.2%
Q3 - 8:58HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound62
38.0%
61
62.0%
Q3 - 9:02HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot62
40.0%
61
60.0%
Q3 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound62
37.4%
61
62.6%
Q3 - 9:14PacersJeremy Lamb misses two point jump shot62
38.6%
61
61.4%
Q3 - 9:20HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (T.J. Warren draws the foul)62
41.3%
61
58.7%
Q3 - 9:21PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound62
41.3%
61
58.7%
Q3 - 9:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup62
40.1%
61
59.9%
Q3 - 9:49PacersT.J. Warren makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)62
37.5%
61
62.5%
Q3 - 9:52PacersAaron Holiday defensive rebound59
31.4%
61
68.6%
Q3 - 9:55HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point turnaround jump shot59
30.4%
61
69.6%
Q3 - 10:15PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point jump shot (T.J. Warren assists)59
28.0%
61
72.0%
Q3 - 10:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)57
25.7%
61
74.3%
Q3 - 10:36HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound57
30.9%
58
69.1%
Q3 - 10:41PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot57
31.9%
58
68.1%
Q3 - 10:50HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jeremy Lamb draws the foul)57
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q3 - 10:58HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)57
34.4%
58
65.6%
Q3 - 11:01HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound57
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 11:05PacersT.J. Warren misses two point pullup jump shot57
31.9%
58
68.1%
Q3 - 11:18PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound57
34.1%
58
65.9%
Q3 - 11:22HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot57
33.1%
58
66.9%
Q3 - 11:28HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound57
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 11:30HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot57
33.1%
58
66.9%
Q3 - 11:45PacersT.J. Warren makes two point bank jump shot57
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
28.3%
58
71.7%
Q2 - 0:02.9PacersPacers offensive rebound55
27.9%
58
72.1%
Q2 - 0:02.9PacersJustin Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot55
26.7%
58
73.3%
Q2 - 0:19.7HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
28.0%
58
72.0%
Q2 - 0:35.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound55
34.3%
55
65.7%
Q2 - 0:40.4PacersAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot55
35.0%
55
65.0%
Q2 - 0:51.8HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)55
36.5%
55
63.5%
Q2 - 0:56.0HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound55
40.4%
53
59.6%
Q2 - 1:01PacersAaron Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot55
41.0%
53
59.0%
Q2 - 1:05PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound55
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q2 - 1:08HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot55
41.7%
53
58.3%
Q2 - 1:23PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)55
40.5%
53
59.5%
Q2 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 252
33.4%
53
66.6%
Q2 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 252
33.8%
52
66.2%
Q2 - 1:35PacersDoug McDermott shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
34.3%
51
65.7%
Q2 - 1:35HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound52
37.5%
51
62.5%
Q2 - 1:39PacersT.J. Warren misses three point jump shot52
38.0%
51
62.0%
Q2 - 1:43PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound52
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q2 - 1:46HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point alley-oop dunk52
38.7%
51
61.3%
Q2 - 1:52HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound52
37.5%
51
62.5%
Q2 - 1:54PacersAaron Holiday misses two point floating jump shot52
38.0%
51
62.0%
Q2 - 2:12HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kendrick Nunn assists)52
39.6%
51
60.4%
Q2 - 2:26PacersDoug McDermott makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)52
42.5%
49
57.5%
Q2 - 2:35PacersDoug McDermott defensive rebound49
36.7%
49
63.3%
Q2 - 2:37HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point jump shot49
35.9%
49
64.1%
Q2 - 2:53PacersAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 249
34.0%
49
66.0%
Q2 - 2:53PacersAaron Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 248
33.6%
49
66.4%
Q2 - 2:53HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)47
33.2%
49
66.8%
Q2 - 3:01HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)47
31.2%
49
68.8%
Q2 - 3:13PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)47
33.5%
47
66.5%
Q2 - 3:26PacersAaron Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot47
33.5%
47
66.5%
Q2 - 3:36PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound45
31.3%
47
68.7%
Q2 - 3:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround bank jump shot45
30.4%
47
69.6%
Q2 - 4:05PacersDomantas Sabonis makes two point cutting dunk (Doug McDermott assists)45
28.7%
47
71.3%
Q2 - 4:32HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)43
26.5%
47
73.5%
Q2 - 4:35HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound43
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 4:39HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot43
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q2 - 4:56HeatDerrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound43
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 5:00PacersJeremy Lamb misses two point pullup jump shot43
