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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 28, 2019
5:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Grizzlies
110
9Nuggets
119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 20.4
30
28
16
3
8
0
1
1
3
0
3
3-5
60%
5-10
5-10
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 20.3
30
31
20
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
6-7
86%
4-5
4-8
80%
52%
2-8
25%
Dillon Brooks
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.9
29
26
7
4
1
1
1
0
6
3
1
2-3
67%
1-5
3-7
20%
44%
1-5
20%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 29.5
27
27
4
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
24
26
14
10
0
1
0
1
2
1
9
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
56%
2-2
100%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 23.3
23
19
15
2
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
6-8
4-6
75%
55%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 28.8
18
16
0
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.6
18
19
8
0
7
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
0-1
0%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 24.2
14
15
6
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
2-5
40%
De'Anthony Melton
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.6
13
18
17
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
44%
1-3
33%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.3
13
12
3
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 24.3
2
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Marko Guduric
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.8
4
0
0-1
45%
Yuta Watanabe
G · 6'9" 205 · 25.2
Josh Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 22.9
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.8
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 35.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
37
34
12
2
1
3
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
54%
0-2
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.0
36
33
20
6
7
2
1
1
1
1
5
2-3
67%
6-9
4-8
67%
51%
2-9
22%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.8
36
31
15
5
5
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-5
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
52%
0-2
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.9
33
30
31
10
10
1
1
0
1
2
8
5-7
71%
10-14
6-10
71%
58%
2-5
40%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
20
17
15
7
1
1
1
0
2
3
4
3-6
50%
6-10
3-4
60%
60%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
32
24
12
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
3-7
3-5
43%
57%
1-3
33%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.5
19
7
11
4
0
2
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
3-5
60%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
15
18
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.2
11
3
0
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
56%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.1
2
19
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
3
0
0-0
55%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.7
1
0
0-0
54%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
58%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.1
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.