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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 29, 2019
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Kings31%105115
9Nuggets69%112120
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.0
36
33
20
5
8
2
1
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
3-9
33%
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.0
33
17
18
2
13
0
1
0
4
1
1
4-4
100%
7-9
3-6
78%
47%
0-3
0%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.6
33
25
27
6
2
0
1
1
1
0
6
2-3
67%
5-6
3-5
83%
50%
5-7
71%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
31
33
18
6
2
1
1
0
1
5
1
0-0
-
9-13
5-9
69%
60%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
29
34
6
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
1-1
100%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 27.4
27
29
7
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
2-7
29%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.4
18
30
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 34.5
17
17
6
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Harry Giles III
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 21.7
17
3
11
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
1-1
57%
48%
0-0
-
Yogi Ferrell
G · 6'0" 180 · 26.6
15
0
1-3
47%
Justin James
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 22.9
7
0
1-2
45%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.8
3
0
0-0
47%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 30.4
2
0
0-0
56%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 20.8
Caleb Swanigan
F-C · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
DaQuan Jeffries
F · 6'5" 216 · 22.3
Kyle Guy
G · 6'1" 167 · 22.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.8
33
27
18
2
0
1
1
2
2
0
2
6-6
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
2-4
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 22.8
33
33
13
4
7
2
1
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
0-4
5-10
0%
51%
3-6
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.0
30
34
19
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
7-10
4-8
70%
50%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.9
27
31
17
8
4
1
1
0
4
4
4
3-4
75%
7-8
6-11
88%
58%
0-0
-
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 21.5
26
12
19
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
7-7
2-3
100%
54%
1-3
33%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 23.1
24
12
11
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
51%
1-5
20%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.8
22
18
15
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
9-10
90%
3-4
3-5
75%
59%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.3
20
8
1
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-5
0%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
17
17
5
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.0
8
3
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
35
1
3-6
54%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.7
1
0
0-0
54%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.7
1
0
0-0
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 34.9
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.1
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.