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q2 - 5:14HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running dunk (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)43
33.6%
44
66.4%
Q2 - 5:19PacersJeremy Lamb turnover (bad pass) (Kelly Olynyk steals)43
35.6%
42
64.4%
Q2 - 5:41HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)43
38.6%
42
61.4%
Q2 - 5:56PacersJeremy Lamb personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)43
43.4%
39
56.6%
Q2 - 6:11PacersJustin Holiday makes two point running dunk (T.J. McConnell assists)43
43.0%
39
57.0%
Q2 - 6:15HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Justin Holiday steals)41
40.9%
39
59.1%
Q2 - 6:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound41
37.8%
39
62.2%
Q2 - 6:22PacersDoug McDermott misses three point jump shot41
38.8%
39
61.2%
Q2 - 6:43HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot41
41.0%
39
59.0%
Q2 - 6:48HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound41
45.6%
36
54.4%
Q2 - 6:51PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point fadeaway jump shot41
46.6%
36
53.4%
Q2 - 7:02HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)41
48.0%
36
52.0%
Q2 - 7:17PacersDoug McDermott turnover (offensive foul)41
45.4%
36
54.6%
Q2 - 7:17PacersDoug McDermott offensive foul (Off the ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)41
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q2 - 7:21HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Edmond Sumner draws the foul)41
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q2 - 7:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot41
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q2 - 7:43HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound41
50.5%
34
49.5%
Q2 - 7:46PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point hook shot41
51.4%
34
48.6%
Q2 - 7:56HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (Take) (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)41
53.3%
34
46.7%
Q2 - 7:57PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound41
53.3%
34
46.7%
Q2 - 7:59HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup41
52.4%
34
47.6%
Q2 - 8:11PacersEdmond Sumner makes two point running layup (T.J. McConnell assists)41
50.3%
34
49.7%
Q2 - 8:13PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound39
47.9%
34
52.1%
Q2 - 8:16HeatEdmond Sumner blocks Tyler Herro's three point jump shot39
47.1%
34
52.9%
Q2 - 8:41PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)39
45.2%
34
54.8%
Q2 - 8:48HeatGoran Dragic makes two point pullup jump shot36
40.4%
34
59.6%
Q2 - 9:03PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup36
42.3%
32
57.7%
Q2 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)34
40.1%
32
59.9%
Q2 - 9:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound34
42.3%
30
57.7%
Q2 - 9:33PacersDerrick Jones Jr. blocks Domantas Sabonis's two point jump shot34
43.1%
30
56.9%
Q2 - 9:45HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)34
44.9%
30
55.1%
Q2 - 9:52HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound34
47.2%
28
52.8%
Q2 - 9:56PacersEdmond Sumner misses three point jump shot34
48.0%
28
52.0%
Q2 - 10:16HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)34
49.4%
28
50.6%
Q2 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound34
54.0%
25
46.0%
Q2 - 10:21HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot34
55.8%
25
44.2%
Q2 - 10:49PacersDoug McDermott makes two point pullup jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)34
54.0%
25
46.0%
Q2 - 10:58PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound32
51.8%
25
48.2%
Q2 - 11:02HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot32
50.1%
25
49.9%
Q2 - 11:16PacersEdmond Sumner makes two point driving layup32
48.7%
25
51.3%
Q2 - 11:23PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound30
46.2%
25
53.8%
Q2 - 11:26HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot30
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q2 - 11:31PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)30
44.0%
25
56.0%
Q2 - 11:48PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)30
44.0%
25
56.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.27
39.3%
25
60.7%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound27
37.1%
25
62.9%
Q1 - 0:00.2HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot27
38.3%
25
61.7%
Q1 - 0:11.3HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound27
37.1%
25
62.9%
Q1 - 0:14.8PacersT.J. McConnell misses regular free throw 2 of 227
37.3%
25
62.7%
Q1 - 0:14.8PacersT.J. McConnell misses regular free throw 1 of 227
38.9%
25
61.1%
Q1 - 0:14.8HeatKelly Olynyk shooting foul (T.J. McConnell draws the foul)27
40.7%
25
59.3%
Q1 - 0:32.7HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)27
38.8%
25
61.2%
Q1 - 0:44.8PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point floating jump shot (Doug McDermott assists)27
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q1 - 0:55.9HeatDerrick Jones Jr. makes two point bank jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)25
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 1:10PacersEdmond Sumner makes two point driving finger roll layup25
43.8%
20
56.2%
Q1 - 1:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk23
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q1 - 1:32HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound23
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 1:34HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup23
45.0%
18
55.0%
