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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 30, 2019
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Heat
105
24Wizards
123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 30.3
37
34
27
6
4
0
2
0
1
1
5
15-19
79%
6-10
6-11
60%
51%
0-0
-
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 22.5
36
35
14
14
5
0
1
0
6
3
11
2-3
67%
6-11
7-12
55%
59%
0-0
-
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.4
34
25
14
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
4-7
33%
53%
3-8
38%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
31
22
16
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
63%
3-8
38%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
24
22
7
7
1
0
0
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
61%
1-1
100%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 22.9
31
30
9
4
0
3
1
1
0
0
4
3-5
60%
3-3
3-5
100%
60%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 33.7
23
29
10
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2-3
67%
1-6
4-7
17%
51%
2-6
33%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 19.9
20
27
6
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 28.7
3
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Chris Silva
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.3
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
58%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.1
7
0
1-1
45%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.9
3
0
0-0
55%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 39.6
1
0
0-0
47%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.8
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.7
Daryl Macon
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 33.1
28
23
25
5
1
2
1
2
0
0
5
3-8
38%
8-8
3-5
100%
53%
2-3
67%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 20.4
28
31
5
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
50%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 30.9
22
22
8
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
2-6
33%
Johnathan Williams
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.6
18
20
0
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
53%
0-1
0%
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.1
14
28
5
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 28.8
35
19
29
4
8
2
1
1
0
0
4
5-7
71%
3-6
2-5
50%
48%
6-8
75%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.5
31
22
19
3
7
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
8-14
3-6
57%
47%
1-4
25%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 23.2
29
10
28
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
12-13
92%
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
4-7
57%
Anzejs Pasecniks
C · 7'2" 229 · 24.0
18
20
2
10
2
1
0
2
0
3
7
0-2
0%
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Isaac Bonga
G · 6'9" 203 · 20.1
16
15
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Admiral Schofield
F · 6'5" 241 · 22.8
1
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Justin Robinson
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.2
5
0
0-1
45%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 27.1
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 32.8
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.9
Moritz Wagner
F · 7'0" 241 · 22.7
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 22.4
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.3
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.