Q1 - 1:48PacersT.J. Warren personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. draws the foul)23
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 1:48HeatHeat defensive rebound23
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 1:48PacersJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot23
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 1:56HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)23
45.6%
18
54.4%
Q1 - 1:58HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound23
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot23
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 2:02HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound23
43.1%
18
56.9%
Q1 - 2:04HeatDerrick Jones Jr. misses two point tip layup23
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 2:04HeatDerrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound23
43.1%
18
56.9%
Q1 - 2:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup23
44.6%
18
55.4%
Q1 - 2:29PacersJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (T.J. Warren assists)23
43.2%
18
56.8%
Q1 - 2:37PacersEdmond Sumner defensive rebound20
38.8%
18
61.2%
Q1 - 2:41HeatMeyers Leonard misses two point running alley-oop dunk20
38.2%
18
61.8%
Q1 - 2:47PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)20
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 2:51HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Edmond Sumner steals)20
38.8%
18
61.2%
Q1 - 2:52HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound20
36.8%
18
63.2%
Q1 - 2:55HeatGoran Dragic misses two point running layup20
38.2%
18
61.8%
Q1 - 3:00PacersEdmond Sumner turnover (lost ball) (Goran Dragic steals)20
36.8%
18
63.2%
Q1 - 3:18PacersT.J. Warren defensive rebound20
38.6%
18
61.4%
Q1 - 3:20HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 120
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 3:20PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
36.8%
18
63.2%
Q1 - 3:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound20
40.4%
16
59.6%
Q1 - 3:29PacersT.J. Warren misses two point turnaround bank jump shot20
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 3:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 220
42.9%
16
57.1%
Q1 - 3:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 220
43.1%
15
56.9%
Q1 - 3:42PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
43.5%
14
56.5%
Q1 - 3:55PacersMyles Turner makes three point running pullup jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)20
44.7%
14
55.3%
Q1 - 4:00HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)17
40.7%
14
59.3%
Q1 - 4:23PacersAaron Holiday makes two point driving layup17
38.0%
14
62.0%
Q1 - 4:35HeatMeyers Leonard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
36.4%
14
63.6%
Q1 - 4:56PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)15
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q1 - 5:06HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 5:30PacersT.J. Warren makes two point pullup jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)12
34.0%
11
66.0%
Q1 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)10
32.3%
11
67.7%
Q1 - 6:06PacersAaron Holiday makes two point floating jump shot10
30.4%
11
69.6%
Q1 - 6:14PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound8
28.8%
11
71.2%
Q1 - 6:18HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot8
28.3%
11
71.7%
Q1 - 6:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 6:30PacersJeremy Lamb misses three point pullup jump shot8
27.7%
11
72.3%
Q1 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 28
28.8%
11
71.2%
Q1 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 28
29.0%
10
71.0%
Q1 - 6:41PacersJeremy Lamb shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)8
29.2%
9
70.8%
Q1 - 6:53PacersJeremy Lamb makes two point pullup jump shot8
30.4%
9
69.6%
Q1 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)6
28.9%
9
71.1%
Q1 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
30.2%
7
69.8%
Q1 - 7:24PacersT.J. Warren misses two point fadeaway jump shot6
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 7:40PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound6
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 7:45HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving hook shot6
31.5%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 7:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
30.3%
7
69.7%
Q1 - 7:59PacersAaron Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot6
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 8:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)6
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 8:32HeatMeyers Leonard defensive rebound6
33.4%
5
66.6%
Q1 - 8:35PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point driving reverse layup6
34.0%
5
66.0%
Q1 - 8:43PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound6
35.3%
5
64.7%
Q1 - 8:50HeatJeremy Lamb blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving reverse layup6
34.7%
5
65.3%
Q1 - 9:03PacersJeremy Lamb makes regular free throw 1 of 16
33.2%
5
66.8%
Q1 - 9:03HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jeremy Lamb draws the foul)5
33.0%
5
67.0%
Q1 - 9:09PacersJeremy Lamb defensive rebound3
30.4%
5
69.6%
Q1 - 9:13HeatMeyers Leonard misses three point jump shot3
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 9:30PacersJeremy Lamb makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)3
28.6%
5
71.4%
Q1 - 9:37PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound0
26.0%
5
74.0%
Q1 - 9:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
25.4%
5
74.6%
Q1 - 9:48HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound0
24.3%
5
75.7%
Q1 - 9:53PacersMyles Turner misses two point turnaround jump shot0
24.8%
5
75.2%
Q1 - 10:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)0
25.8%
5
74.2%
Q1 - 10:19HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound0
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 10:24PacersAaron Holiday misses two point floating jump shot0
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 10:33PacersDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound0
30.2%
2
69.8%
Q1 - 10:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 10:54PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot0
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 11:10HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 11:21HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound0
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 11:27PacersDomantas Sabonis misses two point turnaround hook shot0
32.0%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 11:44PacersPacers defensive rebound0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:45HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. Bam Adebayo (Meyers Leonard gains possession)0
31.5%
0
68.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.15 57.7%
MIA
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
22
68%
MIA
14
26
54%
Midrange
IND
15
37
41%
MIA
10
25
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
14
21.0
31
45%
68%
MIA
16
24.0
38
42%
63%
Free Throws
IND
10
12
83%
MIA
17
19
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Holiday1753%8.5 / 16
T. Warren1657%8.0 / 14
J. Lamb1667%8.0 / 12
D. McDermott1470%7.0 / 10
M. Turner1372%6.5 / 9
J. Holiday1169%5.5 / 8
E. Sumner1179%5.5 / 7
D. Sabonis836%4.0 / 11
T. McConnell638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2056%10.0 / 18
B. Adebayo1882%9.0 / 11
D. Robinson1882%9.0 / 11
K. Nunn1761%8.5 / 14
G. Dragic1450%7.0 / 14
T. Herro1045%5.0 / 11
K. Olynyk9113%4.5 / 4
D. Jones735%3.5 / 10
M. Leonard0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
93
+4
-4
97
MIA
84
+16
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.15 57.7%
MIA
1.13 56.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.9
112.4
IND 115.5
MIA 116.5 +1.0
Pace
99.1
98.4
IND 101.3 +8.2
MIA 93.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
14.8
IND 14.2 +1.3
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.4%
54.7%
IND 56.7% +2.8%
MIA 53.9%
TO %
12.7%
14.0%
IND 4.0% +7.8%
MIA 11.8%
ORB %
20.0%
20.3%
IND 4.5%
MIA 30.4% +25.9%
FTrt
21.6
29.9
IND 13.3
MIA 21.3 +8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.4%
65.7%
IND 61.4%
MIA 72.5% +11.1%
STL %
7.4%
7.6%
IND 8.2% +5.1%
MIA 3.1%
BLK %
9.4%
9.3%
IND 7.8% +4.4%
MIA 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.21 and 2.21.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.2%
56.9%
IND 57.7% +1.2%
MIA 56.5%
Rim FG%
61.0%
63.8%
IND 68.2% +14.4%
MIA 53.8%
Mid FG%
43.3%
38.9%
IND 40.5% +0.5%
MIA 40.0%
3P %
36.3%
37.9%
IND 45.2% +3.1%
MIA 42.1%
FT %
78.7%
78.3%
IND 83.3%
MIA 89.5% +6.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
33.2%
IND 24.4%
MIA 29.2% +4.8%
Mid Att. %
31.4%
24.9%
IND 41.1%
MIA 28.1% +13.0%
3P Att. %
31.7%
41.9%
IND 34.4%
MIA 42.7% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points112113
Rebounds3456
Assists2729
Steals83
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)4 (0)13 (0)
Fouls1612
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (2)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)42 (1)
Field Goals44-9040-89
At-the-Rim FG15-2214-26
Midrange FG15-3710-25
2-Point FG30-5924-51
3-Point FG14-3116-38
Free Throws10-1217-19
Fast Break Pts2111
2nd Chance Pts415
Points in Paint3838
Pts off Turnovers152
Bench Points4240
Biggest Lead99

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24
31.1
8
36%
7
4
2
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-0
-
#1 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 26
31.0
16
57%
4
2
1
0
0
3
0
4
5-5
100%
4-8
50%
1-4
25%
#26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28
30.1
16
67%
4
1
0
2
1
3
0
4
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
1-3
33%
#3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 23
29.6
17
53%
3
9
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
1-4
25%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24
26.3
13
72%
6
1
0
0
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
#8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 31
30.2
11
69%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 28
21.1
14
70%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 28
18.4
6
38%
4
6
1
0
1
2
0
4
0-2
0%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
#5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 24
17.9
11
79%
4
1
2
2
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
1-2
50%
#88 · C · 6'10" 250 · 20
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 27
DNP - Coach's Decision
#22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#24 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 24
DNP - Coach's Decision
#10 · SF · 6'7" 190 · 21
INACTIVE
#15 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 26
INACTIVE
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee Rehab
#7 · SG · 6'4" 229 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Sore Left Hamstring
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
58%
34
27
8
4
4
16
2
32
10-12
83%
30-59
51%
14-31
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.